Prospective Cohort Research Articles

Longitudinal associations of daily activities and presenteeism among teleworkers in Japan

Abstract Objectives Many workers had to switch their standard work from the office to home-based telework during the COVID-19 pandemic. Previous studies reported that telework was associated with increased sickness presenteeism. Several studies have examined the association between lifestyle behaviors and presenteeism among workers. However, there are few studies investigating the relationship among teleworkers. Thus, this study examined the association between daily activities and presenteeism in a longitudinal cohort of teleworkers in Japan. Methods A prospective cohort study with a two-year observation was conducted. The participants were 831 workers belonged to five companies in Japan. For both surveys, self-administered questionnaire surveys on daily activities and presenteeism were conducted. Presenteeism was assessed using the short-form Japanese version of the World Health Organization Health and Work Performance Questionnaire. The data were analyzed using a generalized estimating equation approach, controlling for potential confounders such as age, gender, working hours, position, and health status. Results 742 participants who teleworked in both surveys with no missing answers were analyzed. Among male workers (n = 427), chatting (β = 5.30, 95% CI: 1.52-9.07) and setting daily goals (β = 4.16, 95% CI: 1.52-9.07) were associated with decreased presenteeism. Among female workers, exercise (β = 4.33, 95% CI: 0.95-7.71) was associated with decreased presenteeism. Conclusions Although gender differences were observed, there is preliminary evidence from longitudinal studies that frequent activities such as chatting, setting daily goals, and exercising may protect against presenteeism among teleworkers. Our findings could be used to educate daily telework activities to prevent sickness presenteeism. Key messages • Daily activities during telework may worsen or improve presenteeism. • Social isolation may be an important indicator of presenteeism during telework.

VExUS score improvement is associated with better outcomes in acute decompensated heart failure

Abstract Background Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (VExUS) has recently emerged as a non-invasive tool for venous congestion assessment in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Although VExUS is associated with cardiorenal syndrome, the prognostic role regarding hard outcomes in ADHF is still unknown. Purpose To evaluate whether dynamic changes in VExUS within 72 hours after Cardiovascular Intensive Care Unit (CICU) admission is associated with in-hospital mortality in ADHF patients. Methods Prospective cohort study enrolling consecutive patients with ADHF admitted to CICU of a tertiary public hospital. VExUS evaluations ranging from 0 (no congestion) and 3 (severe congestion) and assessing the inferior vena cava, hepatic, and portal veins flow, were initially performed within 24 hours of admission and re-evaluated at 72 hours (third day) after treatment initiation. Changes in VExUS scores were compared between these two time points. Mann-Whitney test and logistic regression was performed to evaluate VExUS improvement association with mortality. Results Between October 2022 and January 2024, 81 patients were admitted to the CICU due to ADHF. Following the exclusion of 10 patients who were not assessed within the first 24 hours, 71 patients were included in the final analysis. Mean age was 65 ± 13.3 years, with 66.7% being male. Ischemic etiology was identified in 40.7%, and atrial fibrillation was present in 34.6%. Mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 27.4% ± 12.2, and 64.2% had right ventricular dysfunction. Upon admission, 73.2% were classified as B and 23.9% as C hemodynamic profiles. Overall in-hospital mortality was 25.9%. In-hospital mortality across VExUS categories assessed in the third day was 16.7%, 12.5%, 28.6% e 40%, for VExUS 0-3, respectively. The median VExUS variation between the two time points was greater in patients who survived [-1 vs. 0; p=0.030] and VExUS improvement at 72 hours was associated with a 46% decrease in hospital mortality for each class reduction (OR=0.536; 95% CI 0.29-0-81; p=0.043 - Figure 1). Conclusion Improvement in VExUS score between admission and 72 hours is associated with reduced in-hospital mortality. This finding highlights the potential role of dynamic VExUS monitoring for identifying delayed treatment response patients. Thus, changes in VExUS emerged as a prognostic tool offering a pathway to potentially intensify treatment strategies for high-risk patients with ADHF.VExUS score changes within 72 hours

Characteristics associated with prevalent atrial fibrillation and risk profile for future atrial fibrillation among those in sinus rhythm in an elderly population in the ELSA Brasil Study

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is an arrhythmia that can lead to limiting symptoms and increases the risk of stroke and heart failure (HF). Purpose To evaluate the association of clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic parameters with prevalent AF or flutter (AFF), and the risk profile for future AFF according to Charge-AF and EHR scores in an elderly population. Methods The ELSA-Brasil is a prospective cohort study designed to investigate cardiovascular disease and diabetes in 15,105 men and women, civil servants from universities or research institutions in six cities of Brazil. We included all participants in ELSA-Brasil aged 60 and over whose diagnosis of AFF could be assessed and had echocardiography performed at the study's baseline. From the initial sample with participants ≥ 60 years (n = 3,263), 400 participants were excluded due to missing data about AFF, and 775 who did not have echocardiographic studies. Results There were 88 (4.2%) participants with AFF at baseline among the 2,088 (65 ± 4.1 years; 53% women) included in this analysis. Those with AFF were older (66.8 ± 4.4 vs 65 ± 4.0 y-o) and had a higher prevalence of HF (16% vs 3.1%), previous myocardial infarction (14.8% vs 3.8%), left bundle branch block (LBBB: 4.6% vs 0,9%), prolonged QT interval (7.9% vs 2.0%), supraventricular extrasystoles (4.6% vs 1.2%), and sinus bradycardia (11.3% vs 2.9%). AFF individuals also presented larger left atrial volume index - LA (33.3 mL/m2 versus 27 mL/m2), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (4,63 ± 0,6 cm versus 4,47 ± 0,4 cm) and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF: 63.6 ± 9.1% vs 67.4 ± 6.4%) that non-AFF (all p-values <0.05). In multivariable analysis, prevalent HF, LBBB, larger LA, and lower LVEF were independently associated with the presence of AFF. Among those in sinus rhythm at study baseline, both risk models showed that most individuals in our sample were at low risk. In the Charge-AF, 63% of individuals were identified as presenting low risk (<2.5%), and 12% of the sample was categorized as high risk, with a risk of five-year AFF greater than 5%. Similarly, in the EHR, 67% of participants were classified as low risk, and 13% were considered high risk. Conclusion We found that AFF was present in 4.2% of the subset of older participants in a cohort composed of free-living individuals in Brazil. The presence of AFF was associated with HF history, altered cardiac electrical activity, LA dilation, and worse LV systolic function. Among those with sinus rhythm, 12-13% were considered at high risk of developing AFF (> 5% in five years) based on two clinical scores. Clinical surveillance and monitoring of electrocardiography and echocardiography parameters may help the early identification of risk factors for AFF.

Improving the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy by adding plasma SVEP1 to conventional clinical model including NT-proBNP

Abstract Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is the most common genetic heart disease with a prevalence between 1 in 200 to 500 [1]. HCM can lead to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) such as heart failure (HF) hospitalization and cardiac death [2,3]. A protein named "sushi, von Willebrand factor type A, EGF and pentraxin domain containing 1" (SVEP1) is a large extracellular matrix protein whose activity can be measured in plasma [4,5]. SVEP1 promotes inflammation and atherosclerosis [4,5]. SVEP1 is associated with risk of HF hospitalization and cardiac death in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction [6]. However, no prior study has assessed the prognostic value of SVEP1 in patients with HCM. Purpose To test the hypothesis that the addition of SVEP1 improves the predictive performance of the conventional model based on clinical risk factors plus NT-proBNP for future MACE in patients with HCM. Methods We performed a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients with HCM [7]. The outcome was MACE, defined as a composite of HF hospitalization or cardiac death [6]. After dividing the cohort into four groups using the median values of SVEP1 and NT-proBNP, we compared the risk of the outcome event using the Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for 15 clinical risk factors known to be associated with MACE in HCM (Figure 1) [8-11]. We also developed the Lasso-regularized Cox proportional hazards model to predict the time to first MACE by adding SVEP1 to the 15 clinical risk factors with or without NT-proBNP in the training cohort (randomly selected 75% of the cohort). We then compared the predictive performance in the test cohort (25% of the cohort) using the C-statistic of each model. Results During a median follow-up of 1.9 (25 percentile-75 percentile, 0.7-4.3) years, the outcome event occurred in 63 (10%) of 610 patients. The four groups stratified by the median of SVEP1 and NT-proBNP levels had different risks of the outcome event (log-rank p<0.001: Figure 1). Even in the groups with lower-than-median NT-proBNP levels, the high-SVEP1 group had higher risks of MACE compared with the low-SVEP1 group (adjusted hazard ratio 4.52, p=0.042: Figure 1). In the prediction of time to first MACE, the addition of SVEP1 improved the C-statistic of the clinical model (p<0.001) and that of the clinical plus NT-proBNP model (p=0.01: Figure 2). The clinical plus SVEP1 model also outperformed the clinical plus NT-proBNP model (p=0.005: Figure 2). Conclusions In the present multicenter prospective cohort study of 610 patients with HCM, SVEP1 improved MACE risk stratification when added to the conventional model consisting of clinical risk factors plus NT-proBNP. SVEP1 also exhibited a superior predictive ability than NT-proBNP to predict MACE in patients with HCM. These data collectively indicate that SVEP1 provides additional risk stratification and may be a better biomarker than NT-proBNP for the prognostication of patients with HCM.Figure 1.Kaplan-Meier curves for MACEFigure 2.Time-dependent AUROC curves

Ultra-processed food intake and type 2 diabetes: A dose-response meta-analyses of prospective studies

Abstract Studies suggested a positive association between ultra-processed food (UPF) intake and risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, the magnitude of association varies across studies due to differences in population characteristics and methodological issues. It is also unclear about the exact shape of the association and whether the association is independent of diet quality and adiposity. We conducted a dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies to summarize the association between UPF intake and T2DM risk. PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Embase were searched through Jan. 2024 to identify relevant studies. Using random-effects models, summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for each of the following unit increment in UPF intake: 10% (of total g/d), 100-g/d, and 1-serving/d. A non-linear dose-response meta-analysis was conducted using restricted cubic spline analysis. After screening 569 publications, 12 prospective cohort studies were included in this study. The summary RRs associated with every 10%, 100-g, and 1-serving increment in UPF intake were 1.13 (95% CI = 1.10-1.16), 1.05 (95% CI = 1.03-1.06), and 1.04 (95% CI = 1.03-1.05), respectively. The positive associations remained statistically significant after additional adjustment for diet quality, BMI, and total energy intake. The dose-response curve for g/d of UPF intake suggested evidence of nonlinearity (p-nonlinearity=0.0005), showing a steeper increase in risk at UPF intake >300 g/d. However, evidence for non-linearity was not observed with % and serving/d of UPF intake. The association did not significantly vary by method and timing of UPF assessment. Higher summary RRs were observed among studies from Europe and North America compared with those from other countries (p-heterogeneity=0.048). Our data suggest that higher UPF intake may increase T2DM risk, independent of diet quality and adiposity. Key messages • Higher intake of ultra-processed food is positively associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes. • Public health strategies should encourage healthier dietary choices by emphasizing reduction of UPF intake in dietary guidelines and implementing regulations on manufacturing and labeling of UPF.

Immunogenicity and Antibody Persistence of the Inactivated Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccine in Pediatric Patients Post-Chemotherapy or Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Versus Healthy Controls

Pediatric patients who have undergone hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) or chemotherapy are at increased risk for severe influenza complications, necessitating annual vaccination. This study evaluated the immunogenicity and antibody persistence of the 2021–2022 seasonal quadrivalent influenza vaccine in pediatric patients post-HSCT or chemotherapy, compared to healthy controls. A prospective cohort study included 80 pediatric participants divided into three groups: chemotherapy (n = 33), HSCT (n = 27), and healthy controls (n = 20). All participants were vaccinated with the 2021–2022 GC FLU Quadrivalent vaccine. Hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assays measured seroprotection rates (SPR), geometric mean titers (GMT), and seroconversion rates (SCR) for the four vaccine antigens (A/H1N1, A/H3N2, B/Victoria, B/Yamagata) at one, three, and six months post-vaccination. At one month post-vaccination, all groups met the 70% SPR threshold for A/H1N1 and A/H3N2, but not for B/Victoria. For B/Yamagata, the SPR was low in the chemotherapy and HSCT groups (18.18% and 33.33%, respectively), compared to 80.00% in controls (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.0015). While A/H1N1 and A/H3N2 GMTs were protective in all groups, only controls achieved protective levels for B/Yamagata. Over time, the control group maintained >70% SPR for A/H1N1 up to six months, but the chemotherapy and HSCT groups declined by three and six months, respectively. For A/H3N2, the SPR in controls dropped below 70% at three months, while it remained above 70% in the chemotherapy and HSCT groups until three months. None of the groups achieved protective GMTs for B strains at three or six months. Pediatric patients post-HSCT or chemotherapy demonstrated a comparable immune response to healthy controls for A/H1N1 and A/H3N2, but the rapid decline in A/H1N1 antibody levels suggests the need for ongoing monitoring and adjusted vaccination schedules. The poor response to B antigens, particularly B/Yamagata, underscores the need for improved vaccination strategies in these vulnerable populations.

Genetic and lifestyle risks for coronary artery disease and risk of incident dementia

Abstract Background Lifestyle risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD) have been associated with neurodegeneration and dementia. Whether an underlying genetic risk for the development of CAD further increases this risk, however, remains unclear. Purpose To examine whether an increased genetic risk for CAD is associated with an increased risk of dementia, and to investigate whether lifestyle factors modify these associations. Methods A prospective cohort study of 457,353 participants of European ancestry without dementia at baseline (mean [SD], age 57 [8] years; 55% were female) was conducted within the UK Biobank study. Exposures were a genome-wide polygenic risk score (PRS) for CAD and a modified version of the American Heart Association’s Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) cardiovascular health score comprising four biological (BMI, BP, lipids, glucose) and four lifestyle (smoking status, diet, physical activity, and sleep duration) risk factors previously linked to both CAD and dementia. Dementia diagnoses were obtained from death register and inpatient records. Results 9,337 cases of all-cause dementia were observed over a median 13.9-year follow-up. There were no significant interactions between genetic risk for CAD and lifestyle factors for all-cause dementia, or any other dementia subtype. After adjusting for potential demographic confounders, a higher genetic risk for CAD was associated with elevated risk of developing all-cause dementia (hazard ratio (HR) per 1-SD increase in PRS = 1.08 [95% CI, 1.05-1.10]), Alzheimer’s disease (HR 1.08 [1.03-1.12]), and vascular dementia (HR 1.13 [1.06-1.19]). An unfavourable LE8 cardiovascular health score was also associated with an increased risk of developing all-cause dementia (HR 1.05 [1.02-1.08]), predominantly through its association with vascular dementia (HR 1.14 [1.06-1.22]), as we found no evidence for any associations between LE8 and Alzheimer’s disease (HR 1.00 [0.97-1.02]). Conclusion These findings indicate that a high genetic risk for CAD is associated with an increased risk of developing major dementia subtypes. Regardless of this underlying genetic risk, however, our results suggest that lifestyle interventions designed to reduce the risk of CAD may also reduce one’s risk of developing dementia, particularly in those with underlying vascular pathology.

Exploring heart failure prevalence and overlooked dimensions: a comprehensive NT Pro-BNP study in high-risk primary care patients

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) is a prevalent syndrome linked to significant morbidity and mortality, especially in those with comorbid conditions like diabetes, hypertension, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Early detection and intervention are crucial. Natriuretic peptides, particularly NT-proBNP, are promising biomarkers for identifying at-risk individuals, but their use in primary care settings is not fully understood. Methods This prospective cohort study enrolled 874 participants aged 40 and above with documented risk factors for HF, such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, metabolic syndrome, obesity, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, genetic variants for cardiomyopathy, or exposure to cardiotoxic agents. NT-proBNP levels were measured in blood samples collected at primary care clinics, and participants underwent comprehensive cardiac evaluations at a referral hospital. Clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, electrocardiography, and echocardiography results were recorded. Results The study included 874 patients with at least one risk factor for HF, with a mean age of 62.5 ± 9.1 years and 51.9% female. According to the 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA HF Guideline, 69.1% were Stage A HF, 21.9% Stage B HF, and 9% Stage C HF. Clinical characteristics, laboratory and echocardiographic findings are shown in Picture 1. The majority had hypertension (71.1%), while other prevalent comorbidities included diabetes mellitus (43.4%), dyslipidemia (35.2%), obesity (27.1%), and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (26.2%). Laboratory findings showed a significant decrease in HbA1C, eGFR, LDL, triglycerides, and hemoglobin from Stage A to C HF. Median NT-proBNP levels rose from Stage A to C HF (46.4 pg/mL in Stage A, 219 pg/mL in Stage B, and 268.5 pg/mL in stage C), with 84.8% of Stage B HF patients exhibiting elevated levels. NT-proBNP levels were correlated positively with left atrial volume index, left ventricular mass index, age, E/e’, and estimated systolic pulmonary artery pressure levels. Conversely, NT-proBNP levels showed a negative correlation with estimated glomerular filtration rate and left ventricular ejection fraction. Among Stage C patients, 92.4% had HFpEF. The Picture 2 depicted the study's design and outcomes, providing a comprehensive visual representation. Conclusion NT-proBNP screening in primary care settings identified a substantial proportion of individuals with undiagnosed HF, particularly those in Stage B and Stage C. The high prevalence of HFpEF underscores the need for comprehensive evaluation and management strategies targeting this population. Early detection facilitated by NT-proBNP screening may lead to timely interventions and improved outcomes in individuals at risk for HF.

Novel approach of slow pathway ablation in common atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia by peak frequency map

Abstract Background It is difficult to visualize slow pathway in atrioventricular nodal reentrant tachycardia (AVNRT) even with recent high-density mapping. This could be because the slow pathway potential is buried by the potential of atrial working cells during sinus rhythm and tachycardia. In other words, it is extremely difficult for conventional 3D mapping systems to annotate slow pathway potential even though the histological run of slow pathway is known .[1], [2] Purpose The purpose of this study is to visualize the atrial myocardial junction of rightward inferior extension by the peak frequency map of Ensite X in common AVNRT and to evaluate whether relative high frequency (HF) sites in low voltage area extending from Koch's triangle to tricuspid annulus (TA) is effective targets of slow pathway ablation and the characteristics of junctional rhythm (JR) after radiofrequency application. Methods This study is single-center prospective cohort study. In 37 consecutive common AVNRT patients, novel approach and conventional approach of slow pathway ablation were performed in 17 and 20 patients, respectively. The conventional approach is anatomical and electrophysiological approach. Peak frequency map was performed during sinus rhythm with HD-grid catheter in novel approach patients. A frequency scanning is performed to locate relative HF sites on the tricuspid annulus. Radiofrequencey application is 30 W, 30-60 sec, and the end point was no inducibility or until one echo under load of isoproterenol. Results The success rate was 100 % with two approaches. The relative HF sites in low voltage area were distributed at the TA side from 4 to 5 o'clock in all novel approach patients, mean peak frequency in success site was 419 ± 87 Hz. The distance to His bundle from success site was farther (24.8 ± 4.9 vs. 12.8 ± 4.4 mm, p<0.001), JR was slower (93 ± 14 vs. 118 ± 10 bpm, p=0.013), time to JR occurrence was shorter (3.0 ± 1.3 vs. 7.6 ± 4.6 sec, p=0.003), and elimination rate of jump up (78 % vs. 40 %, p=0.06) was higher in novel approach. Conclusions The relative HF sites in low voltage area at TA side from 4 to 5 o'clock by peak frequency map could be novel target of slow pathway ablation with high success rate and sufficient safety and efficiency.peak frequency map

Mental health problems identified in early school age and later mental health problems and disorders

Abstract Background Poor mental health in childhood and adolescence youth is an important public health challenge. We aimed to examine the prospective association between mental health problems among primary school children and later diagnosed mental disorders and mental health problems in youth. Methods A prospective cohort study of children participating in school health nurse examination during first years of primary school (approx. 6 years) in 17 municipalities in the capital region of Copenhagen, Denmark, with follow-up until their 16th birthday. Baseline data included information from national population registers and school health nurse records. Outcome variables: mental disorders diagnosed at hospital from approx. age 6 until 16 years (N = 6,930) and school health nurse records of mental health problems at approx. age 16 (N = 11,250). Results Problematic relations to peers in early primary school was associated with later neurodevelopmental disorders, including intellectual disability, autism-spectrum disorder and disorders of hyperactivity and inattention (AOR=4.14, 95% CI 2.15-7.97), and poor home related well-being in youth (AOR=1.67, 95% CI 1.02-2.74). Poor school well-being in early primary school was associated with poor school well-being ten years later (AOR=1.67, 95% CI 1.19-2.34) as well as problematic relations to peers (AOR=1.83, 95% CI 1.08-3.10). Further poor general well-being in early primary school was associated with problematic relations to peers in youth (AOR=2.21, 95% CI 1.17-4.18). Conclusions School health nurses identify a group of children in the early years of primary school with mental health problems and an increased risk of later mental health problems and disorders, and therefore they play an important role in the early identification of children at risk. Key messages • Children with problematic relations to peers have up to a fourfold increased risk of later mental disorders. • The school health nurses play an important role in the early identification of children at risk of later mental health problems.

A 16-year evaluation of opportunistic lung cancer screening with low-dose CT in China: comparative findings between non-smokers and smokers

BackgroundAlthough low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening effectively reduces LC mortality in high-risk individuals with a history of smoking in China, the feasibility and efficacy of lung cancer screening (LCS) in individuals who never smoked versus individuals who smoked remains unclear.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of prospective cohort studies at the National Cancer Center (NCC) in China from January 2006 to December 2022. A comprehensive LCS initiative was undertaken, involving 30,468 participants (54.5% male). Participants underwent LCS using LDCT. Potential malignancies were managed through joint consensus between patients and their physicians. Epidemiology, screening eligibility criteria, and LC detection rates and survival outcomes were compared between individuals who smoked and individuals who never smoked.ResultsAmong 30,468 participants, 339 LCs were pathologically confirmed in 289 patients. The LC detection rate was 0.9% (289/30,468) overall, 0.8% in individuals who smoked (71/9,042), and 1.0% in individuals who never smoked (218/21,426). In individuals who smoked, LC detection rates were 0.5% (21/4516) and 1.1% (50/4526) in the < 20 and ≥ 20 pack-year subgroups, respectively (P = 0.001). Early-stage LC (stage 0 or I) was detected in 73.8% of the individuals who smoked and in 78.8% of individuals who never smoked, while advanced LC (stage III–IV) was found 8.8% of individuals who smoked and 4.2% of individuals who never smoked, respectively. Significant differences in histologic types were found between individuals who smoked and individuals who never smoked (P = 0.01), although adenocarcinoma was the most prevalent in both groups, at 83.0% and 78.8%, respectively. The median nodule size was 9.9 mm (IQR, 8.0–13.8) in individuals who smoked and 9.2 mm (IQR, 6.8–13.6) in individuals who never smoked (P = 0.228). Individuals who never smoked tended to favour surgical treatment alone (88.0%) more than individuals who smoked (81.3%). The 10-year survival rate was higher in individuals who never smoked (92.6%) than in individuals who smoked (88.8%). Only 15.6% (45/289) of patients with LC met the United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) criteria for LDCT eligibility, while 29.0% (84/289) met the China guideline for the screening and early detection of lung cancer (CGSL) criteria. Median follow-up for those followed was 25.4 (IQR, 13.7–43.3) months.ConclusionsLDCT screening improves early LC detection and treatment outcomes for both individuals who smoked and individuals who never smoked. Significant differences exist in epidemiology, histologic type, and survival between these groups. The USPSTF and CGSL criteria miss a significant number of LC cases, particularly among individuals who never smoked. Integrating individuals who never smoked into LCS programs is essential, yet it comes with its own challenges, such as managing radiation risks, allocating resources effectively, and considering financial aspects. Consequently, there is an urgent need for LCS programs in China to better identify the “high-risk” non-smoker population susceptible to LC and to ensure that potential risks associated with screening are reduced.

Sociodemographic predictors of the association between self-reported sleep duration and depression

Abstract Background This cross-sectional study is apart from one of the first and largest population-based prospective cohort studies in the UAE called the United Arab Emirates Healthy Future Study (UAEHFS). The aim of this study is to investigate the association between self-perceived sleep duration and self-perceived depression after adjustment for sociodemographic factors. Baseline line data from UAEHFS cohort participants were included in this cross-sectional study. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were fitted, with the binarized self-reported sleep hours as an outcome. The predictors were the self-reported PHQ-8, sociodemographic factors, and body mass index (BMI). Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were reported. Results Of 11,455 participants, 4,295 (37.5%) were included in the complete case analysis after omitting missing values. We applied a complete case analysis following omitting missing values. Participants’ median age was 32.0 years (Interquartile-Range: 24.0, 39.0). In total, 63.6% of the participants reported sleep duration of more than 7 hours. Statistically significant negative association was observed between the total PHQ-8 score and binarized self-reported sleep, OR = 0.961 (95% CI: 0.948, 0.974). For one unit increase in age and BMI, the odds ratio of reporting shorter sleep with OR of 0.979 (95% CI: 0.969, 0.990) and 0.987 (95% CI: 0.977, 0.998) respectively. Conclusions The study findings indicate a correlation between higher total PHQ-8 scores and an increased probability of individuals reporting shorter self-perceived sleep durations when considering some sociodemographic factors such as age, marital status and employment status. However, there was no difference between females and males in reporting self-perceived sleep duration among depressed individuals. Key messages • There is a correlation between higher total PHQ-8 scores and an increased probability of individuals reporting shorter self-perceived sleep durations. • Our results can help contribute to the knowledge based on current and potential population mental health in the UAE and Gulf Region.

ABLE-SCORE: a simplified risk score for major adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with left ventricular noncompaction

Abstract Background Left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) is a heterogeneous entity with life-threatening complications and variable prognosis [1,2]. However, there are limited prediction models available to identify individuals at high risk of adverse outcomes, and the current risk score in LVNC is comparatively complex for clinical practice [3,4]. Purpose To develop and validate a simplified risk score to predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in LVNC. Methods This multicenter longitudinal cohort study consecutively enrolled morphologically diagnosed LVNC patients between January 2009 and December 2020 at a single national-level medical center (derivation cohort n=300; internal validation cohort n=129), and between January 2014 and December 2022 at two national-level medical centers (external validation cohort n=95). The derivation/internal validation cohorts and the multicenter external validation cohort were followed annually until December 2022 and December 2023, respectively. MACE was defined as a composite of all-cause mortality, heart transplantation/left ventricular assist device implantation, cardiac resynchronization therapy, malignant ventricular arrhythmia, and thromboembolism. A simplified risk score, the ABLE-SCORE, was developed based on independent risk factors for MACE in the multivariable Cox regression predictive model, and underwent both internal and external validation to confirm its discrimination (Harrell’s C-index), calibration (calibration plots), and clinical applicability (decision curve analysis). Results A total of 524 LVNC patients (43.5 ± 16.6 years, 65.8% male) were included in the study. At the end of the follow-up, 97 (32.3%), 38 (29.5%), and 20 (21.1%) individuals in the derivation, internal validation, and external validation cohort experienced at least one endpoint of MACE. The ABLE-SCORE was established using four easily accessible clinical variables: age at diagnosis, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels, left atrium enlargement and left ventricular ejection fraction≤40% measured by echocardiography. The risk score showed excellent performance in discrimination, with Harrell’s C-index of 0.821 (95%CI 0.772-0.869), 0.786 (95%CI 0.703-0.869), and 0.750 (95%CI 0.644-0.856) in the derivation, internal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively. Calibration plots of the three datasets suggested accurate agreement between the predicted and observed 5-year risk of MACE in LVNC. According to decision curve analysis, the ABLE-SCORE displayed greater net benefit than the currently existing risk score for MACE in LVNC [3], indicating its strength in clinical applicability. Conclusions Derived from readily available laboratory and echocardiographic variables, a simplified and efficient risk score for MACE was developed and validated using a large LVNC cohort, making it a reliable and convenient tool for the risk stratification and clinical management of patients with LVNC.Development of the ABLE-SCOREValidation of the ABLE-SCORE

Long-term prognostic value of multiple circulating biomarkers for ventricular arrhythmias in patients with left ventricular hypertrabeculation

Abstract Background Left ventricular hypertrabeculation (LVHT) is a rare morphologic phenotype of the heart with heterogeneous manifestations and variable prognosis [1,2]. Ventricular arrhythmia (VA) has been recognized as an independent risk factor that significantly impacts the mortality of LVHT patients [1,3]. However, knowledge regarding the prognosis and risk stratification of VAs in LVHT is currently limited. Purpose To explore the long-term predictive value of multiple circulating biomarkers reflecting cardiac function, endothelial function, inflammation, and oxidative stress for the development of VAs in LVHT patients. Methods This longitudinal cohort study consecutively enrolled morphologically diagnosed LVHT patients between January 2012 and December 2020 at a national-level medical center. All participants possessed thorough profiles of multiple biomarkers [N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, big endothelin-1 (big ET-1), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, uric acid and free fatty acid] and had no previously documented ventricular arrhythmic events. The cohort were followed annually until October 2022. VA was defined as a composite of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, sustained ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation, and appropriate therapy of implantable cardioverter defibrillator. Potential predictors for VAs in the LVHT cohort were evaluated by multivariable Cox regression. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis was employed to explore the nonlinear association between plasma big ET-1 and clinical outcomes. Differences in the cumulative incidence of VAs according to big ET-1 levels and/or the extent of hypertrabeculation were analyzed by Kaplan-Meier curves. Results A total of 265 morphologically diagnosed LVHT patients (44.2 ± 17.0 years, 65.7% male) were included in this study. Over a median follow-up of 4.34 years, 82 (30.9%) patients experienced ventricular arrhythmic events. Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified that baseline levels of big ET-1 (hazard ratio 1.513, 95% confidence interval 1.136-2.013) and isolated hypertrabeculation in left ventricular lateral wall (LVLW) (hazard ratio 1.810, 95% confidence interval 1.023-3.202) were independently associated with the occurrence of VAs. RCS analysis illustrated that the susceptibility to VAs was remarkably raised with the increase of big ET-1 levels. LVHT patients with higher plasma big ET-1 suffered from more severe cardiac dysfunction and remodeling. Individuals who displayed elevated concentrations of big ET-1 and isolated LVLW hypertrabeculation were at a significantly greater risk of developing VAs. Conclusions Introducing routine assessments for plasma big ET-1 and the extent of hypertrabeculation at baseline can offer valuable support in the risk stratification and clinical management of ventricular arrhythmic events in patients with LVHT.Prognositc value of big ET-1 for VAsbig ET-1/LVLW hypertrabeculation &amp; VAs

Do changes in BMI during the COVID-19 pandemic persist in the post-pandemic period in a pediatric population attending health care clinics? A longitudinal study.

The long-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on body weight has not been sufficiently analyzed. This study aimed to analyze changes in body mass index (BMI) during and after the COVID-19 pandemic among a large pediatric population attending health care clinics. This retrospective longitudinal cohort study utilized electronic medical data of 106,871 children (52.1% males, median age 8.2 years at pre-pandemic assessment). Each child had at least one BMI measurement recorded pre-pandemic and two additional measurements: one during the pandemic and one post-pandemic. Obesity rates increased from 12.8% pre-pandemic to 15.4% during the pandemic, slightly decreasing to 15.0% post-pandemic. BMI-standard deviation scores (SDSs) increased during the pandemic, in both sexes, across all ages and all socioeconomic position (SEP) clusters, and in children with pre-pandemic underweight or normal weight (all P&lt;0.001). Post-pandemic, BMI-SDS decreased but remained above pre-pandemic levels, particularly in younger children (aged 2-6 years) and those from low/medium SEP clusters (all P&lt;0.001). BMI-SDS continued to increase in children aged 6.1-16 years, those of Arab ethnicity, and those in the high SEP cluster. The COVID-19 pandemic correlated with an overall increase in BMI-SDS, which decreased post-pandemic but remained above pre-pandemic levels. Effective policy interventions to prevent pediatric obesity are crucial.

Modifying effect of obesity status on the association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol with incident hemorrhagic stroke: evidence from a community-based longitudinal cohort study in China

Abstract Background Previous results on the association between lipids and hemorrhagic stroke were controversial. Modifying effect of obesity on the association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and hemorrhagic stroke risk in the Chinese community-based population remains unclear. Objectives We aimed to investigate the association between LDL-C and hemorrhagic stroke risk in the Chinese community-based population. In addition, we aimed to explore the potential modifying effect of obesity status, particularly abdominal obesity, on this relationship. Methods A total of 7899 eligible subjects, without history of stroke and myocardial infarction, and any use of lipid-lowering medication at baseline, were enrolled in this study. Levels of LDL-C, total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) were assessed at baseline. The primary endpoint was the hemorrhagic stroke. Abdominal obesity was defined as waist circumference &amp;gt; 90 cm in men and &amp;gt; 85 cm in women. Results Of all participants, the mean age was 56.13 ± 8.87 years, 2848 (36.1%) were male. During a mean 9.71-year follow-up, 66 hemorrhagic strokes occurred. After multivariable adjustment (Figure 1), compared to participants with LDL-C levels 2.6 – 3.4 mmol/L, those with LDL-C levels &amp;lt; 1.8 mmol/L had 3.32 times the risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.32; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24, 8.84) of incident hemorrhagic stroke. Compared with participants with TC levels 3.1 – 5.2 mmol/L, HR (95% CI) was 7.82 (2.36, 25.90) for hemorrhagic stroke in those with TC &amp;lt; 3.1 mmol/L. We observed no significant associations between TG or HDL-C levels and hemorrhagic stroke risk. Interaction effects were found between obesity and LDL-C for incident hemorrhagic stroke. Accordingly, significant associations between low LDL-C level (&amp;lt; 1.8 mmol/L) and the risk of incident hemorrhagic stroke were found only among abdominal obesity participants (HR: 3.76; 95% CI: 1.01, 13.97), or those with body mass index (BMI) &amp;gt; = 24 kg/m2 (HR: 3.74; 95% CI: 1.24, 11.34) (Figure 2). Conclusions LDL-C levels &amp;lt; 1.8mmol/L and TC levels &amp;lt; 3.1mmol/L were associated with increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke. Modifying effect of obesity status on the association between low LDL-C level and hemorrhagic stroke was observed in our study.

An Evaluation of Resilience as a Protective Factor for Mental Health Among Sexual and Gender Minority Young People.

Purpose: Sexual and gender minority (SGM) individuals often face minority stressors that negatively affect their mental health, making it important to identify protective factors against the adverse psychological effects of minority stress. We investigated the potential protective effect of trait resilience in SGM individuals assigned female at birth (SGM-AFAB), who are understudied despite being at particularly high risk for mental health problems. Methods: As part of an ongoing longitudinal cohort study, 452 SGM-AFAB young people (age 16-31 years) completed measures of resilience, minority stressors (victimization, microaggressions, internalized heterosexism, and cisgenderism), and mental health (depression, anxiety, suicidal ideation) in 2017-2018. Moderating effects of resilience on associations between the minority stressors and mental health outcomes were tested using regression analyses. Results: Resilience attenuated the positive associations of microaggressions with both depression and anxiety and of internalized cisgenderism with depression (in transgender and gender-diverse participants), suggesting protective effects. Resilience did not moderate any other associations. Conclusion: These findings suggest that resilience serves as a protective factor against depressive and anxiety symptoms following experiences of microaggressions and against depressive symptoms following internalized cisgenderism among diverse SGM-AFAB individuals. These results underscore the importance of identifying factors that bolster resilience and developing intervention strategies aimed at promoting resilience within SGM-AFAB individuals, especially following experiences of microaggressions and internalized cisgenderism.

Long-term outcome after Mustard procedure at young age: longitudinal follow-up of 40 to 48 years after surgery

Abstract Objectives To evaluate the long-term clinical outcome and quality of life up to 48 years of patients with Transposition of the Great Arteries (TGA) after Mustard procedure at young age. Primary outcome was defined as a composite endpoint of death, re-intervention, clinically relevant heart failure or arrhythmia, ischemic stroke and endocarditis. Methods Single center, longitudinal cohort study evaluating consecutive patients with TGA who underwent Mustard procedure before the age of 15 between 1973 and 1980 at our medical center, the Netherlands. Survival of all eligible patients was obtained. All eligible patients were invited for in hospital evaluation and underwent extensive cardiac and psychological evaluation every 10 years. The latest evaluation took place in 2021 and 2022. Results The original study cohort consisted of 91 consecutive patients. Cumulative survival at 48 years (95% complete) was 62% and significantly decreased compared to the general Dutch population (p&amp;lt;0.001). Cumulative survival at 48 years in hospital survivors was 66%. Mortality rate was 0.19 per 100 patient-years. Thirty-four patients (77%) of the eligible 44 survivors (71% male, median age at study 46 years) were included in the present study. Median follow-up since initial surgical correction was 46 (range 40-48) years. Event-free survival at 48 years was 14%. Overall, 34 patients underwent re-intervention of which 3 in the last 10 years (predominantly Baffle revision). In total, 29 patients had supraventricular tachycardia and 11 patients had ventricular tachycardia of which 8 and 4 respectively occurred in the last 10 years. Alltogether, 22 patients had symptomatic heart failure of which 9 occurred in the last 10 years. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (n=11) showed a median systemic right ventricular ejection fraction (sRVEF) of 35% [32-40%]. In 73% of the patients, sRVEF fraction was below 40%. Echocardiography showed a diminished sRVEF in all patients. VO2max was reduced in 95% of all patients. Self-perceived quality of life (SF-36) generally was comparable to the general Dutch population with the exception of domain general health (p&amp;lt;0.001). Conclusion Late mortality, and especially morbidity of hospital survivors after Mustard procedure was substantial, with an event free survival of only 14% at 48 years. Re-intervention and symptomatic arrhythmia were often reported. The function of the systemic right ventricle was diminished and VO2max was also reduced. The burden of heart failure increased drastically in the last decade. Therefore, intensive follow-up of these patients is warranted.

Myocardial injury and heart failure biomarkers in acute intermittent porphyria

Abstract Background Acute intermittent porphyria (AIP) is a rare metabolic disorder caused by the defect in the hydroxymethylbilane synthase gene, encoding the third enzyme in heme biosynthesis pathway. The main symptoms include abdominal pain, vomiting, paralysis, confusion. Exacerbation of AIP may manifest with elevation of blood pressure and tachycardia due to hyperactivity of sympathetic nervous system. Data regarding cardiac function in AIP are scarce. Purpose The aim of this study was to assess the myocardial injury and heart failure biomarkers during AIP exacerbations and remission. Methods This cohort prospective study encompassed patients at the age 18-65 years who had at least one exacerbation of AIP in their lifetime. Patients examined during the AIP exacerbations were reassessed in the remission phase. The concentrations of sodium, troponin T, CK-MB mass, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and metoxycatecholamines in blood were assessed. Blood pressure was measured with 24-hour ABPM. Echocardiography was performed according to the current recommendations. Results The total number of 70 patients with AIP were enrolled to the study (April 2019 - March 2023). We assessed 36 patients in both phases of disease, mean age 37 years (21-63), 75% females. The median of prior AIP exacerbations was 8. During the exacerbations a significant increase in the concentrations of NT-proBNP (250 [97 ; 501] vs. 89 [48 ; 140] pg/mL, p&amp;lt;0.001), metanephrine (49.0 [37.8 ; 61.2] vs. 41.4 [36.8 ; 53.3] pg/mL, p=0.009) and normetanephrine (169.8 [118.2 ; 327.2] vs. 93.2 [78.1 ; 120.9] pg/mL, p&amp;lt;0.001) was observed. Conversely, sodium concentrations decreased (136 [133 ; 140] vs. 140 [139 ; 142] mmol/L, p&amp;lt;0.001). There were no significant differences in the values of troponin (5.4 [4.0 ; 11.3] vs. 5.6 [3.7 ; 9.5] ng/L, p=0.445), CK-MB mass (1.88 [0.84 ; 2.64] vs. 1.21 [0.83 ; 2.80] ng/mL, p=0.80). In the acute phases of AIP the levels of NT-proBNP were correlated negatively with the values of sodium concentrations (r=-0.36, p=0.032) and positively with average systolic blood pressure (r=0.32, p=0.06). Echocardiography showed an increase in left ventricular (LV) mass indices in some patients hospitalized due to AIP symptoms. Sodium concentrations correlated negatively with these changes (r=-0.36, p=0.032). LV ejection fraction was slightly higher during AIP exacerbations. There were no significant differences in other parameters of LV systolic and diastolic function. Conclusions During acute intermittent porphyria (AIP) exacerbations there is an increase in the concentrations of NT-proBNP and catecholamines in blood. In most patients the levels of markers of myocardial injury, such as troponin and CK-MB mass, do not differ significantly between phases of disease. During AIP exacerbations some patients experience an increase in LV mass which may be associated with hyponatremia. In most cases cardiac function do not change significantly.Frequency of abnormal laboratory resultsResults of echocardiography

Outdoor living environment and cardiovascular disease risk: results from a Swedish cohort

Abstract Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide. While sociodemographic, dietary and lifestyle factors have been well documented in relation to CVD, environmental factors have been less studied. However, considering the ongoing biodiversity, climate, and health crises, it is imperative to better understand the interplay between the environment and health. This study aimed to examine the associations between green qualities of the residential environment and CVD. The Malmö Diet and Cancer study is a prospective cohort initiated in the 1990s in the city of Malmö (southern Sweden). At baseline, participants were invited to a health screening, including extensive questionnaires about socioeconomic conditions, lifestyle and diet, clinical examination and blood sampling. The residential coordinates of the participants at baseline were linked to the Scania Outdoor Environment Database comprising scores for a range of perceived qualities of the neighbourhood outdoor environment. Three greenness-related dimensions (serene, natural, diverse) were selected for this substudy. Information on incidence of CVD until 2019 was retrieved from Swedish registers. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate associations between green-related qualities and cardiovascular diseases (major adverse coronary events). Approximately 27000 participants were included, of which 60% were women. The average age at baseline was 58 years old (±8). Mean follow-up was 20 years (±7) and 4318 cases of major adverse coronary events were identified. Preliminary results suggest that several sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, as well as some aspects of neighbourhood greenness, were associated to increased cardiovascular incidence. Neighbourhood greenness might play a role in major adverse coronary events incidence. Further investigation on underlying mechanisms is required. Key messages • Identifying environmental risk factors for cardiovascular disease is of importance for public health. • Neighbourhood greenness might play a role in cardiovascular disease incidence, and underlying mechanisms need to be investigated further.