Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Recurrence-Free Survival after Postoperative Hormone Therapy for Catamenial Pneumothorax.

Catamenial pneumothorax (CP) is a rare form of spontaneous pneumothorax that is linked to endometriosis; thus, it predominantly manifests in women of reproductive age. Considerable research has explored the potential benefits of postoperative hormone therapy following various surgical interventions. This study was performed to examine the clinical implications of postoperative hormone treatment in patients with CP. The study included patients who underwent surgical intervention for CP between November 2009 and February 2023. These procedures included wedge resection, diaphragm resection, and total pleural coverage. Recurrence-free survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier log-rank test to assess the impact of hormone therapy. Additionally, Cox proportional hazards analysis was employed to identify risk factors associated with postoperative CP recurrence. The study included 41 patients, with a median age of 38.4 years. Among them, 27 individuals received hormone therapy, 8 of whom experienced recurrence during a median follow-up period of 1 year. Patients who received hormone therapy exhibited a lower rate of recurrence than those who did not; however, the difference was not statistically significant, likely due to the small sample size. Side effects of hormone therapy included depression (6.8%), excessive sweating (3.4%), and headache (3.4%). In the analysis of risk factors for postoperative recurrence, diaphragm resection emerged as a protective factor (hazard ratio, 0.16; 95% confidence interval, 0.03-0.77; p=0.022). Hormone treatment combined with surgery did not significantly impact recurrence in patients with CP. The application of diaphragm resection was the sole factor that displayed significance in preventing CP recurrence.

Gene Expression Changes Associated With Recurrence After Gross Total Resection of Newly Diagnosed World Health Organization Grade 1 Meningioma.

Patients who undergo gross total resection (GTR) of Central Nervous System World Health Organization (WHO) grade 1 meningioma constitute a "low-risk" group, but some low-risk meningiomas can recur despite reassuring clinical and histological features. In this study, gene expression values in newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that had undergone GTR were evaluated for their association with recurrence. This was a retrospective, international, multicenter cohort study that included WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR, as first treatment, based on postoperative magnetic resonance imaging. Normalized gene expression values from a previously validated 34-gene panel were evaluated for their association with recurrence. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, and K-means clustering were performed to assess the association of genes of interest with recurrence and identify molecular subgroups among clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas. In total, 442 patients with WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR and had available gene expression profiling data were included in the study. The median follow-up was 5.0 years (interquartile range 2.6-7.7 years), local recurrence occurred in 36 patients (8.1%), 5-year local freedom from recurrence was 90.5%, and median time to recurrence was 2.9 years (range 0.5-10.7 years). Eleven genes were associated with local recurrence, including lower expression of ARID1B, ESR1, LINC02593, PGR, and TMEM30B and higher expression of CDK6, CDKN2C, CKS2, KIF20A, PGK1, and TAGLN. Of these genes, PGK1 had the largest effect size. K-means clustering based on these 11 genes distinguished 2 molecular groups of clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas with significant differences in local freedom from recurrence (hazard ratio 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.1, P = .016). Gene expression profiling may help to identify newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that have an elevated risk of recurrence despite GTR.

Addressing the Neck: An NCDB Study of Clinically Node-Negative Supraglottic Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Identify the proportion of patients undergoing elective neck dissection (END) in surgically managed supraglottic squamous cell carcinoma (SCCa), assess associations between patient, tumor, and treatment factors with END, and assess associations between neck management and overall survival (OS). Retrospective study. National Cancer Database (NCDB) 2019 Participant User File. Patients with previously untreated, clinically node-negative (cN0) supraglottic SCCa treated with partial laryngectomy were queried from NCDB. Patients without known neck management and who underwent total laryngectomy were excluded. Patient and tumor factors associated with END were evaluated by logistic regression analysis. Univariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine associations between patient factors and OS, and factors with P < .05 were included on multivariable analysis. A total of 1352 patients met eligibility criteria. Eight hundred eleven (60%) patients had END performed with occult nodal metastasis identified in 177 (22%) patients. END was more likely to be performed at academic centers than nonacademic centers (odds ratio: [1.66], 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-2.09, P < .001). On multivariable analysis, patients who underwent adjuvant radiation had worse OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.13-3.29, P = .017). END was associated with improved OS overall on univariable analysis (HR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.69-0.98, P = .026), but not on multivariable analysis. In this NCDB study, 22% of cN0 supraglottic SCCa patients had occult nodal metastatic disease. Despite this, 40% of patients do not receive END at the time of primary resection. Patients who receive END for supraglottic SCCa are more likely to avoid adjuvant radiation without impacting OS.

Concomitant sarcopenia and undernutrition: Impact on clinical outcomes in patients undergoing hemodialysis

BackgroundSarcopenia and undernutrition are crucial in the cycle of frailty in patients requiring hemodialysis therapy, and their deleterious clinical consequences are well documented. However, little attention has been directed towards examining their combined impact on clinical outcomes. ObjectiveThis study aimed to elucidate the effects of concomitant sarcopenia and undernutrition on clinical outcomes in patients undergoing hemodialysis. MethodsThis prospective cohort study recruited outpatients undergoing hemodialysis from four facilities. Sarcopenia was diagnosed according to the criteria of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia, 2019. Undernutrition was determined using the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, with a score of < 92 classified as undernutrition. Patients were classified into four groups according to the presence or absence of sarcopenia and undernutrition. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess the independent association between concomitant sarcopenia and undernutrition, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular (CV) events after adjusting for baseline characteristics. ResultsWe included 450 patients in this analysis. Of the 450 patients, 69 (15.3%) had concomitant sarcopenia and undernutrition. The mean follow-up period was 1,067 days, and there were 61 deaths and 60 CV events. The cumulative survival rate was significantly lower in the sarcopenia with undernutrition group (P=0.011). The overlap of sarcopenia and undernutrition was significantly associated with a risk of mortality (hazard ratio 2.10; 95% confidence interval 1.05-4.21; P=0.037). However, no association was observed between the co-occurrence of sarcopenia and undernutrition and the risk of CV events. ConclusionsConcomitant sarcopenia and undernutrition were significantly associated with an increased mortality risk among patients undergoing hemodialysis. This finding reaffirms the importance of managing sarcopenia and undernutrition in patients undergoing hemodialysis in daily clinical practice.

Optimal Medical Therapy and OutcomesAmong Patients With ChronicHeartFailure With Reduced EjectionFraction.

Optimal medical therapy (OMT) scoring may stratify clinical risk in real-world chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) by integrating use and dosing of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) for HFrEF. The purpose of this study was to characterize patients and associated long-term clinical outcomes by OMT score-derived treatment groups. CHAMP-HF (Change the Management of Patients with HeartFailure) included U.S. outpatients with chronic HFrEF receiving≥1 GDMT. OMT subgroups were defined as suboptimal (score<3), acceptable (score=3), and optimal (score≥4) by baseline use and dose of GDMT, as proposed by the HF Collaboratory consortium. Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess for all-cause and cardiovascular death across subgroups, after adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates. The authors studied 4,582 participants enrolled in CHAMP-HF with available 2-year follow-up. Median age was 68 years, 1,327 (29%) were women, and 2,842 (62%) were White, non-Hispanic. Median OMT score across the population was 4 (Q1-Q3: 2-5), and 1,628 (35%) had suboptimal, 665 (14%) had acceptable, and 2,289 (50%) had optimal therapy. Participants with optimal treatment were younger, had higher annual household income, and were enrolled from practices with dedicated HF clinics (all P< 0.001) than participants with acceptable or suboptimal treatment. Participants with optimal treatment had lower all-cause death (adjusted HR: 0.77; 95%CI: 0.64-0.92) and cardiovascular death (adjusted HR: 0.79; 95%CI: 0.65-0.96) than those with suboptimal treatment. Across a large cohort of chronic ambulatory HFrEF, OMT scores stratified risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death.

Non-adherence to recommended adjuvant radiation after total laryngectomy

ObjectivesInvestigate trends and associated factors in guideline adherence to adjuvant radiation therapy in locally advanced laryngeal and hypopharyngeal cancer after primary total laryngectomy (TL). MethodsPreviously untreated, non-metastatic patients who underwent TL for pathologic T4 larynx or hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) were queried using the National Cancer Database (NCDB). Patients were excluded if they had regional or distant metastasis or positive margins. Patient characteristics were evaluated for association with non-adherence to adjuvant radiation by logistic regression analysis. Association between non-adherence and overall survival (OS) was investigated by Cox proportional hazard analysis. ResultsAmong 2823 eligible T4 N0 patients, 841 (29.8 %) did not receive adjuvant radiation. Associated factors include increasing age, a Charlson Comorbidity Index of 2, greater per-mile distance to treatment center, and treatment at an academic cancer center. Delivery of adjuvant radiation was associated with improved OS on multivariable (HR 0.82, 95 % CI 0.72–0.93) analysis. ConclusionsWithin the NCDB, non-adherence to adjuvant radiation treatment after TL for pathologically T4 N0 larynx and hypopharynx SCC is common. Older patients with more comorbidities and greater travel distance may be at higher risk for non-adherence. Treatment at an academic cancer center is associated with non-adherence to recommended adjuvant radiation. Lack of adjuvant radiation is associated with worse overall survival.

Adiponectin-to-leptin ratio and incident chronic kidney disease: Sex and body composition-dependent association.

The association between the adiponectin-to-leptin ratio (A/L ratio) and the risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) is poorly understood. This study aimed to investigate the association between A/L ratio and the risk of incident CKD and to examine whether such a relationship varied according to sex and body composition. In this prospective community-based cohort, participants with normal kidney function were analysed (N=5192). The association between the A/L ratio at baseline and the risk of incident CKD, defined as two or more occasions with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of <60mL/min/m2 or proteinuria of ≥1+ on a dipstick test during the follow-up period, was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on sex, body mass index (BMI) and the presence of sarcopenia. The participants' mean age was 57.2±8.3years, and 53.2% were women. The A/L ratio was higher in men compared with women (1.5 [0.8-3.2] and 0.5 [0.3-0.9] μg/ng, P<0.001). During a median follow-up of 9.8 [9.5-10.0] years, 417 incident CKD events occurred (8.7 per 1000 person-years). Men in the highest quartile of A/L ratio had a lower risk of incident CKD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.33-0.99) than those in the lowest quartile. Additionally, a 1.0 increase in A/L ratio was associated with a 12% decreased risk of incident CKD in men (aHR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.80-0.97). However, no significant association was observed in women. In subgroup analysis stratified by BMI and the presence of sarcopenia, the association between a high A/L ratio and a reduced risk of incident CKD was consistent in men with a BMI<23.0kg/m2 and those with sarcopenia. However, no significant association was observed between men with a BMI≥23.0kg/m2 and those without sarcopenia. A high A/L ratio is an independent marker of a reduced risk of incident CKD in men, especially in those with a BMI<23.0kg/m2 and sarcopenia.

Machine learning-derived prognostic signature for progression-free survival in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Early detection of high-risk nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) recurrence is essential. We created a machine learning-derived prognostic signature (MLDPS) by combining three machine learning (ML) models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with non-metastatic NPC. A cohort of 653 patients with non-metastatic NPC was divided into a training (n = 457) and validation (n = 196) dataset (7:3 ratio). The study included clinicopathological characteristics, hematologic markers, and MRI findings in three machine learning models-random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-to predict progression-free survival (PFS). A Venn diagram identified the overlapping signatures from the three ML algorithms. Cox proportional hazard analysis determined the MLDPS for PFS. The RF, XGBoost, and LASSO algorithms identified six consensus factors from the 33 signatures. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the MLDPS includes age, lymphocyte count, number of positive lymph nodes, and regional lymph node density. Additionally, MLDPS effectively stratified prognosis, with low-risk individuals showing better PFS than high-risk individuals (p < 0.001). MLDPS, based on clinicopathological characteristics, hematologic markers, and MRI findings, is crucial for guiding clinical management and personalizing treatments for patients with non-metastatic NPC.

Outcome 1 year after ICH: Data from the Tranexamic acid for IntraCerebral Haemorrhage 2 (TICH-2) trial.

The Tranexamic acid for IntraCerebral Haemorrhage-2 (TICH-2) trial reported no significant improvement in death and dependency at day 90 despite reductions in haematoma expansion, early neurological deterioration and early death. However, significant recovery after stroke, particularly intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), may take more than 3 months. Here we report the participant outcomes at 1 year after stroke. TICH-2 was a prospective randomised controlled trial that tested the efficacy and safety of tranexamic acid in spontaneous ICH when given within 8 h of onset. Patients with ICH on anticoagulation were excluded. Centralised blinded telephone follow up was performed for patients from the United Kingdom at 1 year. The primary outcome was modified Rankin Scale at 1 year. Secondary outcomes included Barthel index, Telephone Interview Cognitive Status-modified, EuroQoL-5D and Zung Depression Scale. This was a prespecified secondary analysis of the TICH-2 trial. About 2325 patients were recruited into the trial (age 68.9 ± 13.8 years; 1301 male, 56%). About 1910 participants (82.2%) were eligible for day 365 follow up. 57 patients (3.0%) were lost to follow up. Tranexamic acid did not reduce the risk of poor functional outcome at 1 year (adjusted OR 0.91 95% CI 0.77-1.09; p = 0.302). However, Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed significant survival benefit in the tranexamic acid group (adjusted HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70-0.99; p = 0.038). There was no difference in functional outcome at 1 year after ICH. Tranexamic acid may reduce mortality at 1 year without an increase in severely dependent survivors. But this should be interpreted with caution as this is a result of secondary analysis in a neutral trial.

Elevated resting heart rate is associated with mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease

A higher heart rate is recognized as an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in the general population. However, the association between elevated heart rate and clinical adverse outcomes in patients with non-dialysis-dependent chronic kidney disease (CKD) has not been sufficiently investigated. A total of 1353 participants enrolled in the Fukushima CKD Cohort Study were examined to investigate associations between resting heart rate and clinical adverse outcomes using Cox proportional hazards analysis. The primary outcome of the present study was all-cause mortality, with cardiovascular events as the secondary outcome. Participants were stratified into four groups based on resting heart rate levels at baseline (heart rate < 70/min, ≥ 70 and < 80/min, ≥ 80 and < 90/min, and ≥ 90/min). During the median observation period of 4.9 years, 123 participants died, and 163 cardiovascular events occurred. Compared with the reference level heart rate < 70/min group, the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause mortality were 1.74 (1.05–2.89) and 2.61 (1.59–4.29) for the heart rate ≥ 80 and < 90/min group and heart rate ≥ 90/min group, respectively. A significantly higher risk of cardiovascular events was observed in the heart rate ≥ 80/min and < 90/min group (adjusted HR 1.70, 1.10–2.62), but not in the heart rate ≥ 90/min group (adjusted HR 1.45, 0.90–2.34). In patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD, a higher resting heart rate was associated with increased all-cause mortality.

The Impact of Adjuvant Chemotherapy on the Long-Term Prognosis of Breast Malignant Phyllodes Tumors: A Propensity Score-Matched Study.

Malignant phyllodes tumors (MPTs) are rare breast tumors with high risks of local recurrence and distant metastasis. Surgical intervention is the primary treatment, but the effectiveness of adjuvant therapies is uncertain. This study was designed to analyze the prognostic risk factors associated with MPTs and evaluate the efficacy of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy. Patients who were first diagnosed with MPT without distant metastasis and received R0 resection surgery between 1999 and 2023 were included in the present study and stratified into 2 groups: chemotherapy and nonchemotherapy groups. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline characteristics between groups. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and overall survival (OS). Cox proportional hazards analyses (univariate and multivariate) were conducted to identify prognostic risk factors. We conducted a study involving 145 patients, 31 of whom underwent a total of 12 different chemotherapy regimens following initial surgical resection. Most patients received chemotherapy regimens primarily consisting of anthracyclines, including anthracycline + ifosfamide (AI) or anthracycline + cyclophosphamide/docetaxel (AC-T) regimens. After a median follow-up of 54.5 months, 37 (25.5%) patients experienced local recurrence and 24 (16.6%) experienced distant metastasis. No significant difference was detected in the rates of local recurrence or distant metastasis between the 2 groups. Axillary lymph node positivity was the only risk factor for LRFS, whereas older age, larger tumors, axillary lymph node positivity, local recurrence, and distant metastasis were significantly associated with worse OS. Chemotherapy did not emerge as a protective factor for LRFS (P=.501) or OS (P=.854). After PSM, patients in the chemotherapy group did not exhibit better 5-year LRFS (P=.934) or 5-year OS (P=.328). According to our retrospective evaluation, postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy was not associated with improved survival in patients with MPTs without distant metastasis.

Tumour budding, MELF-pattern and tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes as possible pathomorphological parameters of the course of endometrioid adenocarcinoma of the uterine corpus

Aim. To evaluatethe role tumour budding (TB), MELF-pattern and tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) as possible prognostic factors of endometrioid adenocarcinoma of the uterine corpus.Materials and methods. A single-centre, retrospective, observational study was conducted involving 188 patients with endometrioid adenocarcinoma of the uterine body. 40 patients who had disease recurrence or died directly from progression of endometrioid adenocarcinoma of the uterine body were the unfavourable outcome group, 148 patients without progression and death from this tumour were the favourable outcome group. Fisher, Yates exact two-sided criteria were used to analyze the data. Survival analysis was performed using log-rank test. The hazard ratio (HR) and its 95 % confidence interval (CI) were estimated using single-factor analysis with log-rank test and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis. p &lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant.Results. TB was observed predominantly in the group of patients with unfavourable outcome (р &lt;0.0001) Survival analysis revealed statistically significant decreased survival in cases with TB (HR 5.3; 95 % CI 2.2–12.7; р &lt;0.0001). MELF-pattern was statistically significantly more frequent in the group of patients with unfavourable outcome (р &lt;0.0001), a decreased survival of patients was observed in the presence of MELF-pattern (HR 5.8; 95 % CI 2.1–16.2; р &lt;0.0001). Comparison of groups according to the number of TILs revealed statistically significant differences (р = 0.0242). When analyzing survival relative to the threshold value of the number of TILs, statistically significant differences were also observed (HR 3.7; 95 % CI 1.7–7.9; р = 0.021). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that only TB and MELF-pattern had prognostic significance for recurrence-free survival (HR 3.7; 95 % CI 1.8–7.4; р &lt;0.001).Conclusion. TB and MELF-pattern are specific changes in the stroma of endometrioid adenocarcinoma stroma of the uterine corpus that can be used as pathomorphological predictors of clinical outcome.

Prognostic value of blood GRHL2 in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer after radiotherapy and chemotherapy.

Aim: We aimed to investigate the predictive value of the Grainyhead-like 2 (GRHL2) expression from circulating blood for recurrence, metastasis and overall death on patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Materials & Methods: We collected blood samples from 122 patients who were admitted to our hospital for NSCLC. Results: Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards analysis in adjusted Model II showed that compared with GRHL2-negative expression, positive expression in patients with NSCLC was associated with increased death risk (HR=7.0, 95% CI: 2.1-20.9, p=0.03) and risk for composite end point (HR=8.2, 95% CI: 4.0-27.1, p <0.01). Conclusion: This study supported that elevated circulating GRHL2 expression might be considered as a candidate prognostic biomarker for poor prognosis among these NSCLC patients.

High antinuclear antibody titer is associated with increased mortality risk in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a diagnosis of exclusion, requiring that potential etiologies of interstitial lung disease be ruled out. Antinuclear antibody (ANA) testing is commonly performed in individuals with IPF, but the clinical significance of ANA positivity remains uncertain. A retrospective search identified 161 patients diagnosed with IPF between May 2010 and January 2021. Data on ANA titers at the time of diagnosis were available in all cases. Mean age of the patients was 66.4 ± 9.6 years; 70.8% were male. ANA titers were high (≥ 1:160) in 25.4% of the cohort. Baseline characteristics were comparable between those with high and low ANA titers. During follow-up (median 28 months), 93 patients (57%) died. On Cox proportional-hazards analysis with lung transplantation entered as a competing risk and adjusting for potential confounders (age, sex, and baseline forced vital capacity and diffusing lung capacity for carbon monoxide), ANA ≥ 1:160, as a dichotomized variable, was significantly associated with case-specific mortality (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.14−4.42, P = 0.02) and older age (for each 10-year increment, HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.07−2.25, P = 0.02). High ANA titers appear to be associated with increased mortality in IPF. This finding emphasizes the potential prognostic value of ANA testing. Further studies are needed to validate these findings and explore their implications for patient management.

Risk Factors for Heart Failure and Coronary Artery Disease Mortality Based on the National Vital Statistics During a 25-Year Follow-up in Japan - NIPPON DATA90.

Prevention of heart failure (HF) is a public health issue. Using the National Vital Statistics, we explored risk factors for HF and coronary artery disease (CAD) mortality. Altogether, 7,556 Japanese individuals aged ≥30 years in 1990 were followed over 25 years; of these, 139 and 154 died from HF and CAD, respectively. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, common risk factors for CAD and HF mortality were hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] 1.48 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.00-2.20] and 2.31 [95% CI 1.48-3.61], respectively), diabetes (HR 2.52 [95% CI 1.63-3.90] and 2.07 [95% CI 1.23-3.50], respectively), and current smoking (HR 2.05 [95% CI 1.27-3.31) and 1.86 [95% CI 1.10-3.15], respectively). Specific risk factors for CAD were male sex, chronic kidney disease, history of cardiovascular disease, and both abnormal T and Q waves, with HRs (95% CIs) of 1.75 (1.05-2.92), 1.78 (1.19-2.66), 2.50 (1.62-3.88), and 11.4 (3.64-36.0), respectively. Specific factors for HF were current drinking (HR 0.43; 95% CI 0.24-0.78) and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C; HR 0.81; 95% CI 0.67-0.98). There was an inverse association between non-HDL-C and HF in those aged ≥65 years (HR 0.71; 95% CI 0.56-0.90), but not in those aged <65 years. We identified common risk factors for HF and CAD deaths; a history of cardiovascular disease was a specific risk for CAD.

15-Gene Expression Profile and PRAME as Integrated Prognostic Test for Uveal Melanoma: First Report of Collaborative Ocular Oncology Group Study No. 2 (COOG2.1).

Validated and accurate prognostic testing is critical for precision medicine in uveal melanoma (UM). Our aims were to (1) prospectively validate an integrated prognostic classifier combining a 15-gene expression profile (15-GEP) and PRAME RNA expression and (2) identify clinical variables that enhance the prognostic accuracy of the 15-GEP/PRAME classifier. This study included 1,577 patients with UM of the choroid and/or ciliary body who were enrolled in the Collaborative Ocular Oncology Group Study Number 2 (COOG2) and prospectively monitored across 26 North American centers. Test results for 15-GEP (class 1 or class 2) and PRAME expression status (negative or positive) were available for all patients. The primary end point was metastasis-free survival (MFS). 15-GEP was class 1 in 1,082 (68.6%) and class 2 in 495 (31.4%) patients. PRAME status was negative in 1,106 (70.1%) and positive in 471 (29.9%) patients. Five-year MFS was 95.6% (95% CI, 93.9 to 97.4) for class 1/PRAME(-), 80.6% (95% CI, 73.9 to 87.9) for class 1/PRAME(+), 58.3% (95% CI, 51.1 to 66.4) for class 2/PRAME(-), and 44.8% (95% CI, 37.9 to 52.8) for class 2/PRAME(+). By multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, 15-GEP was the most important independent predictor of MFS (hazard ratio [HR], 5.95 [95% CI, 4.43 to 7.99]; P < .001), followed by PRAME status (HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.42 to 2.33]; P < .001). The only clinical variable demonstrating additional prognostic value was tumor diameter. In the largest prospective multicenter prognostic biomarker study performed to date in UM to our knowledge, the COOG2 study validated the superior prognostic accuracy of the integrated 15-GEP/PRAME classifier over 15-GEP alone and clinical prognostic variables. Tumor diameter was found to be the only clinical variable to provide additional prognostic information. This prognostic classifier provides an advanced resource for risk-adjusted metastatic surveillance and adjuvant trial stratification in patients with UM.

Screening high-risk individuals for primary gastric carcinoma: evaluating overall survival probability score in the presence and absence of lymphatic metastasis post-gastrectomy

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to develop and validate prognostic models for predicting overall survival in individuals with gastric carcinoma, specifically focusing on both negative and positive lymphatic metastasis.MethodsA total of 1650 patients who underwent radical gastric surgery at Shanxi Cancer Hospital between May 2002 and December 2020 were included in the analysis. Multiple Cox Proportional Hazards analysis was performed to identify key variables associated with overall survival in both negative and positive lymphatic metastasis cases. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrapping to assess the prediction accuracy of the models. Calibration curves were used to demonstrate the accuracy and consistency of the predictions. The discriminative abilities of the prognostic models were evaluated and compared with the 8th edition of AJCC-TNM staging using Harrell’s Concordance index, decision curve analysis, and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves.ResultsThe nomogram for node-negative lymphatic metastasis included variables such as age, pT stage, and maximum tumor diameter. The C-index for this model in internal validation was 0.719, indicating better performance compared to the AJCC 8th edition TNM staging. The nomogram for node-positive lymphatic metastasis included variables such as gender, age, maximum tumor diameter, neural invasion, Lauren classification, and expression of Her-2, CK7, and CD56. The C-index for this model was 0.674, also outperforming the AJCC 8th edition TNM staging. Calibration curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, and decision curve analysis for both nomograms demonstrated excellent prediction ability. Furthermore, significant differences in prognosis between low- and high-risk groups supported the models’ strong risk stratification performance.ConclusionThis study provides valuable risk stratification models for lymphatic metastasis in gastric carcinoma, encompassing both node-positive and negative cases. These models can help identify low-risk individuals who may not require further intervention, while high-risk individuals can benefit from targeted therapies aimed at addressing lymphatic metastasis.

High Intraocular Pressure Is Independently Associated With New-Onset Systemic Hypertension Over a 10-Year Period.

Systemic hypertension (HT) is associated with the development of increased intraocular pressure (IOP), a risk factor for glaucoma. However, it remains unclear whether high IOP is a risk factor for HT.Methods and Results: We investigated 7,487 Japanese individuals (4,714 men, 2,773 women; mean [±SD] age 49±9 years) who underwent annual health checkups in 2006. Over the 10-year follow-up period, 1,232 (24.3%) men and 370 (11.5%) women developed new-onset HT, defined as initiation of antihypertensive drug treatment or blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg. After dividing IOP into tertiles (T1-T3), Cox proportional hazards analysis (adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, obesity, current smoking, alcohol consumption, family history of HT, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and diabetes and dyslipidemia diagnoses at baseline) revealed a significantly higher risk of newly developed HT in T3 (IOP ≥14 mmHg; hazard ratio 1.14; 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.29; P=0.038) using T1 (IOP ≤11 mmHg) as the reference group. There was no significant interaction between sex and IOP tertile (P=0.153). A restricted cubic spline model showed a gradual but robust increase in the hazard ratio for new-onset HT with increasing IOP. High IOP is an independent risk factor for the development of HT over a 10-year period.

An Exploratory Randomized Controlled Study to Investigate Concentration-Dependence of Green Tea Catechin Gargling on Acute Upper Respiratory Tract Infections.

Green tea (GT) catechins exhibit antiviral effects in experimental studies. However, we lack clinical evidence on the preventive effects of catechin concentrations in gargling against acute upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs). Therefore, we aimed to investigate the concentration-dependence of GT catechins in gargling on the incidence of URTIs. We conducted an open-label randomized study. The target population consisted of 209 students from the University of Shizuoka and Meiji University, who were randomly assigned to high-catechin (approximate catechin concentration: 76.4 mg/dL), low-catechin (approximate catechin concentration: 30.8 mg/dL), and a control water gargling (catechin concentration: 0 mg/dL) group. All participants gargled water or GT daily for 12 weeks. The symptoms of URTIs were recorded on a daily survey form by participants. The incidences of URTIs occurred in 6 (9.1%), 7 (10.8%), and 11 (15.7%) participants in the high-catechin, low-catechin, and water groups, respectively. Cox proportional hazards analysis, using background factors and prevention status as covariates, revealed a hazard ratio of 0.57 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.21-1.55, p = 0.261) for the high-catechin vs. water group and 0.54 (95% CI: 0.20-1.50, p = 0.341) for the low-catechin vs. water group. Our findings showed the incidence of URTIs in a concentration-dependent GT gargling was not significantly different, partly owing to the low event rates caused by intense precautions against the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. Our study would serve as a foundation for the development of an advanced protocol with optimal concentrations and a larger number of participants.

Effects of combined morbid insomnia and sleep apnea on long-term cardiovascular risk and all-cause mortality in elderly patients: a prospective cohort study

PurposeIt is reported that insomnia and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) increase the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events. The aim of this study was to analyze the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in elderly patients with comorbid insomnia and obstructive sleep apnea (COMISA).MethodsWe included 868 elderly patients with OSA who underwent sleep monitoring at a multicenter sleep room from January 2015 to October 2017. We collected demographic data, clinical features, medical history, sleep parameters, and laboratory findings. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify the relationship between COMISA and adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality.ResultsThere were 181 elderly patients with COMISA. The median follow-up was 43 months, during which we observed major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in 90 patients. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve indicated a significant relationship between COMISA and MACE (Plog Rank < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that COMISA increased the incidence of MACE (HR = 2.328, 95% CI: 1.349–4.018, P = 0.002), hospitalization for unstable angina (HR = 2.915, 95% CI: 1.397–6.081, P = 0.004), and the combination of all events (HR = 2.301, 95% CI: 1.393–3.803, P = 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in cardiovascular death, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or hospitalized heart failure in patients with COMISA (P > 0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that among COMISA patients, male sex (HR = 2.800, 95% CI: 1.458-5.377, P = 0.002), age < 70 years (HR = 4.050, 95% CI: 2.022–8.115, P < 0.001), and overweight and obesity (HR = 2.482, 95% CI: 1.383-4.453, P = 0.002) were associated with a higher risk of MACE.ConclusionsOur results showed that COMISA increased the risk of MACE, unstable angina, and the compound occurrence of all events. Male, overweight or obese COMISA patients under 70 years of age have an increased risk of MACE.