Climate Commitments Research Articles

India’s Security and Climate Policy: Navigating the China Challenge

In a world rich in climate knowledge but short on climate action, it is important to understand the political reasons behind the apparent failure of states to address this planetary crisis. One underexplored dimension of this phenomenon is the impact of broader geopolitics and rivalry, in specific the ability and willingness of potential and actual security and economic rivals to leave their contention at the gates of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This article focuses on India’s multifaceted approach to its ‘China challenge’ with and outside the climate regime. While conventional scholarship focuses on the security and economic dimensions of this rivalry, this study offers a distinct perspective that examines whether this rivalry might lead to a breakdown of cooperation and an increased potential for conflict and weaponisation of seemingly disconnected issue areas. Drawing on a comprehensive triangulation of policy documents, government statements and scholarly literature, this article evaluates the domestic and international factors shaping India’s climate-related China policies, including the countries’ unique economic ambitions, development imperatives, energy needs and global climate commitments. Furthermore, the article examines Sino-Indian interactions in international arenas such as the UNFCCC and Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa (BRICS), and how these interactions influence global climate governance.

Navigating Climate Change: Alberta’s Carbon Program for Sustainable Agriculture

In 2021, the Government of Alberta launched the carbon program initiative to evaluate environmental practices and greenhouse gas reduction strategies in the agricultural sector. The program has produced various technical reports, policy briefing papers, industry surveys and roundtables. This policy paper consolidates the findings of the research. It presents an analysis of Alberta’s greenhouse gas emission profile, historical trends and the policy framework, as well as an examination of mitigation strategies such as carbon pricing and their effectiveness in Alberta’s agricultural system. The key question addressed in this paper is how Alberta can continue to support its thriving agricultural industry while responding to the federal and global calls to significantly reduce its methane and nitrous oxide emissions and fulfil Canada’s climate commitments. The paper also outlines the obstacles that producers encounter when implementing these strategies, as well as the limitations of the current emission estimation methodology in measuring the impact. To effectively address the challenges of emission mitigation in Alberta’s agriculture sector, a co-ordinated approach at both the federal and provincial levels is crucial. The paper concludes with the following recommendations that outline specific actions to help reduce uncertainties and support producers in implementing best management practices (BMPs) to lower greenhouse gas emissions.

Monitoring the Net Primary Productivity of Togo’s Ecosystems in Relation to Changes in Precipitation and Temperature

Climate variability significantly impacts plant growth, making it crucial to monitor ecosystem performance for optimal carbon sequestration, especially in the context of rising atmospheric CO2 levels. Net Primary Productivity (NPP), which measures the net carbon flux between the atmosphere and plants, serves as a key indicator. This study uses the CASA (Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach) model, a radiation use efficiency method, to assess the spatio-temporal dynamics of NPP in Togo from 1987 to 2022 and its climatic drivers. The average annual NPP over 36 years is 4565.31 Kg C ha−1, with notable extremes in 2017 (6312.26 Kg C ha−1) and 1996 (3394.29 Kg C ha−1). Productivity in natural formations increased between 2000 and 2022. While climate change and land use negatively affect Total Production (PT) from 2000 to 2022, they individually enhance NPP variation (58.28% and 188.63%, respectively). NPP shows a strong positive correlation with light use efficiency (r2 = 0.75) and a moderate one with actual evapotranspiration (r2 = 0.43). Precipitation and potential evapotranspiration have weaker correlations (r2 = 0.20; 0.10), and temperature shows almost none (r2 = 0.05). These findings contribute to understanding ecosystem performance, supporting Togo’s climate commitments.

Mobilizing carbon offsetting to reduce energy cost burdens: a new approach for calculating and monetizing the offset value of energy efficiency upgrades to low-income housing

Energy-inefficient buildings are a major driver of climate change. The aging, energy inefficient housing occupied by low-income households in the US and other high-income countries is a driver of notable environmental and health disparities as well. Public policies for alleviating the financial and health burdens of energy inefficient housing have existed for decades, but fallen short of reaching most households in need. This paper proposes a promising new approach to filling gaps left by public programs — one that relies on mobilizing the tools of private governance, carbon offsetting and the voluntary carbon market (VCM) to finance energy upgrades for low-income households. We develop a new and readily applicable methodology for calculating energy and carbon savings from efficiency upgrades based on readily accessible publicly available data. Tailored to the needs of estimating energy and carbon savings from efficiency upgrades to low-income units, rentals in particular, this methodology can be fruitfully deployed in monetizing the carbon savings from efficiency driven reductions in household energy use. Specifically, we propose packaging the emission reductions generated through energy savings as carbon offsets, then selling these offsets on the voluntary carbon market to generate financing for energy upgrades to low-income homes not served by public energy efficiency programs. Given the multiple economic and health co-benefits from low-income energy upgrades, we expect that carbon offsets generated through such upgrades will be attractive to many corporate and institutional offset buyers, particularly those who seek to fulfill climate commitments while also advancing economic and human development in their host communities.

Mapping forest-based natural climate solutions

Natural climate solutions are critical actions of ecosystem stewardship to mitigate climate change. However, prioritizing locations and possible actions is challenging. We demonstrate a generalizable approach for identifying potential opportunities for natural climate solutions by creating a spatial hierarchy of land management restrictions. Global forest carbon stocks and flux models were then used to explore forest-based natural climate solutions in the high-carbon density coastal temperate rainforests of western North America. Our results show 13 million hectares are available for action, an area that holds 4,900 ± 640 megatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent and represents 45% of regional and 0.5% of global aboveground forest carbon stocks. Based on historical trends, a 10% reduction in average annual forest carbon loss through improved forest management and conservation could reduce forest carbon emissions by 9.1 megatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent per year, corresponding to 5.2% of the 2030 land-based climate commitments made by the United States and Canada. Large-scale implementation of natural climate solutions will require collaborative planning with forest-dependent communities, industry, governments, and Indigenous peoples.

Do Domestic Climate Rulings Make Climate Commitments More Credible? Evidence from Stock Market Returns

Do Domestic Climate Rulings Make Climate Commitments More Credible? Evidence from Stock Market Returns

STATUS OF THE RENEWABLE ENERGY IN INDIA

As India faces the dual challenges of rapid economic growth and rising energy demands, the shift towards renewable energy has emerged as a crucial strategy for sustainable development. This study examines the role of renewable energy in India’s energy landscape and its impact on sustainable development. Renewable energy is essential for enhancing energy security, reducing environmental pollution, driving economic growth, and improving public health. By reviewing recent literature and analysing the progress in renewable energy adoption, this study highlights the significant advancements made in solar, wind, and bioenergy sectors. It also explores the benefits of renewable energy, including reduced greenhouse gas emissions, increased energy access, and alignment with global climate commitments. The findings emphasize the importance of continued investment, innovation, and supportive policies to maintain momentum and ensure a sustainable energy future for India. Further study used Average annual growth rate and graphs only. KEY WORDS: sustainable development, environmental, economic growth, greenhouse gas emissions

Projected rapid response of stratospheric temperature to stringent climate mitigation

Deep, rapid and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions are required to meet the 2015 Paris Agreement climate target. If the world strengthens efforts toward near-term decarbonisation and undertakes major societal transformation, this will be met with requests from policymakers and the public for evidence that our actions are working and there are demonstrable effects on the climate system. Global surface temperature exhibits large internal variability on interannual to decadal timescales, meaning a reduction in the magnitude of surface warming would not be robustly attributable to climate mitigation for some time. In contrast, global stratospheric temperature trends have much higher signal-to-noise ratios and could offer an early indication of the effects of climate mitigation. Here we examine projected near-term global temperature trends at the surface and in the stratosphere using large ensemble climate models following three future emission scenarios. Under rapid, deep emission cuts following SSP1–1.9, modelled middle and upper stratospheric cooling trends show a detectable weakening within 5 years compared to a scenario approximately representing current climate commitments (SSP2–4.5). Therefore, stratospheric temperature trends could serve as an early indicator to policymakers and the public that climate mitigation is taking effect.

Exploring the Role of Businesses in Polycentric Climate Governance with Large-N Data Sets

Abstract Much existing empirical research on polycentric climate governance (PCG) systems examines small-N examples. In response, we aim to advance studies of PCG by exploring, and reflecting on, the use of large-N data sets for analyzing PCG. We use Python (a programming language) to create a novel data set from the United Nations’ Global Climate Action Portal. This method allows us to quantify key variables for 12,568 businesses located in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries: the number of businesses’ climate commitments, their progress toward meeting those commitments, and businesses’ memberships in “more polycentric” networks via transnational climate initiatives (TCIs). Our analysis of these data reveals that greater interconnectedness may strengthen climate policy performance, since businesses with memberships in TCIs more commonly achieved their commitments. Additional research using these data, and/or similar methods, could be conducted on climate governance and on other areas of international environmental governance, such as mining and oil production.

The energy mix dilemma in Indonesia in achieving net zero emissions by 2060

Background: The global responsibility to reduce greenhouse gas emissions forces Indonesia to evaluate its energy policies and strategies. The energy mix dilemma in Indonesia arises as a consequence of rapid economic growth, rapid urbanization, and the continuously increasing energy demand. By 2060, Indonesia aims to have an energy mix dominated by renewable energy sources (RES) and to reduce its dependence on fossil fuels. The importance of reducing greenhouse gas emissions is becoming increasingly apparent, considering Indonesia is one of the countries highly vulnerable to climate change. Method: This study employs a combined approach of policy analysis and literature review. The method used in this research is an objective narrative literature review as a reference for conducting the literature study. Findings: In 2023, Indonesia is still heavily reliant on fossil fuels, primarily coal, oil, and natural gas. The Indonesian government has enacted several regulations related to energy use, including policies for the development of renewable energy. Despite efforts to reduce emissions through the application of clean technologies, the main challenge is significantly replacing fossil energy sources with renewable energy. Several inhibiting factors emerge as real challenges in the journey to achieve Net Zero Emissions. Technological and infrastructure constraints are the main obstacles. The strategic importance of sustainable economic growth is a central point in this dilemma. However, the transition to net zero emissions often requires structural adjustments that can impact the economy. Conclusion: The process of transitioning to renewable energy must be carefully implemented to avoid the risk of supply instability. The alignment between economic growth, energy security, and emission reduction is key to designing effective and sustainable policies. Novelty/Originality of this Study: This study provides a comprehensive examination of Indonesia's energy mix dilemma in the context of achieving net zero emissions by 2060, specifically highlighting the intricate balance between sustainable economic growth, energy security, and global climate commitments. By adopting a holistic approach that involves the government, private sector, and societal participation, the research offers innovative policy recommendations for transitioning from non-renewable to renewable energy sources while addressing socio-economic challenges.

Industrial Composition of Syndicated Loans and Banks’ Climate Commitments

Industrial Composition of Syndicated Loans and Banks’ Climate Commitments

Clouding the Future: Innovating Towards Net-Zero Emissions

Purpose: This paper explores the intersection of cloud computing, generative artificial intelligence (AI), and sustainability, focusing on how these technologies can drive the transition towards net-zero emissions. The aim is to assess how integrating cloud-based solutions and AI can enhance energy efficiency and support environmental goals. Methodology: The study employs a comprehensive review of recent literature, industry reports, and case studies from major cloud providers and technology companies. It analyzes the sustainability commitments of leading cloud providers, evaluates the role of generative AI in optimizing resource utilization, and examines the benefits of serverless automation in reducing carbon footprints. Findings: The research finds that cloud providers are making significant strides in sustainability through ambitious climate commitments and energy-efficient technologies. Generative AI is shown to improve decision-making and resource management, while serverless automation optimizes resource use and minimizes energy consumption. These advancements collectively contribute to achieving long-term sustainability goals and enhancing operational efficiency. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice, and Policy: This paper provides a novel perspective on leveraging generative AI and serverless automation for sustainability. It offers actionable recommendations for organizations to integrate these technologies into their cloud strategies, emphasizing the importance of aligning with ESG criteria and optimizing data center operations. The findings support the development of policies that encourage technological innovation in the pursuit of environmental stewardship and carbon neutrality.

Sustainable Development and the Rights of Future Generations in the Iraqi Constitution of 2005: A Comparative Study

It seems we are sleepwalking towards a climate catastrophe," and "The era of global warming has ended, and the era of global boiling has begun," are two quotes from UN Secretary-General António Guterres, the first in March 2022 and the latter in July 2023. He warns of countries neglecting their climate commitments and many, both developed and others, not adhering to the implementation of sustainable development plans. Sustainable development is no longer just a term or concept to be added to the field of other terms and concepts; it is an urgent necessity, and neglecting it signals a serious danger. The World Commission on Environment and Development defines it in its 1987 report titled "Our Common Future" presented to the United Nations as "development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs." It is clear that the issue of sustainable development is not new or emergent; it was discussed in the 1980s. Nor is it a secondary or marginal issue; it is supported by the United Nations. It is surprising that the Iraqi Constitution of 2005 does not mention sustainable development, even though it was written nearly a quarter-century after the term became widespread. The current constitution refers to the word "development" without specifying its meaning or content, whereas some constitutions, such as the amended Egyptian Constitution of 2014, clearly and explicitly refer to sustainable development and the rights of future generations. Respecting the rights of future generations is one of the most important topics that constitutional lawmakers should include at the core of the constitutional document to grant it both substantive and formal supremacy, giving it the necessary priority and care.

Analytical modelling of an indirect evaporative cooler based on the Maisotsenko cycle for HVAC applications

Highly-efficient evaporative cooling systems can significantly reduce the energy use in buildings, thereby contributing to meet Europe’s climate commitments, including building decarbonisation by 2050. The Maisotsenko Cycle is an indirect, multi-stage type of evaporative cooling which can be used in different air-conditioning applications. The main objective of this study is to develop an analytical model of an indirect evaporative cooler based on the Maisotsenko cycle for HVAC applications. The conservation equations governing the heat and mass transfer processes occurring in the indirect evaporative cooler were solved by means of numerical methods, and the results provided by the model were validated using experimental data reported in the literature (differences lower than 2%). Finally, a parametric study was conducted where the influence of various operational and environmental variables on the system's performance were numerically analysed.

Entre o desinteresse e a desigualdade: percepções de <i>brokers</i> e <i>stakeholders</i> sobre a implementação de políticas florestais em nível subnacional

Objective/context: In 2020, Ucayali was the Peruvian region with the highest loss of Amazonian forest (47,267 hectares). Measures have been taken regarding climate commitments and environmental governance, but the results continue without notoriety, and mitigation actions are limited. From a subnational approach, the article seeks to analyze the perceptions of brokers and actors involved about the implementation of forest policies in the Ucayali region. Methodology: Based on a qualitative strategy that included semi-structured interviews and a co- construction workshop to evidence the perceptions of the actors involved, with direct knowledge of the territory and implementation, and intermediary agents (brokers), the latter with the capacity to influence the decisions made regarding the formulation of action plans. Conclusions: The results demonstrate the existence of a structural difficulty in achieving short- or long-term change actions. There are institutional limitations but also a lack of support from civil society. Originality: Considering the type and limited number of studies on perceptions of climate change-oriented policies, the results obtained allow for generating relevant evidence for policy formulation processes and articulation between different levels of government.

Investigation of the causality between participation in global value chains and CO2 emissions between developed and developing countries

The production and consumption activities are cross-border and therefore, it is important to understand the role of Global Value Chains (GVCs) in fulfilling a country’s specific climate commitments. This study examines the causal relationship between selected GVC indices and CO2 emissions. We use the GVC position index, considered robust in comparison to the frequently used GVC participation index, for determining the impact on emissions. The forward and backward participation indices are considered in the analysis. The paper presents an analysis of 62 developing and developed economies from 1995 to –2018 using the Juodis A., Y. Karavias, and V. Sarafidis [2021. “A Homogeneous Approach to Testing for Granger non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels.” Empirical Economics 60 (1): 93–112] approach, which is an improvement over the traditional approaches to analysing causality. The results show that the overall position in GVCs positively affects CO2 emissions for developing countries but a causal relationship does not exist for the developed countries. The developed countries attain a higher participation index but a lower position index. On the other hand, developing countries with fewer stringent environmental regulations may opt for an upstream position (more export-oriented) and by design specialize in more pollution-intensive industries. Noteworthy, production-based emissions in developed countries are reduced because of an increase in imports of emission-intensive products from developing countries.

African climate politics and multilateralism: Domestic factors and cross-country variation in climate ambitions

ABSTRACT This article examines how domestic factors explain variations in the ambitions of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries to meet the requirements of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. Although Africa contributes only 3.8% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it is highly vulnerable to climate change. All 54 African countries have ratified the Paris Agreement, and by May 2022, 44 had submitted updated nationally determined contributions (NDCs), showing strong commitment to mitigating global temperature rise. Although SSA countries’ NDCs are more robust than the global average, significant cross-country variations exist. This article builds on the limited research on these variations to explore whether democracy, GDP, oil consumption, and historical emissions influence NDC ambition across 44 SSA countries. The analysis finds a statistically significant negative relationship between GDP and NDC ambition, while other variables show no significance. This study is crucial for understanding how domestic factors shape climate commitments in SSA.

Decarbonization pathways in Latin America: Assessing the economic and policy implications of transitioning to renewable energy sources

The Paris Agreement's ambitious target of limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5°C remains elusive, with the world falling short of its climate commitments. The electricity sector, responsible for a substantial 39% of global carbon emissions, plays a pivotal role in curbing climate change. Transitioning to renewable energy sources is not just an environmental imperative but also a pressing economic challenge, especially for governments tasked with financing renewable projects. This study explores the economic dimensions of decarbonizing electricity grids, shedding light on the costs and benefits. This research quantifies the costs of current fossil fuel-based electricity production versus achieving net-zero emissions across ten Latin American countries by evaluating annual electricity generation costs and estimating the expenses of transitioning to renewables. We find that decarbonizing these countries’ electricity grids would lead to annual savings close to USD 21 billion annually, potentially contributing positively to their economies. The study also compares the energy policies for each of the ten Latin American nations included, evaluating the role of renewable-oriented policies in decarbonizing power generation. We also find that policies vary in effectiveness across countries, and have to be in line with geographical constraints and economic realities.

Assessing the Climate Commitments of the European Union in Energy Challenges Due to the Russia-Ukraine War 2022

This research examines the European Union’s (EU) climate commitments during the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022. EU as a proactive international organisation in global climate management, has made various efforts through policy and strategy formulation and implementation mechanisms, as well as by playing an important role in international climate negotiations. However, the Russia- Ukraine War has affected the EU’s energy security and energy transition agenda. This research uses a qualitative approach and case study analysis method, with secondary data sources obtained through library research collection techniques. To answer the research questions, the conceptual framework of ‘environmental security’ is used to analyse the energy response in the EU based on environmental protection considerations, which then illustrates the climate commitments in the EU during the Russia-Ukraine War. The research found that while some of these measures may come at the expense of the EU’s climate mitigation efforts in the short term, the EU’s overall energy response to avoid an energy crisis in its member states still demonstrates a strong commitment to the fight against global climate change.

A Future Growth Model for Building More Housing and Infrastructure with Less Embodied Greenhouse Gas.

Global demand for housing and the climate crisis have created a seemingly impossible choice between the need to build more and the need to emit less from construction materials. Here, we present the future infrastructure growth (FIG) model, a generalizable method for finding pathways to build enough housing and infrastructure while reducing material emissions, in line with climate commitments. FIG uses open data to quantify the emissions of existing neighborhoods as if they were built new; it then uses these quantifications to forecast future cradle-to-gate embodied emissions from new residential buildings and linear infrastructure construction. This novel approach allows for detailed analysis that scales to a city, region, and/or national level and captures variability in construction norms, designs, and codes. We demonstrate FIG on Canada, using the model to find neighborhood-level drivers of embodied emissions and the most effective reduction strategies through 2030 and 2050. Current construction practices will cause a 437% overshoot of Canada's climate commitments if housing growth targets are met. Avoiding this overshoot requires a near-total reliance on multiunit buildings and best-in-class design supported by improvements in material manufacturing, building within existing urban boundaries, and halving the use of new materials.