Abstract Background Crohn’s disease (CD) is a chronic inflammatory disease that is prone to complications such as intestinal obstruction and perforation, which often require surgical treatments. Massive postoperative gastrointestinal bleeding (MPGB) is a severe complication with a high mortality rate, deteriorating postoperative recovery and disease prognosis. However, there are few related studies and it lacks effective prevention measures. Therefore, we conducted a multicenter study to explore the risk factors for MPGB in CD patients. Methods This study was a multicenter retrospective case-control study. Inclusion criteria included: patients diagnosed with CD; aged over 16 years old; underwent gastrointestinal surgery. Exclusion criteria included: patients with massive gastrointestinal bleeding before surgery. Massive gastrointestinal bleeding is defined as: hemodynamic impairment, requiring active fluid resuscitation; decreased hemoglobin concentration, requiring blood transfusion or surgical treatment; with symptoms of gastrointestinal bleeding. The included patients were divided into a case group and a control group. By comparing medical information between two groups, risk factors for MPGB were identified through logistic regression analysis, and a nomogram was constructed. Results From January 2018 to February 2024, a total of 170 CD patients were included, including 34 patients with MPGB and 136 matched controls. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that for albumin (P=0.001, OR=0.89), nutrition risk screening (NRS2002) scale (P=0.003, OR=1.61), predictive nutritional index (PNI) (P=0.005, OR=0.92), number of previous surgeries (P<0.001, OR=2.39), history of gastrointestinal bleeding (P<0.001, OR=8.75), international normalized ratio (INR) (P=0.004, OR=1.60), and abnormal liver function (P=0.049, OR=6.29) (P<0.05), the difference between two groups was statistically significant. Multivariate logistic regression analysis further revealed that NRS2002 (P=0.022, OR=1.53), history of gastrointestinal bleeding (P=0.005, OR=5.71), number of previous surgeries (P<0.001, OR=2.43), and INR (P=0.011, OR=1.61) were associated with an increased risk of MPGB. Based on these results, a nomogram was constructed. The training and validation group achieved an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.87 and 0.73 respectively with well-fitted Hosmer-Lemeshow calibration curves. Conclusion The risk of MPGB in CD patients will be increased with a history of gastrointestinal bleeding, more previous surgeries, a higher NRS2002 score, and a higher INR value. Strengthening the perioperative nutritional status management of CD patients may prevent the MPGB. Besides, we conduct a nomogram model, which can effectively predict the risk of MPGB in CD patients.
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