Fundamental to the performance-based seismic design is the accuracy of predicted responses under earthquake excitations. This study evaluates the accuracy and uncertainty of predicted maximum and residual displacements of concrete bridge columns subjected to different types of ground motions. A series of nonlinear time-history analyses considering a wide range of element formulations and model parameter combinations was performed to reproduce measured responses from previous shake table tests. Variations in element formulation had little influence on the accuracy and uncertainty of predicted maximum displacements. The gradient inelastic force-based element, however, predicted bar tensile strain profiles across the plastic hinge with higher resolution, but at a higher computational cost than displacement-based and beam with hinges elements. Models with tangent stiffness-based Rayleigh damping produced the most accurate predictions of the maximum drift ratios with an RMSE of 0.011, indicating that the maximum displacement (or drift ratio) can be predicted with reasonable accuracy. Residual displacements, on the other hand, were predicted with unreasonable levels of error and uncertainty. A data-driven model was thus proposed to correct predicted residual displacement. Following correction, the RMSE of the predicted residual drift ratios was reduced by 43 % to 0.006.
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