Downstream Water Availability Research Articles

Hydrological regimes and evaporative flux partitioning at the climatic ends of High Mountain Asia

Abstract High elevation headwater catchments are complex hydrological systems that seasonally buffer water and release it in the form of snow and ice melt, modulating downstream runoff regimes and water availability. In High Mountain Asia (HMA), where a wide range of climates from semi-arid to monsoonal exist, the importance of the cryospheric contributions to the water budget varies with the amount and seasonal distribution of precipitation. Losses due to evapotranspiration and sublimation are to date largely unquantified components of the water budget in such catchments, although they can be comparable in magnitude to glacier melt contributions to streamflow. 
Here, we simulate the hydrology of three high elevation headwater catchments in distinct climates in HMA over 10 years using an ecohydrological model geared towards high-mountain areas including snow and glaciers, forced with reanalysis data. 
Our results show that evapotranspiration and sublimation together are most important at the semi-arid site, Kyzylsu, on the northernmost slopes of the Pamir mountain range. Here, the evaporative loss amounts to 28% of the water throughput, which we define as the total water added to, or removed from the water balance within a year. In comparison, evaporative losses are 19% at the Central Himalayan site Langtang and 13% at the wettest site, 24K, on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau. At the three sites, respectively, sublimation removes 15%, 13% and 6% of snowfall, while evapotranspiration removes the equivalent of 76%, 28% and 19% of rainfall. In absolute terms, and across a comparable elevation range, the highest ET flux is 413 mm yr-1 at 24K, while the highest sublimation flux is 91 mm yr-1 at Kyzylsu. During warm and dry years, glacier melt was found to only partially compensate for the annual supply deficit.

Changes in Water Age During Dry‐Down of a Non‐Perennial Stream

AbstractNon‐perennial streams, which lack year‐round flow, are widespread globally. Identifying the sources of water that sustain flow in non‐perennial streams is necessary to understand their potential impacts on downstream water resources, and guide water policy and management. Here, we used water isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) and two different modeling approaches to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of young water fractions (Fyw) in a non‐perennial stream network at Konza Prairie (KS, USA) during the 2021 summer dry‐down season, as well as over several years with varying hydrometeorological conditions. Using a Bayesian model, we found a substantial amount of young water (Fyw: 39.1–62.6%) sustained flows in the headwaters and at the catchment outlet during the 2021 water year, while 2015–2022 young water contributions estimated using sinusoidal models indicated smaller Fyw amounts (15.3% ± 5.7). Both modeling approaches indicate young water releases are highly sensitive to hydrological conditions, with stream water shifting to older sources as the network dries. The shift in water age suggests a shift away from rapid fracture flow toward slower matrix flow that creates a sustained but localized surface water presence during late summer and is reflected in the annual dynamics of water age at the catchment outlet. The substantial proportion of young water highlights the vulnerability of non‐perennial streams to short‐term hydroclimatic change, while the late summer shift to older water reveals a sensitivity to longer‐term changes in groundwater dynamics. Combined, this suggests that local changes may propagate through non‐perennial stream networks to influence downstream water availability and quality.

Aerodynamic effects cause higher forest evapotranspiration and water yield reductions after wildfires in tall forests.

Wildfires are increasing in frequency, intensity, and extent globally due to climate change and they can alter forest composition, structure, and function. The destruction and subsequent regrowth of young vegetation can modify the ecosystem evapotranspiration and downstream water availability. However, the response of forest recovery on hydrology is not well known with even the sign of evapotranspiration and water yield changes following forest fires being uncertain across the globe. Here, we quantify the effects of forest regrowth after catastrophic wildfires on evapotranspiration and runoff in the world's tallest angiosperm forest (Eucalyptus regnans) in Australia. We combine eddy covariance measurements including pre- and post-fire periods, mechanistic ecohydrological modeling and then extend the analysis spatially to multiple fires in eucalypt-dominated forests in south-eastern Australia by utilizing remote sensing. We find a fast recovery of evapotranspiration which reaches and exceeds pre-fire values within 2 years after the bushfire, a result confirmed by eddy covariance data, remote sensing, and modeling. Such a fast evapotranspiration recovery is likely generalizable to tall eucalypt forests in south-eastern Australia as shown by remote sensing. Once climate variability is discounted, ecohydrological modeling shows evapotranspiration rates from the recovering forest which reach peak values of +20% evapotranspiration 3 years post-fire. As a result, modeled runoff decreases substantially. Contrary to previous research, we find that the increase in modeled evapotranspiration is largely caused by the aerodynamic effects of a much shorter forest height leading to higher surface temperature, higher humidity gradients and therefore increased transpiration. However, increases in evapotranspiration as well as decreases in runoff caused by the young forest are constrained by energy and water limitations. Our result of an increase in evapotranspiration due to aerodynamic warming in a shorter forest after wildfires could occur in many parts of the world experiencing forest disturbances.

Assessment of recent changes (2011–2020) in glacier thickness and runoff variability in Gangotri glacier, India

ABSTRACT Recent evidence shows a noticeable reduction in the glacier mass in the Himalaya due to increasing temperatures, and therefore the downstream water availability is becoming uncertain. This study analyse the effect of changes in the Gangotri glaciers (i.e. thickness), including Raktavaran and Chaturangi regions, on the melt runoff (2011–2020) by coupling two models: Glacier Bed Topolology (GlabTop2) and Spatial Process in Hydrology (SPHY). This study performs the two-step calibration approach utilizing the observed discharge and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) snow cover data. The R2 values for SPHY-modelled runoff (Q) and observed Q at Bhojwasa are found comparable (~0.73 on a daily scale) and the proportions of glacier Q and snow Q in total Q are computed as 22.11% and 66.91%, respectively. In comparison to Chaturangi and Raktavaran, Gangotri glaciers experienced a higher rate of change in thickness, and a reduction of ~9.40% in the mean glacier thickness is calculated during 2011–2020.

Quantifying climate change impacts on low flows of small high mountain watersheds: A nonstationary approach

Study regionThe Utah Wasatch Mountains along the eastern Great Basin and the western Rocky Mountains. Study focusChanges in seasonal precipitation patterns and summer evaporation rates due to increases in temperatures will have severe impacts on low flows of the mountainous watersheds affecting downstream water availability and thus impacting ecosystems and drinking water supplies under future climate change. Reliable prediction of climate change impacts on future low flows needs to consider both the extremity of climatic variables and the physical characteristics of the watersheds. This study analyzes low flows of small mountainous watersheds addressing nonstationarity of climatic parameters and estimates the impact of climate change on low flow, combining nonstationarity and outcome of a physically distributed hydrologic model. MACA statistically downscaled climate data have been used as inputs to the DHSVM model to estimate future low flows for both near term (2036–2044) and distant future (2091–2099) under RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios.New Hydrological Insights for the Region: Nonstationary models with time (5 watersheds) or temperature (2 watersheds) as the covariate in the location-scale provided the best performance. This study demonstrated that RCP4.5 has more severe impact on the low flow frequency and volume in the near future than RCP8.5. In contrast, the effect of RCP8.5 is more dominant on the low flow regimes in the distant future than RCP4.5.

Seasonal Cycles of High Mountain Asia Glacier Surface Elevation Detected by ICESat‐2

AbstractHigh Mountain Asia (HMA) glaciers are a key component of mountain hydrology and their seasonal ablation contributes significantly to the annual runoff of several large river systems that protect large populations from water stress. However, the seasonal cycle of glacial change remains unclear. Recent NASA's Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite (ICESat‐2) provides an opportunity to survey changes in the glacier surface elevation in unprecedented detail. Here, we used a new approach—which is based on a developed elevation bin cluster with a sliding filter and an iterative recovery method—to obtain the complete seasonal cycle of glacier thickness changes in HMA. We generally identified three types of glaciers: (a) glaciers in the westerly dominant area (WDA) (b) glaciers in the Indian monsoon area (IMA), and (c) glaciers in the transition area (TA). The peak thickness values for the IMA, WDA, and TA glaciers occur in February, May, and June, respectively. Most glaciers in WDA and IMA show a strong seasonal cycle with variations of more than 2 m, while the TA glaciers are mainly characterized by weak changes of up to 1 m. Overall, our results show that the glaciers can provide 67–138 Gt of meltwater per year to downstream. These results provide crucial information for the calibration of models that project glacier response to climate change and simulate the downstream water availability. Our methodology facilitates the application of ICESat‐2 to seasonal tracking of glacier variability in global alpine areas.

Hydrological process controls on streamflow variability in a glacierized headwater basin

AbstractMountain glacierized headwaters are currently witnessing a transient shift in their hydrological and glaciological systems in response to rapid climate change. To characterize these changes, a robust understanding of the hydrological processes operating in the basin and their interactions is needed. Such an investigation was undertaken in the Peyto Glacier Research Basin, Canadian Rockies over 32 years (1988–2020). A distributed, physically based, uncalibrated glacier hydrology model was developed using the modular, object‐oriented Cold Region Hydrological Modelling Platform to simulate both on and off‐glacier high mountain processes and streamflow generation. The hydrological processes that generate streamflow from this alpine basin are characterized by substantial inter‐annual variability over the 32 years. Snowmelt runoff always provided the largest fraction of annual streamflow (44% to 89%), with smaller fractional contributions occurring in higher streamflow years. Ice melt runoff provided 10% to 45% of annual streamflow volume, with higher fractions associated with higher flow years. Both rainfall and firn melt runoff contributed less than 13% of annual streamflow. Years with high streamflow were on average 1.43°C warmer than low streamflow years, and higher streamflow years had lower seasonal snow accumulation, earlier snowmelt and higher summer rainfall than years with lower streamflow. Greater ice exposure in warmer, low snowfall (high rainfall) years led to greater streamflow generation. The understanding gained here provides insight into how future climate and increased meteorological variability may impact glacier meltwater contributions to streamflow and downstream water availability as alpine glaciers continue to retreat.

Future upstream water consumption and its impact on downstream water availability in the transboundary Indus Basin

Abstract. The densely populated plains of the lower Indus Basin largely depend on water resources originating in the mountains of the transboundary upper Indus Basin. Recent studies have improved our understanding of this upstream–downstream linkage and the impact of climate change. However, water use in the mountainous part of the Indus and its hydropolitical implications have been largely ignored. This study quantifies the comparative impact of upper Indus water usage, through space and time, on downstream water availability under future climate change and socio-economic development. Future water consumption and relative pressure on water resources will vary greatly across seasons and between the various sub-basins of the upper Indus. During the dry season, the share of surface water required within the upper Indus is high and increasing, and in some transboundary sub-basins future water requirements exceed availability during the critical winter months. In turn this drives spatiotemporal hotspots to emerge in the lower Indus where seasonal water availability is reduced by over 25 % compared to natural conditions. This will play an important, but previously unaccounted for, compounding role in the steep decline of per capita seasonal water availability in the lower Indus in the future, alongside downstream population growth. Increasing consumption in the upper Indus may thus locally lead to water scarcity issues, and increasingly be a driver of downstream water stress during the dry season. Our quantified perspective on the evolving upstream–downstream linkages in the transboundary Indus Basin highlights that long-term shared water management here must account for rapid socio-economic change in the upper Indus and anticipate increasing competition between upstream and downstream riparian states.

A hydro-climatological outlook on the long-term availability of water resources in Cauvery river basin

The past few decades have witnessed massive shifts in land-use patterns, land management practices and water demand in the river basins of peninsular India. Changes in hydrologic regimes of different components of the water cycle pose immense challenge to water security at the catchment scale. This paper provides a comprehensive overview and a quantitative assessment of the long-term availability of water resources in the Cauvery river basin, a major river basin in peninsular India. The Cauvery has been a contentious river for decades regarding water sharing among its riparian states of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. Moreover, the river basin is characterized by extensive regional variability in both surface water and groundwater distributions and has faced acute water management challenges at multiple space and time scales. A descriptive overview of the major water security challenges faced by the basin is presented along with a detailed synthesis of hydrological modelling approaches and statistical methods to assess the basin’s long-term water availability. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model is implemented to evaluate the long-term water balance components at the catchment scale for the period 1951–2016. Decadal Land Use Land Cover (LULC) in the basin for the years 1985, 1995 and 2005 are analysed. The statistical trends in hydrometeorology and extreme climatology of the basin are evaluated at seasonal and annual scales. Seasonal flow behaviour and influence of climate and human activities on streamflow are also assessed. A drought duration analysis is performed to infer about the implications of spatial distribution of water availability across the basin. The results show significant trends in the water balance components and the basin’s hydro-climatology. The LULC analysis shows notable changes in land use patterns due to human activities. Alterations in the predictability and temporal variability of streamflow are observed after the construction of dams which may affect the downstream water availability. This research highlights the importance of comprehensive synthesis of hydrological modelling approaches with hydrological signatures to understand the dynamics of hydrological processes at catchment scale with an objective of providing insights for effective planning and allocation of water resources and judicious management of water demands.

Water sharing policies conditioned on hydrologic variability to inform reservoir operations

Abstract. Water resources infrastructure is critical for energy and food security; however, the development of large-scale infrastructure, such as hydropower dams, may significantly alter downstream flows, potentially leading to water resources management conflicts and disputes. Mutually agreed upon water sharing policies for the operation of existing or new reservoirs is one of the most effective strategies for mitigating conflict, yet this is a complex task involving the estimation of available water, identification of users and demands, procedures for water sharing, etc. A water sharing policy framework that incorporates reservoir operating rules optimization based on conflicting uses and natural hydrologic variability, specifically tailored to drought conditions, is proposed. First, the trade-off between downstream and upstream water availability utilizing multi-objective optimization of reservoir operating rules is established. Next, reservoir operation with the candidate (optimal) rules is simulated, followed by their performance evaluations, and the rule selections for balancing water uses. Subsequently, a relationship between the reservoir operations simulated from the selected rules and drought-specific conditions is built to derive water sharing policies. Finally, the reservoir operating rules are re-optimized to evaluate the effectiveness of the drought-specific water sharing policies. With a case study of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile river, it is demonstrated that the derived water sharing policy can balance GERD power generation and downstream releases, especially in dry conditions, effectively sharing the hydrologic risk in inflow variability among riparian countries. The proposed framework offers a robust approach to inform water sharing policies for sustainable management of water resources.

Evapotranspiration and biogeochemical regulation in a mountain peatland: insights from eddy covariance and ionic balance measurements

Study RegionThe mountainous catchments in the Australian Alps are one of the highest water-yielding regions within a generally dry continent. Peatlands are critical water-regulating components of these catchments, and their response to a changing climate will impact all downstream environments and water availability for human uses. Study FocusMountain peatland ecohydrology, and in particular the role of evapotranspiration, remains incompletely understood. This study focused on evapotranspiration and biogeochemical regulation of “Alpine Sphagnum Bogs”, with a case study at Watchbed Creek peatland. Eddy covariance was used to quantify evapotranspiration and combined with Penman-Monteith-based evapotranspiration to calculate an ‘ecosystem vegetation coefficient’ (KESV). Base-flow evapotranspiration and analyses of Cl−, Na+, Ca2+ and Mg2+ in peatland stream water were used to assess biogeochemical processes. New Hydrological Insights for the RegionThis work demonstrates that evapotranspiration is a major component of the water budget, 26% of annual precipitation. Further, we show how KESV calculated from direct measurements at one site may enable evapotranspiration to be modelled for other mountain catchments. The seasonally dependent nature of the biogeochemical regulation processes observed in this mountain peatland can be used as a reference to evaluate the condition of peatlands under similar synoptic weather conditions. In practice, this means that mountain ecosystem restoration can now be informed by a better understanding of the ecohydrology of these critical high mountain catchments.

Impact of Rainwater Harvesting on Hydrological Processes in a Fragile Watershed of South Asia.

Agricultural water management (AWM) interventions play an important role in ensuring sustainable food production and mitigating climate risks. This study was carried out in a watershed located in a low rainfall (400-600 mm) region of western India. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool model was calibrated using surface runoff, soil loss, and reservoir storage levels, between the year 2000 and 2006. The investigation indicated that the various AWM interventions increased groundwater recharge from 30 mm/year to 80 mm/year and reduced surface runoff from 250 mm/year to 100 mm/year. The intervention structures were refilled two to three times during the monsoon season depending on rainfall intensity and duration. The interventions have the advantage of building a resilient system by enhancing groundwater availability even in dry years, stimulating crop intensification and protecting the landscape from severe erosion. The results indicate that soil erosion has been reduced by more than 75% compared to the nonintervention situation. Moreover, the AWM interventions led to the cultivation of 100-150 ha of fallow land with high-value crops (horticulture, vegetables, and fodder). Household income increased by several folds compared to the nonintervention situation. The study showed about 50% reduction in downstream water availability, which could be a major concern. However, there are a number of ecosystem trade-offs such as improved base flow to the stream and reduction in soil loss that should be considered. The study is of great importance to stakeholders to decide on the optimal design for AWM interventions to achieve sustainable development goals.

Financial Feasibility of Water Conservation in Agriculture

AbstractGlobal water use for food production needs to be reduced to remain within planetary boundaries, yet the financial feasibility of crucial measures to reduce water use is poorly quantified. Here, we introduce a novel method to compare the costs of water conservation measures with the added value that reallocation of water savings might generate if used for expansion of irrigation. Based on detailed water accounting through the use of a high‐resolution hydrology‐crop model, we modify the traditional cost curve approach with an improved estimation of demand and increasing marginal cost per water conservation measure combination, adding a correction to control for impacts on downstream water availability. We apply the method to three major river basins in the Indo‐Gangetic plain (Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra), a major global food producing region but increasingly water stressed. Our analysis shows that at basin level only about 10% (Brahmaputra) to just over 20% (Indus and Ganges) of potential water savings would be realized; the equilibrium price for water is too low to make the majority of water conservation measures cost effective. The associated expansion of irrigated area is moderate, about 7% in the Indus basin, 5% in the Ganges and negligible in the Brahmaputra, but farmers' gross profit increases more substantially, by 11%. Increasing the volumetric cost of irrigation water influences supply and demand in a similar way and has little influence on water reallocation. Controlling for the impact on return flows is important and more than halves the amount of water available for reallocation.

Future projection of cryospheric and hydrologic regimes in Koshi River basin, Central Himalaya, using coupled glacier dynamics and glacio-hydrological models

AbstractClimate-induced cryospheric changes can have a significant impact on the downstream water availability. In this study, the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) and the Glacio-hydrological Degree-day Model (GDM) are integrated to project the response of cryospheric and hydrological systems to climate change until 2100. The study area comprises six sub-basins of glacierized Koshi River basin covering Nepalese and Chinese territories. The output from OGGM is provided as input to GDM along with the spatial and hydro-meteorological data. The average glacier area change in all the sub-basins from 2021 to 2100 is estimated as 65 and 85% decrease and the average glacier volume change is estimated as 76 and 86% decrease for RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, respectively. The future simulated discharge shows an increasing trend in pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons and a decreasing trend in post-monsoon and winter seasons after 2060 in all the sub-basins, which can lead to wetter wet seasons and drier dry seasons in the far future. A shift in peak flow is observed from August to July in most of the sub-basins. The coupled modelling technique used in this study can largely improve our understanding of glacio-hydrological dynamics in the Himalayan region.

Evapotranspiration Estimation for Tibetan Plateau Headwaters Using Conjoint Terrestrial and Atmospheric Water Balances and Multisource Remote Sensing

AbstractSatellite remote sensing combined with water balance calculations provides a promising approach to estimating evapotranspiration (ET), a critical variable in water‐energy exchange. Here we compare ET estimates from terrestrial and atmospheric water balances, multisource remote sensing (AVHRR, GLEAM, and MOD16), and a land surface model (GLDAS NOAH) for headwaters on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), that is, headwaters of the Brahmaputra (HBR), Salween (HSR), Mekong (HMR), Yangtze (HYR), and Huang (Yellow; HHR) Rivers, for the 2003–2012 period. Results show that (1) ET estimated from terrestrial and atmospheric water balances agrees closely in three basins (HMR, HYR, and HHR) but has large discrepancies in the other two basins (HBR and HSR), mainly caused by uncertainties in the terrestrial water balance; (2) agreement between various ET products and water balance‐derived ET baselines is highest for GLEAM in two basins (HMR and HYR) and GLDAS NOAH in another two basins (HSR and HHR); and (3) large discrepancies between water balance‐derived ET and all ET products are found in the most glacierized HBR, which may reflect the importance of sublimation in the ET process. The decadal mean ET based on water balance‐derived ET baselines is highest in the HHR (447 mm/year) and HSR (430 mm/year) and lowest in the HBR (238 mm/year), ranging from 51% to 78% of mean precipitation in the five TP headwaters. These findings have important implications for ET estimation on the TP headwaters, which greatly influences downstream water availability.

Managing Forests for Both Downstream and Downwind Water

Forests and trees are key to solving water availability problems in the face of climate change and to achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. A recent global assessment of forest and water science posed the question: How do forests matter for water? Here we synthesize science from that assessment, which shows that forests and water are an integrated system. We assert that forests, from the tops of their canopies to the base of the soils in which trees are rooted, must be considered a key component in the complex temporal and spatial dimensions of the hydrologic cycle. While it is clear that forests influence both downstream and downwind water availability, their actual impact depends on where they are located and their processes affected by natural and anthropogenic conditions. A holistic approach is needed to manage the connections between forests, water and people in the face of current governance systems that often ignore these connections. We need policy interventions that will lead to forestation strategies that decrease the dangerous rate of loss in forest cover and that – where appropriate – increase the gain in forest cover. We need collective interventions that will integrate transboundary forest and water management to ensure sustainability of water supplies at local, national and continental scales. The United Nations should continue to show leadership by providing forums in which interventions can be discussed, negotiated and monitored, and national governments must collaborate to sustainably manage forests to ensure secure water supplies and equitable and sustainable outcomes.

Spatiotemporal soil moisture variations associated with hydro‐meteorological factors over the Yarlung Zangbo River basin in Southeast Tibetan Plateau

AbstractSoil moisture (SM) is a key factor in the exchanging process of the hydrological cycle, which is rather difficult to be directly observed. In situ measurements on SM, however, are subjected to the point scales. Use of land surface models has been a promising way to explore SM variations, especially for poorly gauged high mountain regions such as the Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) basin located in Southeast Tibetan Plateau. This study made an attempt to investigate the spatiotemporal variations of SM and discuss hydro‐meteorological factors impacting SM evolution based on the Global Land Data Assimilation Systems (GLDAS) outputs during the period 1970–2009. Results show that (a) GLDAS data sets have high agreement and low bias with in situ measurements and consistent spatial distribution with ERA reanalysis data sets; (b) an abrupt change of SM is detected in 1992 and a significantly decreasing trend happens during 1970–2009 and 1993–2009; (c) precipitation is the dominant climatic factor controlling SM during the period 1970–2009, whereas surface air temperature is the critical factor for the significant change of SM. Owing to the significant increasing of surface air temperature since 1992, its impact on SM increased by ∼91% than that before 1992. Evapotranspiration (ET) and snow water equivalent (SWE) are also taken into consideration, showing relatively weak influence on SM, which may be due to the dynamic process of coupled SM‐ET or low snow cover area fraction across the YZR basin. Findings in this study have important implications for SM variations in poorly gauged high mountain regions which may largely influences downstream water availability.

Restoring a Natural Fire Regime Alters the Water Balance of a Sierra Nevada Catchment

AbstractFire suppression in western U.S. mountains has caused dense forests with high water demands to grow. Restoring natural wildfire regimes to these forests could affect hydrology by changing vegetation composition and structure, but the specific effects on water balance are unknown. Mountain watersheds supply water to much of the western United States, so understanding the relationship between fire regime and water yield is essential to inform management. We used a distributed hydrological model to quantify hydrologic response to a restored fire regime in the Illilouette Creek Basin (ICB) within Yosemite National Park, California. Over the past 45 years, as successive fires reduced the ICB's forest cover approximately 25%, model results show that annual streamflow, subsurface water storage, and peak snowpack increased relative to a fire‐suppressed control, while evapotranspiration and climatic water deficit decreased. A second model experiment compared the water balance in the ICB under two vegetation cover scenarios: 2012 vegetation, representing a frequent‐fire landscape, and 1969 vegetation, representing fire suppression. These two model landscapes were run with observed weather data from 1972 to 2017 in order to capture natural variations in precipitation and temperature. This experiment showed that wet years experienced greater fire‐related reductions in evapotranspiration and increases in streamflow, while reductions in climatic water deficit were greater in dry years. Spring snowmelt runoff was higher under burned conditions, while summer baseflow was relatively unaffected. Restoring wildfire to the fire‐suppressed ICB likely increased downstream water availability, shifted streamflows slightly earlier, and reduced water stress to forests.

Spatial and temporal patterns of water salinity in the marginal grabens of Ethiopia's Danakil Depression

AbstractRising salinity is a severe problem associated with land degradation in arid and semiarid regions. This study seeks to understand the spatiotemporal patterns of water salinity and their implication on the downstream water availability in the marginal grabens of northern Ethiopia. We measured the electrical conductivity (EC) of flash floods, baseflows, springs, wells, and lakes. A total of 1,168 samples was collected from 177 spatially distributed water sources (2016–2017). This study shows that there was a significant difference in the EC values of the water points between rainy (1,403 ± 425 μS cm−1) and dry seasons (2,261 ± 258 μS cm−1). Besides, there is an inverse relationship between the river discharges and the runoff EC in the study area. The average value of the water EC was also higher in the limestone area than in the basalt sites. In addition, the water EC increased from the escarpments (396 ± 176 μS cm−1) towards the outlets of the graben basins (1,670 ± 942 μS cm−1). These water EC hotspots in the dry season imply that the river basins are in a closing status due to the erratic rainfall and water extraction by humans. However, the rising water EC and moisture stress endanger the existing agricultural development. Because of the extent and seriousness of salinity, integrated catchment management strategies are needed to tackle the degrading water quality and quantity in the marginal grabens along the northern Ethiopia Rift Valley.

Water Balance Assessment under Different Glacier Coverage Scenarios in the Hunza Basin

The potential impact of glacier recession on river discharge from the Hunza river basin was estimated as an indicator for downstream changes in the Indus river system. The J2000 model was used to analyze the water balance in the basin and simulate the contribution of snow and ice melt to total discharge at present and under three scenarios of glacier recession. Precipitation was corrected using virtual weather stations created at a higher elevation and a precipitation gradient. Snowmelt from the whole basin contributed, on average, 45% of the total river discharge during the modeling period and 47% of the ice melt from the glacier area. Total ice melt declined by 55%, 81%, and 96% under scenarios of glacier recession to 4000, 4500, and 5000 masl, respectively. The contribution of ice melt to river discharge decreased to 29%, 14%, and 4% under the three scenarios, while total discharge from the Hunza river decreased by 28%, 40%, and 46%. The results suggest that glacier recession in the Hunza river basin could have serious implications for downstream water availability. Understanding melt contribution in the basin based on ongoing and projected future climatic change can play a crucial role in future water resource management.