Background: The prevalence of patent foramen ovale (PFO) among patients with cryptogenic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) is higher than that in the general population. Closure is often recommended in such patients, but it is not known whether this intervention really reduces the risk of recurrent neurological events (RNE). Objectives: The purpose of this study was to conduct a meta-analysis to evaluate the risk of RNE after PFO closure or medical therapy in patients with cryptogenic stroke or TIA due to presumed paradoxical thromboembolism. Search methods: Two independent reviewers searched MEDLINE and extracted data from observational and randomized controlled trials comparing PFO closure and medical therapy to prevent RNE. Intention-to treat analysis was used to extract data. Data collection and analysis: RevMan 5.2 (Nordic Cochrane Center, Copenhagen, Denmark) was used to pool the results of individual studies. The random effects model was applied. The effect size was presented using the risk ratio (RR). Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic. Results: Thirteen comparative observational and 3 randomized studies were identified in this analysis, including 2263 patients treated with PFO closure (94% using percutaneous device) and 2789 patients who received medical therapy. Overall, PFO closure reduced the number of patients with RNE by 50% (RR 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.29–0.86, p = 0.01), with statistically significant heterogeneity among the studies (I2 = 70%, p < 0.0001). In comparative observational studies, closure was superior to medical therapy (RR 0.40, 95% CI 0.20-0.81; p = 0.01). The incidence of events for the control arm of the randomized trials trial was lower than the summary estimate from observational studies; thus, there was no significant benefit of closure over medical treatment (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.56-1.32; p = 0.49). Conclusions: Although further randomized trial data are needed to precisely determine the effects of closure on stroke or TIA recurrence, the results of available randomized controlled trials challenge the credibility of a substantial body of observational evidence strongly favoring mechanical closure over medical therapy in secondary prevention of cryptogenic neurological events.
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