Downscaling Algorithm Research Articles

Development of a Daily Cloud-Free Snow-Cover Dataset Using MODIS-Based Snow-Cover Probability for High Mountain Asia during 2000–2020

Investigating the changes in snow cover caused by climate change is extremely important and has attracted increasing attention in cryosphere and climate research. Optimal remote sensing-based snow datasets can provide long-term daily and global spatial-temporal snow-cover distribution at regional and global scales. However, the application of these snow-cover products is inevitably limited because of the space–time discontinuities caused by cloud obscuration, which poses a significant challenge in snowpack-related studies, especially in High Mountain Asia (HMA), an area that has high-elevation mountains, complex terrain, and harsh environments and has fewer observation stations. To address this issue, we developed an improved five-step hybrid cloud removal strategy by integrating the daily merged snow-cover probability (SCP) algorithm, eight-day merged SCP algorithm, decision tree algorithm, temporal downscaling algorithm, and optimal threshold segmentation algorithm to produce a 21-year, daily cloud-free snow-cover dataset using two daily MODIS snow-cover products over the HMA. The accuracy assessment demonstrated that the newly developed cloud-free snow-cover product achieved a mean overall accuracy of 93.80%, based on daily classified snow depth observations from 86 meteorological stations over 10 years. The time series of the daily percentage of binary snow-cover over HMA was analyzed during this period, indicating that the maximum snow cover tended to change more dramatically than the minimum snow cover. The annual snow-cover duration (SCD) experienced an insignificantly increasing trend over most of the northeastern and southwestern HMA (e.g., Qilian, eastern Kun Lun, the east of Inner Tibet, the western Himalayas, the central Himalayas, and the Hindu Kush) and an insignificant declining trend over most of the northwestern and southeastern HMA (e.g., the eastern Himalayas, Hengduan, the west of Inner Tibet, Pamir, Hissar Alay, and Tien). This new high-quality snow-cover dataset will promote studies on climate systems, hydrological modeling, and water resource management in this remote and cold region.

Spatial downscaling of SMAP soil moisture estimation using multiscale geographically weighted regression during SMAPVEX16

Passive microwave remote sensing missions such as Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) are widely used for global soil moisture (SM) estimation. But the low spatial resolution of passive microwave SM products limits their applications at regional and local scales (normally 1–10 km). Using high-resolution auxiliary data to downscale passive microwave SM products is the primary way to obtain high-resolution SM data. However, the existing SM downscaling methods do not entirely account for the scale differences in the impact of various variables on the distribution of SM. To solve this problem, this paper introduced MGWR (Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression) as a novel way to analyze the scale differences of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST) on the spatial pattern of SM. Accordingly, a new spatial downscaling algorithm for SMAP SM products is proposed and compared with the geographically weighted regression (GWR) algorithm and moving window algorithm (MW). The algorithm was applied to data taken during the SMAP Validation Experiment 2016 (SMAPVEX16), and the downscaled SM evaluated with in situ SM and aircraft observations. These results show that: 1) the SM downscaling conversion function, based on the MGWR, effectively reveals how different surface parameters relate to SM, with LST influencing SM globally and NDVI affecting it locally, 2) compared with GWR and MW, the 1 km SM obtained by the MGWR-based downscaling method showed better spatial agreement with airborne SM in the semiarid region with the ubRMSE decreasing by 0.023 m3/m3 and 0.026 m3/m3 for GWR and MW respectively, 3) when evaluating the 1 km SM with in situ SM in the semiarid region, the SM obtained through MGWR exhibited lower ubRMSE values as compared to both GWR and MW. Specifically, the median ubRMSE values for MGWR, GWR, and MW were 0.043 m3/m3, 0.053 m3/m3, and 0.094 m3/m3, respectively. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that MGWR can effectively improve the accuracy of downscaled SM in semiarid regions.

Downscaling epidemiological time series data for improving forecasting accuracy: An algorithmic approach

Data scarcity and discontinuity are common occurrences in the healthcare and epidemiological dataset and often is needed to form an educative decision and forecast the upcoming scenario. Often to avoid these problems, these data are processed as monthly/yearly aggregate where the prevalent forecasting tools like Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and TBATS often fail to provide satisfactory results. Artificial data synthesis methods have been proven to be a powerful tool for tackling these challenges. The paper aims to propose a novel algorithm named Stochastic Bayesian Downscaling (SBD) algorithm based on the Bayesian approach that can regenerate downscaled time series of varying time lengths from aggregated data, preserving most of the statistical characteristics and the aggregated sum of the original data. The paper presents two epidemiological time series case studies of Bangladesh (Dengue, Covid-19) to showcase the workflow of the algorithm. The case studies illustrate that the synthesized data agrees with the original data regarding its statistical properties, trend, seasonality, and residuals. In the case of forecasting performance, using the last 12 years data of Dengue infection data in Bangladesh, we were able to decrease error terms up to 72.76% using synthetic data over actual aggregated data.

Simple yet efficient downscaling of land surface temperatures by suitably integrating kernel- and fusion-based methods

Kernel-based and fusion-based methods have been widely used to downscale satellite-derived land surface temperatures (LSTs) for obtaining LSTs with high spatiotemporal resolution. The integration of these two methods can potentially provide a more effective method for LST downscaling. However, a downscaling algorithm that appropriately integrates the advantages of these two methods in accuracy and stability, yet is characterized by adequate simplicity, effectiveness, and global applicability, is still lacking. To address this issue, here we proposed the Simple and Effective Downscaling (SED) algorithm, which integrates kernel- and fusion-based methods suitably and uses a single adjacent Landsat image to downscale MODIS LSTs by statistical regression. The SED was tested in 50 different study areas worldwide, and its performance was compared with four benchmark downscaling algorithms, including a kernel-based algorithm (the RFT21), a fusion-based algorithm (the FSDAF), and the simple average (the Hybrid 1) and weighted average (the Hybrid 2) of the RFT21 and the FSDAF. Our evaluations show that the SED performs better in almost all study areas and has finer global applicability when compared with these four benchmark algorithms. The mean RMSE of the SED is 1.29 K over these 50 study regions, with an accuracy improvement of over 13 % relative to the best benchmark algorithm. Particularly, the SED exhibits higher accuracies in tropical and temperate regions, over urban areas and savannas, and when using Landsat images closer to MODIS LSTs. We believe that the SED can contribute to the generation of high-quality and high spatiotemporal resolution LSTs over global lands.

High-resolution RCP scenario for the 21st century in the North-West region of Morocco, future projections for 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100

Climate model simulations of future climate are the basis for adaptation decisions, which the effectiveness will depend on the quality of the models. A set of climate models developed under the CMIP6 project and generated by the spatial bias correction disaggregation method (BCSD) using a statistical downscaling algorithm have been used. These models are used to evaluate the future changes in thermal extremes projected by the climate models over the different time horizons with comparison to the 1981-2000 reference period. These projections are made under the scenario RCP 4.5 (optimistic). The examination of future climate change projections could confirm the result of warming over the entire North West region of Morocco. The increase in temperature could reached an average of 1.8 °C to 2.5 °C just in 2060. In the same sense of warming, the number of hot days and hot nights could increase year by year while a decrease could be noticed in the number of cold days and cold nights. The simulations for the 2080 and 2100 horizons revealed a situation that worsens year by year. The temperature anomaly could reached about 3 °C and more. Thus, a climatic warming may be predicted in the future and generalized over the entire North West region.

Machine-learning-based downscaling of modelled climate change impacts on groundwater table depth

Abstract. There is an urgent demand for assessments of climate change impacts on the hydrological cycle at high spatial resolutions. In particular, the impacts on shallow groundwater levels, which can lead to both flooding and drought, have major implications for agriculture, adaptation, and urban planning. Predicting such hydrological impacts is typically performed using physically based hydrological models (HMs). However, such models are computationally expensive, especially at high spatial resolutions. This study is based on the Danish national groundwater model, set up as a distributed, integrated surface–subsurface model at a 500 m horizontal resolution. Recently, a version at a higher resolution of 100 m was created, amongst others, to better represent the uppermost groundwater table and to meet end-user demands for water management and climate adaptation. However, the increase in resolution of the hydrological model also increases computational bottleneck. To evaluate climate change impacts, a large ensemble of climate models was run with the 500 m hydrological model, while performing the same ensemble run with the 100 m resolution nationwide model was deemed infeasible. The desired outputs at the 100 m resolution were produced by developing a novel, hybrid downscaling method based on machine learning (ML). Hydrological models for five subcatchments, covering around 9 % of Denmark and selected to represent a range of hydrogeological settings, were run at 100 m resolutions with forcings from a reduced ensemble of climate models. Random forest (RF) algorithms were established using the simulated climate change impacts (future – present) on water table depth at 100 m resolution from those submodels as training data. The trained downscaling algorithms were then applied to create nationwide maps of climate-change-induced impacts on the shallow groundwater table at 100 m resolutions. These downscaled maps were successfully validated against results from a validation submodel at a 100 m resolution excluded from training the algorithms, and compared to the impact signals from the 500 m HM across Denmark. The suggested downscaling algorithm also opens for the spatial downscaling of other model outputs. It has the potential for further applications where, for example, computational limitations inhibit running distributed HMs at fine resolutions.

Contribution of Meteorological Downscaling to Skill and Precision of Seasonal Drought Forecasts

AbstractResearch in meteorological prediction on sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales has seen growth in recent years. Concurrent with this, demand for seasonal drought forecasting has risen. While there is obvious synergy between these fields, S2S meteorological forecasting has typically focused on low resolution global models, while the development of drought can be sensitive to the local expression of weather anomalies and their interaction with local surface properties and processes. This suggests that downscaling might play an important role in the application of meteorological S2S forecasts to skillful forecasting of drought. Here, we apply the Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling (GARD) algorithm to downscale meteorological hindcasts from the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) global S2S forecast system. Downscaled meteorological fields are then applied to drive offline simulations with the Catchment Land Surface Model (CLSM) to forecast United States Drought Monitor (USDM) style drought indicators derived from simulated surface hydrology variables. We compare the representation of drought in these downscaled hindcasts to hindcasts that are not downscaled, using the North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2 (NLDAS-2) dataset as an observational reference. We find that downscaling using GARD improves hindcasts of temperature and temperature anomalies, but the results for precipitation are mixed and generally small. Overall, GARD downscaling led to improved hindcast skill for total drought across the Contiguous United States (CONUS), and improvements were greatest for extreme (D3) and exceptional (D4) drought categories.

Increasing the spatial resolution of cloud property retrievals from Meteosat SEVIRI by use of its high-resolution visible channel: evaluation of candidate approaches with MODIS observations

Abstract. This study presents and evaluates several candidate approaches for downscaling observations from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) in order to increase the horizontal resolution of subsequent cloud optical thickness (τ) and effective droplet radius (reff) retrievals from the native ≈3km×3km spatial resolution of the narrowband channels to ≈1km×1km. These methods make use of SEVIRI's coincident broadband high-resolution visible (HRV) channel. For four example cloud fields, the reliability of each downscaling algorithm is evaluated by means of collocated 1 km×1 km MODIS radiances, which are reprojected to the horizontal grid of the HRV channel and serve as reference for the evaluation. By using these radiances, smoothed with the modulation transfer function of the native SEVIRI channels, as retrieval input, the accuracy at the SEVIRI standard resolution can be evaluated and an objective comparison of the accuracy of the different downscaling algorithms can be made. For the example scenes considered in this study, it is shown that neglecting high-frequency variations below the SEVIRI standard resolution results in significant random absolute deviations of the retrieved τ and reff of up to ≈14 and ≈6 µm, respectively, as well as biases. By error propagation, this also negatively impacts the reliability of the subsequent calculation of liquid water path (WL) and cloud droplet number concentration (ND), which exhibit deviations of up to ≈89gm-2 and ≈177cm-3, respectively. For τ, these deviations can be almost completely mitigated by the use of the HRV channel as a physical constraint and by applying most of the presented downscaling schemes. Uncertainties in retrieved reff at the native SEVIRI resolution are smaller, and the improvements from downscaling the observations are less obvious than for τ. Nonetheless, the right choice of downscaling scheme yields noticeable improvements in the retrieved reff. Furthermore, the improved reliability in retrieved cloud products results in significantly reduced uncertainties in derived WL and ND. In particular, one downscaling approach provides clear improvements for all cloud products compared to those obtained from SEVIRI's standard resolution and is recommended for future downscaling endeavors. This work advances efforts to mitigate impacts of scale mismatches among channels of multiresolution instruments on cloud retrievals.

Spatial downscaling of monthly precipitation based on TRMM satellite in Ya’an

In the study of precipitation in ya’an with complex terrain, a statistical downscaling algorithm based on the monthly precipitation data of TRMM 3B43 from 2000 to 2008, digital elevation model (DEM) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was presented. The precipitation fields from TRMM 3B43 were downscaled to l km × l km resolution simulated precipitation by constructing multiple linear regression equation and using regression model and residuals method. Combined with the observation values obtained from 8 weather stations in the study area, the downscaled precipitation was tested in the two aspects of overall accuracy and singel station. On this basis, the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of monthly precipitation in recent 9 years in the study area were analyzed. The results showed that: The correlation coefficients of TRMM before and after downscaling and observation values were 0.863 and 0.854, and the biases were -0.08 and -0.12. The correlation and accuracy of the two types of data were basically consistent on the whole. 75% of the stations had a high correlation with the downscaling results, and the absolute value of the bias of each station was no more than 0.35, which showed that the data accuracy was high, the data was suitable for the precipitation analysis in the research area. The distribution of monthly precipitation in 8 stations over the years showed that the precipitation in the middle of ya’an was concentrated in January and November to December. From February to April and July to August the north received more precipitation than the south, while the opposite was true from May to June and September to October, and the August in the main flood season reached the heaviest rainfall of the year.

Application of the Bias Correction and Spatial Downscaling Algorithm on the Temperature Extremes From CMIP5 Multimodel Ensembles in China

AbstractThe Bias Correction and Spatial Downscaling (BCSD) is a trend‐preserving statistical downscaling algorithm, which has been widely used to generate accurate and high‐resolution data set. We employ the BCSD technique to statistically downscale projected daily maximum temperature (DMT) over China from 13 general circulation models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) project to supplement the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections data set under the Representative Concentration Pathway 2.6 (RCP2.6) scenario. We then compare the differences of DMT and four DMT‐related indices (i.e., summer days (SU), annual maximum value of DMT (TXx), intensity, and frequency of heat wave) between before and after downscaling over eight subregions of China. The results indicate that the BCSD method reduces the cool bias of the DMT over the whole China compared with original CMIP5 simulations, especially over the Qinghai‐Tibet plateau. The SU increases after downscaling for both China as a whole and most subregions except for South China. The BCSD also affects the mean value of TXx, intensity, and frequency of heat wave at subregional scales, although it shows little impact on China as a whole. Besides, the BCSD reduces the temporal variability of most indices except for the heat wave frequency. The most striking finding is that the intermodel spreads of DMT, SU, TXx, and heat wave intensity are dramatically reduced after downscaling compared with raw CMIP5 simulations. In summary, the BCSD method shows significant improvements to original CMIP5 climate projections under RCP2.6 scenario.

Closing the Loop of Satellite Soil Moisture Estimation via Scale Invariance of Hydrologic Simulations

Surface soil moisture plays a crucial role on the terrestrial water, energy, and carbon cycles. Characterizing its variability in space and time is critical to increase our capability to forecast extreme weather events, manage water resources, and optimize agricultural practices. Global estimates of surface soil moisture are provided by satellite sensors, but at coarse spatial resolutions. Here, we show that the resolution of satellite soil moisture products can be increased to scales representative of ground measurements by reproducing the scale invariance properties of soil moisture derived from hydrologic simulations at hyperresolutions of less than 100 m. Specifically, we find that surface soil moisture is scale invariant over regimes extending from a satellite footprint to 100 m. We use this evidence to calibrate a statistical downscaling algorithm that reproduces the scale invariance properties of soil moisture and test the approach against 1-km aircraft remote sensing products and through comparisons of downscaled satellite products to ground observations. We demonstrate that hyperresolution hydrologic models can close the loop of satellite soil moisture downscaling for local applications such as agricultural irrigation, flood event prediction, and drought and fire management.

Investigation of SMAP Active–Passive Downscaling Algorithms Using Combined Sentinel-1 SAR and SMAP Radiometer Data

The aim of this paper was to test the capabilities of the Sentinel-1 radar data in downscaling Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) radiometer data for high-resolution soil moisture estimation. Three different active–passive downscaling algorithms, including the brightness temperature-based downscaling algorithm (BTBDA), the soil moisture-based downscaling algorithm (SMBDA), and a change detection method (CDM), were analyzed using pairs of Sentinel-1 active and SMAP passive observations collected over a semiarid landscape in southeastern Australia from May 2015 to May 2016. While these algorithms have been tested previously, this is the first study to evaluate the three algorithms using real Sentinel-1 radar and SMAP radiometer data. The SMAP passive observations were disaggregated to 9-, 3-, and 1-km scales and then compared with ground soil moisture measurements. The results suggest that the root-mean-square error (RMSE) in downscaled soil moisture at 9-km resolution was 0.057, 0.056, and 0.067 cm3/cm3 for the BTBDA, SMBDA, and CDM, respectively. The accuracy of downscaling methods was generally decreased when applied at the finer spatial resolution. The SMBDA had overall better performance in terms of correctly detecting the soil moisture pattern and relatively lower RMSE values, and is, therefore, recommended for the combined Sentinel-1 radar and SMAP radiometer setup for soil moisture monitoring. The influence of incidence angle normalization of Sentinel-1 SAR data on downscaled soil moisture was also investigated and found to be minimal.

Spatial Downscaling of Satellite Precipitation Data in Humid Tropics Using a Site-Specific Seasonal Coefficient

This paper described the development of a spatial downscaling algorithm to produce finer grid resolution for satellite precipitation data (0.05°) in humid tropics. The grid resolution provided by satellite precipitation data (>0.25°) was unsuitable for practical hydrology and meteorology applications in the high hydrometeorological dynamics of Southeast Asia. Many downscaling algorithms have been developed based on significant seasonal relationships, without vegetation and climate conditions, which were inapplicable in humid, equatorial, and tropical regions. Therefore, we exploited the potential of the low variability of rainfall and monsoon characteristics (period, location, and intensity) on a local scale, as a proxy to downscale the satellite precipitation grid and its corresponding rainfall estimates. This study hypothesized that the ratio between the satellite precipitation and ground rainfall in the low-variance spatial rainfall pattern and seasonality region of humid tropics can be used as a coefficient (constant value) to spatially downscale future satellite precipitation datasets. The spatial downscaling process has two major phases: the first is the derivation of the high-resolution coefficient (0.05°), and the second is applying the coefficient to produce the high-resolution precipitation map. The first phase utilized the long-term bias records (1998–2008) between the high-resolution areal precipitation (0.05°) that was derived from dense network of ground precipitation data and re-gridded satellite precipitation data (0.05°) from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) to produce the site-specific coefficient (SSC) for each individual pixel. The outcome of the spatial downscaling process managed to produce a higher resolution of the TRMM data from 0.25° to 0.05° with a lower bias (average: 18%). The trade-off for the process was a small decline in the correlation between TRMM and ground rainfall. Our results indicate that the SSC downscaled method can be used to spatially downscale satellite precipitation data in humid, tropical regions, where the seasonal rainfall is consistent.

Point Downscaling of Surface Wind Speed for Forecast Applications

AbstractA statistical downscaling algorithm is introduced to forecast surface wind speed at a location. The downscaling algorithm consists of resolved and unresolved components to yield a time series of synthetic wind speeds at high time resolution. The resolved component is a bias-corrected numerical weather prediction model forecast of the 10-m wind speed at the location. The unresolved component is a simulated time series of the high-frequency component of the wind speed that is trained to match the variance and power spectral density of wind observations at the location. Because of the stochastic nature of the unresolved wind speed, the downscaling algorithm may be repeated to yield an ensemble of synthetic wind speeds. The ensemble may be used to generate probabilistic predictions of the sustained wind speed or wind gusts. Verification of the synthetic winds produced by the downscaling algorithm indicates that it can accurately predict various features of the observed wind, such as the probability distribution function of wind speeds, the power spectral density, daily maximum wind gust, and daily maximum sustained wind speed. Thus, the downscaling algorithm may be broadly applicable to any application that requires a computationally efficient, accurate way of generating probabilistic forecasts of wind speed at various time averages or forecast horizons.

Spatial Downscaling of TRMM Precipitation Data Using an Optimal Subset Regression Model with NDVI and Terrain Factors in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China

High accuracy, high spatial resolution precipitation data is important for understanding basin-scale hydrology and the spatiotemporal distributions of regional precipitation. The objective of this study was to develop a reliable statistical downscaling algorithm to produce high quality, high spatial resolution precipitation products from Tropical Rainfall Monitoring Mission (TRMM) 3B43 data over the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin using an optimal subset regression (OSR) model combined with multiple topographical factors, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and observational data from rain gauge stations. After downscaling, the bias between TRMM 3B43 and rain gauge data decreased considerably from 0.397 to 0.109, the root-mean-square error decreased from 235.16 to 124.60 mm, and the r2 increased from 0.54 to 0.61, indicating significant improvement in the spatial resolution and accuracy of the TRMM 3B43 data. Moreover, the spatial patterns of both precipitation rates of change and their corresponding p value statistics were consistent between the downscaled results and the original TRMM 3B43 during the 2001–2014 period, which verifies that the downscaling method performed well in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin. Its high performance in downscaling precipitation was also proven by comparing with other models. All of these findings indicate that the proposed approach greatly improved the quality and spatial resolution of TRMM 3B43 rainfall products in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, for which rain gauge data is limited. The potential of the post-real-time Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) downscaled precipitation product was also demonstrated in this study.

Spatial downscaling algorithm of TRMM precipitation based on multiple high-resolution satellite data for Inner Mongolia, China

Daily precipitation data from 42 stations in Inner Mongolia, China for the 10 years period from 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2010 was utilized along with downscaled data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) with a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° for the same period based on the statistical relationships between the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), meteorological variables, and digital elevation models (DEM) using the leave-one-out (LOO) cross validation method and multivariate step regression. The results indicate that (1) TRMM data can indeed be used to estimate annual precipitation in Inner Mongolia and there is a linear relationship between annual TRMM and observed precipitation; (2) there is a significant relationship between TRMM-based precipitation and predicted precipitation, with a spatial resolution of 0.50° × 0.50°; (3) NDVI and temperature are important factors influencing the downscaling of TRMM precipitation data for DEM and the slope is not the most significant factor affecting the downscaled TRMM data; and (4) the downscaled TRMM data reflects spatial patterns in annual precipitation reasonably well, showing less precipitation falling in west Inner Mongolia and more in the south and southeast. The new approach proposed here provides a useful alternative for evaluating spatial patterns in precipitation and can thus be applied to generate a more accurate precipitation dataset to support both irrigation management and the conservation of this fragile grassland ecosystem.

Statistical downscaling for future extreme wave heights in the North Sea

For safe offshore operations, accurate knowledge of the extreme oceanographic conditions is required. We develop a multi-step statistical downscaling algorithm using data from a low resolution global climate model (GCM) and local-scale hindcast data to make predictions of the extreme wave climate in the next 50-year period at locations in the North Sea. The GCM is unable to produce wave data accurately so instead we use its 3-hourly wind speed and direction data. By exploiting the relationships between wind characteristics and wave heights, a downscaling approach is developed to relate the large and local-scale data sets, and hence future changes in wind characteristics can be translated into changes in extreme wave distributions. We assess the performance of the methods using within sample testing and apply the method to derive future design levels over the northern North Sea.

Downscaling annual precipitation with TMPA and land surface characteristics in China

ABSTRACTVery high‐resolution (∼1 km) precipitation datasets are needed in various applications, especially in the hydrological, environmental, agricultural, and biological fields, although they also have major roles in the climate sciences. Nevertheless, various studies have concurred that the spatial distribution of precipitation is influenced by land surface characteristics through non‐stationary relationships, and that this characteristic is generally not considered fully by either global or local models using fixed combinations of variables (e.g. the normalized difference vegetation index and/or digital elevation models). This study introduced a new spatial downscaling algorithm, a divide‐and‐conquer method (called Cubist), to downscale Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite precipitation data over China from 2000 to 2015. In this endeavour, we considered the non‐stationary relationships between precipitation and land surface characteristics at various scales and derived the following conclusions: (1) The relationships and related variables explaining the spatial distribution of precipitation varied with spatial scale. (2) The Cubist algorithm achieved greater accuracy than Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR) models, and it was found to compensate for the disadvantages of MLR overestimation and underestimation at low and high values, respectively. (3) In downscaling, the monthly Version 7 TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) datasets over China, the entire study area was separated into subregions driven by spatial datasets according to geographic similarities, which were similar to Chinese rainfall zones.

Realization of daily evapotranspiration in arid ecosystems based on remote sensing techniques

Abstract. Daily evapotranspiration is a major component of water resources management plans. In arid ecosystems, the quest for an efficient water budget is always hard to achieve due to insufficient irrigational water and high evapotranspiration rates. Therefore, monitoring of daily evapotranspiration is a key practice for sustainable water resources management, especially in arid environments. Remote sensing techniques offered a great help to estimate the daily evapotranspiration on a regional scale. Existing open-source algorithms proved to estimate daily evapotranspiration comprehensively in arid environments. The only deficiency of these algorithms is the course scale of the used remote sensing data. Consequently, the adequate downscaling algorithm is a compulsory step to rationalize an effective water resources management plan. Daily evapotranspiration was estimated fairly well using an Advance Along-Track Scanner Radiometer (AATSR) in conjunction with (MEdium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) MERIS data acquired in July 2013 with 1 km spatial resolution and 3 days of temporal resolution under a surface energy balance system (SEBS) model. Results were validated against reference evapotranspiration ground truth values using standardized Penman–Monteith method with R2 of 0.879. The findings of the current research successfully monitor turbulent heat fluxes values estimated from AATSR and MERIS data with a temporal resolution of 3 days only in conjunction with reliable meteorological data. Research verdicts are necessary inputs for a well-informed decision-making processes regarding sustainable water resource management.

Spatial downscaling of TRMM‐based precipitation data using vegetative response in Xinjiang, China

ABSTRACTStation‐based observed precipitation data are available in a limited way and only at low spatial resolution. High‐resolution satellite rainfall products can help to monitor precipitation changes over large areas. The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B43 (TRMM 3B43) precipitation data with coarse spatial resolution and low data accuracy are capable of depicting the spatial variability of precipitation, but fail to estimate the accurate magnitude. These data available in Xinjiang, China, need to be evaluated, especially because Xinjiang has a complex terrain and application of such data becomes a challenging task. Based on the relation between precipitation and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), a proxy for vegetation, a new statistical downscaling algorithm is proposed in this study. The calibration was based on geographical difference analysis (GDA) and the monthly fractions derived from the un‐calibrated TRMM data can be used to disaggregate high‐resolution annual precipitation to high‐resolution monthly precipitation. The accuracy of downscaled TRMM precipitation was evaluated based on station‐based observed precipitation for a period of 1998–2010. Results indicated that: (1) optimal relations shown by R2 between TRMM precipitation and NDVI at different temporal and spatial scales were different: the largest R2 value was 0.69 for the period of 1998–2010 at a spatial resolution of 1.00° × 1.00°, was 0.70 for the dry year (2001 in this study) at a spatial resolution of 0.75° × 0.75°, and was 0.67 for the wet year (2010 in this study) at a spatial resolution of 1.25° × 1.25°; (2) the downscaled TRMM precipitation data obtained using NDVI described spatial patterns of precipitation reasonably well at a spatial resolution of 8 km × 8 km with more detailed information when compared to the raw TRMM precipitation at a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25°; (3) the downscaled TRMM precipitation with GDA calibration, PDSGDA, can exclude the regions with irrigation‐ and/or ground water‐induced vegetation coverage. Therefore, PDSGDA obtained in this study can be regarded as estimated alternative precipitation data across Xinjiang for management of water resources and agricultural irrigation activities.