Ecological Water Demand Research Articles

Joint guarantee rate index assessment of the contribution of agricultural water-saving measures to river ecological flow in water shortage areas

Reconciling higher ecological water demands and economic purposes with finite freshwater resources remains one of the great management dilemmas. Low water efficiency and large water consumption in agricultural irrigation hinder the protection of river ecological flow in the water shortage areas of Northwest China. By analyzing the surplus and shortage of river ecological protection targets, the intensity guarantee rate index is innovatively proposed to quantitatively evaluate the important contribution of improved water-saving measures for river flow restoration. It compensates for the shortcomings of the duration guarantee rate index in evaluation that may mask ecological problems. Considering ecological baseflow, fish species, and landscape water demand, the ecological flow interval (6.00–12.42 m3/s) was determined. Three scenarios are highlighted for different typical years and irrigation regimes in combination with planting structure adjustment and irrigation water utilization coefficient. In 75 %, 90 %, and 95 % typical years, the maximum total annual water-savings (Scenario 3) are 57.3, 57.1, and 87.2 million m3 (sufficient irrigation); 32.2, 33.9, and 35.5 million m3 (deficit irrigation) respectively. The guarantee degree of river ecological flow under both irrigation regimes increased from the previous 65.6 % to a maximum of 91.7 % and 81.2 %. The increase in the daily guarantee rate and decrease in the intensity guarantee rate under the aforementioned three scenarios indicate a reduction of damage depth and duration of ecological flow. By using a quantitative study, it is pointed out that improving agricultural water-saving is a reasonable and necessary way to protect the river flow.

Determination of ecological flow based on probability distributions of annual and monthly flows

ABSTRACT Developing scientifically sound ecological flow is crucial for protecting river ecosystems. However, most of the existing hydrological methods for determining ecological flow make it difficult to consider both inter-annual and intra-annual changes in runoff. To compensate for this shortcoming, this paper proposes an innovative ecological flow determination method based on the probability distributions of annual and monthly flows. Marginal distributions of annual and monthly flows are first fitted, and the Copula function is used to create joint probability distributions of annual and monthly flows. Conditional probabilities for different monthly flow sizes under different annual flow conditions are then calculated based on Bayesian inference. The conditional probabilities are combined with the flow–duration curve-–based method to finalize the ecological flow process considering both intra- and inter-annual runoff changes. A case study was conducted in Jinsha River, China. The results show that the total annual ecological water demand of the Jinsha River is 1.50, 1.25, and 1.04 × 1011 m3 under annual flow scenarios of high, medium, and low flows, respectively, which provide a red line for the development of water resources and hydro-energy resources of the Jinsha River, as well as for the better protection of the natural plant and animal species.

Water Resources Management for Multi-Source Ecological Restoration Goals in an Oasis: A Case Study of Bohu County Irrigation Area in Xinjiang, China

Oases in arid regions consist of river–lake–groundwater systems characterized by complex hydrological cycles and fragile ecosystems. Sustainable water resource management, aimed at multi-source ecological restoration, is crucial for oasis ecological protection and represents a current research challenge. This study focuses on the Bohu irrigation area, using ecological water levels, the MIKE-SHE hydrological model, and the water balance equation to propose a multi-objective groundwater and surface water regulation scheme that meets both the ecological safety requirements of the irrigation area and the ecological water demands of the Small Lake. Key findings include the following: (1) The regional ecological water level ranges from 1.69 m to 4 m, with about 74% of the area exceeding this range, threatening local ecology. (2) The proposed regulation method adjusts 91.25% of areas exceeding the ecological water level to within the acceptable range. (3) Under various planting scenarios, the minimum water distribution from the west branch of the BLSM water diversion hub should be 824.632 × 106 m3/a to meet Small Lake ecological demands. When this volume exceeds 831.902 × 106 m3/a, both groundwater regulation and Small Lake ecological demands are satisfied. This paper quantifies the water cycle mechanisms in complex hydrological interaction areas, providing specific solutions to regional ecological problems, which holds significant practical relevance.

Ecological compensation mechanism controlled by both river ecological water demand and regional water rights

River ecological protection and rational utilization of water resources provide an important support for the sustainable development for human beings and nature. In view of the lack of ecological compensation research on river ecological water demand and socio-economic water demand, a mechanism and methodology for ecological compensation based on the synergistic control of river ecological water demand and river water rights allocation is proposed. The variable monthly flow method and the improved dynamic calculation method are applied to obtain the river basic and suitable ecological water demands as the river protection threshold. A two-layer decision model for water rights allocation is established, which realizes the cascading allocation of initial water rights from city to counties to sectors, and the socio-economic water usage threshold for each level is obtained based on the model. Developing compensation discrimination guidelines under the dual-threshold synergistic control and using the unilateral water resources value by sub-sector as the compensation standard, realize the quantification and sharing of compensation funds. The Nanyang section of the Bai River basin in China is used as an example. The ecological compensation value for wet year (2011), normal year (2012), and dry years (2014–2013) are 0, 15.09 × 108 and 12.04 × 108 (average value for dry years) RMB. The adoption of suitable ecological water demand thresholds in 2012 increases the ecological protection requirements thus leading to an internal compensation situation between Nanyang County and Xinye County. From 2014 to 2016, river runoff continued to be low, and excessive water intake from upstream lead to a chain of compensation situations in the midstream and downstream. It is essential to establish a basin and regionally nested ecological compensation mechanism. The research results are conducive to improving the eco-compensation theory and provide scientific references for water resources management and high-quality development in the basin.

Human Activities Impacts on Runoff and Ecological Flow in the Huangshui River of the Yellow River Basin, China

This study analyzed 61 years of hydrological data from the Minhe and Xiangtang Hydrological Stations (1956–2016) to examine hydrological changes and ecological flow assurance rates in the Huangshui River Basin, China. Using the Mann–Kendall trend test, IHA/RVA method, and ecological flow calculation methods, the study revealed the following results: (1) After 1994, increased human activity in the Datong River led to a measured runoff decrease compared to natural runoff. Although human activities in the Huangshui River’s main stream were present before 1972, after 1972, these activities intensified, resulting in a more pronounced decrease in the measured runoff. (2) Ecological flow analysis indicated that the main stream of the Huangshui River and the Datong River have ecological flow assurance rates of 100% for all but a few months, where the rates are 98%. The water volume is sufficiently abundant to meet ecological water demands.

Suitable Ecological Water Demand for Wetlands Restored to Different Historical Periods in a Latitude area and their Response to Changing Environments

Suitable Ecological Water Demand for Wetlands Restored to Different Historical Periods in a Latitude area and their Response to Changing Environments

Forecasting ecological water demand of an arid oasis under a drying climate scenario based on deep learning methods

Ecological water diversion projects (EWDP) are an effective management tool for restoring oasis ecosystems in arid regions. Given the potential for drier climatic conditions in arid regions in the future, it is essential to develop water diversion strategies that can adapt to climate change and reduce the risk of oasis ecosystem degradation. Here, this study used a Bayesian optimization-based long- and short-term memory (BO-LSTM) model to determine the optimal amount of water diversion needed to maintain healthy growth of oasis vegetation under future climate change scenarios in the Qingtu Oasis, which is a typical downstream oasis of inland rivers restored by EWDP in China. The results showed that the BO-LSTM model effectively captured the response of oasis vegetation to changes in water inundation areas and drought stress with low computational cost and high accuracy. The study revealed that regional vegetation became more vulnerable than previously thought when extreme drought and a drying trend were taken into account. It was found that if the amount of water entering the oasis ranges from 10 to 15 million m3, there will be a decline in the growth of oasis vegetation as indicated by the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Even if current levels of water diversion (20 million m3) are maintained, oasis vegetation may still face growth decline due to meteorological drought. The optimal amount of water diversion was determined to be 25 million m3, resulting in a 21.7% increase in NDVI regardless of drought events. This study represents an innovative approach as it couples EWDP, climate change, and oasis vegetation dynamics based on deep learning models, which unveils divergent responses of oasis vegetation to climate change and EWDP and verifies a non-linear relationship between water diversion amounts and ecological benefits generated.

Study on Ecological Water Demand Pressure of Forest and Grass Vegetation Construction in Northwest Loess Plateau Based on Fitting Verification

In this paper, the minimum ecological water requirement of forest and grass vegetation in different types and regions and small basins in Pingliang City was analyzed and evaluated by using the quota of water consumption for ecological construction. The actual evapotranspiration water consumption of different types of vegetation was used as the quota to calculate the appropriate ecological water demand of vegetation, and the actual evapotranspiration water consumption of vegetation was used as the quota to calculate the appropriate ecological water consumption of vegetation in this region. At the same time, in order to make the calculation result more accurate, the water consumption per unit area after the actual evapotranspiration of different regions and different types of vegetation is used as the calculation quota. In addition, according to the principles of similar vegetation types, similar site conditions and similar climate environment, the research results of He Wentao et al., Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, on the ecological water requirement of forest in the whole Jinghe River basin (He Wentao et al. Determination and calculation of ecological water requirement of forest vegetation, Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2004, 18(6)) were selected and compared with this study. This study verifies the reliability of the calculation results of evapotranspiration water consumption of vegetation in this area. It should be noted that He Wentao et al. also evaluated the ecological water requirement of vegetation in the whole Jinghe River basin by calculating the evapotranspiration water consumption of vegetation, and analyzed the vegetation ecological water requirement deficit in 2020 by comparing the calculated minimum ecological water requirement of vegetation in the region, so as to reflect the ecological water demand pressure faced by vegetation construction in the region. It provides a basic basis for coordinating the relationship between vegetation construction and water resources in this region.

A copula-based approach to instream ecological flow determination considering inter- and intra-annual runoff variability

ABSTRACT Instream ecological flow (IEF) provides a flow reference value for maintaining the stability of river ecosystems and enriching biodiversity. Existing methods for determining the IEF often consider only one of the intra-annual runoff distribution characteristics or the inter-annual runoff distribution characteristics. In this study, a copula-based ecological runoff determination method is proposed to consider both annual and monthly runoff magnitudes. The marginal distribution functions of annual and monthly runoff are first determined using the maximum likelihood method. Then the copula function is used to construct the joint distribution function of annual and monthly runoff series. Using the flow duration curve method, the IEF under different annual and monthly runoff exceedance probabilities is calculated. The probability values are combined with the initial IEF values to determine the final IEF process. A case study is conducted using real-world data from the Tongtian River in China. The results show that the total annual basic ecological water demands of the Tongtian River in abundant, flat, and dry water years are 138, 102 and 72.2 billion m3. The proposed method effectively avoids the disturbance of extreme runoff.

An Ecology-Oriented Single–Multi-Objective Optimal Operation Modeling and Decision-Making Method in the Case of the Ganjiang River

Hydro power has provided significant economic benefits to society due to its cleanliness and convenience. As the number of hydropower stations has increased, many serious ecological issues have also emerged. This study uses Wan’an Reservoir as its research object and investigates single–multi-objective optimal operation and decision-making regarding reservoirs for ecology-oriented operation, to meet ecological water demand and seek the optimal operation schemes for energy generation and ecological benefits. The full-process research is conducted based on the “objective-modeling constraint optimization scheme decision-making” framework. The Mann–Kendall test and ordered clustering method were used to diagnose the hydrological variation in the basin. Based on this, a hierarchical and phased ecological flow process was derived. The objectives were defined according to the flow process, and optimal operation models were constructed. The differential evolution algorithm (DE) and improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) were used to solve the models. A non-fitting curve method was used to determine the approximate inflection point of the Pareto front curve, and the curve was fitted linearly according to the approximate inflection point to obtain the conversion formula between the objectives. Based on the coefficient of variation and Mahalanobis distance, a new multi-attribute decision-making method for reservoir operation, CV-ITOPSIS, was constructed by improving the traditional TOPSIS. The results show that: (1) There is a piecewise linear contradiction between energy generation and ecological objectives, and the contradiction intensifies with an increase in incoming water frequency. (2) Before the approximate inflection point, the head significantly influences the conversion rate from the energy generation to ecology, while the discharge flow is the major influencing factor after the inflection point. The inflection point and the formula for the piecewise straight line can reveal the conversion law between the two objectives. (3) CV-ITOPSIS considers the degree of differentiation of index data and fully considers the correlation between indicators while retaining the good evaluation performance of the traditional method. It recommends the optimal benefit scheme for a multi-objective non-inferior solution set. The research results provide a theoretical foundation and decision support for the optimal ecological operation of the Ganjiang River Basin.

Forecasting regional water demand using multi-fidelity data and harris hawks optimization of generalized regression neural network models – A case study of Heilongjiang Province, China

Accurate forecasting of water demand plays a crucial role in decision makers to effectively allocate regional water resources and promotes the rational development and utilization of water resources. To address the challenges posed by limited raw data availability and the difficulty in selecting parameters for water demand forecasting models, this study proposes a coupled model called MF-HHO-GRNN (Multi-Fidelity Data, Hybrid Harris Hawks Optimization, and Generalized Regression Neural Network). Initially, multi-fidelity data was constructed employing water demand factor data for Heilongjiang Province, China (1999–2020) as high-fidelity data, alongside data from Liaoning and Jilin Provinces of China as low-fidelity data. Adaptive boosting algorithms, data concatenation, and data dimensionality reduction techniques were employed to construct multi-fidelity data, thereby improving the availability of the original data. Subsequently, Harris hawk optimization algorithms were implemented to optimize the smoothing factor of the GRNN to resolve the challenge of selecting suitable parameters for water demand forecasting models. Finally, the MF-HHO-GRNN model was compared with other prediction models to analyze the prediction accuracy. The optimized MF-HHO-GRNN model meeting accuracy requirements was utilized to forecast agricultural irrigation, industrial, domestic, ecological water demand, and total water demand in Heilongjiang Province for the next 5 years. Results demonstrated that the proposed MF-HHO-GRNN model attained predictive accuracy of 98 %, 98 %, and 97 % for total water demand under three distinct time horizons (1 year, 3 years, and 5 years), proving excellent predictive capabilities. Furthermore, a comprehensive comparison was made between the predicted total water demand and user-specific water demands for the next 5 years in Heilongjiang Province and the regional development plans. The results showed that the predictions of the coupled model aligned with the future development trends of Heilongjiang Province, validating the practicality of the MF-HHO-GRNN model. This study provides decision-makers with an effective method for forecasting water demand, contributing to the future realization of more intelligent and accurate water resource management and decision-making.

Managing the water-agriculture-environment-energy nexus: Trade-offs and synergies in an arid area of Northwest China

Water is a stabilizer for production and life in the arid areas. According to research shared by the Pacific Institute and The Guardian, there were 228 incidents of water conflict globally in 2022. Therefore, comprehensive measures are necessary to achieve regional water security. This objective can be achieved by the application of interdisciplinary and professional approaches through establishing a dynamic equilibrium of the different water consumers, and trade-offs and synergies for water allocation between them. A multi-objective optimization model is proposed for managing the water-agriculture-energy-environment (WAEE) nexus in water-scarce areas. Real and integer-encoded multi-objective evolutionary algorithms (EMCMO) were applied to solving management models. Multiple objectives, such as the maximization of economic benefits from agriculture and hydropower generation, the minimization of ecological water shortages for local plants, and the minimization of environmental risks influenced by land use and food supply, were defined in the model. The model was applied to the Yanqi Basin, an important agriculture and energy producer in Xinjiang province, Northwest China. The results indicated that (1) the four-dimensional Pareto solution set has the advantage of presenting the WAEE nexus, highlighting the trade-offs and synergies between high-value crops, surface water, and groundwater, ecological water demand, hydropower generation and total nitrogen and phosphorus loading (TNP); (2) An excessive increase in the agricultural economy will increase TNP loading and agricultural non-point source pollution; (3) Optimization of WAFE for local ecosystem restoration. Optimization in a wet year, reduced agricultural economic benefits by 0.20%, and agricultural TNP loading by 13.19% while increasing ecological water by 58.33%, and hydropower generation by 3.98%; in a normal year, reduced agricultural economic benefits by 6.62%, agricultural TNP loading by 13.19% while increasing ecological water by 46.43%, and hydropower generation by 0.79%; in a dry year, reduced agricultural economic benefits by 17.19%, agricultural TNP loading by 9.72%, and hydropower generation by 16.18% while increasing ecological water by 42.86%. The trade-offs and synergies of the WAEE nexus also apply to other similar water-scarce areas.

Integrated assessment of available water volume for sustainable sponge city construction - A case study in Xi'an, China.

To address the lack of theoretical guidance for sponge city construction (SCC) in China, this study introduces a method to evaluate the available water volume (AWV) in urban watersheds. This evaluation is based on the water balance relationship, water volume, and ecological water demand (EWD). The Xi'an urban area was selected as a case study due to its water shortage and flooding issues. Results show monthly surface and subsurface AWV ranging between 53.06 and 53.98 million m3 and between 8,701.89 and 8,898.14 million m3, respectively. By maximizing the potential for surface AWV, an annual water supply of 527.75 million m3 could be provided, surpassing the annual artificial water consumption of 394.20 million m3, effectively addressing water scarcity. During the rainy season, implementing measures such as employing permeable paving materials, establishing wetlands and rainwater gardens, and constructing lakes and reservoirs can mitigate flooding caused by rainfall exceeding 32.8 mm. While the subsurface space in Xi'an holds significant potential for subsurface AWV utilization, revitalizing the ecological environment of subsurface water is crucial. Overall, the AWV theoretical framework offers a comprehensive solution to water shortage and flooding issues in the Xi'an urban area, serving as a vital theory for SCC.

Optimization of Forest and Grass Vegetation Distribution in the Aksu River Basin by Water Resources Carrying Capacity

In arid areas, vegetation is the basis for maintaining the virtuous cycle of ecosystems, while water resources are the key factor restricting the survival of vegetation communities. The balance between water resources and vegetation is related to the sustainable development of ecological benefits and economic benefits in arid areas. Although research on the carrying potential of vegetation in arid areas has been emphasized, there is still a lack of spatial analysis of different vegetation types over large areas. Therefore, this study takes precipitation as the basic source of water resources, calculates the amount of available water resources in the basin from the available effective precipitation and available irrigation water, and it analyzes the spatial distribution of forest and grass vegetation types under the water resources constraint, combined with the ecological water demand of different vegetation types and based on the principle of “Water to determine the Vegetation”. The results showed that the ecological water demand of each vegetation type was as follows: Forest > Shrub Vegetation > Grassland Vegetation > Desert Vegetation. The range of comprehensive available water resources of vegetation was from 0 to 221.71 mm, which decreased with the altitude gradient. Then, the spatial distribution pattern of vegetation types constrained by the water resources in the Aksu River Basin showed a striped distribution from north to south, with shrub vegetation in the high-altitude mountainous area, grassland vegetation in the low-altitude area, and desert vegetation in the desert plain area, respectively, accounting for 29.05%, 10.74%, and 53.45% of the total basin. This research approach provides a scientific basis for the planning of forest and grass vegetation construction in arid regions.

Design of remote acquisition system for ecological water demand information of an estuarine wetland

In order to improve data coverage and data collection efficiency, the design method for a remote collection system of ecological water demand information of an estuarine wetland is proposed. The hardware design of the remote information acquisition system is realized through the overall structure design, the Unified Modeling Language (UML), system outline design, system logic design, and system module division. The information is acquired by polling, and the acquisition frequency is adjusted according to the actual situation and user needs. In the system software design, the Scale-invariant feature transform algorithm (SIFT) is used to extract the image features of the estuarine wetland, and a support vector machine is used to cluster the collected information according to the image features to realize the remote acquisition of water demand information of the estuarine wetland. The experimental results show that the maximum data coverage of the proposed method is 95%, and the data acquisition time is less than 0.2 h, indicating that the proposed method has high information acquisition efficiency and high data coverage.

Calculation method and application of ecological water demand threshold for vegetation in arid areas based on ecosystem resilience

Calculation method and application of ecological water demand threshold for vegetation in arid areas based on ecosystem resilience

Detection and Analysis of the Variation in the Minimum Ecological Instream Flow Requirement in the Chinese Northwestern Inland Arid Region by Using a New Remote Sensing Method

With the development of human society, the balance between the minimum ecological instream flow requirement (MEIFR), which is an essential part of the ecological water demand in arid areas, and anthropogenic water depletion has received increasing attention. However, due to the lack of hydrological station data and river information on arid basins, previous researchers usually considered only the individual ecological water demand of rivers, lakes, or oases. To address this issue, a new method that combines river hydraulic parameters and the wet circumference obtained by an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and remote sensing hydrological station (RSHS) technologies was applied to obtain the MEIFR and, then, systematically and quantitatively explore the balance from the perspective of the entire basin of Aiding Lake from 1990 to 2022, which is the lowest point of Chinese terrestrial territory. The results showed the following: (1) since 1990, the discharge of the seven rivers in the study area increased by 1–6%, and the MEIFR of these rivers increased by 15–100%; both quantities decreased by 3–5% from the upper to the lower reaches of the basin; (2) the surface area and water level of Aiding Lake decreased by 5% and 14%, respectively, but the MEIFR first decreased by 25% from 1990 to 2013 and, then, increased by 66.7% from 2013 to 2022; and (3) from 2011 to 2022, the MEIFR and anthropogenic water depletion exhibited a balance. Against the background of climate change, this research revealed that the MEIFR of the rivers in the Aiding Lake Basin have shown an upward trend over the past 30 years and quantitatively determined the above balance relationship and the period of its occurrence. This study supplied a method that could provide guidance for water resource management by decision-makers at a global level, thus helping achieve the sustainable development goals (SDGs).

Water supply following drought: Effects on drougt legacy and resilience in a tropical forest - A case study in Xishuangbanna, China

Climate change has made it essential to understand the effects of drought on carbon dynamics in tropical forest ecosystems. However, research on the postdrought (PD) period is relatively limited, particularly with regard to the resilience of the carbon cycle affected by available water. To determine the effects of water availability during PD on resilience and legacy effects in tropical forests, we used a spatially explicit individual-based dynamic global vegetation model (SEIB-DGVM) to simulate gross primary productivity (GPP) to proxy the process. We established multiple water supply scenarios based on ecological water demands and regional climatic standard precipitation through the composite of gradients in quantity and duration to characterize variations in environmental water availability after droughts end. Under different PD water supply patterns, the degree of GPP resilience and its legacy effects varied significantly. Specifically, ecosystem resilience to drought was positively correlated with the percentage of PD water supply and negatively correlated with the duration until water conditions returned to normal, while the negative legacy effect of drought on GPP exhibited the opposite relationship. After a drought, a rapid high-level water supply promoted stronger GPP resiliency and moderated the drought legacy effects. Although legacy effects varied with water supply patterns, the negative legacy effect on GPP appeared only in the first year after drought. Observing biomass changes in roots, leaves, woody plants, and herbaceous plants after droughts, it is clear that tropical forest ecosystems can adjust their carbon allocation strategies in response to differences in water availability. To more accurately predict the fate of tropical forests in response to climate change, it is necessary to assess the impact of PD environmental climate condition changes on their dynamic resilience processes.

Ecological compensation mechanism under the double control of water quality and quantity in the Bai River Basin

Watershed ecological compensation is an effective economic policy measure for water ecology conservation and water environment management. This study constructed an eco-compensation mechanism under the double control of water quality and quantity, which consisted of the water quality control module, the water quantity control module, and the double control compensation value module. The pollution loss water quantity and the river habitat compensation water quantity were calculated, and the water quality achievement or excess and water quantity surplus or deficit were identified to divide the multi-scenario compensation mode and obtain the double control compensation value. The Bai River Basin in Nanyang, China, was selected as the case study, and the double control compensation value of the three counties in the basin was calculated from 2015 to 2018. The results showed that the water quantity compensation value of all counties was higher than the water quality compensation value, indicating that the water quantity has a greater impact on the water environment compared with water quality, and the ecological water demand of rivers needs to be guaranteed while strengthening water pollution treatment. The compensation mode all belonged to the double control mode. The double-control compensation mechanism had a distinct advantage over the single-control compensation, indicating that water quality and quantity should be considered in the compensation programs to maintain healthy ecological conditions in the water supply. The research results provide ideas for the quantification of eco-compensation and the formulation of long-term ecological protection mechanisms.

Evaluation of the Groundwater Ecological Water Requirement in the Southeast Margin of Otindag Sandy Land Based on Allowable Groundwater Depth Drawdown

Water resources in arid and semi-arid areas are limiting factors for ecosystem health and economic development. Therefore, an accurate and reasonable assessment of ecological water demand is crucial for efficient water resource utilization. In this study, we used vegetation coverage and groundwater depth to assess the state of vegetation growth in the Zhenglanqi, located at the southeastern edge of Otindag Sandy Land. Our results indicate the existence of a statistical power index function between vegetation coverage and groundwater depth scatter plots, where even minor changes in groundwater depth can have a significant impact on vegetation growth. In order to quantitatively assess the impact of subsidence on vegetation ecology, we propose a maximum allowable subsidence level under conditions that maintain normal ecological conditions, based on the initial subsidence depth and ecological guarantee rate. Our findings suggest that regions with shallower initial groundwater depths are more sensitive to changes in their environment than regions with deeper groundwater depths. The total groundwater consumption in the study area was 83 million cubic meters while maintaining an ecological guarantee rate of 80%; thus, while ensuring normal environmental conditions, human exploitation of shallow groundwater accounts for only 16 percent.