AbstractTo date, few contractors have been involved in performance-based contracts (PBCs) for road construction and maintenance projects where they have to use lifecycle cost (LCC). The main drawback for using the LCC approach is the LCC assumptions used to address projects under high risk for contractors such as PBCs where the contractors are more than likely to be responsible for both the construction and maintenance of the road for a certain warranty period. This research was conducted to enhance LCC assumptions by introducing a risk management tool. Hence, the LCC will be based on more accurate and probable assumptions, and accordingly the results of the LCC estimate will be more reliable in the future for such risky projects. The research adopted a five step methodology through (1) identification of the risks, (2) quantification of the hot mix asphalt (HMA) costs through a cost breakdown structure (CBS), (3) comparative LCC calculations, (4) Monte Carlo scenario analysis, and (5) a demonstrative case...
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