Elevated Risk Of Mortality Research Articles

Comparative study on the predictive value of TG/HDL-C, TyG and TyG-BMI indices for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure: a retrospective study

BackgroundThe triglyceride glucose (TyG) index, TyG-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and triglyceride-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) are substitute indicators for insulin resistance (IR). This study aimed to compare the predictive value of these indicators for 5-year mortality in critically ill patients with chronic heart failure (CHF).MethodsCritically ill patients with CHF were identified from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV databases. The primary outcome was 5-year mortality. The relationship between the three indices and mortality risk was determined using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan–Meier (K‒M) analysis and restricted cubic splines analysis. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated to compare the ability of the three indices to predict mortality. Finally, whether the IR indices would further increase the predictive ability of the basic model including baseline variables with a significance level between survivors and non-survivors was evaluated by ROC curve.ResultsAltogether, 1329 patients with CHF were identified from the databases. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that the TyG index was independently associated with an elevated risk of 5-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.56; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29–1.9), while the TyG-BMI index and TG/HDL-C level were significantly associated with 5-year mortality, with an HR (95% CI) of 1.002 (1.000–1.003) and 1.01 (1.00–1.03), respectively. The K–M analysis revealed that the cumulative incidence of all-cause 5-year death increased with increasing quartiles of the TyG index, TyG-BMI index, or TG/HDL-C ratio. According to the ROC curve, the TyG index outperformed the TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio at predicting all-cause 5-year mortality (0.608 [0.571–0.645] vs. 0.558 [0.522–0.594] vs. 0.561 [0.524–0.598]). The effect of the TyG index on all-cause mortality was consistent across subgroups, with no significant interaction with randomized factors. Furthermore, adding the TyG index to the basic model for 5-year mortality improved its predictive ability (area under the curve, 0.762 for the basic model vs. 0.769 for the basic model + TyG index); however, the difference was not statistically significant.ConclusionAs continuous variables, all three indices were significantly associated with 5-year mortality risk in critically ill patients with CHF. Although these IR indices did not improve the predictive power of the basic model in patients with CHF, the TyG index appears to be the most promising index (vs. TyG-BMI and TG/HDL-C ratio) for prevention and risk stratification in critically ill patients with CHF.

Using Mobility Tools within Multidimensional Assessments to Increase Prognostic Awareness and Assist in Shared Decision-Making to Enhance Goal Concordant Care

ObjectivesThe purpose of this practice example from one clinical center is to illustrate the use of interdisciplinary mobility, nutrition, and quality-of-life tools to guide prognostication, which can facilitate discussion on further treatment and goals of care. MethodsPeer-reviewed scientific publications, expert opinions, and a case study are used to illustrate the advantages of using interdisciplinary assessment tools to assist in prognostication, culminating in shared decision-making. ResultsThis overview includes tools identified for use by interdisciplinary teams to identify high-risk patients appropriate for timely discussions regarding goals of care to maximize the probability that people receive care aligned with their goals and values that are informed by prognostic concordance. ConclusionsTools assessing mobility, functional status, nutrition, and quality of life can assist the interdisciplinary team in providing whole-person care and in forecasting mortality, thus giving the team valid and reliable information to present to patients and families in the shared decision-making process. Further research is needed to synthesize findings from these tools and share information amongst team members in a cohesive and reliable manner. Implications for Nursing PracticeNurses spend more time at the bedside than any other discipline. Improved knowledge of tools to forecast patients at elevated risk for mortality will empower collaboration with other disciplines to improve prognostic concordance and enhance shared decision-making culminating in optimal patient-centered care.

The impacts of extreme heat events on non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality: An analysis of 12 Canadian cities from 2000 to 2020.

Extreme heat has significant impacts on mortality. In Canada, past research has analyzed the degree to which non-accidental mortality increases during single extreme heat events; however, few studies have considered multiple causes of death and the impacts of extreme heat events on mortality over longer time periods. Daily death counts attributable to non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory causes were retrieved for the 12 most populous cities in Canada from 2000 to 2020. Generalized additive models were applied to quantify daily mortality risks for people aged younger than 65 years and for those aged 65 years and older in each city and for each cause of death. Model results were used to calculate the change in mortality risks and the number of excess deaths attributable to extreme heat during extreme heat events. Elevated mortality risks were observed during extreme heat events in most cities for non-accidental and respiratory causes. The impacts of extreme heat on non-accidental mortality were typically greater for people aged 65 and older than for those aged younger than 65. Significantly higher non-accidental mortality risks were observed during extreme heat events for people aged 65 and older in Montréal, the city of Québec, Surrey, and Toronto. For cardiovascular and respiratory causes, people aged 65 and older had significantly higher mortality risks during extreme heat events in Montréal, and both Montréal and Toronto, respectively. In the 12 cities, approximately 670 excess non-accidental deaths, 115 excess cardiovascular deaths, and 115 excess respiratory deaths were attributable to extreme heat events during the study period. Mortality risks during extreme heat events were generally higher in cities with larger proportions of renter households and fewer extreme heat events. This study estimates the longer-term impacts of extreme heat events on three mortality outcomes in a set of large Canadian cities. As climate change causes more frequent and intense extreme heat events, and as policy makers aim to reduce the health impacts of heat, it is important to understand how and where extreme heat affects health.

Effect of Chronic Kidney Disease on All-Cause Mortality After Hip Fracture Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated: (1) The impact of comorbid chronic kidney disease (CKD) on postoperative mortality in patients with a hip fracture; (2) mortality variations by dialysis type, potentially indicating CKD stage; (3) the efficacy of different hip fracture surgical methods in reducing mortality for patients with CKD. This study included 25,760 patients from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Senior cohort (2002-2019) who underwent hip fracture surgery. Participants were categorized as CKD and Non-CKD. Mortality rate was determined using a generalized linear model with a Poisson distribution. The effect size was presented as a hazard ratio (HR) through a Cox proportional-hazard model. During follow-up, we ascertained that 978 patients (3.8%) had CKD preoperatively. Compared to the Non-CKD group, the mortality risk (HR) in the CKD group was 2.17 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.99-2.37). In sensitivity analysis, the mortality risk of in patients who received peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis was 6.21 (95% CI, 3.90-9.87) and 3.62 times (95% CI, 3.11-4.20) higher than that of patients who received conservative care. Mortality risk varied by surgical method: hip hemiarthroplasty (HR, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.86-2.40), open reduction and internal fixation (HR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.94-2.51), total hip replacement (HR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.60-3.24), and closed reduction and percutaneous fixation (HR, 3.08; 95% CI, 1.88-5.06). Older patients with CKD undergoing hip fracture surgery had elevated mortality risk, necessitating comprehensive pre- and postoperative assessments and management.

457-P: Association of System Inflammation Index with Risk of Cardiovascular Mortality among Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes

Introduction & Objective: This study aimed to examine the associations of system inflammation index, including system inflammation response index (SIRI) and system immune-inflammation index (SII), with cardiovascular mortality in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods: This analysis included 2,954 individuals from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2010. Cardiovascular mortality was ascertained by linkage to National Death Index (NDI) records through 31 December 2019. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: During an average of 12.4 years of follow-up, 248 cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths occurred. After multivariate adjustment, per one-unit increment in SIRI was significantly associated with a 16% higher risk of cardiovascular mortality (P <0.0001) in a dose-response manner (P non-linear = 0.26). However, the association between SII and CVD deaths exhibits a J-shaped relationship (P non-linear = 0.03) and When extreme level of SII was compared, the multivariate-adjusted HR was 1.81 (95% CI 1.11, 2.95) for CVD deaths (P trend = 0.017). Conclusion: Higher SIRI and very high SII were linearly associated with elevated risk of cardiovascular mortality among individuals with T2D. Disclosure H. Li: None. W. Guo: None. Y. Li: None. T. Zeng: None. W. Kong: None. Funding National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 81974107); Bethune-Merck Diabetes Research Foundation (Grant No. G-X-2019-056);

Survival Analysis and Immune Differences of HIV Long-Term Non-progressors in Xinjiang China: A 12-Year Prospective Cohort Observation

This 12-year cohort study of 80 long-term non-progressors (LTNPs) observed a cumulative follow-up duration of 628.5 person-years. Among them, 60 received antiretroviral therapy (ART) for a total of 418.6 person-years. Twenty-four deaths occurred during the follow-up period, with an average age of 42.36 years and a lowest 8-year survival rate of 0.90. Cox model analysis revealed that the risk of AIDS-related death was 1.47 times higher for non-marital, non-commercial heterosexual transmission than for injection drug use. Treatment initiation at ages 31–40 was correlated with an elevated risk of mortality, while treatment for 3–10 years reduced mortality risks in untreated LTNPs. Flow cytometry observed significant differences in the proportion of NK cells. Long-term ART (> 2 years) before LTNPs developed AIDS symptoms could lower mortality risk and potentially extend lifespan, especially when it was initiated at a younger age without affecting NK cell balance. Epidemiological and immunological studies on ART-treated LTNPs are vital for advancing HIV treatment and achieving functional cures for AIDS individuals.

Characterizing the utilization of doula support services among birthing people of color in the United States: a scoping review

BackgroundBirthing people of color experience disproportionately higher rates of infant and maternal mortality during pregnancy and birth compared to their white counterparts. The utilization of doula support services may lead to improvements in the birthing experiences of birthing people of color. Yet, the research in this area is sparse. Thus, the purpose of this review is to characterize the research on doula utilization among birthing people of color, identify gaps in the field, and provide recommendations for future research.MethodsUtilizing PRISMA guidelines, we conducted a scoping review, searching PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL, and Google Scholar for peer-reviewed articles published between January 1, 2016, to July 3, 2022.ResultsTwenty-five articles met inclusion criteria. We identified the three themes characterizing included studies: (1) how doulas support (HDS) their clients, (2) doula support outcomes (DSO), and (3) considerations for implementing doula support services (CIDS). Despite doulas being described as agents of empowerment, and providing social support, education, and advocacy, birthing people of color reported low utilization of doula support services and findings regarding their effectiveness in improving birthing outcomes were mixed.ConclusionsWhile some studies suggest that doulas may offer important services to birthing people of color, doulas are largely under-utilized, with many birthing people reporting low knowledge of their potential roles during the pre- and post-partum periods. Moreover, few studies were designed to assess intervention effects, limiting our ability to draw firm conclusions. Birthing people of color are at elevated risk for maternal mortality. As such, interventions are needed to support this population and improve outcomes. Our review suggests that, while doulas have the potential to make important contributions to the birthing support team, they are underutilized, and intervention studies are needed to enable estimates of their true effectiveness.

A bidirectional autoimmune cluster between vitiligo and rheumatoid arthritis: a large-scale population-based study

A knowledge gap exists regarding the association between vitiligo and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) due to the absence of large-scale cohort studies designed to investigate this association. To investigate the bidirectional epidemiological association between vitiligo and RA. A population-based study was conducted using Clalit Health Services (CHS) database (2002–2019) using both a cohort study and a case-control study design. Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio (OR) were calculated by multivariate Cox and logistic regressions, respectively. Overall, 20,851 vitiligo patients and 102,475 controls were included. The incidence of new-onset RA was 4.1 (95% CI 3.0–5.4) and 2.9 (95% CI 2.4–3.3) cases per 10,000 person-years among patients with vitiligo and controls, respectively. Patients with vitiligo had a significantly increased risk of developing new-onset RA (adjusted HR, 1.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02–2.02, P = 0.036). The likelihood of having vitiligo was significantly elevated after a preexisting diagnosis of RA (adjusted OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.38–2.03; P < 0.001). Relative to the remaining patients with vitiligo, those with vitiligo and comorbid RA demonstrated an elevated risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.03–2.51; P = 0.037). Our study confirms the bidirectional association between vitiligo and RA. Physicians treating patients with vitiligo should be aware of the association in clinical practice.

The relative merits of using a high-sensitivity cardiac Troponin T assay compared to a nonhigh-sensitivity troponin T assay after noncardiac surgery

Troponin elevation after noncardiac surgery is associated with an elevated risk of 30-day mortality. Little is known about relative merit of using a high-sensitivity Troponin T (hsTnT), the fifth-generation assay, vs the nonhigh sensitivity Troponin T (non-hsTnT), the fourth-generation assay, in the noncardiac surgery setting. We aimed to identify whether hsTnT can identify additional patients at risk that would have gone undetected with non-hsTnT measurement. The VISION Study included 40,004 noncardiac surgery patients with postoperative troponin measurements. Among them, 1,806 patients had both fourth-generation non-hsTnT and fifth-generation hsTnT concomitant measurements (4,451 paired results). We compared the absolute concentrations, the timing, and the impact of different thresholds on predicting 30-day major cardiovascular complications (composite of death, nonfatal cardiac arrest, coronary revascularization, and congestive heart failure). Based on the manufacturers' threshold of 14 ng/L, 580 (32.1%) patients had postoperative hsTnT concentrations greater than the threshold, while their non-hsTnT concentrations were below the manufacturer's threshold. These 580 patients had higher risk of major cardiovascular events (OR 2.33; CI 95% 1.04-5.23; P = .049) than patients with hsTnT concentrations below the manufacturer threshold. Among patients with myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery, only 50% would be detected by the fourth-generation non-hsTnT assay at 6 to 12 hours postoperative as compared to 85% with the fifth-generation hsTnT assay (P-value < .001). Within the first 3 postoperative days, fifth-generation hsTnT identified at least 1 in 3 patients with troponin elevation that would have gone undetected by fourth-generation non-hsTnT using published thresholds in this setting. Furthermore, fifth-generation hsTnT identified patients with an elevation earlier than fourth-generation non-hsTnT, indicating potential to improve postoperative risk stratification.

Higher Magnesium Depletion Score Increases the Risk of All-cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in Hypertension Participants.

The magnesium depletion score (MDS) is a novel index utilized for evaluating body magnesium status. The present study intended to explore the association of MDS with mortality among hypertension (HTN) participants.In this cohort study, we utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) covering the years 2003 to 2018. MDS levels were categorized into three groups (lower: MDS = 0-1; middle: MDS = 2; higher: MDS = 3-5). Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to illustrate survival differences between groups with varying MDS levels. The relationship between MDS and mortality was assessed through weighted multivariate Cox regression models. Subgroup analyses, along with sensitivity analyses, were also conducted to further explore and validate the findings.This study encompassed 12,485 participants, recording 2537 all-cause deaths and 707 cardiovascular deaths. The Kaplan-Meier curves revealed that the higher MDS group had the highest rates of all-cause and cardiovascular death. (P < 0.001). Controlling for all confounding variables, participants belonging to the higher MDS group demonstrated a substantially elevated risk of mortality in comparison to the lower MDS group (all-cause mortality: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-1.54; cardiovascular mortality: HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.19-2.22). There were no interaction factors found in subgroup analyses that affected the relationship between MDS and mortality, except for cardiovascular disease. The findings were confirmed to be robust through further sensitivity analyses.Higher MDS levels independently predict an elevated risk of mortality among US adults with HTN. Therefore, MDS may serve as a cost-effective and widely available prognostic marker for HTN.

Exploring the contribution of inter-individual factors to the development of physiological heat strain in older adults exposed to simulated indoor overheating.

Older adults are at elevated risk of heat-related mortality due to age-associated declines in thermoregulatory and cardiovascular function. However, the inter-individual factors that exacerbate physiological heat strain during heat exposure remain unclear, making it challenging to identify more heat-vulnerable subgroups. We therefore explored factors contributing to inter-individual variability in physiological responses of older adults exposed to simulated hot weather. Thirty-seven older adults (61-80 years, 16 females) rested for 8 h in 31 and 36 °C (45% relative humidity). Core (rectal) temperature, heart rate (HR), HR variability, mean arterial pressure (MAP), and cardiac autonomic responses to standing were measured at baseline and end-exposure. Bootstrapped least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to evaluate whether variation in these responses was related to type 2 diabetes (T2D, n=10), hypertension (n=18), age, sex, body morphology, habitual physical activity levels, and/or heat-acclimatization. T2D was identified as a predictor of end-exposure HR (with vs. without: 13 beats/min (bootstrap 95% confidence interval: 6, 23)), seated MAP (-7mmHg (-18, 1)), and the systolic pressure response to standing (20mmHg (4, 36)). HR was also influenced by sex (female vs. male: 8 beats/min (1, 16)). No other predictors were identified. The inter-individual factors explored did not meaningfully contribute to the variation in body temperature responses in older adults exposed to simulated indoor overheating. By contrast, cardiovascular responses were exacerbated in females and individuals with T2D. These findings improve understanding of how inter-individual differences contribute to heat-induced physiological strain in older persons.

Association between antibiotic use and mortality among older persons receiving first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

e14607 Background: There is biologic plausibility that antibiotics (ABX) may reduce the effectiveness of cancer therapy, most notably immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). As ABX are commonly prescribed to older persons and more than a third of US persons with cancer are eligible for ICIs, use of ABX has important population health implications. We assess the association between ABX use and mortality among persons with NSCLC who receive first-line (1L) treatment. Methods: Using SEER-Medicare, we assembled a cohort of persons ≥66 years with NSCLC who received 1L treatment with platinum-based chemotherapy (PLT) or ICI (PLT without ICI, PLT with ICI, and ICI monotherapy) within one year of cancer diagnosis between 2017-2019. We assessed overall ABX exposure from 1 month to 1 year prior to treatment initiation and by ABX class. Primary outcome was all cause deaths within three years of treatment initiation or until 12/31/2020. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for individual-level characteristics (demographics, time-to-treatment, comorbidities, healthcare use, SEER registry, and neighborhood socioeconomic status) and landmark analyses of 1-6 months after cancer treatment were used to assess the association between ABX exposure and mortality. Results: Among 4,182 persons (mean age 75 years, 85% white, 68% chemo-immunotherapy within 2 months of NSCLC diagnosis), 63%, 18%, and 18% received PLT, PLT+ICI, and ICI, respectively. ICI+/-PLT increased in prevalence from 20% of treatments (2017) to 55% (2019). The mean age of persons who received ICI alone (78 years old) was higher than PLT or PLT+ICI. Prior to 1L treatment, 22% and 72% of persons received ABX within 30 days and 1 year prior to cancer treatment, respectively. The three most common ABX classes were fluoroquinolones (48%), penicillins (21%), and macrolides (18%). The cohort was followed for 3,274 person-years and included 2,958 deaths within 1 year and 4,144 deaths within 3 years of follow-up. Compared with persons who did not receive ABX within 3 months of cancer treatment, ABX use was associated with higher risk of death within 3 years for ICI alone [HR 1.24 (1.05-1.46) but not for PLT alone or PLT+ICI. Fluoroquinolones were associated with an elevated risk of mortality among persons who received ICI alone HR 1.41(95%CI: 1.1-1.8) and PLT alone HR 1.18 (95%CI: 1.05-1.32) but not PLT+ICI. Our findings were similar across definitions of ABX exposure (30 days to 1 year prior to treatment) and analytic landmarks after treatment initiation. Conclusions: Among patients with NSCLC who received 1L treatment, we identified an association between ABX exposure prior to treatment and increased mortality among persons who received ICI monotherapy but not PLT+ICI. As ICIs expand to more cancer types and earlier stages, ABX use may have a significant impact on outcomes and population health.

Longitudinal changes in triceps skinfold thickness and serum albumin during chemotherapy in patients with pancreatic cancer: Gender-based prognostic insights—A prospective cohort study.

e16308 Background: Cachexia, characterized by distinct fat loss and poor nutritional status, is common in patients with pancreatic cancer. This study investigated the association between triceps skinfold thickness(TSF), indicative of body fat, and serum albumin levels, reflecting nutritional status, with overall survival(OS) in patients with pancreatic cancer. Methods: A prospective cohort of 353 patients with pancreatic cancer from April 2018 to June 2021 who received chemotherapy was queried. TSF(mm) and serum albumin(g/dL) were measured at baseline and every three weeks during follow-up. The optimal cutoffs for their six-month changes(six-month value minus initial value) were determined. We performed a landmark analysis of OS six months after the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and assessed the factors influencing OS. Gender-specific survival analysis was conducted, culminating in the construction of nomograms for risk stratification. Results: Two hundred ninety-two patients survived over six months, with a median follow-up of 40.9 months. Changes in TSF, albumin, and protein levels over six months and initial albumin levels were independently associated with OS. Cancer stage, response to chemotherapy, and six-month serum CA 19-9 levels were also independent factors for OS. Gender-stratified analysis revealed gender-specific prognostic factors: TSF changes over six months£ 0 were associated with reduced OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14–2.95) in men; initial albumin levels£ 3.5g/dl (HR, 5.73; 95% CI, 2.48–13.21) and albumin changes over six months£ -0.7g/dl (HR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.51–6.07) were associated with reduced OS in women. Patients were categorized into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups for each gender based on nomogram scores, and increased risk levels were associated with elevated mortality risk. Conclusions: This was the first prospective cohort study to demonstrate that changes in TSF and albumin levels were associated with OS in pancreatic cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy in a gender-dependent manner.

Neonatal mortality rate and determinants among births of mothers at extreme ages of reproductive life in low and middle income countries

Neonatal mortality, which refers to the death of neonates during the first 28 completed days of life, is a critical global public health concern. The neonatal period is widely recognized as one of the most precarious phases in human life. Research has indicated that maternal extreme ages during reproductive years significantly impact neonatal survival, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Consequently, this study aims to evaluate the neonatal mortality rate and determinants among neonates born to mothers at extreme reproductive ages within these countries. A secondary analysis of demographic and health surveys conducted between 2015 and 2022 in 43 low- and middle-income countries was performed. The study included a total sample of 151,685 live births. Researchers utilized a multilevel mixed-effects model to identify determinants of neonatal mortality. The measures of association were evaluated using the adjusted odds ratio within a 95% confidence interval. The neonatal mortality rate among neonates born to mothers at extreme ages of reproductive life in low- and middle-income countries was 28.96 neonatal deaths per 1000 live births (95% CI 28.13–29.82). Factors associated with higher rates of neonatal mortality include male gender, low and high birth weight, maternal education (no or low), home deliveries, multiple births, short preceding birth intervals, lack of postnatal checkups, and countries with high fertility and low literacy rates. This study sheds light on the neonatal mortality rates among neonates born to mothers at extreme ages of reproductive life in low- and middle-income countries. Notably, we found that neonatal mortality was significantly higher in this group compared to neonatal mortality rates reported regardless of maternal ages. Male babies, low and high birth-weighted babies, those born to mothers with no or low education, delivered at home, singletons, babies born with a small preceding birth interval, and those without postnatal checkups faced elevated risks of neonatal mortality. Additionally, neonates born in countries with high fertility and low literacy rates were also vulnerable. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted interventions tailored to mothers at extreme ages. Policymakers and healthcare providers should prioritize strategies that address specific risk factors prevalent in these vulnerable populations. By doing so, we can improve neonatal outcomes and ensure the survival of these newborns during the critical neonatal period.

Potential interactions between medications for rate control and direct oral anticoagulants: Population-based cohort and case-crossover study

BackgroundDirect oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are commonly co-prescribed with amiodarone/diltiazem/verapamil, but whether there is a drug interaction between these drugs is unclear. ObjectiveThe purpose of this study was to investigate the risk of clinical outcomes associated with concomitant use of DOACs and amiodarone/diltiazem/verapamil. MethodsWe identified DOAC users in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2019. We used a cohort design to estimate hazard ratios for ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, venous thromboembolism, intracranial bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, other bleeding, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality, comparing DOACs + amiodarone/diltiazem/verapamil users and DOACs + beta-blocker users. A case-crossover design comparing odds of exposure to different drug initiation patterns for all outcomes in hazard window vs referent window within an individual also was conducted. ResultsOf 397,459 DOAC users, we included 9075 co-prescribed amiodarone, 9612 co-prescribed diltiazem, and 2907 co-prescribed verapamil. There was no difference in risk of any outcomes between DOACs + amiodarone/diltiazem/verapamil users vs DOACs + beta-blocker users in the cohort design. However, in the case-crossover design, we observed an odds ratio (OR) of 2.09 (99% confidence interval [CI] 1.37–3.18) for all-cause mortality associated with initiation of a DOAC while taking amiodarone, which was greater than that observed for DOAC monotherapy (OR 1.30; 99% CI 1.25–1.35). Similar findings were observed for cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality respectively with diltiazem. ConclusionOur study showed no evidence of higher bleeding or cardiovascular risk associated with co-prescribed DOACs and amiodarone, diltiazem, or verapamil. Elevated risks of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality were only observed during DOAC initiation when diltiazem/amiodarone were being taken.

Elevated C-reactive protein and mortality risk among COPD patients

BackgroundChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a progressive disease associated with autoimmune systemic inflammation. The evidence on the role of C-reactive protein (-CRP) in predicting mortality among people with COPD remains mixed.MethodsData from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1999–2010) were linked with mortality files up to December 31st, 2019, from the National Death Index. Adults ages 20 years or older were included in the analytic sample to assess the relationship between physician-diagnosed self-reported COPD and mortality based on blood CRP levels. Multivariate complex samples Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine the hazards ratios (with 95% CI).ResultsA total of 30,669 individuals comprised of the final sample with 2215 deaths observed upon follow-up for an average of 10.2 years. Compared to individuals without COPD or elevated CRP, individuals with COPD but without elevated CRP (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 0.97–1.61) did not have a significantly higher risk of mortality. However, those with both COPD and elevated CRP had a significantly higher risk of mortality (HR = 2.70, 95% CI = 1.08–6.81). Age, health insurance status, and a history of comorbidities modified these relationships.ConclusionsBiomarkers such as CRP continue to show promise for long-term COPD-related outcomes. Additional prospective assessments of individuals with airway obstruction are warranted to understand if CRP levels predict the occurrence or worsening of COPD and if those relate to long-term health outcomes.

Disability level’s impact on blood pressure-mortality association in older long-term care adults: evidence from a large Chinese cohort study

BackgroundEvidence of the optimal blood pressure (BP) target for older adults with disability in long-term care is limited. We aim to analyze the associations of BP with mortality in older adults in long-term care setting with different levels of disability.MethodsThis prospective cohort study was based on the government-led long-term care programme in Chengdu, China, including 41,004 consecutive disabled adults aged ≥ 60 years. BP was measured during the baseline survey by trained medical personnel using electronic sphygmomanometers. Disability profile was assessed using the Barthel index. The association between blood pressure and mortality was analyzed with doubly robust estimation, which combined exposure model by inverse probability weighting and outcome model fitted with Cox regression. The non-linearity was examined by restricted cubic spline. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoints were cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality.ResultsThe associations between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and all-cause mortality were close to a U-shaped curve in mild-moderate disability group (Barthel index ≥ 40), and a reversed J-shaped in severe disability group (Barthel index < 40). In mild-moderate disability group, SBP < 135 mmHg was associated with elevated all-cause mortality risks (HR 1.21, 95% CI, 1.10–1.33), compared to SBP between 135 and 150 mmHg. In severe disability group, SBP < 150 mmHg increased all-cause mortality risks (HR 1.21, 95% CI, 1.16–1.27), compared to SBP between 150 and 170 mmHg. The associations were robust in subgroup analyses in terms of age, gender, cardiovascular comorbidity and antihypertensive treatment. Diastolic blood pressure (DBP) < 67 mmHg (HR 1.29, 95% CI, 1.18–1.42) in mild-moderate disability group and < 79 mmHg (HR 1.15, 95% CI, 1.11–1.20) in severe disability group both demonstrated an increased all-cause mortality risk.ConclusionThe optimal SBP range was found to be higher in older individuals in long-term care with severe disability (150-170mmHg) compared to those with mild to moderate disability (135-150mmHg). This study provides new evidence that antihypertensive treatment should be administered cautiously in severe disability group in long-term care setting. Additionally, assessment of disability using the Barthel index can serve as a valuable tool in customizing the optimal BP management strategy.Trial registrationChinese Clinical Trial Registry (Registration Number: ChiCTR2100049973).

Outcomes of Adult Patients With COVID-19 Transitioning From Venovenous to Venoarterial or Hybrid Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization Registry.

This retrospective analysis of the Extracorporeal Life Support Organization (ELSO) registry evaluates the outcomes and identifies risk factors associated with conversion from initial venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support to venoarterial or hybrid ECMO in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We collected deidentified data on all adult patients (≥18 years old) diagnosed with COVID who received venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation between March 2020 and November 2022. Patients initially placed on an ECMO configuration other than venovenous (VV) ECMO were excluded from the analysis. Our analysis included data from 12,850 patients, of which 393 (3.1%) transitioned from VV ECMO to an alternative mode. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality, and the conversion group exhibited a higher in-hospital mortality rate. We also examined baseline variables, including demographic information, biochemical labs, and inotrope requirements. Univariate analysis revealed that pre-ECMO arrest, the need for renal replacement therapy, and the use of inotropic agents, particularly milrinone, were strongly associated with the risk of conversion. Notably, even after implementing a 3:1 propensity score matching, the impact of conversion on both mortality and complications remained substantial. Our study underscores an elevated risk of mortality for COVID-19 patients initially treated with VV ECMO who subsequently require conversion to VA-ECMO or hybrid ECMO.

The Relation of Serum Vitamin C Concentrations with Alzheimer's Disease Mortality in a National Cohort of Community-Dwelling Elderly Adults.

The relation of vitamin C with Alzheimer's disease (AD) is equivocal. The aim of this study was to assess the relation of serum vitamin C levels with AD-related mortality, and to evaluate the threshold beyond which the potential benefits of higher serum concentrations of vitamin C for AD mortality ceases. The cohort consisted of 4504 adults aged ≥60 years enrolled in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey who had serum measures of vitamin C and no cognitive impairment at baseline (1988-1994) and were followed-up for mortality until 2019. Vitamin C was assayed from fasting blood samples using isocratic high-performance liquid chromatography. At baseline, the mean age of participants was 70 years, with 42.7% being men. At the end of follow-up (median: 15 years), the AD mortality rate was 2.4 per 1000 person-years. In the Cox regression models, compared to participants in the lowest tertile of serum vitamin C (<0.56 mg/dL), those in the highest tertile (>0.98 mg/dL) had a lower risk of AD mortality (hazard ratio: 0.44, 95% confidence intervals: 0.25-0.77) after adjusting for sociodemographic factors, behavior/lifestyle factors, prevalent health conditions, and dietary vitamin C intake. In dose-response analysis using restricted cubic splines, vitamin C concentrations beyond 2.3 mg/dL were associated with the elevated risk of AD-related mortality. The findings from this national sample of community-dwelling elderly adults suggest that higher levels of serum vitamin C are associated with slower AD disease progression, although levels beyond the normal reference values were associated with a higher risk of AD mortality.

Assessment of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in a nation with a low vaccination coverage: insights from real-world data and propensity score matched analyses

We conducted a comprehensive evaluation of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness in reducing mortality rates in a country with a low vaccination coverage. A retrospective cohort study analysed data from 1,048,574 adult (≥ 18) patients spanning from March 2020 to April 2022, using data from the national digital medical record repository. Univariate analysis and logistic regression calculated odds ratios and their significance. Propensity score matching was utilised to strengthen the statistical results. Among the 1,048,574 patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 73% (n = 780,718) were unvaccinated, and 27% (n = 267,856) were reported as fully vaccinated. Unadjusted statistical analyses revealed a significant reduction in mortality rates among the vaccinated cohort (1,608 deaths; 0.6%) compared to the unvaccinated group (40,985 deaths; 5.2%) [OR 0.1090 (95%CI 0.1037 to 0.1146), p < 0.0001]. This outcome was consistent across all subgroups, including patient sex, age group, in-hospital setting, vaccine type, SARS-CoV-2 variant, and high-risk patient groups (i.e. with a solid malignancy, cardiovascular disease, chronic pulmonary disease or diabetes mellitus). Logistic regression revealed that the highest fatal risk was in non-vaccinated males aged >63. Propensity score matching substantiated the observed reduction in mortality rates across the entire vaccinated cohort and within all patient subgroups. Individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 face an elevated risk of premature mortality. Vaccination, especially when utilising mRNA-based platforms, significantly mitigates this risk, particularly among high-risk populations.