In spite of the best efforts of foundry engineers, many castings contain defects and need to be rejected, repaired, or recycled (remelted). This leads to an unnecessary wastage of production resources, reduced productivity, and delayed supply of parts to customers. The defects can be significantly reduced by identifying and controlling the relevant parameters (related to process and composition), through the application of comprehensive domain knowledge. This is, however, a challenging task since the above parameters vary within a wide range, and it is difficult to determine the specific range of values that should be avoided to prevent the defects. In this paper, we present a Bayesian inference-based methodology for analysis and reduction of casting defects. The data related to process parameters and chemical composition of alloy, as well as the number of defective castings, is collected from a foundry. The values of posterior probability of each input parameter are computed using Bayesian inference to identify the most influencing parameters and the avoidable range of their values. The system was successfully tested on real-life data obtained from an industrial investment-casting foundry, leading to significant reduction in rejection rate of cast parts. The proposed methodology, implemented using Microsoft Excel, was found to be easy to use by practicing engineers, without any training or customizing, and can therefore be applied to any investment-casting foundry.
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