Purpose: To investigate if synovial fluid biomarkers of cartilage turnover acutely or years after an anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury are associated with subsequent knee cartilage status 20 years after injury. Methods: We studied a cohort of 32 patients who had coped with an ACL injury without ACL reconstruction and presented without radiographic diagnosis of osteoarthritis 16 years post injury. All had a delayed gadolinium-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging of cartilage (dGEMRIC) 20 years after a complete ACL tear. 25 out of 32 had one or more available synovial fluid samples aspirated without lavage either acutely after injury, or during 1-5 (median 4) follow up visits between 0.6 and 7 years after injury, and were included in this study (Table 1).Tabled 1Table 1 Characteristic of the 25 study subjects grouped by synovial fluid (SF) availability.Acute SF sampleChronic SF sample *n (% males)19 (63)22 (50)Age at injury, mean years (SD)25.2 (6.5)24.7 (6.3)BMI 20 years post-injury, mean (SD)25.3 (4.0)25.6 (3.6)Time between injury and sampling, median (range)4 (<1 to 13) days3.1 (0.6 to 7.1) yearsYears between injury and dGEMRIC, median (range)20.2 (18.8 to 23.1)20.2 (18.4 to 23.1)* 1-5 per individual, using the mean biomarker concentration or time for each individual. Open table in a new tab We quantified synovial fluid concentrations of two aggrecan epitopes (the 1-F21 epitope residing in or close to the keratan sulfate rich region, and the ARGS neoepitope generated by aggrecanase cleavage in the interglobular domain), cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP), matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) by immunoassays, and sulfated glycosaminoglycan (sGAG) content by Alcian blue precipitation. We created the ratio MMP-3/TIMP-1 to investigate differences in using these biomarkers alone or as a ratio between the enzyme and its inhibitor. We also investigated the ratios aggrecan/COMP, since the ratio 1-F21 aggrecan/COMP was reported to be more elevated in subjects with more progressive cartilage destruction in rheumatoid arthritis than 1-F21 aggrecan alone. Linear regression analysis was used to investigate associations between acute or chronic biomarker concentrations and cartilage quality at 20 years post injury. We included adjustments for age, sex, BMI at 20 years, and time between injury and knee puncture. For subjects with more than one chronic visit, we used the mean values for biomarkers and time in the regression models. Biomarker concentrations were log 10 transformed to achieve linear relationships with dGEMRIC values. To be able to compare effect sizes between biomarkers, we report standardized effects from the linear regression analysis. Results: With negative standardized effects close to 1, higher synovial fluid 1-F21 aggrecan concentrations or higher ratio 1-F21 aggrecan to COMP early after ACL injury were associated with shorter T1Gd values (inferior cartilage quality) 20 years later (Figure 1A). There was no similar association between acute ARGS aggrecan or sGAG content and T1Gd (Figure 1A), nor was chronic 1-F21 aggrecan concentrations associated with T1Gd values (Figure 1B). High similarity in the standardized effect sizes between aggrecan or sGAG concentrations alone and as ratios with COMP (Figures 1A and 1B), indicate that there was no added value in making such ratios compared to using the biomarker concentrations alone. Neither MMP-3 concentrations, nor the ratio MMP-3/TIMP-1 were predictive of subsequent cartilage quality in these subjects, which is consistent with previous findings of no apparent role of MMP-3 in pathological turnover of aggrecan. Conclusions: Acute (but not chronic) turnover of aggrecan generating increased synovial fluid concentrations of the 1-F21 epitope of aggrecan was associated with worse cartilage quality assessed by dGEMRIC 20 years later. Measuring specific aggrecan fragments carrying different epitopes appears to be important when investigating aggrecan as a predictive biomarker of cartilage quality.
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