Conventional Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System Research Articles

Predicting infarction growth rate II using ANFIS-based binary particle swarm optimization technique in ischemic stroke

Ischemic stroke, a severe medical condition triggered by a blockage of blood flow to the brain, leads to cell death and serious health complications. One key challenge in this field is accurately predicting infarction growth - the progressive expansion of damaged brain tissue post-stroke. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) have improved this prediction, offering crucial insights into the progression dynamics of ischemic stroke. One such promising technique, the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), has shown potential, but it faces the 'curse of dimensionality' and long training times as the number of features increased. This paper introduces an innovative, automatic method that combines Binary Particle Swarm Optimization (BPSO) with ANFIS architecture, achieves reduction in dimensionality by reducing the number of rules and training time. By analyzing the Pearson correlation coefficients and P-values, we selected clinically relevant features strongly correlated with the Infarction Growth Rate (IGR II), extracted after one CT scan. We compared our model's performance with conventional ANFIS and other machine learning techniques, including Support Vector Regressor (SVR), shallow Neural Networks, and Linear Regression.•Inputs: Real data about ischemic stroke represented by clinically relevant features.•Output: An innovative model for more accurate and efficient prediction of the second infarction growth after the first CT scan.•Results: The model achieved commendable statistical metrics, which include a Root Mean Square Error of 0.091, a Mean Squared Error of 0.0086, a Mean Absolute Error of 0.064, and a Cosine distance of 0.074.

Development of Artificial Intelligence Algorithm for Smart Irrigation Using Internet of Things (IoT)

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the most recent agricultural technology. In agriculture, water is used to irrigate the plants so that they can flourish. Due to the scarcity of water in most parts of the world, the watering process is one of the most significant and crucial procedures. To address this issue, a smart irrigation system based on the Internet of Things (IoT) was developed utilizing AI technology, an Arduino Uno microcontroller, and sensors. The objective of this study is to develop a modified ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) AI algorithm for improved automated irrigation system decision control and to reduce the computing complexity of ANFIS architectural layers. It also seeks to develop an integrated system for monitoring and managing irrigation to increase agricultural output using MANFIS and the Internet of Things. Lastly, is to determine the difference of algorithmic complexity between the conventional ANFIS and Modified ANFIS. As a result, architectural layers were reduced into 3 layers, INPUT, PROCESS and OUTPUT. It also waters the plant automatically and sends signals regarding smart irrigation system information such as the tank's water level, the plant's soil moisture content, and the trigging factor, or the quantity of water to be released which enables the farmers to monitor and manage its irrigation system using the IoT. The simulations were carried out using MATLAB software, a fuzzy logic controller is used to control the whole system by providing its input, rules and output. To determine the computational complexity of each method, the ANFIS and modified ANFIS were examined with 100 % success rate.

Tourism demand forecasting using stacking ensemble model with adaptive fuzzy combiner

Over the last decades, several soft computing techniques have been applied to tourism demand forecasting. Among these techniques, a neuro-fuzzy model of ANFIS (adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system) has started to emerge. A conventional ANFIS model cannot deal with the large dimension of a dataset, and cannot work with our dataset, which is composed of a 62 time-series, as well. This study attempts to develop an ensemble model by incorporating neural networks with ANFIS to deal with a large number of input variables for multivariate forecasting. Our proposed approach is a collaboration of two base learners, which are types of the neural network models and a meta-learner of ANFIS in the framework of the stacking ensemble. The results show that the stacking ensemble of ANFIS (meta-learner) and ANN models (base learners) outperforms its stand-alone counterparts of base learners. Numerical results indicate that the proposed ensemble model achieved a MAPE of 7.26% compared to its single-instance ANN models with MAPEs of 8.50 and 9.18%, respectively. Finally, this study which is a novel application of the ensemble systems in the context of tourism demand forecasting has shown better results compared to those of the single expert systems based on the artificial neural networks.

ON THE EVALUATION OF THE GRADIENT TREE BOOSTING MODEL FOR GROUNDWATER LEVEL FORECASTING

Though groundwater is a replenishable resource, it’s over exploitation has posed greater problem of its depletion. Hence, monitoring and forecasting of groundwater levels has become a primary task of governmental water boards/agencies for sustainable water management. The current study focused on evaluating the performance of Gradient Tree Boosting (GTB) model with that of conventional Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) models in forecasting groundwater levels of two coastal aquifers. Data of two groundwater level monitoring wells penetrating into unconfined aquifers located at Shirtadi and Rayee near to Mangalore city of Karnataka state, India was considered in the present study. Monthly groundwater level data of the years 2000 – 2013 were used for model simulation; wherein 70% of data was used for model training and the remaining 30% served as testing data. Comparative result evaluation shows that the proposed GTB approach for one month ahead groundwater level forecasting was giving much accurate results than the other models for the same period of time and same set of data. For Rayee monitoring well, the error statistic, RRMSE of GTB, GMDH and ANFIS models obtained during test phase were 0.473, 0.517 and 0.7522, respectively. The comparison is examined further with different performance metrics.

Invasive weed optimization-based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system hybrid model for sediment transport with a bed deposit

Inasmuch as channels are designed to mitigate continues sedimentation, sediment transport models have been developed to calculate flow velocity to keep sediment particles in motion. In order to promote the computation capability of sediment transport models, recently machine learning algorithms have attracted interests, extensively. However, accuracy of such a model is attributed to the range of data and applied technique for model construction. For this purpose, the current study scrutinizes the applicability of “non-deposition with deposited bed” (NDB) concept for design of large channels applying hybrid machine learning algorithms. Through the modeling, firstly, conventional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) technique is applied to develop a stand-alone model. In furtherance of improving the model’s performance, the ANFIS is hybridized with invasive weed optimization (IWO) algorithm to construct a hybrid ANFIS-IWO model. As a benchmark, the ANFIS is further hybridized with classical genetic algorithm (GA) to compare with ANFIS-IWO outcomes. Furthermore, the developed machine learning models are compared to multigene genetic programming (MGP) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) stand-alone machine learning results reported in the literature and classical regression models by means of variety of statistical performance measurements. Hybridization of ANFIS with IWO, enhances its accuracy with a factor of 30%. Respecting to the models performance examination, the ANFIS-IWO model is found superior to its alternatives for sediment transport computation. The thickness of the deposited bed and deposited bed width are found as effective parameters for sediment transport modeling in open channels with a bed deposit.

An improved adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system using probability trajectory-based clustering ensemble

Research findings established the usefulness of Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in predicting outcomes of events, processes or systems from their numerical representations (datasets). However, its effectiveness in terms of prediction accuracy and complexity depends on some factors specifically its set of rules that models data behavior, and tune-able parameters (antecedent, consequent and rule base). Although several promising non-heuristic and meta-heuristic optimization techniques like gradient descent, Ant Colony, Genetic Algorithm, Particle Swarm, and Invasive Weed have been proposed to improve on the prediction accuracy of ANFIS through proper optimization of its tune-able parameters, but absolutely no work has applied clustering ensemble to improving on ANFIS for better accuracy especially on rules improvement. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an improved ANFIS that uses an agglomerative-based clustering ensemble of fuzzy c-means to help extract rules from a given dataset that represent a process, event or system. The ensemble uses probability trajectories of random walk processes on base clustering partitions of the dataset so as to refine direct co-association relationships or links among data objects of the base partitions thereby improving on these relationships that later metamorphosed to fuzzy rules and finally, a better accuracy. Comparative analysis of our proposed improved ANFIS alongside with the conventional ANFIS using two standard petrophysical datasets for lithology prediction shows that the proposed ANFIS is better than the conventional ANFIS in terms of prediction model accuracy and stability although, both maintain the same architecture in terms of the number of rules and tune-able parameters as well as the training methods.

Runoff estimation using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

Rainfall-Runoff modeling plays a crucial role in various aspects of water resource management. It helps significantly in resolving the issues related to flood control, protection of agricultural lands, etc. Various Machine learning and statistical-based algorithms have been used for this purpose. These techniques resulted in outcomes with an acceptable rate of success. One of the pertinent machine learning algorithms namely Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been reported to be a very effective tool for the purpose. However, the computational complexity of ANFIS is a major hindrance in its application. In this paper, we resolved this problem of ANFIS by incorporating one of the evolutionary algorithms known as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) which was used in estimating the parameters pertaining to ANFIS. The results of the modified ANFIS were found to be satisfactory. The performance of this modified ANFIS is then compared with conventional ANFIS and another popular statistical modeling technique namely ARIMA model with respect to the forecasting of runoff. In the present investigation, it was found that proposed PSO-ANFIS performed better than ARIMA and conventional ANFIS with respect to the prediction accuracy of runoff.

Novel Hybrid Data-Intelligence Model for Forecasting Monthly Rainfall with Uncertainty Analysis

In this research, three different evolutionary algorithms (EAs), namely, particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA) and differential evolution (DE), are integrated with the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model. The developed hybrid models are proposed to forecast rainfall time series. The capability of the proposed evolutionary hybrid ANFIS was compared with the conventional ANFIS in forecasting monthly rainfall for the Pahang watershed, Malaysia. To select the optimal model, sixteen different combinations of six different lag attributes taking into account the effect of monthly, seasonal, and annual history were considered. The performances of the forecasting models were assessed using various forecasting skill indicators. Moreover, an uncertainty analysis of the developed forecasting models was performed to evaluate the ability of the hybrid ANFIS models. The bound width of 95% confidence interval (d-factor) and the percentage of observed samples which was enveloped by 95% forecasted uncertainties (95PPU) were used for this purpose. The results indicated that all the hybrid ANFIS models performed better than the conventional ANFIS and for all input combinations. The obtained results showed that the models with best input combinations had the (95PPU and d-factor) values of (91.67 and 1.41), (91.03 and 1.41), (89.74 and 1.42), and (88.46 and 1.43) for ANFIS-PSO, ANFIS-GA, ANFIS-DE, and the conventional ANFIS, respectively. Based on the 95PPU and d-factor, it is concluded that all hybrid ANFIS models have an acceptable degree of uncertainty in forecasting monthly rainfall. The results of this study proved that the hybrid ANFIS with an evolutionary algorithm is a reliable modeling technique for forecasting monthly rainfall.

Handling interpretability issues in ANFIS using rule base simplification and constrained learning

Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is a well-known neuro-fuzzy model for approximating highly complex non-linear systems. ANFIS uses precise fuzzy modelling concept that aims at accuracy of a fuzzy model being designed than on interpretability. But interpretability of a fuzzy system is an equally important aspect of fuzzy modelling as accuracy. So far the research based on ANFIS has been mostly application based due to which the various issues related to the interpretability of ANFIS have not been dealt with. The rule base of ANFIS is typically obtained using data driven clustering algorithms. But this process introduces redundancy in the system in terms of similar fuzzy sets and redundant fuzzy rules which unnecessarily increases system complexity. This in turn reduces both the interpretability as well as generalization capability of ANFIS. Additionally in case of ANFIS, unconstrained gradient descent based learning algorithms are used to fine-tune the membership function parameters which usually result in a rule base with inconsistent, excessively overlapping and indistinguishable membership functions for input variables and thus the interpretability of the final optimized system is not guaranteed. This paper is based on addressing the issue of rule base redundancy in ANFIS to reduce complexity and enforcing constraints during learning phase to ensure interpretability of the final optimized system. Rule base redundancy is removed using similarity analysis based rule base simplification in which similar fuzzy sets are merged and subsequently resulting fuzzy rules with equal premises are combined. Hybrid learning technique which is an efficient parameter tuning method for ANFIS is constrained to prevent inconsistency, excessive overlapping and inclusion of membership functions so that the final fuzzy partitions of inputs stay interpretable. The empirical analysis of the impact of rule base simplification and constrained learning on ANFIS is done by application to two well-known benchmark problems and a real world stock price prediction problem. The introduction of rule base simplification and constrained learning in ANFIS modeling has shown better results in terms of obtaining a desired accuracy-interpretability tradeoff than conventional ANFIS.

Comparative Prediction of Groundwater Fluctuation by CWTFT-ANFIS and WT-ANFIS

Objective: To evaluate the ability of prediction performance of ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) model on groundwater level fluctuation in Lower Bhavani River Basin (LBRB). Method: To improve the accuracy of prediction of ANFIS model, WT (Wavelet Transform) and CWTFT (Continuous Wavelet Fast Fourier Transform) are performed as preprocessing techniques. Model development is carried out through three different input parameters (duration, groundwater recharge and groundwater discharge) and one output parameter (groundwater fluctuation) for the period of 2009-2015 on monthly stress basis. Findings: Based on the comparative prediction by the models CWTFT-ANFIS and WTANFIS over conventional ANFIS model through calibration and validation process on different reaches of the study area, optimum model is identified. Statistical indices are performed to measure the best fitting and trend identification for the each prediction.

Prediction of ground motion parameters using randomized ANFIS (RANFIS)

In this paper, a novel neuro-fuzzy learning machine called randomized adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (RANFIS) is proposed for predicting the parameters of ground motion associated with seismic signals. This advanced learning machine integrates the explicit knowledge of the fuzzy systems with the learning capabilities of neural networks, as in the case of conventional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). In RANFIS, to accelerate the learning speed without compromising the generalization capability, the fuzzy layer parameters are not tuned. The three time domain ground motion parameters which are predicted by the model are peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV) and peak ground displacement (PGD). The model is developed using the database released by PEER (Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center). Each ground motion parameter is related to mainly to four seismic parameters, namely earthquake magnitude, faulting mechanism, source to site distance and average soil shear wave velocity. The experimental results validate the improved performance of the machine, with lesser computation time compared to prior studies.

Optimal design of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system using genetic algorithm for electricity demand forecasting in Iranian industry

Demand planning for industrial's electricity consumption is an important factor to efficiently plan the generation and distribution of power utilities. However, this can only be possible if the demand is predicted accurately. Recent advancement in adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system aimed at mapping input to output for highly non-linear processes such as energy management field, provide reliable approach to forecast energy demand. Despite the wide range of applications and flexibility of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, complexity of the rule base is featured with certain limitations associated with combinatorial explosion of rules, parameters and data. This paper proposes a hybrid procedure, subtractive clustering technique coupled with genetic algorithm, to develop adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. Genetic algorithm finds the optimum value of cluster radius which guaranteed the minimum number of rules and error. The empirical data regarding the industrial's electricity demand in Iran from 1967 to 2011 are investigated to demonstrate the applicability and merits of the present method. The performance of hybrid approach is found to be better than that of conventional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system based on gird partitioning, fuzzy c-means, and subtractive clustering in terms of both accuracy and the number of rules.

A Modified Dynamic Evolving Neural-Fuzzy Approach to Modeling Customer Satisfaction for Affective Design

Affective design is an important aspect of product development to achieve a competitive edge in the marketplace. A neural-fuzzy network approach has been attempted recently to model customer satisfaction for affective design and it has been proved to be an effective one to deal with the fuzziness and non-linearity of the modeling as well as generate explicit customer satisfaction models. However, such an approach to modeling customer satisfaction has two limitations. First, it is not suitable for the modeling problems which involve a large number of inputs. Second, it cannot adapt to new data sets, given that its structure is fixed once it has been developed. In this paper, a modified dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy approach is proposed to address the above mentioned limitations. A case study on the affective design of mobile phones was conducted to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. Validation tests were conducted and the test results indicated that: (1) the conventional Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) failed to run due to a large number of inputs; (2) the proposed dynamic neural-fuzzy model outperforms the subtractive clustering-based ANFIS model and fuzzy c-means clustering-based ANFIS model in terms of their modeling accuracy and computational effort.

A Hybrid Approach Based on the Combination of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Imperialist Competitive Algorithm: Oil Flow Rate of the Wells Prediction Case Study

Abstract In this paper, a novel hybrid approach composed of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and imperialist competitive algorithm is proposed. The imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) is used in this methodology to determine the most suitable initial membership functions of the ANFIS. The proposed model combines the global search ability of ICA with local search ability of gradient descent method. To illustrate the suitability and capability of the proposed model, this model is applied to predict oil flow rate of the wells utilizing data set of 31 wells in one of the northern Persian Gulf oil fields of Iran. The data set collected in a three month period for each well from Dec. 2002 to Nov. 2010. For the sake of performance evaluation, the results of the proposed model are compared with the conventional ANFIS model. The results show that the significant improvements are achievable using the proposed model in comparison with the results obtained by conventional ANFIS.

A simplified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) controller trained by genetic algorithm to control nonlinear multi-input multi-output systems

This paper presents a simplified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) controller to control nonlinear multi-input multi-output (MIMO) systems. This controller uses only few rules to provide the control actions, instead of the full combination of all possible rules. Consequently, the proposed controller possesses several advantages over the conventional ANFIS controller especially the reduction in execution time, and hence, it is more appropriate for real time control. A real-coded genetic algorithm (GA) was utilized to optimize the premise and the consequent parameters of the ANFIS controller, instead of the hybrid learning methods that are widely used in the literature. Accordingly, the necessity for the teaching signal required by other optimization techniques has been eliminated. Furthermore, the GA was employed to determine the input and output scaling factors for this controller, instead of the widely used trial and error method. Two nonlinear MIMO systems were chosen to be controlled by this controller. In addition, the controller robustness to output disturbances was also investigated and the results clearly showed the notable accuracy and the generalization ability of this controller. Moreover, the result of a comparative study with a conventional MIMO ANFIS controller has indicated the superiority of the simplified MIMO ANFIS controller. Key words: Neuro-fuzzy systems, ANFIS, genetic algorithms, nonlinear MIMO systems.

Oxidation of propylene to acrolein over Cu-on-Al 2O 3 catalysts modified by molybdenum oxides

Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is a well-known neuro-fuzzy model for approximating highly complex non-linear systems. ANFIS uses precise fuzzy modelling concept that aims at accuracy of a fuzzy model being designed than on interpretability. But interpretability of a fuzzy system is an equally important aspect of fuzzy modelling as accuracy. So far the research based on ANFIS has been mostly application based due to which the various issues related to the interpretability of ANFIS have not been dealt with. The rule base of ANFIS is typically obtained using data driven clustering algorithms. But this process introduces redundancy in the system in terms of similar fuzzy sets and redundant fuzzy rules which unnecessarily increases system complexity. This in turn reduces both the interpretability as well as generalization capability of ANFIS. Additionally in case of ANFIS, unconstrained gradient descent based learning algorithms are used to fine-tune the membership function parameters which usually result in a rule base with inconsistent, excessively overlapping and indistinguishable membership functions for input variables and thus the interpretability of the final optimized system is not guaranteed. This paper is based on addressing the issue of rule base redundancy in ANFIS to reduce complexity and enforcing constraints during learning phase to ensure interpretability of the final optimized system. Rule base redundancy is removed using similarity analysis based rule base simplification in which similar fuzzy sets are merged and subsequently resulting fuzzy rules with equal premises are combined. Hybrid learning technique which is an efficient parameter tuning method for ANFIS is constrained to prevent inconsistency, excessive overlapping and inclusion of membership functions so that the final fuzzy partitions of inputs stay interpretable. The empirical analysis of the impact of rule base simplification and constrained learning on ANFIS is done by application to two well-known benchmark problems and a real world stock price prediction problem. The introduction of rule base simplification and constrained learning in ANFIS modeling has shown better results in terms of obtaining a desired accuracy-interpretability tradeoff than conventional ANFIS.