Body Mass Index Trajectories Research Articles

Association between BMI trajectories from childhood to early adulthood and the carotid intima-media thickness in early adulthood: Tehran lipid and glucose study

Background and aimsChildhood and adolescence overweight/obesity is an important predictor of obesity and increased long-term cardiometabolic abnormalities in adulthood. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) trajectories among children and adolescents with adulthood carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) as a determinant of subclinical atherosclerosis.MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, 1265 participants aged 3 to 18 were followed up for 18 years. By using Latent Class Growth Analysis, three groups of BMI and WC trajectory were defined; low stable, moderate-increasing, and high-increasing. Linear and logistic regression analysis were used to investigate the association of each lifetime BMI and WC trajectory group with cIMT.ResultsAlthough the high-increasing BMI trajectory group was significantly associated with higher cIMT (ß=0.0464, P < 0.001), moderate-increase was not (ß=0.0096, P = 0.102); in reference to the low-stable BMI trajectory group. Among WC trajectory groups, both moderate- (ß=0.0177, P = 0.006) and high-increasing (ß=0.0533, P < 0.001), in reference to the low-stable group, were significantly associated with higher cIMT. The results did not change after adjustment for baseline BMI. The ORs of high-increasing BMI, moderate-increasing WC, and high-increasing WC trajectories were 3.24, 1.92, and 3.29, respectively for high cIMT.ConclusionOur study resulted that a high-increasing trajectory of childhood BMI and moderate- and high-increasing trajectories of childhood WC are associated with higher cIMT and higher risk of high-cIMT. Regular monitoring and screening of BMI and WC trajectory from childhood may improve identifying individuals with high risks of cardiovascular disease, more accurately.

Early life cardiovascular risk factor trajectories and vascular aging in midlife: a 30-year prospective cohort study

Abstract Background Vascular aging, as assessed by structural and functional arterial properties, is an independent predictor of cardiovascular outcomes. We aimed to explore the associations of individual cardiovascular risk factors from childhood to midlife and their accumulation over a 30-year span with vascular aging in midlife. Methods Using data from the ongoing cohort of Hanzhong Adolescent Hypertension study, 2180 participants aged 6 to 18 years at baseline were followed for over 30 years. Distinct trajectories of systolic blood pressure (SBP), body mass index (BMI), and heart rate (HR) from childhood to midlife were identified by group-based trajectory modeling. Vascular aging was assessed by carotid intima–media thickness (cIMT) or brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV). Results We identified 4 distinct SBP trajectories, 3 distinct BMI trajectories and 2 distinct HR trajectories from childhood to midlife. Persistently-increasing SBP, high-increasing BMI, and high-stable HR were all shown to have a positive association with baPWV in midlife. For cIMT, similar associations were observed for persistently-increasing SBP and high-increasing BMI. After further adjustment for SBP, BMI and HR at the time of vascular assessment in 2017, associations were also observed for cardiovascular risk factor trajectories accumulation with baPWV (β=0.656 (95%CI, 0.265-1.047)] and with cIMT [β=0.045 (95%CI, 0.011-0.079)] in adulthood. Conclusions Longitudinal exposure to individual cardiovascular risk factors from childhood to midlife and cardiovascular risk factor accumulation were associated with an increased risk of vascular aging in midlife. Our study lends support for early targeting of risk factors in order to prevent cardiovascular disease later in life.Long-term SBP, BMI, HR trajectories

Increased body weight and central adiposity markers are positively associated with the 20-year incidence of cardiovascular disease: The ATTICA epidemiological study (2002–2022)

Increased adiposity predisposes to cardiovascular disease (CVD). We hypothesized that the presence of obesity would be positively associated with CVD risk, and that the co-presence of central obesity would modify/enhance this association. This was a prospective study (2002–2022) among 1845 Greek adults (mean age, 44.8 ± 13.5 years; men, 49.8%). At baseline, the presence of overweight/obesity was assessed via body mass index (BMI), whereas central obesity was defined as waist circumference ≥102/88 cm, waist-to-hip-ratio ≥0.95/0.80, or waist-to-height-ratio ≥0.50 in men/women. BMI was reevaluated at 10 years and longitudinal BMI trajectories (2002–2012) were identified. CVD incidence was recorded at 20 years (ratio of new cases to the number of participants assessed). Compared with participants with normal weight at baseline, those with obesity exhibited a 27% higher 20-year CVD risk after adjustment for age, sex, lifestyle habits, and medical status (hazard ratio, 1.271; 95% confidence interval, 1.012–1.597). In similar multiadjusted models, compared with participants who were always non-overweight/obese, those who were always overweight/obese exhibited a 40% higher 20-year CVD risk (hazard ratio, 1.403; 95% confidence interval, 1.018–1.936). Additional control for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein attenuated the associations. In the combined baseline body weight classification analysis, CVD incidence was the lowest in participants with normal weight without central obesity, moderate in those with overweight/obesity without central obesity, and highest in those with normal weight and central obesity and overweight/obesity and central obesity (P < .001). Obesity leads to increased CVD risk, partly mediated by inflammation. The combination of BMI with simple measures of abdominal adiposity is superior for CVD risk screening.

How do sex-specific BMI trajectories shape diabetes risk? A longitudinal analysis of Indonesian adults

IntroductionSex is a critical predictor of body mass index (BMI) trajectory over the life span, playing a role in disparities in the risk of diabetes. While there is some evidence...

Trajectories of body mass index and combustible and electronic cigarette use across adolescence: Findings from the PATH study

PurposeAssociations between empirically-generated body mass index (BMI) trajectories and risk of current use of combustible cigarettes and e-cigarettes across adolescence were examined using longitudinal data from the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) study. MethodsThe PATH study is an ongoing annual longitudinal population-based study of adolescents. We utilized Waves 1–4 conducted from 2013 to 2017. Adolescents completed self-reported surveys of their height, weight, and current tobacco use at Waves 1–4 and their tobacco weight control beliefs at Waves 1–2. ResultsUsing latent growth mixture modeling, six trajectories of BMI were identified. The largest group (“normal weight increasing;” n = 4,858; 86.6 %), which was used as the comparator in subsequent analyses, consisted of adolescents ages 12–17 who were normal weight at Wave 1 with a significant increase in BMI across Waves 2––4. The “overweight early increasing,” “overweight late increasing,” and “obesity stable” classes had greater likelihood of current combustible cigarette use during the study compared to the “normal weight increasing class.” The “overweight early increasing,” “overweight late increasing,” and “overweight increasing then decreasing” classes showed elevated risk for e-cigarette use during the study. Compared to those in the “normal weight increasing” class, those in the “overweight increasing then decreasing” and “obesity stable” classes had greater weight control beliefs at Wave 1 and those in the “obesity stable” class had greater weight control beliefs at Wave 2. ConclusionsFindings highlight the importance of weight trajectories and weight control beliefs by tobacco product use across adolescence and the need for mechanistic and intervention research.

Trajectories of body mass index in adulthood and risk of subtypes of postmenopausal breast cancer

BackgroundBody fatness is a dynamic exposure throughout life. To provide more insight into the association between body mass index (BMI) and postmenopausal breast cancer, we aimed to examine the age at onset, duration, intensity, and trajectories of body fatness in adulthood in relation to risk of breast cancer subtypes.MethodsBased on self-reported anthropometry in the prospective Norwegian Women and Cancer Study, we calculated the age at onset, duration, and intensity of overweight and obesity using linear mixed-effects models. BMI trajectories in adulthood were modeled using group-based trajectory modeling. We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations between BMI exposures and breast cancer subtypes in 148,866 postmenopausal women.ResultsA total of 7223 incident invasive postmenopausal breast cancer cases occurred during follow-up. Increased overweight duration and age at the onset of overweight or obesity were associated with luminal A-like breast cancer. Significant heterogeneity was observed in the association between age at overweight and overweight duration and the intrinsic-like subtypes (pheterogeneity 0.03). Compared with women who remained at normal weight throughout adulthood, women with a descending BMI trajectory had a reduced risk of luminal A-like breast cancer (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.33–0.90), whereas women with ascending BMI trajectories were at increased risk (HR 1.09; 95% CI 1.01–1.17 for “Normal-overweight”; HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.07–1.33 for “Normal-obesity”). Overweight duration and weighted cumulative years of overweight and obesity were inversely associated with luminal B-like breast cancer.ConclusionsIn this exploratory analysis, decreasing body fatness from obesity in adulthood was inversely associated with overall, hormone receptor-positive and luminal A-like breast cancer in postmenopausal women. This study highlights the potential health benefits of reducing weight in adulthood and the health risks associated with increasing weight throughout adult life. Moreover, our data provide evidence of intrinsic-like tumor heterogeneity with regard to age at onset and duration of overweight.

Cumulative burden and trajectories of body mass index and blood pressure from childhood and carotid intima-media thickness in young adulthood

There are significant gaps in understanding of the association between levels and rate of change of body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure (BP) at different ages during childhood and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) in adulthood. We investigated the association between trajectories of BMI and BP from childhood to adulthood and adult CIMT among Iranian participants in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) cohort. A total of 1334 participants (692 men), from the TLGS cohort (1999–2018) with repeated measurements of BMI and BP (2–6 times) from childhood (3–18 years) to young adulthood (20–40 years) were selected. Trajectory parameters included levels and linear slopes of BMI and BP growth curve models, and cumulative burden defined as the area under those curves (AUC). After adjusting for confounders, AUC of BMI and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were significantly associated with high CIMT in adulthood, with the standardized odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of 1.35 (1.12–1.62) and 1.27 (1.01–1.60), respectively. Associations between level-independent slopes of BMI and adult CIMT were significantly positive (ORs: 1.27 to 1.26) during childhood ages (3–18 years). Further, levels of BMI (ORs: 1.23 to 1.29) and DBP (ORs: 1.25 to 1.33) during the ages of 13–18 and 11–17 years, respectively, were significantly associated with CIMT in adulthood (all P < 0.05). The cumulative burden of BMI and DBP was associated with CIMT in adulthood. Adolescence is a crucial period for high CIMT, which has implications for early prevention of atherosclerosis.

Trajectories of body mass index across the lifecourse and associations with post-menopausal breast cancer by estrogen receptor status

BackgroundAssociations between a high body mass index (BMI) at single timepoints during child- and adulthood and risks of post-menopausal breast cancer are well-established, but associations with BMI across the lifecourse remains largely unknown. Therefore, we examined whether lifecourse BMI trajectories were associated with risks of post-menopausal breast cancer overall and by estrogen receptor (ER) status. MethodsWe included 6698 Danish women born 1930–1946. Information on BMI at ages 6–15 years came from the Copenhagen School Health Records Register, and information on BMI at ages 20, 30, 40, 50 and/or 50–64 years came from the Diet, Cancer and Health cohort. Breast cancer cases (n = 577) were identified in the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group database. Six BMI trajectories were identified using latent class trajectory modelling. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using Cox regression models. ResultsCompared to women with a trajectory characterized by an average BMI gain across life, women with the two trajectories with steep increases in BMI during childhood and adolescence that thereafter largely stabilized, had lower risks of post-menopausal breast cancer and ER-positive tumors. The adjusted HRs for ER-positive tumors were 0.67 (95% CI: 0.47–0.95) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.46–1.01), respectively. In contrast, women with a trajectory with a low gain in BMI during childhood and adolescence followed by a subsequent steep increase during adulthood, had higher risks of post-menopausal breast cancer and ER-positive tumors when compared to women with an average BMI gain. The adjusted HR for ER-positive tumors was 1.28 (95% CI: 0.98–1.67). ConclusionsOur findings suggest that the timing of excess gain in BMI across the lifecourse impacts subsequent post-menopausal breast cancer risks. Thus, the BMI development across life is likely useful in the identification of women at increased risks of post-menopausal breast cancer.

Body mass index trajectories and mortality risk in Japan using a population-based prospective cohort study: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study.

Recent studies have found that long-term changes in weight during adulthood are associated with a high risk of mortality. The objective of this study was to characterize body mass index (BMI) trajectories during adulthood and to examine the association between BMI trajectories and risk of death in the Japanese population. The data were extracted from Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study-a population-based prospective cohort study in Japan with participants aged 40-69 years followed over 20 years. The participants were categorized into multiple BMI trajectory groups using the latent class growth model. The Cox proportional-hazards model was conducted using all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality as outcomes and the identified BMI trajectory groups as a predictor. In total, 65 520 participants were included in the analysis. Six BMI trajectory groups were identified: underweight stable (Group 1), low-to-high normal (Group 2), high-to-low normal (Group 3), normal to overweight (Group 4), overweight to normal (Group 5) and normal to obese (Group 6). Our Cox models showed a higher hazard (risk) of all-cause mortality among participants in the BMI-declining groups [Group 3, adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.10, 95% CI: 1.05-1.16; Group 5, aHR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.08-1.26], underweight stable group (Group 1, aHR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.21-1.33) and normal to obese group (Group 6, aHR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.13-1.33) than Group 2 (low-to-high normal BMI trajectory). Stable underweight and weight loss were associated with a high risk of mortality, both of which were uniquely observed in a Japanese population.

Environmental determinants of body mass index trajectories: results from a longitudinal Swedish study

Abstract Exposure to natural environments is thought to benefit mental and physical health. A better understanding of the interplay between the individual and the environment in relation to public health is imperative in light of the joint biodiversity, climate, and health crises. This study aimed to 1) identify Body Mass Index (BMI) trajectories in the Scania Public Health Cohort (SPHC), 2) characterise trajectories in terms of sociodemographics, lifestyle, health and living environments and 3) study the associations between BMI trajectories and green qualities of the environment. The SPHC was established in southern Sweden (Scania) in 2000. Participants (n = 13581 at baseline, 18-80 years old) responded to 4 surveys (2000-2016) including questions on sociodemographics, lifestyle and health. Residential coordinates were linked to the Scania Outdoor Environment Database (ScOut) comprising perceived sensory dimensions. “Diverse”, “serene” and “natural” dimensions were summed up to obtain the Scania Green Score. Sex-specific BMI trajectories, identified using group-based trajectory modeling, were compared using multinomial regression, adjusted for main confounders. Five trajectories were identified with similar shapes in men and women. Stable-normal (1) and stable-overweight (2) trajectories exhibited slow linear BMI increase. Fluctuating-overweight (3) and fluctuating-obesity (4) trajectories showed BMI increase followed by decrease, starting from overweight or obesity. The increasing-obesity (5) trajectory showed a persistent increase towards obesity. Trajectories were associated with socioeconomic and lifestyle factors. The highest proportions of university education and lowest proportions of sedentary lifestyle were found in the stable trajectories (1-2). Economic strain was highest in (5). Preliminary analyses showed no clear associations between Scania Green Score at baseline and trajectory membership. BMI trajectories were associated with socioeconomic and lifestyle factors. Key messages • BMI trajectories were associated with socioeconomic and lifestyle factors. • Identifying environmental risk factors is of importance for both public health and urban planning.

Dual trajectories of insomnia symptoms and BMI and their associations with cognitive functioning

Abstract Introduction Insomnia symptoms and high body mass index (BMI) are separately associated with poorer cognitive functioning. However, little is known about dual associations of sleep and obesity, and the changes in subjective cognitive functioning. We used a person-oriented approach to identify these dual trajectories and their associations with changes in subjective cognitive functioning. Methods Repeated surveys of the Helsinki Health Study (n = 2360, 79% women,40-60 years at baseline) were used to identify developmental patterns of insomnia symptoms and BMI (2000-2017) and changes in subjective cognitive functioning (2017-2022). Subjective cognitive functioning was inspected in three dimensions: memory, concentration, and learning ability problems. Latent group-based dual trajectory modeling and logistic regression analysis were used. Results Regarding dual trajectories of insomnia and BMI, three latent groups were selected for each. Insomnia symptoms defined as: stable low, decreasing and increasing symptoms; and BMI as: stable healthy weight (BMI &amp;lt; 25), stable overweight (BMI 25-29.9) and stable obesity (BMI ≥ 30). While BMI and insomnia symptoms can develop together, this study suggests that the higher likelihood of reporting poorer memory, concentration, and learning ability problems, is explained by insomnia symptoms at all levels of BMI. Thus, BMI was not associated with cognitive functioning, while increasing insomnia symptoms were associated with poorer perceived cognitive functioning for all measures examined (odds ratios ranged from 1.8 to 2.9, all statistically significant) Conclusions Dual development of insomnia and overweight is possible, but only insomnia seems to be associated with changes in subjective cognitive functioning at all BMI levels. A potential intervention point to prevent or postpone cognitive decline in later life starts likely years or even decades before retirement, when the risk factors emerge or start to increase. Key messages • The association between dual trajectories of insomnia symptoms and BMI and subjective cognitive decline is dominated by insomnia symptoms. • Our results showed that developmental patterns of insomnia symptoms are associated with decline in subjective cognitive functioning.

Effect of body mass index trajectory on hypertension among children and adolescents aged 5–18 years: a retrospective cohort study

Background Hypertension has become increasingly prevalent in Chinese children and adolescents in recent decades, which affects growth and development of children, leads to cognitive decline and multiple target organ damage. Here, we assessed the impact of different body mass index (BMI) trajectories on the occurrence of hypertension in children and adolescents using a cohort study in Northeast China. Materials and methods Children and adolescents aged 5–18 years was extracted for physical examination in Fuxin City, Liaoning Province, China during the 2009–2015 period. A latent category growth mixed model (LCGMM) was used to classify BMI changes and analyze the effect of different BMI trajectories on the risk of occurrence of hypertension in these participants within 5 years. Results All participates were divided into five BMI trajectories by LCGMM method: slow increasing group (n = 2616, 30.8%), overweight and obesity (OW/OB) group (n = 1141, 13.4%), normal decreasing group (n = 232, 2.7%), stable normal group (n = 4383, 51.6%), and fast-increasing group (n = 120, 1.4%). Compared with the stable normal group, the slow increasing group [adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 1.610, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.304–1.989], the OW/OB group (AOR: 3.172, 95% CI: 2.500–4.023) and the fast-increasing group (AOR: 2.708, 95% CI: 1.445–5.074) all increased the risk of developing hypertension in children and adolescents. Conclusion The potential of developing hypertension varies among groups of children aged 5–18 with different BMI trajectories. Children and adolescents in the normal BMI range (the slow growth group) still need to be aware of the change in BMI trajectory to stop or slow down the progression of BP abnormalities.

Risk assessment of obesity-related noncommunicable diseases through body mass index trajectories in adulthood: NHANES 2007-2018.

To assess the impact of adult body mass index (BMI)trajectories on the risk of obesity-related noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) in the U.S. adults after adjustment for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Data were extracted from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted from 2007 to 2018, including male and female participants aged 29-59 years. Rao-Scott adjusted chi-square was employed to detect associations between categorical variables in descriptive analyses. Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for NCDs and BMI trajectories, adjusted for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Kaplan-Meier curves illustrated the cumulative incidence over time. Analyses were carried out on 15 721 participants and revealing significant differences among BMI trajectories in terms of demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics. The overall prevalence of NCDs was 28.0% (95%CI:26.6-28.9). The cumulative incidence over time was higher in the high increase, moderate increase, and mixed trajectory groups, with a correspondingly higher cumulative risk (p < 0.001). Non-overweight trajectory was considered reference category in Cox models. The BMI trajectories were independently associated with an increased risk of NCDs, even after adjusting for potential confounders (HR: 1.7; 95%CI: 1.4-1.9 for moderate increase; HR: 3.6; 95%CI: 3.2-4.1 for high increase; and HR: 2.4; 95%CI: 2.1-2.7, for mixed). Furthermore, differences between males and females were also observed. The transition to and persistence of obesity into adulthood increases the risk of NCDs. The implementation of targeted interventions with long-term monitoring of BMI may be beneficial in the prevention of future obesity-related NCDs.

Body mass index and waist circumference trajectories across the life course and birth cohorts, 1996–2015 Malaysia: sex and ethnicity matter

ObjectiveThe global obesity epidemic remains a significant threat to public health and the economy. Age-period-cohort (APC) analysis is one method to model the trajectory of obesity. However, there is scarce published evidence of such analyses among the South East Asian population. This study aims to explore the sex and ethnic variations of BMI and waist circumference trajectories over time among non-institutionalized Malaysian adults aged 18 to 80 years.MethodsData from four population-based National Health and Morbidity Surveys conducted in 1996, 2006, 2010, and 2015 were pooled. Hierarchical Age-Period-Cohort (HAPC) analysis explored the trajectories of BMI and waist circumference across the life course and birth cohorts by sex and ethnicity. These models assumed no period effect.ResultsGenerally, BMI and waist circumference trajectories increased across age and birth cohorts. These trajectories varied by sex and ethnicity. Females have more profound increasing BMI and waist circumference trajectories than their male counterparts as they age and as cohort recency increases. Chinese have less profound BMI and waist circumference increases across the life course and birth cohorts than other ethnic groups.ConclusionsThe profound increasing cohort trajectories of obesity, regardless of sex and ethnicity, are alarming. Future studies should focus on identifying factors associated with the less profound cohort effect among the Chinese to reduce the magnitude of trajectories in obesity, particularly among future generations.

Life-course social disparities in body mass index trajectories across adulthood: cohort study evidence from China health and nutrition survey

BackgroundThe social disparities in obesity may originate in early life or in adulthood, and the associations of socioeconomic position (SEP) with obesity could alter over time. It is unclear how lifetime-specific and life-course SEP influence adult obesity development in China.MethodsBased on the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), three SEP-related indicators, including the father’s occupational position and the participant’s education and occupational position, were obtained. The life-course socioeconomic changes and a cumulative SEP score were established to represent the life-course SEP of the participants in the study. The growth mixture modeling was used to identify BMI trajectories in adulthood. Multinomial logistic regression was adopted to assess the associations between SEP and adult BMI trajectories.ResultsA total of 3,138 participants were included in the study. A positive correlation was found between the paternal occupational position, the participants’ occupational position, education, and obesity in males, whereas an inverse correlation was observed among females. Males who experienced social upward mobility or remained stable high SEP during the follow-up had 2.31 and 2.52-fold risks of progressive obesity compared to those with a stable-low SEP. Among females, stable high SEP in both childhood and adulthood was associated with lower risks of progressive obesity (OR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.43–0.94). Higher risks of obesity were associated with the life-course cumulative SEP score among males, while the opposite relationship was observed among females.ConclusionsThe associations between life-course SEP and BMI development trajectories differed significantly by gender. Special emphasis should be placed on males experiencing upward and stable high socioeconomic change.

SAT348 Changes In BMI Z-score After Presentation For Early Breast Budding Is Associated With Rapidly Progressive Puberty And Treatment With GnRH Analogues

Abstract Disclosure: H. Jung: None. J. Cho: None. K. Shim: None. Introduction: Childhood overweight and obesity are associated with earlier pubertal timing, especially in girls. We aimed to identify different body mass index (BMI) trajectories in patients presenting for breast budding between 5 and 7 years of age, and investigated whether the change in BMI z-scores during follow up is associated with rapid progression of puberty and eventual treatment with gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) analogues. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed girls who presented with breast budding at 5 to 7 years of age, between March 2016 and May 2021 at a single center. Those 206 girls, who had more than 3 follow up BMI measurements to more than 9 years of age were included in the study. The girls were grouped according to whether BMI z-scores increased or decreased/remain unchanged overall during follow-up. The BMI z-score changes over time (age) were also assessed for latent class trajectories. The risk of progression to rapid progressive puberty requiring treatment with GnRH analogues was analyzed according to overall changes in BMI z-scores and the different BMI trajectory groups, with adjustment for birthweight, gestational age, maternal menarche, maternal height, as well as the initial age, height, and bone age at presentation. Results: The mean age at presentation for breast budding was 7.1±0.7 years. A greater proportion of girls whose BMI z-scores increased during follow up, required treatment with GnRH analogues (n=53, 64%) compared to those whose BMI z-scores decreased or remained unchanged (n=54, 44%). Girls with increases in BMI z-scores during follow up (n=83) had increased risk (OR 4.68, 95% CI 1.88-11.63, p = 0.001) for rapid progressive puberty and treatment with GnRH analogues compared to those girls with decreases/no changes (n=123) in BMI z-scores, even after adjustment for covariates. Further analysis showed that increases in BMI z-scores even in those of normal weight status, were associated with increased OR (4.88) for treatment. Through latent class mixed modelling analysis, we identified 2 different trajectories (high and increasing BMI z-scores, n=72; and decreasing BMI z-scores, n=134). Risk for rapid progression of puberty and eventual treatment with GnRH analogues did not differ significantly between the different latent class trajectories. Conclusions: Increases in BMI z-scores during the follow up period after presentation for early breast budding may be associated with increased risk for rapid progression of puberty and treatment with GnRH analogues. Analysis of a larger group of patients may allow for better assessment of latent class BMI z-score trajectories. Presentation: Saturday, June 17, 2023

Prenatal Exposure to Multiple Endocrine-Disrupting Chemicals and Childhood BMI Trajectories in the INMA Cohort Study.

Prenatal exposure to endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs) may disrupt normal fetal and postnatal growth. Studies have mainly focused on individual aspects of growth at specific time points using single chemical exposure models. However, humans are exposed to multiple EDCs simultaneously, and growth is a dynamic process. The objective of this study was to evaluate the associations between prenatal exposure to EDCs and children's body mass index (BMI) growth trajectories using single exposure and mixture modeling approaches. Using data from the INfancia y Medio Ambiente (INMA) Spanish birth cohort (), prenatal exposure to persistent chemicals [hexachlorobenzene (HCB), 4-4'-dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene (DDE), polychlorinated biphenyls (PCB-138, -150, and -180), 4 perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS)] and nonpersistent chemicals (8 phthalate metabolites, 7 phenols) was assessed using blood and spot urine concentrations. BMI growth trajectories were calculated from birth to 9 years of age using latent class growth analysis. Multinomial regression was used to assess associations for single exposures, and Bayesian weighted quantile sum (BWQS) regression was used to evaluate the EDC mixture's association with child growth trajectories. In single exposure models exposure to HCB, DDE, PCBs, and perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA) were associated with increased risk of belonging to a trajectory of lower birth size followed by accelerated BMI gain by 19%-32%, compared with a trajectory of average birth size and subsequent slower BMI gain [e.g., relative risk ratio (RRR) per doubling in DDE (95% CI: 1.05, 1.35); RRR for (95% CI: 1.05, 1.66)]. HCB and DDE exposure were also associated with higher probability of belonging to a trajectory of higher birth size and accelerated BMI gain. Results from the BWQS regression showed the mixture was positively associated with increased odds of belonging to a BMI trajectory of lower birth size and accelerated BMI gain (odds ratio per 1-quantile increase of the ; credible interval: 1.03, 2.61), with HCB, DDE, and PCBs contributing the most. This study provides evidence that prenatal EDC exposure, particularly persistent EDCs, may lead to BMI trajectories in childhood characterized by accelerated BMI gain. Given that accelerated growth is linked to a higher disease risk in later life, continued research is important. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11103.

The impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on the body mass index of people living with obesity: A UK retrospective cohort study using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink

BackgroundRestrictions implemented by governments during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic affected people’s eating habits and physical activity. We investigated the effect of COVID-19 lockdowns and restrictions on body mass index (BMI) and weight in a UK population, according to BMI class, sex, age and ethnicity. MethodsThis retrospective observational cohort study used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink AURUM database. Baseline spanned from 22 March 2017–22 March 2020, and the follow-up lockdown period was from 23 March 2020 (start of the lockdown in the UK) to 13 March 2021. The descriptive analysis included individuals with ≥ 1 valid BMI/weight measurements during both the baseline and follow-up periods, while the model-based analysis comprised individuals with ≥ 1 valid measurement(s) during baseline. Results were stratified by baseline BMI category, sex, age and ethnicity. ResultsIn the descriptive analysis (n = 273,529), most individuals did not change BMI category post-lockdown (66.4–83.3%). A greater proportion of women (12.6%) than men (9.5%) moved up BMI categories post-lockdown. Compared with older groups, a higher proportion of individuals < 45 years old increased post-lockdown BMI category. The model-based analysis (n = 938,150) revealed consistent trends, where changes in body weight and BMI trajectories pre- and post-lockdown were observed for women and for individuals < 45 years. ConclusionDuring COVID-19 restrictions, women and young individuals were more likely than other groups to increase BMI category and weight post-lockdown.

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances in umbilical cord serum and body mass index trajectories from birth to age 10 years: Findings from a longitudinal birth cohort (SMBCS)

BackgroundPrenatal exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) has been linked to low birth weight but higher childhood weight and obesity. However, little is known regarding the associations between PFAS exposure and dynamic body mass index (BMI) trajectories, particularly from birth through preadolescence. ObjectiveTo evaluate the associations of cord serum PFAS concentrations with BMI trajectories from birth to age 10 years and longitudinal BMI in different periods. MethodsBased on 887 mother–child pairs in the longitudinal prospective birth cohort, we measured 12 PFAS congeners in cord serum and calculated BMI with anthropometric indicators at 9 follow-up time points from birth to age 10 years. The BMI trajectories were identified using group-based trajectory model (GBTM). To estimate the associations of cord serum PFAS levels with BMI trajectories and longitudinal changes in BMI, logistic regression models, linear mixed models, Bayesian kernel machine regression, and quantile-based g-computation models (QGC) were used. ResultsThe median concentrations of 10 PFAS congeners included in statistical analysis ranged from 0.047 to 3.623 μg/L. Two BMI trajectory classes were identified by GBTM, characterized by high group and low group. In logistic regression models, five PFAS congeners (PFBA, PFHpA, PFHxS, PFHpS, and PFDoDA) were associated with the higher probability of being in high BMI trajectory group (odds ratio, OR: 1.21 to 1.74, p < 0.05). Meanwhile, higher PFAS mixture were related to elevated odds for the high group in both BKMR models and QGC models, with PFHpA and PFHpS being the two most important drivers jointly. In the sex-stratified analysis, the positive associations remained significant exclusively among males. In the longitudinal analysis, PFUnDA and PFDoDA were associated with increased BMI from birth to age 10 years. Furthermore, PFBS and PFHpA were negatively related to BMI throughout infancy and toddlerhood (from birth to age 3 years), whereas PFDoDA confirmed a positive association with mid-childhood (from age 6 to 10 years) BMI. ConclusionsPrenatal PFAS exposure was positively associated with BMI trajectories from birth to preadolescence and longitudinal BMI in various periods. Future research could use better trajectory modeling strategies to shape more complete growth trajectories and explore the relationship between BMI trajectories and adulthood health.

The Effects of Adenotonsillectomy for Obstructive Sleep Apnea on Growth Trajectory in Children With Obesity.

To analyze the growth trajectory of children with obesity before and after adenotonsillectomy (T&A). We hypothesize that T&A will not affect the growth trajectory but children in a multidisciplinary weight management program (MWMP) will have a healthier growth trajectory. Retrospective review. Tertiary Children's Hospital. Body mass index (BMI) trajectories of nonsyndromic children with obesity and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) who underwent T&A were analyzed. A linear mixed effects model was fit to the BMI expressed as a percentage of the 95th percentile (%BMIp95 ) data. Covariates included demographic variables, pre- and postoperative participation in an MWMP, baseline obesity class, and time. We explored clinically meaningful interactions. BMI slope estimates before and after surgery were calculated and compared for baseline obesity classification and postoperative MWMP visits. A total of 177 patients, 58% male with a mean age of 9.7 years at the time of surgery, were studied. Higher baseline obesity class (II and III), time, the interaction between obesity class III and elapsed time relative to surgical date, and the interaction between obesity class III and the postsurgical period were all significantly associated with the outcome of %BMIp95 (P < .05). There was a significantly higher %BMIp95 trajectory following surgery in patients with baseline obesity class III who did not have any postoperative MWMP visits (P < .001). Preoperative obesity visits, however, were not significantly associated with postoperative growth. The association between T&A and weight trajectory depends upon obesity class and participation in a MWMP. Coordinated care of children with obesity between otolaryngologists and an MWMP may improve OSA and obesity outcomes. The level of evidence: 3.