Effects Of Climate Warming Research Articles

Climate warming is likely to weaken the performance of two-phase closed thermosyphon on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Over the years, numerous geotechnical approaches have been implemented to mitigate the adverse effects of climate warming on various infrastructures in the permafrost region of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), such as the Qinghai–Tibet Highway and Railway, and achieved the expected engineering outcomes. However, little attention has been given to whether the performance of these geotechnical approaches has changed during the ongoing process of climate warming. To investigate the performance variation of one of these geotechnical approaches, which is two-phase closed thermosyphon (TPCT), during sustained climate warming, we conducted a statistical analysis of soil temperature monitoring data in 2003–2020 from eight regular embankments and six TPCT embankments in our permafrost monitoring network. The results indicate that TPCT undeniably has a cooling effect on the permafrost beneath embankments, even rapidly eliminated previously formed taliks beneath embankment. However, further analysis reveals that the performance of TPCT has been weakening during sustained climate warming, which has confirmed by the re-forming of the taliks beneath embankment where they had been previously eliminated. Based on the current understanding, we attributed the weakening of thermosyphon performance to a significant reduction in the air temperature freezing index caused by ongoing climate warming. Through this study, we aimed to draw attention to the evolving performance of geotechnical approaches in permafrost regions amid climate warming, prompting necessary engineering innovations to address this situation and ensure the sustainable development of the permafrost region on the QTP.

Recent increases in annual, seasonal, and extreme methane fluxes driven by changes in climate and vegetation in boreal and temperate wetland ecosystems.

Climate warming is expected to increase global methane (CH4 ) emissions from wetland ecosystems. Although insitu eddy covariance (EC) measurements at ecosystem scales can potentially detect CH4 flux changes, most EC systems have only a few years of data collected, so temporal trends in CH4 remain uncertain. Here, we use established drivers to hindcast changes in CH4 fluxes (FCH4 ) since the early 1980s. We trained a machine learning (ML) model on CH4 flux measurements from 22 [methane-producing sites] in wetland, upland, and lake sites of the FLUXNET-CH4 database with at least two full years of measurements across temperate and boreal biomes. The gradient boosting decision tree ML model then hindcasted daily FCH4 over 1981-2018 using meteorological reanalysis data. We found that, mainly driven by rising temperature, half of the sites (n = 11) showed significant increases in annual, seasonal, and extreme FCH4 , with increases in FCH4 of ca. 10% or higher found in the fall from 1981-1989 to 2010-2018. The annual trends were driven by increases during summer and fall, particularly at high-CH4 -emitting fen sites dominated by aerenchymatous plants. We also found that the distribution of days of extremely high FCH4 (defined according to the 95th percentile of the daily FCH4 values over a reference period) have become more frequent during the last four decades and currently account for 10-40% of the total seasonal fluxes. The share of extreme FCH4 days in the total seasonal fluxes was greatest in winter for boreal/taiga sites and in spring for temperate sites, which highlights the increasing importance of the non-growing seasons in annual budgets. Our results shed light on the effects of climate warming on wetlands, which appears to be extending the CH4 emission seasons and boosting extreme emissions.

Effects of climate warming on the dynamics of mineral elements accumulation in Solanum tuberosum L.

A simulated experiment was conducted to evaluate the effects of climate warming on the bioaccumulation, translocation and distributions of mineral elements in Solanum tuberosum L. by increasing temperature and CO2 concentration in an artificial climate greenhouse. The objective was to explore the effects of global warming on crop mineral nutrition and the long-term effects on agricultural ecology. The results showed that the bioaccumulation of Cu, Mg, Fe, Mn, and Cd in Solanum tuberosum L increased in whole plant with the combined increase of temperature and CO2 concentration. The mineral elements in leaves, stems, tubers, and root tissues of Solanum tuberosum L showed different changes, and the trend and degree of change vary depending on the element. The migration of most elements from roots to leaves and stems showed a slight increase with the increasing of temperature and the concentration of CO2, while the migration from roots to tubers remained relatively stable. In addition, the available content of most mineral elements (except K) in the soil increased with increasing temperature and CO2 concentration. These results suggested that climate warming could change the bioaccumulation, migration, and distribution dynamics of mineral elements in Solanum tuberosum L.

Surface-to-Interior Transport Timescales and Ventilation Patterns in a Time-Dependent Circulation Driven by Sustained Climate Warming

Abstract The effect of climate warming in response to rising atmospheric CO2 on the ventilation of the ocean remains uncertain. Here we make theoretical advances in elucidating the relationship between ideal age and transit time distribution (TTD) in a time-dependent flow. Subsequently, we develop an offline tracer-transport model to characterize the ventilation patterns and time scales in the time-evolving circulation for the 1850–2300 period as simulated with the Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESMv1) under a business-as-usual warming scenario. We found that by 2300 2.1% less water originates from the high-latitude deep water formation regions (both hemispheres) compared to 1850. In compensation, there is an increase in the water originating from the subantarctic. We also found that slowing meridional overturning circulation causes a gradual increase in mean age during the 1850–2300 period, with a globally averaged mean-age increase of ∼110 years in 2300. Where and when the water will be re-exposed to the atmosphere depends on the post-2300 circulation. For example, if we assume that the circulation persists in its year-2300 state (scenario 1), the mean interior-to-surface transit time in year 1850 is ∼1140 years. In contrast, if we assume that the circulation abruptly recovers to its year-1850 state (scenario 2), the mean interior-to-surface transit time in 1850 is only ∼740 years. By 2300, these differences become even larger; in scenario 1, the mean interior-to-surface transit time increases by ∼200 years, whereas scenario 2 decreases by ∼80 years. The dependence of interior-to-surface transit time on the future ocean circulation produces an additional unavoidable uncertainty in the long-term durability of marine carbon dioxide removal strategies. Significance Statement The ocean’s circulation, when altered by climate warming, can affect its capacity to absorb heat and CO2, which are crucial for the global climate. In our study, we investigated how global warming, caused by rising CO2 levels, might impact the ocean circulation—the way water moves from deep ocean to the surface and vice versa. We discovered that by 2300, if we continue on our current warming trajectory, the origins of water within the ocean will shift, with less coming from deep, cold zones near the poles and more from subantarctic regions. As a result, deep water will take longer time before it resurfaces than shallow water. How quickly this water travels from deep regions to the surface could change, depending on the state of future ocean circulation. If the circulation remains as predicted in 2300, this journey will take longer. Conversely, if it reverts to the pattern in 1850, the process will be quicker. This variability introduces added uncertainty to strategies aimed at mitigating climate change by storing CO2 in the ocean. Our work highlights the intricate ways in which climate change can influence our oceans, potentially affecting our plans to mitigate global warming.

High leaf area index expands the contrasting effect of climate warming on Western Siberia taiga forests activity before and after 2000

High leaf area index expands the contrasting effect of climate warming on Western Siberia taiga forests activity before and after 2000

Understory seedlings of Quercus mongolica survive by phenological escape

Understanding understory seedling regeneration mechanisms is important for the sustainable development of temperate primary forests in the context of increasingly intense climate warming events. The poor regeneration of dominant tree species, however, is one of the biggest challenges it faces at the moment. Especially, the regeneration of the shade-intolerant Quercus mongolica seedling is difficult in primary forests, which contrasts with the extreme abundance of understory seedlings in secondary forests. The mechanism behind the interesting phenomenon is still unknown. This study used in-situ monitoring and nursery-controlled experiment to investigate the survival rate, growth performance, as well as nonstructural carbohydrate (NSC) concentrations and pools of various organ tissues of seedlings for two consecutive years, further analyze the understory light availability and simulate the foliage carbon (C) gain in the secondary and primary forest. Results suggested that seedlings in the secondary forest had greater biomass allocation aboveground, height and specific leaf area (SLA) in summer, which allowed the seedling to survive longer in the canopy closure period. High light availability and positive C gain in early spring and late autumn are key factors affecting the growth and survival of understory seedlings in the secondary forest, whereas seedlings in the primary forest had annual negative carbon gain. Through the growing season, the total NSC concentrations of seedlings gradually decreased, whereas those of seedlings in the secondary forest increased significantly in autumn, and were mainly stored in roots for winter consumption and the following year's summer shade period, which was verified by the nursery-controlled experiment that simulated autumn enhanced light availability improved seedling survival rate and NSC pools. In conclusion, our results revealed the survival trade-off strategies of Quercus mongolica seedlings and highlighted the necessity of high light availability during the spring and autumn phenological periods for shade-intolerant tree seedling recruitment.

Late Holocene Climate Warming Events and Their Linkage to Hydraulic Engineering on the Coast of Hangzhou Bay, East China

The coastal lowlands in East China are very sensitive to climate change and marine disasters, and much large-scale hydraulic engineering was recorded in the historical documents of the Late Holocene. In this study, AMS 14C and OSL were used to date three sedimentary profiles from the north and south coasts of inner Hangzhou Bay, and grain size and geochemical analyses including organic carbon, macro-elements, and alkaline earth metals were performed, while hydraulic engineering records in historical documents were compiled, in an attempt to reveal the sedimentary records of extreme climatic and hydrological events over the past 3000 years and to probe into the correlation between them and hydraulic engineering. The results show that the intensified chemical weathering during ca. 200 BCE to 900 CE in East China corresponded to the warm and humid climate during the Qin-Han and Sui-Tang dynasties. Salinity intrusion with rising local water levels occurred in the lowland plains along the south coast of Hangzhou Bay from 120 to 895 CE. Low-salinity water intrusion from 32 to 488 CE was also recorded in the stratigraphy of lowland plains along the north coast of Hangzhou Bay. The sedimentary records of the East Tiaoxi River basin show river floods about 2000 years ago. The above sedimentary records indicate that the relative sea level rose in the Hangzhou Bay area during the Qin-Han and Sui-Tang Warm Periods, resulting in frequent salinity intrusion and river floods, which coincided with the historical records of hydraulic engineering such as the construction of seawalls, river levees, and the enclosure of lakes for restoration of river floods during the Han and Tang dynasties. Such coincidence reflects that climate change profoundly affected the hydrological environment of the coastal areas in East China as well as the response of the human societies.

Combined effects of climate warming and pharmaceuticals on a tri-trophic freshwater food web

Multiple anthropogenic stressors influence the functioning of lakes and ponds, but their combined effects are often little understood. We conducted two mesocosm experiments to evaluate the effects of warming (+4 °C above ambient temperature) and environmentally relevant concentrations of a mixture of commonly used pharmaceuticals (cardiovascular, psychoactive, antihistamines, antibiotics) on tri-trophic food webs representative of communities in ponds and other small standing waters. Communities were constituted of phyto- and zooplankton and macroinvertebrates (molluscs and insects) including benthic detritivores, grazers, omnivorous scrapers, omnivorous piercers, water column predators, benthic predators, and phytophilous predators. We quantified the main and interactive effects of warming and pharmaceuticals on each trophic level in the pelagic community and attributed them to the direct effects of both stressors and the indirect effects arising through biotic interactions. Warming and pharmaceuticals had stronger effects in the summer experiment, altering zooplankton community composition and causing delayed or accelerated emergence of top insect predators (odonates). In the summer experiment, both stressors and top predators reduced the biomass of filter-feeding zooplankton (cladocerans), while warming and pharmaceuticals had opposite effects on phytoplankton. In the winter experiment, the effects were much weaker and were limited to a positive effect of warming on phytoplankton biomass. Overall, we show that pharmaceuticals can exacerbate the effects of climate warming in freshwater ecosystems, especially during the warm season. Our results demonstrate the utility of community-level studies across seasons for risk assessment of multiple emerging stressors in freshwater ecosystems.

High contributions of fossil fuel sources to char-EC/soot-EC at a high-altitude site: Direct radiative effects and transport pathway

Char-EC and soot-EC in the atmosphere produced from different fuel combustion have distinct optical properties which lead to different radiative forcing. Pollutants transported into high-altitude environment could have a long-lasting radiative effect due to being free of deposition. In this study, the mass absorption cross-section (MAC), the sources, transport pathways and the direct radiative effects (DREs) of soot-EC and char-EC were investigated at a peak of Mountain Hua (Mt. Hua) in China. The measurement results showed that soot-EC and char-EC account for 15.7 % and 84.3 % of EC, respectively. The mean MAC (λ = 633 nm) of soot-EC (13.7 ± 3.8 m2/g) was much higher than that of char-EC (5.4 ± 2.5 m2/g), indicating a stronger light absorption ability for soot-EC. During the study period, 62.1 % char-EC was from anthracite chunk coal, 24.3 % of it from liquid fuel combustion. By contrast, 59.0 % soot-EC from liquid fuel combustion and 36.6 % of it from anthracite chunk coal. EC (both char-EC and soot-EC) produced from anthracite chunk coal reached the peak of the Mt. Hua primarily through the raising of the planetary boundary layer (PBL), while the EC produced from liquid fuel arrived the peak mainly by the regional transport above the PBL of the site. Although soot-EC has a stronger ability (2.8 times higher) to absorb the light compared with char-EC, its DRE (5.7 ± 3.9 W m−2) was lower than that of char-EC (11.6 ± 6.9 W m−2) due to the smaller mass quantity. Liquid fuel consumption contributed 3.5 ± 2.9 W m−2 DRE of soot-EC, while the combustion of anthracite chunk coal contributed 7.5 ± 5.7 W m−2 DRE of char-EC. This study highlights the differences in DREs of soot-EC and char-EC from fossil fuel combustion and the DRE mass efficiency of soot-EC and char-EC. The results emphasize the divergent climate warming effects caused by the combustion of different fossil fuels and imply that setting path to a green transition of energy use would benefit reducing the EC perturbation to the radiation balance of earth-atmosphere.

Biophysical warming patterns of an open-top chamber and its short-term influence on a Phragmites wetland ecosystem in China

Passive-warming, open-top chambers (OTCs) are widely applied for studying the effects of future climate warming on coastal wetlands. In this study, a set of six OTCs were established at a Phragmites wetland located in the Yellow River Delta of Dongying City, China. With data collected through online transmission and in-situ sensors, the attributes and patterns of realized OTCs warming are demonstrated. The authors also quantified the preliminary influence of experimental chamber warming on plant traits. OTCs produced an elevated average air temperature of 0.8°C (relative to controls) during the growing season (June to October) of 2018, and soil temperatures actually decreased by 0.54°C at a depth of 5 cm and 0.46°C at a depth of 30 cm in the OTCs. Variations in diel patterns of warming depend greatly on the heat sources of incoming radiation in the daytime versus soil heat flux at night. Warming effects were often larger during instantaneous analyses and influenced OTCs air temperatures from −2.5°C to 8.3°C dependent on various meteorological conditions at any given time, ranging from cooling influences from vertical heat exchange and vegetation to radiation-associated warming. Night-time temperature depressions in the OTCs were due to the low turbulence inside OTCs and changes in surface soil-atmosphere heat transfer. Plant shoot density, basal diameter, and biomass of Phragmites decreased by 23.2%, 6.3%, and 34.0%, respectively, under experimental warming versus controls, and plant height increased by 4.3%, reflecting less carbon allocation to stem structures as plants in the OTCs experienced simultaneous wind buffering. While these passive-warming OTCs created the desired warming effects both to the atmosphere and soils, pest damages on the plant leaves and lodging within the OTCs were extensive and serious, creating the need to consider control options for these chambers and the replicated OTCs studies underway in other Chinese Phragmites marshes (Panjin and Yancheng).©2023 China Geology Editorial Office.

Sediment records from Lake Nipissing (ON, Canada) register a lake-wide multi-trophic response to climate change and reveal its possible role for increased cyanobacterial blooms

Recurring cyanobacterial blooms have been reported in Lake Nipissing (Ontario, Canada) since at least 2000. However, monitoring data indicate that surface water nutrient concentrations have not increased over the past ∼45 years in this large, shallow, mesotrophic lake. Applying paleolimnological methods, we establish baseline environmental conditions and extend the Lake Nipissing water quality data to pre-industrial times. Lake-wide assessment of changes in nutrient status, algal production, and effects of climate warming are provided by examining: 1) modern and pre-industrial sedimentary diatom assemblages from nine locations; 2) temporal trends in sedimentary photosynthetic pigments over ∼200 years from five locations; and 3) detailed sedimentary profiles of diatom and chironomid assemblage composition from Callander Bay, spanning the past ∼200 years. A pronounced shift in diatom assemblage composition was registered at all sites with pre-industrial sediments dominated by Aulacoseira spp. and modern samples dominated by Discostella stelligera. The detailed diatom analysis for Callander Bay indicated that this shift occurred ca. 1990. Since ca. 1975, cyanobacterial production (spectrally inferred from sediments) exceeded the ∼200-year mean and matches the observed increase in bloom reports. Twentieth century shifts in chironomid assemblages in Callander Bay from Procladius to Chironomus spp. dominance indicate lower hypolimnetic oxygen in recent decades. Collectively, these changes suggest that previously polymictic Lake Nipissing is now experiencing periods of thermal stratification and development of transient anoxia in bottom waters. These conditions are more prevalent and widespread in modern Lake Nipissing, consistent with a response to recent warming, decreased wind speed, and a longer ice-free period.

Long-term warming increased carbon sequestration capacity in a humid subtropical forest.

Tropical and subtropical forests play a crucial role in global carbon (C) pools, and their responses to warming can significantly impact C-climate feedback and predictions of future global warming. Despite earth system models projecting reductions in land C storage with warming, the magnitude of this response varies greatly between models, particularly in tropical and subtropical regions. Here, we conducted a field ecosystem-level warming experiment in a subtropical forest in southern China, by translocating mesocosms (ecosystem composed of soils and plants) across 600 m elevation gradients with temperature gradients of 2.1°C (moderate warming), to explore the response of ecosystem C dynamics of the subtropical forest to continuous 6-year warming. Compared with the control, the ecosystem C stock decreased by 3.8% under the first year of 2.1°C warming; but increased by 13.4% by the sixth year of 2.1°C warming. The increased ecosystem C stock by the sixth year of warming was mainly attributed to a combination of sustained increased plant C stock due to the maintenance of a high plant growth rate and unchanged soil C stock. The unchanged soil C stock was driven by compensating and offsetting thermal adaptation of soil microorganisms (unresponsive soil respiration and enzyme activity, and more stable microbial community), increased plant C input, and inhibitory C loss (decreased C leaching and inhibited temperature sensitivity of soil respiration) from soil drying. These results suggest that the humid subtropical forest C pool would not necessarily diminish consistently under future long-term warming. We highlight that differential and asynchronous responses of plant and soil C processes over relatively long-term periods should be considered when predicting the effects of climate warming on ecosystem C dynamics of subtropical forests.

Temperature dependence of competitive ability is cold-shifted compared to that of growth rate in marine phytoplankton.

The effect of climate warming on community composition is expected to be contingent on competitive outcomes, yet approaches to projecting ecological outcomes often rely on measures of density-independent performance across temperatures. Recent theory suggests that the temperature response of competitive ability differs in shape from that of population growth rate. Here, we test this hypothesis empirically and find thermal performance curves of competitive ability in aquatic microorganisms to be systematically left-shifted and flatter compared to those of exponential growth rate. The minimum resource requirement for growth, R*-an inverse indicator of competitive ability-changes with temperature following a U-shaped pattern in all four species tested, contrasting from their left-skewed density-independent growth rate thermal performance curves. Our results provide new evidence that exploitative competitive success is highest at temperatures that are sub-optimal for growth, suggesting performance estimates of density-independent variables might underpredict performance in cooler competitive environments.

Climate warming has divergent physiological impacts on sympatric lizards

Climate warming is expected to affect the vulnerability of sympatric species differentially due to their divergent traits, but the underlying physiological mechanisms of those impacts are poorly understood. We conducted field warming experiments (present climate vs. warm climate) using open-top chambers to determine the effects of climate warming on active body temperature, oxidative damage, immune competence, growth and survival in two sympatric desert-dwelling lizards, Eremias multiocellata and Eremias argus from May 2019 to September 2020. Our climate warming treatment did not affect survival of the two species, but it did increase active body temperatures and growth rate in E. multiocellata compared to E. argus. Climate warming also induced greater oxidative damage (higher malondialdehyde content and catalase activity) in E. multiocellata, but not in E. argus. Further, climate warming increased immune competence in E. multiocellata, but decreased immune competence in E. argus, with regards to white blood cell counts, bacteria killing ability and relative expression of immunoglobulin M. Our results suggest that climate warming enhances body temperature, and thereby oxidative stress, immune competence and growth in E. multiocellata, but decreases immune competence of E. argus, perhaps as a cost of thermoregulation to maintain body temperatures under climate warming. The divergent physiological effects of climate warming on sympatric species may have profound ecological consequences if it eventually leads to changes in reproductive activities, population dynamics and community structure. Our study highlights the importance of considering interspecific differences in physiological traits when we evaluate the impact of climate warming on organisms, even for those closely-related species coexisting within the same geographical area.

Earlier and more uniform spring green-up linked to lower insect richness and biomass in temperate forests

Urbanization and agricultural intensification are considered the main causes of recent insect decline in temperate Europe, while direct climate warming effects are still ambiguous. Nonetheless, higher temperatures advance spring leaf emergence, which in turn may directly or indirectly affect insects. We therefore investigated how Sentinel-2-derived start of season (SOS) and its spatial variability (SV-SOS) are affected by spring temperature and whether these green-up variables can explain insect biomass and richness across a climate and land-use gradient in southern Germany. We found that the effects of both spring green-up variables on insect biomass and richness differed between land-use types, but were strongest in forests. Here, insect richness and biomass were higher with later green-up (SOS) and higher SV-SOS. In turn, higher spring temperatures advanced SOS, while SV-SOS was lower at warmer sites. We conclude that with a warming climate, insect biomass and richness in forests may be affected negatively due to earlier and more uniform green-up. Promising adaptation strategies should therefore focus on spatial variability in green-up in forests, thus plant species and structural diversity.

Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice

Abstract. Global warming has already substantially altered the Arctic cryosphere. Due to the Arctic warming amplification, the temperature is increasing more strongly, leading to pervasive changes in this area. Recent years were notably marked by melt records over the Greenland Ice Sheet, while other regions such as Svalbard seem to remain less influenced. This raises the question of the current state of the Greenland Ice Sheet and the various ice caps in the Arctic for which few studies are available. Here, we run the regional climate model (RCM) Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR) at a resolution of 6 km over four different domains covering all Arctic land ice to produce a unified surface mass balance product from 1950 to the present day. We also compare our results to large-scale indices to better understand the heterogeneity of the evolutions across the Arctic and their links to recent climate change. We find a sharp decrease of surface mass balance (SMB) over the western Arctic (Canada and Greenland) in relationship with the atmospheric blocking situations that have become more frequent in summer, resulting in a 41 % increase of the melt rate since 1950. This increase is not seen over the Russian Arctic permanent ice areas, where melt rates have increased by only 3 % on average, illustrating a heterogeneity in the Arctic SMB response to global warming.

Heat-induced female biased sex ratio during development is not mitigated after prolonged thermal selection

BackgroundThe negative impacts of climate change on biodiversity are consistently increasing. Developmental stages are particularly sensitive in many ectotherms. Moreover, sex-specific differences in how organisms cope with thermal stress can produce biased sex ratios upon emergence, with potentially major impacts on population persistence. This is an issue that needs investigation, particularly testing whether thermal selection can alleviate sex ratio distortions in the long-term is a critical but neglected issue. Here, we report an experiment analyzing the sex ratio patterns at different developmental temperatures in Drosophila subobscura populations subjected to long-term experimental evolution (~ 30 generations) under a warming environment.ResultsWe show that exposure to high developmental temperatures consistently promotes sex ratio imbalance upon emergence, with a higher number of female than male offspring. Furthermore, we found that thermal selection resulting from evolution in a warming environment did not alleviate such sex ratio distortions generated by heat stress.ConclusionsWe demonstrate that heat stress during development can lead to clear sex ratio deviations upon emergence likely because of differential survival between sexes. In face of these findings, it is likely that sex ratio deviations of this sort occur in natural populations when facing environmental perturbation. The inability of many insects to avoid thermal shifts during their (more) sessile developmental stages makes this finding particularly troublesome for population subsistence in face of climate warming events.

Linking climate warming and land conversion to species’ range changes across Great Britain

Although increased temperatures are known to reinforce the effects of habitat destruction at local to landscape scales, evidence of their additive or interactive effects is limited, particularly over larger spatial extents and longer timescales. To address these deficiencies, we created a dataset of land-use changes over 75 years, documenting the loss of over half (>3000 km2) the semi-natural grassland of Great Britain. Pairing this dataset with climate change data, we tested for relationships to distribution changes in birds, butterflies, macromoths, and plants (n = 1192 species total). We show that individual or additive effects of climate warming and land conversion unambiguously increased persistence probability for 40% of species, and decreased it for 12%, and these effects were reflected in both range contractions and expansions. Interactive effects were relatively rare, being detected in less than 1 in 5 species, and their overall effect on extinction risk was often weak. Such individualistic responses emphasise the importance of including species-level information in policies targeting biodiversity and climate adaptation.

Divergent Temporal Trends of Mercury in Arctic Char from Paired Lakes Influenced by Climate-Related Drivers.

Climate-driven changes including rising air temperatures, enhanced permafrost degradation, and altered precipitation patterns can have profound effects on contaminants, such as mercury (Hg), in High Arctic lakes. Two physically similar lakes, East Lake and West Lake at the Cape Bounty Arctic Watershed Observatory on Melville Island, Nunavut, Canada are being affected by climate change differently. Both lakes have experienced permafrost degradation in their catchments; however, West Lake has also undergone multiple underwater Mass Movement Events (MMEs; beginning in fall 2008), leading to a sustained 50-fold increase in turbidity. This provided the unique opportunity to understand the potential impacts of permafrost degradation and other climate-related effects on Hg concentrations and body condition of landlocked Arctic char (Salvelinus alpinus), an important sentinel species across the Circum-Arctic. Our objectives were to assess temporal trends in char Hg concentrations and to determine potential mechanisms driving the trends. There was a significant decrease in Hg concentrations in East Lake char, averaging 6.5%/year and 3.8%/year for length-adjusted and age-adjusted means, respectively, from 2008 to 2019. Conversely, in West Lake there was a significant increase, averaging 7.9%/year and 8.0%/year for length-adjusted and age-adjusted mean Hg concentrations, respectively, for 2009 to 2017 (the last year with sufficient sample size). The best predictors of length-adjusted Hg concentrations in West Lake were carbon and nitrogen stable isotope ratios, indicating a shift in diet including possible dietary starvation brought on by the profound increase in lake turbidity. Our study provides an example of how increasing lake turbidity, a likely consequence of climate warming in Arctic lakes, may influence fish condition and Hg concentrations. Environ Toxicol Chem 2023;42:2712-2725. © 2023 His Majesty the King in Right of Canada and The Authors. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of SETAC. Reproduced with the permission of the Minister of Environment and Climate Change Canada.

Long-term data in agricultural landscapes indicate that insect decline promotes pests well adapted to environmental changes

Increasing evidence suggests that land-use intensification contributes to destabilization of trophic networks of insect communities in agriculture resulting in a loss of biodiversity. However, a more detailed understanding of the causes and consequences of the widely reported insect decline is still lacking. Here, we used standardised daily long-term data on the activity of flying insects (~ 250 d/year) to describe the interactive effects of climate warming in intensively cultivated regions and changes in predatory taxa on the general long-term trend of insects and the regulation of herbivores. While the intensely managed landscapes examined in this study show a substantial decline in several taxonomic groups (95.1% total biomass loss in 24 year), the data on aphids support a general assumption that biodiversity loss is often closely associated with arising pest problems. Aphids being pests in agroecosystems develop earlier in spring in overall higher annual abundances. The data highlight that regional insect abundances have declined over recent decades in agricultural landscapes, thus indicating fundamental effects on food webs and insect herbivore performance.