Trend In Development Of Economy Research Articles

Spatio-temporal coordinated development pattern evolution and driving factors of regional population and green economy: Evidence from Shandong Province in China.

The study of spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and factors affecting the coordinated development of population and green economy (CD_PGE) in Shandong province, China, has significant decision-making implications for promoting high-quality and sustainable regional development. Based on 2001 to 2020 panel data for each city and economic zone in Shandong province, this paper constructs an evaluation model for the CD_PGE systems. Using growth elasticity models, geographic concentration models, kernel density estimation models, spatial autocorrelation, analysis of population and regional green economy development in Shandong Province from the perspective of spatial agglomeration coupling, spatial and temporal coupling coordination patterns, and evolutionary characteristics. In addition, we use the fixed effect models and panel quantile models to empirically test the effects of coordinated demographic and green economy development. The results show that: (1) In terms of demo-graphic and economic development characteristics, Shandong's demographic and green economy development trends are good, but there are still many challenges. (2) According to the time series evolution and spatial distribution characteristics, the degree of CD_PGE in Shandong Province is on the rise, and the level of spatial distribution is distinct. (3) From the spatio-temporal dynamical grid evolution of the degree of CD_PGE, the CD_PGE is characterized by significant spatial clustering, but with large regional differences. (4) From an impact factor perspective, both market mechanisms and government intervention have a significant impact on the degree of CD_PGE, but the direction and extent of the impact vary.

Digital Economy: Türkiye’s Development Trends

This approach enables a comprehensive exploration of the digital economy's development trends in Türkiye, covering various sectors and dimensions. The article examines the current state of digital infrastructure, technology adoption, and related policy initiatives in Türkiye, and discusses the challenges and opportunities presented by the digital economy, with a particular focus on job creation, economic growth, and competitiveness. The aim of this article is to examine the development trends of the digital economy in Türkiye, highlighting the key factors that contribute to its growth and competitiveness. Türkiye has made significant strides in developing its digital economy, with investments in digital infrastructure, technology adoption, and policy initiatives aimed at fostering growth and competitiveness. The article also highlights the importance of addressing the digital divide and promoting digital inclusion, also ensuring data privacy.

Forecast model of agricultural circular economy development trend based on GP algorithm

Forecast model of agricultural circular economy development trend based on GP algorithm

Urban water resources allocation and low-carbon economic development based on soft computing

The allocation of urban water resources is an important way to deal with the increasingly serious urban water pollution problems. Analyzing urban water resources and scientific research, so that relatively limited water resources can be used for urban economic, social development and ecological environmental protection. Effective and reasonable configuration. On the basis of soft computing, this article discusses the rational distribution of water resources in various countries in the world, combined with the specific conditions of a city in the scientific research area, and conducts scientific research on comprehensive economics. Subsequently, this article also conducted a certain scientific research on the development trend of low-carbon economy. Scientific research on the development trend of China’s low-carbon economy is one of the hotspots of academic concern. Carefully analyze the shortcomings of the whole process of China’s low-carbon economy development trend, deeply explore its development trend management system, examine the continuous impact of the low-carbon economy on the world’s rights and interests from the perspective of game theory, and analyze the interest game among enterprises, the masses, and financial institutions; A more comprehensive scientific research has been conducted on preferential policies under the development trend of low-carbon economy. This paper establishes a framework management system for China’s low-carbon economic development: China must actively explore based on its own basic national conditions, blaze a path of successful low-carbon economic development, and contribute to the global low-carbon environmental development trend. Focusing closely on the core of low-carbon construction, establish technological innovation, carbon emission rights trading, popular concepts, and improve China’s framework system for the development of a low-carbon economy with the current policy management system as the main content. In this paper, through the research on soft computing and its application in urban water resources allocation and low-carbon economic development, it aims to promote its vigorous development. • The allocation of urban water resources is an important way to deal with the increasingly serious urban water pollution problems. • Discusses the rational distribution of water resources in various countries in the world. • China’s low-carbon economy is one of the hotspots of academic concern. • Soft computing and its application in urban water resources allocation.

Prediction Algorithm of Digital Economy Development Trend Based on Big Data

With the development of economic globalization, people have higher requirements for economic analysis and prediction, while the prediction accuracy of the traditional economic analysis and prediction model is quite low. Therefore, with the adaptation of the times, the “big data and artificial intelligence” technology is presented for researchers and data analysts. Based on the “big data and artificial intelligence” technology, economic analysis and prediction have unique advantages in many aspects. This study analyses the impact of “big data and artificial intelligence” technology on economic analysis and prediction. Based on the mean square error criterion, the variable selection method for constructing the interval data model is given. The interval financial time-series data of stock market, fund market, futures market, and money market are used to predict and analyze the macroeconomy, and the macroeconomic interval prediction method is given, which is different from the traditional point data model. The empirical results show that the Shenzhen Component Index, Shanghai fund index, futures market transaction amount, and narrow money supply in the interval financial data have little fitting error to the macroeconomic interval prediction model. Through the first mock examination, we get the macroeconomic forecasting model based on interval financial time-series data. We also use the single model structure and the combined model structure to give the macroeconomic change interval of 2020–2023 years in China. The experimental research results show that the proposed model has good performance in the prediction of economic development trends and that it can be used for forecasting subsequent economic development forecasts.

Analysis of circular economy development trends in europe

Methods. During the research, general and special research methods were used: dialectical method – in the study of the category of «circular economy»; method of comparison – in the analysis of linear and circular economies; method of graphical interpretation – when revealing trends in the development of the circular economy in the EU; deduction – when formulating generalizing conclusions. Results. The authors of the article consider the essence, structure, and concepts of the circular economy. The specifics of the impact of zero-waste production on the economy are presented, which are reducing costs, increasing competitiveness, creating new jobs. European resource efficiency strategies at micro- and macro-levels are analyzed. Novelty. The essence of the circular economy is generalized, the classification of countries according to the level of development of the circular economy is improved, the EU’s GDP growth forecast from the implementation of closed-loop economics is modeled, the importance of the concept of circular economy in the national economy is clarified, strategic measures to overcome the barriers in implementation of a closed-cycle economy by business units is developed. Practical value is that research outcomes can serve as a basis for the formation of recommendations for the introduction of a circular economy through the development of modern circular business models in Ukraine, the described business models of European countries can be used by entrepreneurs inside the national economy.

Світові тенденції розвитку FinTech у контексті розбудови цифрової економіки

The publication substantiates the intensification of digitalization and its importance in the development of the digital economy. The dynamics of indicators characterizing the rise of the information and communication technology sector are examined. In addition, the main indicators of Internet development (number of Internet users, number of mobile Internet users, share of mobile data traffic, global Internet penetration rate, number of Internet users in the world, number of active social network users, number of smartphone users) are considered. The dynamics of global growth in the number of Internet users by region of the world are shown. A number of technologies, which create new activities and services in payment sphere and are characterized by a rapid development, are defined: mobile technologies in commerce, communications, etc.; artificial intelligence technologies for decision-making and chat-bots for consultation, etc.; progressive web applications, which provide reliable interaction with the user; blockchain technologies, which become a new basis for organization of transactions; wireless communication technologies; Big Data for data management and analysis; electronic identification technologies. The growth of the scale, role and influence of digital platforms at the global level as one of the digital economy development trends is shown, and the leaders among them in terms of brand value are provided. The features of national (supranational) models of digital economy development (American, Chinese and European), which form its global centers, namely, development strategy, market orientation, goals, objectives, ways to achieve leadership in information and communication technologies, approaches to digitalization, regulation, government support for information and communication technologies sector, data protection and privacy, national security, competition policy in the digital economy are considered and substantiated. The main indicators of FinTech development and investment in the sphere of FinTech in the world are analyzed. The EU as one of the world centers of FinTech development is considered. The intensive development of digital financial, special and auxiliary technologies used in FinTech is substantiated. The level of FinTech development in Ukraine was analyzed, the main fintech companies by directions and digital banking systems in Ukraine were reviewed. It is shown that the FinTech regulatory system is at the stage of formation.

Gas industry - a factor of international competitiveness

This is the first article of a series, devoted to a comprehensive problem of economic and geopolitical rivalry of the leading global powers in energy sector. It is dedicated to a number of topical issues of world economy and Russian economic environment. A systematic analysis of long-term world energy economy development trends is performed. For this purpose, a cause-and-effect relationship between international supply chains and energy procurement, on one hand, and revolutionary changes of international economic relations, caused by USA - China and Russia - USA, EU sanctions exchange, on the other, is derived. It is concluded that a developed gas industry is to play a decisive role in insuring global energy leadership of the major global powers on a mid- and long-term basis. A scenario analysis of further European gas market developments is provided. The external effects of developing gas industry are contemplated for Russian economic environment. In this framework most efficient options of action by Russian state are observed.

Тенденции развития и доминантные характеристики человеческого капитала в условиях цифровой трансформации экономики

In the paper, the author attempts to determine spe-cific to the Russian economy development trends and characteristics of human capital. It is done in the context of digitalization of the economy in com-parison with global trends, such as intellectualiza-tion and creativization, virtualization and network-ing, integrativity and variability of education, coher-ence of competencies, a combination of conver-gence and divergence of technogenesis and anthro-pogenesis, based on content analysis of scientific literature and empirical sources. It is shown that the trends in the evolution of human capital in the Rus-sian economy in the context of digital transfor-mation generally correspond to current global trends. As features of the current stage of human capital development in the Russian economy, the weak involvement of the population in the process-es of continuing education, the low level of social capital development in vast rural areas of the coun-try, aggravated by digital inequality, and the short-age of regional universities that can play a key role in the formation of regional intellectual capital are identified. Overcoming these negative characteris-tics requires the development and implementation of new, global trends-oriented, effective forms and mechanisms for the reproduction of human capital.

Peculiarities of Steam Treatment of Edible Plant Raw Materials and Simulation Thereof

Nowadays, methods of treating dispersed edible raw materials with water steam under different pressures are widely used in the food processing industry. The conditioning, drying and blanching to achieve a certain humidity and/or temperature are typical non-steady processes taking place at either constant or varying (decreasing) pace. This article describes an analytical solution of a differential equation system for joint heat and mass transfer that describes distribution of heat and moisture fields on the stage of material heating. The following peculiarities of treating edible raw materials have been taken into account to set an appropriate boundary value problem: certain objects of edible processed horticultural raw materials (dried harvested potatoes, washed fruits or pre-treated sunflower seeds prior to sunflower-seed oil expression) have been classified as a group of products with a tight spherelike fruit (seed) envelope, which is why we consider them a single homogenous and isotropic particle with averaged thermophysical properties; the temperature difference between the heated air and the treated material results in condensation and liquid film formation on the surface of the objects, which is why heat is spontaneously transferred from the condensate film to the body primarily due to thermal conductivity and moisture distribution from the periphery to the center. The closely related issues of storing agricultural plant raw materials are equally important. The rational natural resource management globally recognized as the dominant economy development trend involves the fullest possible use of the treated human-consumed plant raw materials. For instance, in most countries plant proteins outweigh animal ones in food patterns. In Japan, this ratio is 78.3 to 21.7, in Ukraine - 72.3 to 27.7, in the USA - 65.3 to 32.9, in Great Britain - 61 to 32.4; in the Federal Republic of Germany - 65.3 to 34.7; in France - 60 to 40; in Canada - 68.4 to 31.6; in China - 87.3 to 12.7; in Italy - 74.6 to 25.4. Proper storage of the collected agricultural raw materials at the stage of preparation for processing significantly contributes to the solution of this issue. Given a significant amount of root vegetables, grain and seeds in edible plant raw materials, it is evident why their storage conditions and modes are of interest to manufacturers of foodstuffs. Modern warehouses for storing such raw materials are equipped with various tools to ensure required hygrothermal modes and even to regulate composition of the environment in the rooms for direct placement of bulk root vegetables, grains and seeds. Therefore, the described issues of analytical assessment of the storage conditions for various bulk agricultural raw materials during steam treatment are rather relevant.

Research on Green Innovation Influencing Factors of Express Logistics Enterprises

In today's low carbon and green world economy development trend, green innovation of enterprises has become an effective way to deal with environmental pollution problems. Taking six express logistics enterprises in Huai’an as the object of study and methods of questionnaire and regression analysis were adopted, this paper studies the influencing factors and functions of green innovation management of express logistics enterprises. A multiple regression analysis model was established and the specific factors that affect the green innovation of express enterprises were discussed. In the end, from the government, express enterprises and consumers put forward some suggestions to promote the development of green innovation of express logistics enterprises.

Ukrainian economy development trends estimation based on the analysis of structural shifts

The article elaborates upon development trends in the economy of Ukraine taking into account structural shifts. Herewith it is proposed a stagewise procedure for the analysis of development trends of the country’s economy taking into account structural changes in industry and employment by sectors of economic activity. The authors present an indicator of structural shifts and evaluate efficiency of structural changes in the Ukrainian economy. In general, the structural shifts efficiency estimation shows that they are not effective in the Ukrainian economy, as the share of the services sector is increasing, while the productivity is growing more rapidly in the industry. The use of the presented analysis procedure will allow enhance efficiency of the strategies formulation of the country’s economic development.

Трансформація оподаткування та податкових процедур в інформаційному суспільстві: теоретичний концепт

Fiscal policy has a significant impact on us all. How governments mobilize resources and spend them on public goods and services, and how fiscal policy is used to steer the economy, are critical for the well-being of societies. The digital revolution holds vast potential to improve fiscal policy. By transforming the way countries collect, process, and act on information, digital technology can reshape the way governments design and implement their tax, spending and macro-fiscal policies. If technology is used in a smart way, fiscal policy will be more efficient, transparent, equitable, and impactful-improving lives all over the world. The purpose of the article is forming the theoretical concept of digital transformation of taxation – from modern methods and procedures to the digital world in the context of a global digital economy development trend and formation of a network interactions society. The basic approaches to understanding the phenomenon of digital economy and its fiscal consequences were determined. It was found that changes in the structure of trust and relationships between taxpayers and the government, tax inversion are the fundamental innovation in the world's tax systems. The main participants or stakeholders in the taxation process were determined. They are: individual taxpayers, legal entities, software companies, tax agents (intermediaries), and the government, represented by the national tax office. Their goals, objectives and functions were defined. Considerable attention to innovative tax procedures and tools was paid: pre-population of tax return, electronic tax administration, electronic receipt, digital taxpayer's office, automation and data analysis, automatic tips. The expediency of new tax instruments' implementation into Ukrainian tax practice was substantiated, and the terminology and mechanism of implementation were proposed. The phenomena of tax flow inversion and digital exclusion were justified. In order to disseminate the latest digital tools successfully, the fisc requires extensive collaboration between the government and taxpayers, which will change the nature of the agent, authority and taxpayer relationship in the future. The SWOT-analysis of digital tax instruments was carry out. It was proved that the government expenditures for tax system functioning transformed imperceptibly into additional costs by economic entities in the information age. World experience that can be used to improve tax efficiency in Ukraine was generalized.

ЭВОЛЮЦИОННО-СТРУКТУРНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ МЕЖОТРАСЛЕВЫХ ПРОПОРЦИЙ В ЭКОНОМИКЕ АСТРАХАНСКОЙ И ВОЛГОГРАДСКОЙ ОБЛАСТЕЙ ЗА 1998-2016 ГГ.

The article highlights the statistical data of the research of dynamics of generalizing indicators of a gross regional product and its calculation per capita correlated with structural changes in interindustrial structure of the Astrakhan region in comparison with those of the Volgograd region and on average over other regions of Russia. It has been stated that for the last three years of the studied period the level of economic development of the Astrakhan region has risen, compared to Volgograd. The evolutionary and structural analysis of interindustry proportions in economy of the Astrakhan region has revealed presence of structural cycles of industrialization and development of the service sector which are followed by opposite shifts and changes. There are given charts of structural trends and industrialization and servization as quantitative features of development of economic systems of the region. In a trajectory of structural changes there are seen four phases which correlate with temporary characteristics of world external economic crises. The scope of structural variations for the Astrakhan region has appeared much wider, than on average in the regions of Russia. The long-term industrial positive trend in development of economy of the Astrakhan region has been stated, which began since 2009. The Astrakhan region should be related to the middle type industrialized regions. Degree of economics servization is characterized by lower indicators, than in the Volgograd region and on average in regions of Russia. Unlike the Astrakhan region, in the Volgograd region the process of de-industrialization of economy is going on with small variations of servization around its average value. The economy of the Volgograd region should be related to low industrialized type.

撒切尔夫人执政时期英国政府改革内容初探

撒切尔夫人执政时期的英国政府改革扭转了英国经济发展的颓势，使得英国的经济开始实现复苏并且逐步走向繁荣。撒切尔夫人及其内阁成员根据英国自身的情况制定了政府改革的内容和纲领。笔者认为，对英国政府改革的内容进行分析研究，有助于我们进一步吸收和借鉴西方国家政府改革和治理的先进经验，以帮助我国政府在自身实际的基础上，开展政府改革和治理。 During Margaret Thatcher ruling period, Mrs. Thatcher and her cabinet members introduced re-form to British which has reversed the British economy development trend. After that the British economy began to recover and gradually moving towards prosperity. The government reform was made according to the UK’s historical background. The analysis of the British government reform content is helpful for us to absorb advanced experience of management and draw lessons from government reform in western countries. This can help the Chinese government to carry out the government reform and to govern the country on the basis of its own situation.