Abstract
This is the first article of a series, devoted to a comprehensive problem of economic and geopolitical rivalry of the leading global powers in energy sector. It is dedicated to a number of topical issues of world economy and Russian economic environment. A systematic analysis of long-term world energy economy development trends is performed. For this purpose, a cause-and-effect relationship between international supply chains and energy procurement, on one hand, and revolutionary changes of international economic relations, caused by USA - China and Russia - USA, EU sanctions exchange, on the other, is derived. It is concluded that a developed gas industry is to play a decisive role in insuring global energy leadership of the major global powers on a mid- and long-term basis. A scenario analysis of further European gas market developments is provided. The external effects of developing gas industry are contemplated for Russian economic environment. In this framework most efficient options of action by Russian state are observed.
Highlights
This is the first article of a series, devoted to a comprehensive problem of economic and geopolitical rivalry of the leading global powers in energy sector
Natural gas keeps expanding as a primary energy source for global energy procurement
The development of utilization technologies and a well-established international transportation infrastructure gave way to natural gas as a promising global energy material, having several competitive advantages against all other fossil fuels: first, it has the highest specific calorific value (Tréanton, 2008), second methane being fully combusted produces only water and carbon dioxide without any hard particles and/or other carcinogenic substances, the specific CO2 emission level is the lowest among all other hydrocarbons, and, third, natural gas, being lighter than air, escapes rapidly, resulting in zero contamination of land and water in case of rupture and/or leakage
Summary
В этом контексте производится причинно-следственное сопоставление трансформации международных производственно-сбытовых цепочек и энергетического обеспечения экономики, с одной стороны, и революционных изменений международных экономических отношений, вызванных санкционным противостоянием по линиям США – Китай и Россия – ЕС, США, с другой. Делается вывод о первостепенном значении развитой газовой промышленности для повышения глобального энергетического лидерства мировых держав в среднеи долгосрочной перспективе. Представлен анализ дальнейшего развития европейского газового рынка, в рамках которого рассматриваются наиболее эффективные варианты действий российского государства. Ключевые слова: газовая промышленность, глобальная конкурентоспособность, экономическое лидерство, зеленая энергетика, международная специализация, энергетическая безопасность, санкции, нетарифные ограничения, производственно-сбытовая цепочка, добавленная стоимость. Для цитирования: Lavrov S.N., Simonov A.G. Gas industry – a factor of international competitiveness // Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов.
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