Economic Forum Research Articles

Res-publica/gestão pública, nação e desenvolvimento econômico na vida e obra de Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira

This Forum of the journal Cadernos de Gestão Pública e Cidadania (CGPC) seeks to acknowledge the contributions, trajectory, and impact of Professor Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, fostering discussions centered on his work, both in academia and in public and private management. In 2022, Professor Bresser-Pereira was recognized as the most cited Latin American economist internationally (Latin America Top 100 Economics & Econometrics Scientists 2022). His prolific work spans a wide array of subjects. In 1981, he founded the Brazilian Journal of Political Economy (Revista de Economia Política), linked to the Center for Political Economy, where he has served as both president and editor. Since 2004, he has been instrumental in the Economics Forum at the São Paulo School of Economics, Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EESP). His works reflect a strong interdisciplinary approach, integrating fields such as philosophy, social and political sciences, economics, management, scientific methodology, and history.

Analysis of strategic factors towards improving the quality and quantity of stakeholders on the Bogor city creative economy forum

Analysis of strategic factors towards improving the quality and quantity of stakeholders on the Bogor city creative economy forum

Педагогическое образование в Кот-д’Ивуаре

In recent years, there has been a significant reinforcement of mutually beneficial cooperation between Russia and African countries on the broad agenda. Russia builds these relations, taking into account new African realities and on the principles of sovereignty respect, national interests and equality. Today, the African agenda actively reflects in political meetings, economic forums, and scientific conferences, where the most famous is the Russia-Africa Forum of 2019 and 2023. In Ivory Coast, a diplomatic mission first appeared 7 years after gaining sovereignty, but then the ties were severed on Ivorian initiative due to the remaining significant French influence. Since 1986, the relations have been friendly and today they cover political dialogue, security, trade and economics, investments, energy, mining and new technologies, scientific exchanges, cultural, educational areas, etc. The educational sphere has traditionally been represented only by the practice of studying Ivorians in Russian universities. Nowadays, Russia participates in educational projects already in Ivory Coast. But their educational system is very poorly covered in Russian scientifical literature. The objectives of the article are to identify specifics of teacher training in Ivory Coast and to determine its problems and achievements.

Devolved Governance System and its Economic Development Impact to Rural Counties in Kenya: Case Study Kakamega County, Kenya

This study aims at discussing how devolved governance system has an economic impact to rural counties in Kenya with Kakamega rural county as the case study. The Devolution is one of the most transformative changes to Kenya’s governance system brought about by the Kenya Constitution, 2010. Article 174 of the Constitution provides that one of the key objectives of devolution is to promote social and economic development and provide proximate, easily accessible services throughout Kenya. Many rural Counties including Kakamega County faced with a myriad of challenges such as poverty, unemployment, disease, low agricultural productivity among others. Kakamega County through its short, medium and long term plans came up with an Integrated Development Plan (CIDP). The CIDP helps the county in identification of the projects and programmes through various consultative forums at the sub-county level vide Focused Ward Groups, community dialogues, County Stakeholders, such as the County Budget and Economic Forum, Kenya National Chamber of Commerce, Public Benefit Organizations such as GROOTS Kenya, ADS, and International development partners such as UNICEF, UNDP and USAID. Kakamega county has achieved much in terms of developments in various sectors such as education, health, infrastructure and urbanization. This study contributes in highlighting how devolved governance system has a positive impact to rural areas in kenya. The study provides crucial insights on devolution as a tool to economic development changes in rural Kenya especially in Kakamega County.

Sharing solutions to shape success: Join us at the AVMA Veterinary Business and Economic Forum.

Sharing solutions to shape success: Join us at the AVMA Veterinary Business and Economic Forum.

Информальные структуры и диалоговые форматы в международном климатическом управлении

In recent years there was a significant of international structures that are being created as platforms for multilateral policydialogue on climate change issues outside the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).Such structures are, for example, the Major Economies Forum (MEF), the Petersberg Climate Dialogue, the on CleanEnergy Ministerial and a wide variety of partnerships. There is no common definition for such formats of cooperation andconceptual ground for understanding their place in international climate governance system. This includes both traditionalinterstate cooperation mechanisms embodied by the UNFCCC, as well as non-state initiatives, climate finance institutions,formats that support a constant dialogue between states, business representatives, academia, and NGOs on climate policyissues. The aim of the study was to clarify the nature of quasi-formal climate governance, to establish a typology and assessof the dynamics of development of quasi-formal entities to better understand the processes of its formation and implementation.I describe three types of quasi-formal entities from the new dataset of quasi-formal entities created in the period from2001–2022: intergovernmental forums, UNFCCC party groupings, and hybrid partnerships. The study reveals an increasein the number of political forums and hybrid partnerships amid stabilization or even reduction of negotiating blocs within theUNFCCC. In complex system of international climate governance, quasi-formal entities are playing an increasing role inthe accumulation and exchange of knowledge and experience between states on the implementation of the Paris Agreement.

Misogyny and the construction of toxic masculinity in the Spanish Manosphere (Burbuja.info)

The anonymity of the Manosphere has provided a fertile breeding ground for the spread of misogyny through increased hate speech on the Internet. In recent years, this virtual space composed mostly of men, has been the subject of numerous studies aimed at identifying the discursive mechanisms of identity constructions that underlie the denigration of women. This paper takes the findings from international research on the subject to address a phenomenon still little explored in Spain through the analysis of misogynistic comments on Burbuja.info. Economic forum. The analysis sample comprises 4,281 messages that include the lexeme “woman” posted over 2.5 years, 761 of which contain expressions that ridicule, disparage, or insult women. Thematic analysis demonstrates the repetition of misogynistic topics and tropes common in the most radical Reddit and 4chan subforums, such as hypergamy, objectification, and the constant disparagement of the world of women, not to mention criticism of feminism, left-wing political parties, and legislation on gender violence. The results obtained show that the “male identity crisis” is narratively constructed in the messages on Burbuja.info using the motif of sacrifice –the cornerstone of a monotypic story in which the purpose of the hero-man-victim’s journey is to punish the villain-woman. Furthermore, we also found that there are different configurations of identity related to attitudes toward women; these match up with the four most prominent masculinist subcultures identified in the leading literature on the subject: Men Rights activists (MRA), Men Going Their Own Way (MGTOW), Pickup Artists (PUA), and Involuntary Celibates (Incels).

САМАРКАНДСКИЙ САММИТ ШОС: ПОДГОТОВКА, ИТОГИ И ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ ИНТЕГРАЦИОННЫХ УСИЛИЙ

The article is about the summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation held on September 15–16, 2022, in Samarkand (the Republic of Uzbekistan) and attended by the leaders of its member states. The author’s outline of the progress and results of the summit is preceded by an overview of one-year presidency by the Republic of Uzbekistan at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation since September 2021. The article lists the key events held within the Organisation in 2021–2022 (meeting of the SCO member states, People’s Diplomacy and Regional Leaders’ Forums, economic forum and numerous ministerial meetings of the SCO member states, development of conceptual programmes and medium-term plans and so on), a brief analysis of their results is given, and an evaluation is made for the results of what was done during the year. Moreover, the author summarises the work of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation chaired by Uzbekistan from a wider political perspective, since the organisation, like the rest of Greater Eurasia, was seriously influenced by political conflicts of 2021–2022. It also remains relevant for the analysis of the Samarkand summit itself. In considering the event the author pays special attention to the phenomenon of “Samarkand Spirit”, which implies cooperating based on the principles of mutual respect and trust for the security and prosperity of Greater Eurasia and the world. The paper addresses the agenda of Samarkand summit, meetings of the SCO leaders in private and extended formats, numerous bilateral and multilateral discussions at the highest level, as well as the main SCO documents approved and adopted at the summit in Samarkand, and describes importance of the next meeting of the SCO leaders for further development of international relations in Greater Eurasia and in the world.

Assessing the Impact of Cultural Education Activities: the Problem of a Creation or when We Lose the Ability to Compare

In 2021, the association “Knowledge Economy Forum” published their research “The assessment of the impact of cultural education activities”. The mentioned paper included analysis of countries’ cultural education practices designed for children and youth (including Lithuania and its comparison to international practices). In general, the assessment of the impact of the existing cultural education “mapping” in Lithuania is welcomed, and this paper is based on empirical research. The most important drawback of the mentioned research is a lack of scientific criteria.

Poverty Alleviation: Womenomics versus the Islamic Solution

Society currently faces problems in every aspect of life, including socioeconomic problems such as the problem of increasingly severe poverty. The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) report noted that the number of poor people in Indonesia in 2020 was 26.42 million. The existence of a pandemic exacerbates the situation with rising poverty levels. In addition, many women have to work as heads of households, and the high divorce rate makes the challenges even more difficult. One of the solutions to women's poverty that is currently the mainstream is the gender perspective. Based on this gender perspective, the idea of alleviating women's poverty was emerged through empowering women in the public sector, including in work environment. This idea has been supported by International Programs including the APEC Women and Economic Forum in early September 2013, which voiced the slogan 'Women as Economic Drivers'. In line with this, Japan also echoed the term womenomics. This article aims to: (1) identify the background of the emergence of the idea of womenomics and the extent to which it has been achieved; (2) identify the root cause of poverty and (3) recommend a complete solution to the problem of poverty from an Islamic perspective. The results show that the background of the push for women to public sector, including the womenomics strategy is not based on concern for women's welfare but as an instrument to pursue economic growth. So the results achieved are not far from the capitalist calculation. This womenomics perspective is in stark contrast to the view of Islam, where women and men have equal opportunities to achieve high rewards and positions before the Creator in their respective roles. The perfect Islamic Shari'a has a mechanism for solving people's poverty, and it has been proven during fourteen centuries of Islamic practice.

DYNAMIC ENSEMBLE TIME SERIES FOR PREDICTION MAJOR INDICES IN ASEAN

World financial markets have been affected and depressed during the COVID-19 pandemic; all-digital capital market transactions experienced a sharp decline. No exception is the dynamics of capital markets in ASEAN countries. The uncertainty of the impact of the ASEAN Pandemic encourages stock price forecasting to reduce investment risk. It is also a topic that is consistently enthusiastically discussed in economic forums. This article applied stock price changes in five major ASEAN countries one year after the Coronavirus. Dynamic ensemble method that combines various predictive models to improve the accuracy of forecasts. The results showed that the model has a high level of accuracy with a small error value, which is below 1.5% for MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error), and an average RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of 5%. This suggests that investors could reduce their long-term investment risk by stealing the pandemic by using this model. In addition, these results are committed to being used as a basis for policy and decision-making for investors

African Studies in Russia: History and the Current State

The article provides a detailed analysis of the development in Russia of African studies throughout the entire period of its existence - from the first fragmentary knowledge about the African continent, brought to Russian soil by individual travelers and enthusiasts to modern comprehensive research in Africa by the largest Russian scientific centers, among which, of course, the leading positions are held by the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The work exposes the evolution of the development of African studies as a science through the pre-revolutionary, Soviet and post-Soviet periods. A powerful impetus for the study of Africa was given in the late 1950s. This was due to the victory of national liberation movements in African countries and the formation of independent states on the continent. The author shows the increased interest in African studies at the present stage of development of our country, when the African vector of Russian foreign policy is becoming more and more in demand. Despite the limited human, organizational and financial resources, Russian African studies are currently on the rise. The international recognition of the achievements of Russian African studies imposes an additional obligations on Russian scientists. Taking into account the practical significance of their works, the conclusions and proposals they contain for the development of Russian-African relations, they feel even greater responsibility. The latest vivid example of this was the active participation of Russian African scientists in the preparation and successful holding of the first Russia-Africa Summit and Economic Forum in Sochi on October 23-24, 2019.

Friendship and Loneliness: A Prototype Roadmap for Health System Action

Friendship and Loneliness: A Prototype Roadmap for Health System Action

Widening the North/South Divide? Representations of the role of the EU during the Covid-19 crisis in Spanish media

Abstract In this article we study the discursive construction of the EU managerial role in the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic in four Spanish newspapers: two published in mainland Spain – El Mundo and El País – and two published in Catalonia – La Vanguardia and ARA. By doing a qualitative study of newspapers, this article aims to identify which discourse strategies are used when informing about the actions and decisions taken in European political and economic fora. The analysis identifies the three main generic frames which are used in news pieces: morality (mostly as a call for solidarity), economic (mostly as preventing possible harm), and conflict (focused on divide(s) within (EU)rope). The activation of these frames in the news pieces contribute to an implicit legitimation of the existence of (EU)rope as based on two core values – solidarity and cooperation – together with a delegitimation of the actions performed by some European institutions.

Comparative analysis of application of the teacher professional standard in countries with high indicators of education quality

This article presents the results of a study of teachers' professional standards in countries that consistently perform well according to PISA results, including China (Shanghai), Singapore, Canada (Ontario), Finland, England, and New Zealand. In order to find an answer to the question of what makes professional standards a development instrument of teachers' professional skills, practices of design, implementation, and development of teachers' professional standards were studied. The study included an analysis, comparison, and identification of common and unique features of professional standards for teachers in the leading countries, as well as methodological materials, recommendations, and documents publicly available on the websites of ministries (departments) of education and higher education institutions of the countries studied. Analytical reports, reports, newsletters and methodological materials published by international organizations on professional standards in education and professional development of teachers - World Bank, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, National Center for Education and Economics, McKinsey & Company, SEAMEO INNOTECH, Research Institute of International and Comparative Education, Economic Forum "Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation" were reviewed to study the experience of applying professional standards. The study identified characteristic approaches to the development of professional standards, which allow its application as a mechanism for solving the problems of educational policy of the country (territory); increasing the teacher’s status of and the prestige of the profession; teacher’s career and professional growth; formation of a system for evaluating the teacher’s professional development; formation of ethical standards of the profession. The results and conclusions of the study can be the basis for the development of professional standards in education and modeling the system of teacher growth.

The Usefulness of the Artificial Intelligence Data in Analyzing the Skin in the Era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution

In the World economy forum Global Challenge Insight Report titled “The Future of Jobs-Employment, Skills and Workforce Strategy for the Fourth Industrial Revolution (FIR) in 2016”, a new industrial revolution was predicted to occur in the near future. This is followed by the opinion that it would be mandatory to prepare for the FIR because it will definitely change people’s way of working, consuming and thinking. There is a controversy as to the potential of AI in health care. To date, however, remarkable achievements have been made in the field of medicine, particularly entailing dermatology. Therefore, this study explored the usefulness of the AI data in analyzing the skin in the era of the FIR. The current study finally included a total of 300 subjects, for whom a self-reporting questionnaire survey was performed between June 09 and July 18, 2020. The current study proposed the following hypothesis: The AI data might be useful in analyzing the skin in the era of the FIR. This hypothesis was accepted. In conclusion, the current study suggests that the AI data might be useful in analyzing the skin in the era of the FIR. But this deserves further study.

Vietnam and Philippines’ Hedging against China in the South China Sea: Economic and Security Perspectives

This article is based on the argument that despite competing for territorial claims and different military stands off, the competing states have shown considerable restraint and hedging behaviors against each other’s to not make the politics of the South China Sea on a point of no return. This assumption is correct in a way that on economic forums like Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), they have shown their consensus to resolve their disputes peacefully. But it seems wrong on the pretext that then why this economic interdependence has not provided the space to resolve their perennial territorial disputes in the South China Sea. To find out which assumption seems true, this article is based on the theoretical framework of the Strategic Hedging perspective. This study tries to find the answer to the research question of despite close economic interdependence and military stands offs, why regional states have failed to resolve the SCS dispute? China, the regional hegemon, claims the South China Sea (SCS) region as its core interest and provides the basis for its claims based on historical usage and part of the ancient Chinese dynasties. Vietnam has also shown inflexibility in its claim in the region overlapping with China and other competing states. Honai has also invoked international law to stop the Chinese territorial assertiveness in the region. The Philippines, one of the three important claimants of the SCS, has also tried to take help of the international court of arbitration and the support of global hegemon the US to extend its sovereignty in the disputed islands of the SCS. This article concludes with the findings that Vietnam and the Philippines are using constrain cum hedging to save their national interests from Beijing. Keywords: Politics, Hedging, South China Sea, Economy, Security, Spratly, Paracel

New coalition to harmonise USA-China cancer research and care.

Launched during the Bloomberg New Economy Forum (Nov 16–19, 2021) in Singapore, the Bloomberg New Economy International Cancer Coalition is an ambitious new initiative with one major aim: to enhance collaboration between the world's two leading economies—China and the USA—in tackling a common enemy, the public health burden of cancer. Co-chaired by Kevin Rudd (former Prime Minister of Australia and President and Chief Executive Officer of the Asia Society) and Stefan Oelrich (President of Bayer Pharmaceuticals), the coalition brings together leading representatives from academia, regulatory bodies, patient advocacy groups, and the private sector across the USA and China. Correction to Lancet Oncol 2021; 22: e540Gunjur A. New coalition to harmonise USA–China cancer research and care. Lancet Oncol 2021; 22: e540—In the second paragraph of this News, the title of the upcoming recommendation paper should have read “Reimagining Clinical Cancer Trials”. This correction has been made to the online version as of Dec 29, 2021. Full-Text PDF

The Political Economy of China’s Rising Role in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC): Strategies and Instruments of the Chinese Way

Established in 1989 as an economic forum, APEC has become an important regional organization contributing to the promotion of not only economic but also political and security cooperation among countries and territories in the region. Given the great role of APEC, China has actively participated in the forum and today has become a major player with so-called Chinese approaches. The paper points out China’s purposes and intentions with Chinese way, especially under the attack of Covid-19 that has led to strategic adjustments in APEC. Politically, with APEC as an arena, China aims to restore and expand its sphere of influence in the region, hedge against the US and challenge to change the global governance system. Economically, through APEC’s mechanism, China wants to promote trade liberalization and hence facilitate its domestic economic reforms to soon become the number one power in the world. Moreover, the paper also outlines opportunities and challenges that China would face in APEC. It will also concern China’s advantages and barricades on its political regime as a powerful central authoritarian state, China’s role and position in the dynamic economic region, its trade and territorial disputes with neighboring countries in APEC, and the questions of APEC’s effectiveness

Model Dynamic Ensemble Time Series untuk Prediksi Indeks Harga Saham Utama di Indonesia Pasca Pandemi

Forecasting or predicting stock prices in the form of time series data is still a hot topic consistently discussed in economic forums and financial markets. This article had been analyzed prediction of stock prices in Indonesia after experiencing a pandemic and one year after the Corona virus. This study had been applied a dynamic ensemble method that combines various prediction models to improve forecasting accuracy. The results showed that the model has a high level of accuracy with MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) values of 0.003714125, and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of 0.03958605. Furthermore, these results could be used as a basis for government policy making and stock investment decisions for investors.