Longitudinal changes in triceps skinfold thickness and serum albumin during chemotherapy in patients with pancreatic cancer: Gender-based prognostic insights—A prospective cohort study.

Abstract

e16308 Background: Cachexia, characterized by distinct fat loss and poor nutritional status, is common in patients with pancreatic cancer. This study investigated the association between triceps skinfold thickness(TSF), indicative of body fat, and serum albumin levels, reflecting nutritional status, with overall survival(OS) in patients with pancreatic cancer. Methods: A prospective cohort of 353 patients with pancreatic cancer from April 2018 to June 2021 who received chemotherapy was queried. TSF(mm) and serum albumin(g/dL) were measured at baseline and every three weeks during follow-up. The optimal cutoffs for their six-month changes(six-month value minus initial value) were determined. We performed a landmark analysis of OS six months after the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and assessed the factors influencing OS. Gender-specific survival analysis was conducted, culminating in the construction of nomograms for risk stratification. Results: Two hundred ninety-two patients survived over six months, with a median follow-up of 40.9 months. Changes in TSF, albumin, and protein levels over six months and initial albumin levels were independently associated with OS. Cancer stage, response to chemotherapy, and six-month serum CA 19-9 levels were also independent factors for OS. Gender-stratified analysis revealed gender-specific prognostic factors: TSF changes over six months£ 0 were associated with reduced OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.84; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14–2.95) in men; initial albumin levels£ 3.5g/dl (HR, 5.73; 95% CI, 2.48–13.21) and albumin changes over six months£ -0.7g/dl (HR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.51–6.07) were associated with reduced OS in women. Patients were categorized into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups for each gender based on nomogram scores, and increased risk levels were associated with elevated mortality risk. Conclusions: This was the first prospective cohort study to demonstrate that changes in TSF and albumin levels were associated with OS in pancreatic cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy in a gender-dependent manner.