Dry Conifer Forests Research Articles

Contemporary fires are less frequent but more severe in dry conifer forests of the southwestern United States

Wildfires in the southwestern United States are increasingly frequent and severe, but whether these trends exceed historical norms remains contested. Here we combine dendroecological records, satellite-derived burn severity, and field measured tree mortality to compare historical (1700-1880) and contemporary (1985-2020) fire regimes at tree-ring fire-scar sites in Arizona and New Mexico. We found that contemporary fire frequency, including recent, record fire years, is still <20% of historical levels. Since 1985, the fire return interval averages 58.8 years, compared to 11.4 years before 1880. Fire severity, however, has increased. At sites where trees historically survived many fires over centuries, 42% of recent fires resulted in high tree mortality. Suppressed wildfires tended to burn more severely than prescribed burns and wildfires managed for resource benefit. These findings suggest that expanded use of low-severity prescribed and managed fire would help restore forest resilience and historical fire regimes in dry conifer forests.

Managing fire‐prone forests in a time of decreasing carbon carrying capacity

Changing climatic conditions are increasing overstory tree mortality in forests globally. This restructuring of the distribution of biomass is making already flammable forests more combustible, posing a major challenge for managing the transition to a lower biomass state. In western US dry conifer forests, tree density resulting from over a century of fire‐exclusion practices has increased the risk of high‐severity wildfire and susceptibility to climate‐driven mortality. Reducing dead fuel loads will require new approaches to mitigate risk to the remaining live trees by preparing forests to withstand future wildfire. Here, we used data from the Teakettle Experimental Forest in California to evaluate different prescribed fire burn frequencies and their impact on accumulated dead fuels after a 4‐year drought. Increasing burn frequency could reduce surface fuel build‐up but comes with additional challenges that will require creativity and experimentation to overcome.

Trees have similar growth responses to first-entry fires and reburns following long-term fire exclusion

Managing fire ignitions for resource benefit decreases fuel loads and reduces the risk of high-severity fire in fire-suppressed dry conifer forests. However, the reintroduction of low-severity wildfire can injure trees, which may decrease their growth after fire. Post-fire growth responses could change from first-entry fires to reburns, as first-entry fires reduce fuel loads and the vulnerability among trees to fire effects, which may result in trees sustaining less damage during reburns. To determine whether trees had growth responses that varied from first-entry fires to reburns, we cored 87 ponderosa pine trees in the Gila Wilderness, New Mexico, USA that experienced 3–5 fires between 1950 and 2012 following long-term fire-exclusion and 67 unburned control trees from the Gila and Apache-Sitgreaves National Forests. We assessed tree growth response to fire by comparing tree-ring growth among burned and unburned trees from two years before to two years after fires. We compared growth between burned and unburned trees using a bootstrapping procedure to calculate annual median tree-ring width index values with 95 % confidence intervals. We compared post-fire growth after first-entry fires and reburns following long-term fire-exclusion. Burned trees had similar growth responses following first-entry fires and reburns, with lower growth during the fire year through two years post-fire compared to unburned controls. Burned tree growth returned to expected rates following these immediate post-fire growth reductions. Interestingly, trees had lower growth during the year before and the year of reburns compared to the first-entry fire, reflecting greater aridity before reburns. Greater aridity may have contributed to larger-than-expected growth reductions following reburns, which could explain similar growth responses to first-entry fires and reburns. Our results indicate that trees had consistent short-term growth responses to low-severity fires following long-term fire-exclusion. As trees retained vigor after multiple fires, managing fires for resource benefit is an effective approach to reduce the likelihood of high-severity fire without long-term negative effects on tree growth.

Changed Seasonality and Forcings of Peak Annual Flows in Ephemeral Channels at Flagstaff, Northern Arizona, USA

Flood variability associated with urbanization, ecological change, and climatic change is of increasing economic and social concern in and around Flagstaff, Arizona, where flood hydrology is influenced by a biannual precipitation regime and the relatively unique geologic setting at the edge of the San Francisco Volcanic Field on the southern edge of the Colorado Plateau. There has been limited long-term gauging of the ephemeral channels draining the developed lands and dry coniferous forests of the region, resulting in a spaciotemporal gap in observation-based assessments of large-scale flooding patterns. We present new data from over 10 years of flood monitoring using a crest stage gauge network, combined with other channel monitoring records from multiple agency sources, to assess inter-decadal patterns of flood change in the area, with a specific emphasis on examining how various controls and disturbances have altered the character and seasonality of peak annual flows. Methods of analysis included the following: using Fisher’s Exact Test to compare the seasonality of flooding between historic data spanning the 1970s and contemporary data obtained since 2010; summarizing GIS-based spatial data and meteorological timeseries to characterize study catchment conditions and changes between flood study periods; and relating spatiotemporal patterns of flood seasonality and occurrences of notably large floods with catchment characteristics and environmental changes. Our results show systematic patterns and changes in Flagstaff-area flood regimes that relate to geologic and topographic controls of the varied catchment systems, and in response to records of climate variations and local catchment disturbances, including urbanization and, especially, high-severity wildfire. For most catchments there has been a shift from predominantly late winter to spring snowmelt floods, or mixed seasonal flood regimes, towards monsoon-dominated flooding, patterns which may relate to observed local warming and precipitation changes. Post-wildfire flooding has produced extreme flood discharges which have likely exceeded historical estimates of flood magnitude over decade-long monitoring periods by one to two orders of magnitude. We advocate for continued monitoring and the expansion of local stream gauge networks to enable seasonal, magnitude-frequency trend analyses, improved climate and environmental change attribution, and to better inform the many planned and ongoing flood mitigation projects being undertaken in the increasingly developed Flagstaff region.

Restoring frequent fire to dry conifer forests delays the decline of subalpine forests in the southwest United States under projected climate

Abstract In southwestern US forests, the combined impact of climate change and increased fuel loads due to more than a century of human‐caused fire exclusion is leading to larger and more severe wildfires. Restoring frequent fire to dry conifer forests can mitigate high‐severity fire risk, but the effects of these treatments on the vegetation composition and structure under projected climate change remain uncertain. We used a forest landscape model to assess the impact of thinning and prescribed burns in dry conifer forests across an elevation gradient, encompassing low‐elevation pinyon‐juniper woodlands, mid‐elevation ponderosa pine and high‐elevation mixed‐conifer forests. Our results demonstrated that the treatments decreased the probability of high‐severity fires by 42% in the study area. At low elevation, the treatments did not prevent loss in forest cover and biomass with decreases in Pinus edulis and Juniperus monosperma abundances. At mid‐elevation, changes in fire effects maintained a greater diversity of tree species by favouring the maintenance of cohorts of old trees, in particular Pinus ponderosa which accumulated 5.41 Mg ha−1 more above‐ground biomass than without treatments by late‐century. Treatments in dry conifer forests modified fire effects beyond the treated area, resulting in increased cover and biomass of old Picea englemannii and Abies lasiocarpa cohorts. Synthesis and applications: Our findings indicate that thinning and prescribed burning can enhance tree species diversity in dry conifer forests by protecting old cohorts from stand‐replacing fires. Moreover, our results suggest that treatments mainly implemented in dry pine forests with high risk of high‐severity fires can be beneficial for subalpine species conservation by reducing the chance that high‐severity fire at mid‐elevation is transmitted into high‐elevation forest.

Woodpecker Nest Cavity Orientation in Dry Conifer Forests of the Pacific Northwest, USA

Woodpecker Nest Cavity Orientation in Dry Conifer Forests of the Pacific Northwest, USA

Climate, wildfire, and volcanic ash drivers of ecosystem change in high mountain forests, British Columbia, Canada

Northwest North America has unique high elevation Picea–Abies forests and parkland classified in British Columbia as the Engelmann Spruce–Subalpine–fir (ESSF) Biogeoclimatic zone. These ecosystems occur on a topographically and climatically complex landscape, juxtaposed with diverse vegetation types including alpine tundra, inland rain forest, dry conifer forest, and grasslands. Spatio-temporal ecosystem disturbance is varied, driven by factors such as climate variation, wildfire, volcanic eruptions, and insect herbivory. A pollen and charcoal record derived from a lake sediment core from the ESSF reveals a unique late-glacial to modern vegetation history progressing from alpine steppe through dry open conifer forest to moist spruce–fir ecosystems, the latter arising only 4600 years ago, late by comparison to other ESSF sites in the region. Repeated disturbance in the mid Holocene by wildfire coupled with volcanic ash deposition and increased climatic variation resulted in recurring Pinus contorta-dominated seral forest stands before cooling and moistening in the late Holocene led to stable Picea–Abies forest. With rapid climate change, changing disturbance regimes, and timber harvest, the management of dry ESSF forests needs to consider that this forest-type could transform into parkland or open seral pine stands, with a high frequency disturbance regime.

Characterizing heterogeneous forest structure in ponderosa pine forests via UAS-derived structure from motion

Increasingly, dry conifer forest restoration has focused on reestablishing horizontal and vertical complexity and ecological functions associated with frequent, low-intensity fires that characterize these systems. However, most forest inventory approaches lack the resolution, extent, or spatial explicitness for describing tree-level spatial aggregation and openings that were characteristic of historical forests. Uncrewed aerial system (UAS) structure from motion (SfM) remote sensing has potential for creating spatially explicit forest inventory data. This study evaluates the accuracy of SfM-estimated tree, clump, and stand structural attributes across 11 ponderosa pine-dominated stands treated with four different silvicultural prescriptions. Specifically, UAS-estimated tree height and diameter-at-breast-height (DBH) and stand-level canopy cover, density, and metrics of individual trees, tree clumps, and canopy openings were compared to forest survey data. Overall, tree detection success was high in all stands (F-scores of 0.64 to 0.89), with average F-scores > 0.81 for all size classes except understory trees (< 5.0 m tall). We observed average height and DBH errors of 0.34 m and − 0.04 cm, respectively. The UAS stand density was overestimated by 53 trees ha−1 (27.9%) on average, with most errors associated with understory trees. Focusing on trees > 5.0 m tall, reduced error to an underestimation of 10 trees ha−1 (5.7%). Mean absolute errors of bole basal area, bole quadratic mean diameter, and canopy cover were 11.4%, 16.6%, and 13.8%, respectively. While no differences were found between stem-mapped and UAS-derived metrics of individual trees, clumps of trees, canopy openings, and inter-clump tree characteristics, the UAS method overestimated crown area in two of the five comparisons. Results indicate that in ponderosa pine forests, UAS can reliably describe large- and small-grained forest structures to effectively inform spatially explicit management objectives.

Temporal and spatial patterns of fire regime disruption in conifer forests of western North America

ABSTRACT Temporal and spatial patterns of fire regime disruption were reconstructed in conifer forests of western North America from information on pre-disruption and disrupted mean fire intervals (MFIs) of 498 dendrochronology-based fire chronologies. We identified the conifer forest types most affected by MFI shift and the influence of land category designation on MFI change. We also mapped the years of the MFI shift, the last fire recorded, and disrupted/pre-disruption MFI ratios. Fire cessation and longer MFIs predominated in most fire chronologies and conifer forest types. MFI was significantly higher in most conifer forest types, with most differences in dry conifer forests. MFI shift occurred mainly before the designation of protected, federal, social-property, and private areas. MFI shift began in 1829 in the United States of America Southwest, a region subjected to prolonged fire exclusion and with the highest disrupted/pre-disruption MFI ratios. Fire regime disruption moved gradually into the Pacific Northwest and the Sierra Nevada until reaching the northern conifer forests of Canada and Alaska. In contrast, one-third of fire chronologies in Mexican conifer forests retained pre-disruption MFIs. Our findings allowed us to identify areas with MFIs outside of their natural variability, with prolonged fire exclusion, or with intact fire regimes.

Threats to the persistence of sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) in the western USA

This study assesses how numerous stressors shape the vital rates (survival, growth, and fecundity) of sugar pine across the vast majority of its range. Sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana Dougl.) is the largest Pinus species, an important timber species, and a component of several dry conifer forest types of western North America, in particular the extensive Sierra Nevada mixed conifer forest. The species faces several challenges in the Anthropocene, including a disrupted fire regime, an invasive pathogen, forest structure changes, and drought with ensuing bark beetle epidemics. Managers are concerned about the conservation outlook for sugar pine, but it is unclear where and how to best invest conservation resources. Using data from the US Forest Service’s Forest Inventory and Analysis program, we estimate the parameters for the vital rate functions and use these to construct an integral projection model which predicts the effects of various stressors on the asymptotic population growth rate. The asymptotic population growth rate is near or slightly below one even under reference conditions, and the actual abundance (in terms of both stem density and basal area) slightly declined over the duration of the study (2001–2019). The analysis reveals that wildfire, white pine blister rust, and forest density are key drivers of the demographic rates of sugar pine across its range. Drought and site dryness had lesser, but still meaningful, effects. Fire has strong negative effects on survival, resulting in a strongly negative population trajectory on burned sites. Conversely, lower than average forest density (plot-level basal area) results in a positive population growth rate via beneficial effects on individual growth. These results highlight the value of fire hazard mitigation, particularly where it also reduces forest density, in the conservation of this important species.

Biotope preferences in groups of closely related species: a case study of Sylvaemus (Mammalia)

The trapping of small mammals was carried out in 2017 to 2023 in the territory of the Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine. In total, 19 biotopes were studied: different types of oak forest, dry and floodplain meadows, riparian vegetation, areas of the steppe, field protection forest strips, fields, as well as various ecotones. The trapping of small mammals was carried out using the standard trap-line method on 93 trap lines. With a trapping effort of 17 310 trap-nights, 1295 individuals of small mammals were caught, 689 of which belonged to the genus Sylvaemus. Three species of mice of the genus Sylvaemus were found in the territory of Kharkiv Oblast during the study period: Sylvaemus uralensis, Sylvaemus sylvaticus, and Sylvaemus tauricus. According to the relative abundance, wood mice can be arranged in the following order: uralensis &gt; sylvaticus &gt; tauricus. The cyclicity of annual fluctuations in relative abundance is not noticeable. The similarity of the abundance fluctuation in S. sylvaticus and S. tauricus was revealed, taking into account that these are competing species. S. uralensis and S. sylvaticus lead the top three dominant species in the overall dominance structure of small mammals. The highest relative abundance of wood mice during the study period was recorded on dry meadows, on the border of riparian vegetation with fields and floodplain meadows, on the border of field protective forest strips with fields, and in dry maple-linden-oak forest. S. uralensis belongs to the eurytopic species, is found in almost all studied biotopes, avoids oak forests, occurs on the edges of forests, dominates in abundance in open biotopes, in particular in the steppe, on dry meadows, riparian vegetation, and field protection forest strips. S. sylvaticus is also prone to eurytopy, it is recorded in significant abundance in both open and forest biotopes, mostly prefers riparian vegetation, field protection forest strips, dry coniferous forest, fresh maple-linden-oak forest and forest edges. S. tauricus is found mostly in forest biotopes, in particular in various types of oak forest and on forest edges, it prefers field protection forest strips with an old stand of oak, linden, and robinia. All three species of mice of the genus Sylvaemus are common species.

Canopy-mediated microclimate refugia do not match narrow regeneration niches in a managed dry conifer forest

Structurally heterogeneous forest conditions provide diverse microclimates which can support juvenile tree regeneration, survival, and growth. However, the extent to which juvenile trees depend on moderated microclimates depends on their physical maturity and species-specific tolerances for environmental stresses related to variables like soil moisture, heat, and shade. Linking juvenile responses to microclimates for different life-stages and species facilitates more nuanced understanding of regeneration niches and is especially important in dry conifer forests where structurally heterogeneous conditions are a frequent objective of forest restoration treatments. In this study, we sampled microclimate conditions and planted seeds and greenhouse-grown seedlings across a range of overstory structure and microclimate conditions in a heterogeneous forest restoration treatment in Colorado, USA. We assessed how fine-scale (∼1–20 m) spatial variation in overstory structure and topography related to variability in microclimate conditions and, collectively, how these biophysical conditions influenced survival and growth of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa var. scopulorum) and Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii var. glauca) over 3 years. We found evidence of strong canopy buffering of mean daily vapor pressure deficit (VPD), but buffering of daily maximum VPD was moderate, and buffering of soil moisture was weak except in the hottest and driest month of our 3-year study. Although canopy cover provided refuge from hot and dry conditions, survival and growth of juvenile trees across life-stages and species were greatest in above-average canopy openness, with warm and dry microclimate conditions in May. The spatial patterns of seedling establishment relative to canopy cover, driven by early-season microclimate conditions, did not match canopy-mediated, moderate microclimates later in growing seasons when weather conditions were most limiting. Importantly, our results reflect a specific regeneration trajectory initiated by favorable early-growing season conditions in the first year of study, which promoted survival and growth resilience through subsequent limiting conditions, most notably a hot and dry second year of study. The patterns observed in this study are consistent with drivers of landscape-scale regeneration previously identified for dry conifer forests and show that overstory structure and microclimate variation can mediate these patterns at very fine spatial scales. The narrow spatial and temporal ranges of conditions which supported survival and growth in this study highlight opportunities for restoration treatment planning in similar forests, but also underscore the susceptibility of these dominant dry forest species to potential future changes in the timing and intensity of abiotic conditions which limit regeneration success.

Spatially explicit models of seed availability improve predictions of conifer regeneration following the 2018 Carr Fire in northern California

For many conifer species in dry conifer forests of North America, seeds must be present for postfire regeneration to occur, suggesting that seed dispersal from surviving trees plays a critical role in postfire forest recovery. However, the application of tree fecundity and spatial arrangement to postfire conifer recovery predictions have only recently become more common, and is often included at relatively coarse scales (i.e., 30 meters). In this study, we mapped surviving trees using lidar and created a spatially explicit estimate of seed density (seed shadows) with 10 m, 50 m, and 100 m median dispersal distances. We estimated the number of seeds produced by each tree using allometric relationships between tree size and fecundity. Along with the seed shadows, we used a suite of topographic variables as inputs to negative binomial hurdle models to predict conifer seedling abundance in 131 plots following the 2018 Carr Fire in northern California, USA. We compared models using each of the seed shadows to each other as well as to a model using the distance to the nearest surviving tree, which served as a baseline. All model formulations indicated that estimated seed availability was positively associated with conifer regeneration. Despite the importance of seed availability plays in regeneration and the substantial differences in seed availability represented by the different seed shadows in our analysis, we found surprisingly little difference in model performance regardless of which seed shadow was used. However, the models employing seed shadows outperformed the models with distance to the nearest live tree. Although we have demonstrated a modest improvement in predicting postfire conifer regeneration, the uncertainty in our results highlights the importance of tree detection and classification in future studies of this kind. Future studies may find it useful to consider other factors such as predation, site suitability, and seed mortality as potential drivers of discrepancies between total and realized dispersal kernels.

Mechanical forest restoration treatments stimulate understory plants in the Colorado Front Range

Restoration efforts are underway in dry conifer forests across the western United States to increase their resilience to wildfire and other disturbances. Because such treatments typically decrease overstory density and homogeneity, they can also drive changes in the understory plant community. Past studies of post-treatment changes in understories have found variable results over short time frames and across regions, highlighting the need to study longer-term, region-specific responses. We investigated whether mechanical restoration treatments benefited understory plants in dry conifer forests of the Colorado Front Range, and what biotic and abiotic variables modified understory plant responses in treated areas. We analyzed data collected 1–2 years pre-treatment, 1–2 years post-treatment, and 4–6 years post-treatment in 168 plots, which were distributed across 8 sites and 16 pairs of treated and nearby untreated areas. Treatments were implemented by removing trees with heavy machinery or hand tools (i.e., thinning). By the time treatments were 4–6 years old, native understory plant cover was 1.7 times higher in treated compared to untreated plots, and native richness was 1.1 times higher. Heightened cover and richness values in treated plots were not driven by a single native plant functional group, but by a large portion of the native community; long-lived, graminoid, vegetatively spreading, and non-vegetatively spreading plants all had higher cover in treated plots, while short-lived, long-lived, forb, graminoid, and non-vegetatively spreading plants had higher richness in treated plots. Non-native plants showed 3.1 times higher cover and 4.4 times higher richness in treated compared to untreated plots at 4–6 years post-treatment, but were present at very low levels (e.g., ≤ 0.5% mean cover in either treatment). Greater native plant cover and richness at 4–6 years post-treatment were associated with lower overstory basal areas that resembled 19th-century forest structural conditions for the landscape. Contrary to expectations, a long-term measure of moisture availability (i.e., 30-year average climatic water deficit) was not a strong predictor of native cover or richness in treated plots 4–6 years post-treatment; rather, they were better predicted by moisture availability during the spring months prior to sampling. Overall, the consistent and enduring stimulation of cover and richness of native understory plants after mechanical treatments, with only limited invasion from non-native species, illustrates the important benefits of ongoing restoration activities in dry conifer forests of the Colorado Front Range.

Snag decomposition following stand‐replacing wildfires alters wildlife habitat use and surface woody fuels through time

AbstractHigh‐severity wildfires create pulses of snags that serve a variety of functions as they decompose over time. Snag‐related benefits (and hazards) are often linked to specific decomposition stages, but snag decomposition rates and pathways are not well understood in many forest types. We examined temporal patterns of snag decomposition, wildlife cavity creation, and surface woody fuel dynamics in dry coniferous forests of the interior Pacific Northwest region of North America by sampling 159 forest stands within a 39‐year chronosequence of stand‐replacing wildfires in dry coniferous forests dominated by ponderosa pine and Douglas‐fir. We found that most snags broke or fell during the first 15 years after wildfire; small‐diameter snags mostly broke off at or near ground level, while many large‐diameter snags initially broke off above a height of 2 m and then remained standing for an extended period. Ponderosa pine and lodgepole pine snags fell earlier than Douglas‐fir and true fir snags of comparable diameter classes. Wildlife cavities were most common in stands surveyed 8–20 years after fire and in snags with broken tops but were not limited to large diameter snags. Cavity snag diameters ranged from 17 to 98 cm, with 64% of cavity snags having diameters between 30 and 60 cm and 22% of cavity snags having diameters &gt;60 cm. Surface woody fuels increased as snags broke and fell, reaching maximum levels in all size classes 15–20 years after fire. The percentage of large diameter rotten woody fuels increased steadily beginning about 15 years after fire, with implications for fuel management and subsequent wildfire behavior and severity. Our study supports the proposition that fire‐killed snags represent a transient resource pulse in which the relative contribution of snags to different ecological functions varies with snag diameter, species, time since fire, and landscape position.

Contemporary wildfires are more severe compared to the historical reference period in western US dry conifer forests

Dry conifer forests in the western US historically experienced frequent fire prior to European American colonization. Mean fire return interval ranged from about 5–35 years, with the majority of fires burning at low-to-moderate severity. The arrival of European Americans initiated notable reductions in fire frequency through the cessation of Indigenous burning, livestock grazing, and fire suppression. These activities effectively excluded fire from most dry conifer forests, thereby allowing live and dead fuels to accumulate. There are concerns that this fuel accumulation is causing contemporary fires (since 1985) to burn more severely compared to pre-colonization time periods, thereby increasing potential for enduring fire-catalyzed conversions to non-forest. Here, we used satellite-derived fire severity data to characterize the prevalence of contemporary (1985–2020) stand-replacing fire in dry conifer forests within four broad ecoregions for all fires, non-wilderness fires, wilderness fires, and prescribed fires. Our results indicate, that as a proportion of area burned, contemporary fires experienced 2.9 to 13.6 times more stand-replacing fire (depending on the ecoregion) compared to the pre-colonization period. Non-wilderness areas exhibit somewhat higher prevalence of stand-replacing fire, relative to the historical fire regime, than wilderness areas (where logging is prohibited). The relatively small difference between non-wilderness and wilderness suggests that fuel accumulation resulting from fire exclusion has played a larger role than historical logging activities on the prevalence of contemporary stand-replacing fire. Prescribed fires do not exhibit a higher prevalence of stand-replacing fire compared to the historical fire regime. We conducted a parallel analysis in the Gila Wilderness in New Mexico, USA, is it is arguably the best example of an unrestrained fire regime (many fires are not suppressed) in western US dry conifer forests. The Gila Wilderness proportionally experienced only 1.8 times more stand-replacing fire compared to the historical reference period; in contrast, the southwest ecoregion experienced 5.9 times more stand-replacing fire. Fire will inevitably burn a given forest no matter how much money and personnel we commit to fire prevention and suppression, and because of the high prevalence of stand-replacing fire, the long-term persistence of dry conifer forests is jeopardized. Unless forest managers are provided the social license and enabling conditions to substantially accelerate efforts to restore conditions resistant to stand-replacing fire, we anticipate that the extent of dry conifer forests will continue to erode as fire-catalyzed conversions increasingly unfold across the western US.

Stand spatial structure outcomes of forest adaptation treatments in northern hardwood forests in North America

Spatial arrangement of trees is determined by a complex suite of factors, including disturbance history, competition, and resource availability. These spatial patterns drive adaptive capacity by influencing arrangement of growing space, neighborhood competitive relationships, and disturbance response, with irregular patterns supporting higher adaptive capacity. While spatial structure in relation to disturbance and climate change resilience has been studied in dry conifer forests and old-growth temperate forests, it has never been explored in the context of climate adaptive management in mesic, second-growth forests. To address this gap, we analyzed tree spatial patterns in second-growth northern hardwood forests under four different climate adaptation management approaches: no action; resistance or resilience to impacts of climate change; and transition to future-adapted forest types. We used spatial point statistics approaches to describe how patterns differed among the four treatments. We found that the treatments focused on future adaptation led to patterns with variable tree spacing and clumping, while those focused on perpetuating current conditions resulted in less pattern variation. This indicates that adaptation strategies that include uneven-aged regeneration methods that restore and maintain tree spatial patterns historically generated by gap dynamics can be successful in altering resource availability patterns and adaptation space in forest stands.

Feeding the fire: Annual grass invasion facilitates modeled fire spread across Inland Northwest forest‐mosaic landscapes

AbstractInvasive annual grasses are a growing global concern because they facilitate larger and more frequent fires in historically fuel‐limited ecosystems. Forests of the western United States have remained relatively resistant to invasion by annual grasses and their subsequent impacts. However, where forests are adjacent to invaded areas, increased fire spread across ecotones could alter fire behavior and ecosystem resilience. In the Inland Northwest, USA, recent invasion by the annual grass ventenata (Ventenata dubia) has increased fine fuel loads and continuity in nonforest patches embedded within the forested landscape. Despite ventenata's rapid spread across the American West and growing management concern, little is known regarding how invasion influences fire within invaded vegetation types or its potential to alter landscape‐scale fire and management practices. Here, we examine how the ventenata invasion alters simulated fire across forest‐mosaic landscapes of the 7 million ha Blue Mountains Ecoregion using the large fire simulator (FSim) with custom fuel landscapes: present‐day invaded versus historic uninvaded. Invasion increased simulated mean fire size, burn probability, and flame lengths throughout the ecoregion, and the strength of these impacts varied by location and scale. Changes at the ecoregion scale were relatively modest given that fine fuels increased in only 2.8% of the ecoregion where ventenata invaded historically fuel‐limited vegetation types. However, strong localized changes were simulated within invaded patches (primarily dwarf‐shrublands) and where invasion facilitated fire spread into nearby forests. Within invaded patches, burn probabilities increased by 45%, and higher flame lengths required fire management strategies to shift from direct to indirect attack, requiring large machinery. Forests with 25% of their neighborhood invaded experienced a 28% increase in burn probability and 16% increase in the probability of experiencing flame lengths likely to produce crown fire (flame lengths &gt;2.4 m). Increased canopy loss could have severe implications for forest resilience given that invasive grasses can heavily invade early seral dry conifer forests and limit postfire forest recovery. Our study demonstrates how annual grass invasion can influence fire behavior and resilience across forest landscapes despite primarily invading nonforested areas, and highlights invasion as an important management issue in an expansive forest‐mosaic ecosystem.

Repeated burns fail to restore pine regeneration to the natural range of variability in a Sierra Nevada mixed‐conifer forest, U.S.A.

Fire‐exclusion has acted as a major perturbation on dry conifer forests in the western United States, increasing tree density and, in mixed‐conifer forests, the dominance of shade‐tolerant species. Restoration efforts aim to reverse these effects by reducing stand density, restoring relative proportions of tree species, and reintroducing recurrent fire, but there are limited long‐term data on the effects of repeated burning on tree regeneration. We analyzed two decades of seedling and overstory data from the Teakettle Experimental Forest in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, United States to determine how thinning and repeated burning affect seedling establishment and overstory recruitment. Across treatments, pine seedling densities remained much lower than shade‐tolerant seedling densities. We found repeated burns led to modest increases in sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) and substantial increases in incense‐cedar (Calocedrus decurrens) seedling densities 4 years postburn. No significant differences in seedling densities among repeated burning treatments were detected for Jeffrey pine (P. jeffreyi) or white fir (Abies concolor). Estimates of natural midstory recruitment were much higher among white fir and incense‐cedar than pines, even following treatments. However, postharvest planting increased rates of pine midstory recruitment in overstory thinned treatments. Our results suggest that fire‐exclusion may have shifted the ecosystem out of its initial domain of attraction, creating a forest dominated by shade‐tolerant species that exhibits hysteresis by resisting a return to a natural range of variability even after restoring structure and process. Planting pine species may be effective at overcoming this resistance to restore the forest to a pine‐dominated state.

Mega-disturbances cause rapid decline of mature conifer forest habitat in California.

Mature forests provide important wildlife habitat and support critical ecosystem functions globally. Within the dry conifer forests of the western United States, past management and fire exclusion have contributed to forest conditions that are susceptible to increasingly severe wildfire and drought. We evaluated declines in conifer forest cover in the southern Sierra Nevada of California during a decade of record disturbance by using spatially comprehensive forest structure estimates, wildfire perimeter data, and the eDaRT forest disturbance tracking algorithm. Primarily due to the combination of wildfires, drought, and drought-associated beetle epidemics, 30% of the region's conifer forest extent transitioned to nonforest vegetation during 2011-2020. In total, 50% of mature forest habitat and 85% of high density mature forests either transitioned to lower density forest or nonforest vegetation types. California spotted owl protected activity centers (PAC) experienced greater canopy cover decline (49% of 2011 cover) than non-PAC areas (42% decline). Areas with high initial canopy cover and without tall trees were most vulnerable to canopy cover declines, likely explaining the disproportionate declines of mature forest habitat and within PACs. Drought and beetle attack caused greater cumulative declines than areas where drought and wildfire mortality overlapped, and both types of natural disturbance far outpaced declines attributable to mechanical activities. Drought mortality that disproportionately affects large conifers is particularly problematic to mature forest specialist species reliant on large trees. However, patches of degraded forests within wildfire perimeters were larger with greater core area than those outside burned areas, and remnant forest habitats were more fragmented within burned perimeters than those affected by drought and beetle mortality alone. The percentage of mature forest that survived and potentially benefited from lower severity wildfire increased over time as the total extent of mature forest declined. These areas provide some opportunity for improved resilience to future disturbances, but strategic management interventions are likely also necessary to mitigate worsening mega-disturbances. Remaining dry mature forest habitat in California may be susceptible to complete loss in the coming decades without a rapid transition from a conservation paradigm that attempts to maintain static conditions to one that manages for sustainable disturbance dynamics.