Big Profits Research Articles

Indonesian Stock Price Prediction Using Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for Interpretable Time Series Method

The stock market is an attractive investment venue for many individuals and companies. However, unexpected share price fluctuations can cause significant financial losses. In stock investment, predicting stock price movements is the most frequently discussed topic because it allows investors to make the right investment decisions to make big profits. Therefore, a model is needed to predict future stock prices, one strategy for maximising investment profits. New state-of-the-art deep learning architectures for time series forecasting are being developed yearly, making them more accurate than ever. The most commonly used network for such a solution is Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architecture, but it has limitations such as long training time and interpretability. This study aims to evaluate another state-of-theart solution, Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for Interpretable Time Series (N-BEATS), in comparison with LSTM by utilising historical data of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk (one of the banking companies in Indonesia) from 25 March 2013 to 21 March 2023. N-BEATS is a relatively new variable method that can produce accurate predictions using neural networks. This architecture has advantages such as interpretability, seamless applicability across diverse target domains without requiring modifications, and fast training. Based on tests carried out with prediction errors measured using the Mean Average Percentage Error (MAPE), it was found that the N-BEATS model outperformed the LSTM model with a MAPE value of 1.05 percent. In conclusion, this research shows the use of a new method of deep learning algorithms to predict stock prices, which contributes to facilitating stock buying and selling decisions by investors.

Pengaruh Sistem Akuntansi Manajemen, Budaya Organisasi, dan Teknologi Informasi Terhadap Kinerja Manajerial

Nowadays, the business world is the world that is most often discussed in various forums, both national and international. The many discussions that are often discussed on this issue are the main benchmark for a country's progress. One measure of a country's progress is economic progress and the backbone of economic progress is the business world. The main problem that companies often face in any field cannot be separated from the funds needed, namely capital to finance the company's business, whether used for investment capital or working capital. A company that initially only cares about big profits will quickly do whatever it takes to achieve the desired target without thinking about the impact in the future. However, as time goes by, companies will also realize that every activity carried out must take into account future risks, which of course is the responsibility of the managerial side.

Successful Surfing in Capital Market: Phenomenological Study of Indonesian “Warren Buffett”

Objective: The purpose of this study is to uncover the successful secrets of a No. 1 individual investor on the Indonesian stock exchange who has proven to earn huge amounts of profits. Theoretical Framework: Some theories related to investor behavior theory, among others, are: Regret Theory, this theory is a development of previous decision-making theories, namely prospect theory and expected usability theory. Method: This research explores the philosophy, behavior, strategies, techniques, and ways to find stocks that can provide great returns based on the experience of an individual investor. This research also examines in depth the experience of a famous investor named Lo Kheng Hong (LKH), known as Warren Buffett of Indonesia. Results and Discussion: The results showed that the factors that support the success of LKH in investing in the IDX can be: (1) reading the company's financial statements; (2) analyzing financial data; considering the integrity of its owners and management; (3) investing by buying shares on the IDX; (4) daring to make decisions to buy shares based on their own analysis; (5) patiently waiting; (6) simple to live their lives and frugal. Research Implications: One of the secrets of success, the strategy in finding stocks that provide big profits is to read and look at financial statements, analyze deeply using simple fundamental analysis, look for stocks that are undervalued. Originality/Value: This study contributes to literatures regarding how to be successful investor in stock market.

Little Brands, Big Profits? Effect of Agricultural Geographical Indicators on County-Level Economic Development in China

AGIs (agricultural geographical indicators) are effective quality signals that can improve market welfare, but few studies have investigated the impact of AGIs on economic development. To fill this gap, this paper explores the impact of AGIs on per capita GDP and its mechanisms, according to country-level data in China from 2000 to 2018. For every additional AGI in the country, GDP per capita increased by 0.2–0.4%. Our conclusion remained reliable after various robustness tests. These effects were more salient in western areas, the main grain-producing areas, and settled areas. AGIs related to aquatic environments, animal husbandry, and planting products promoted economic development most significantly. For these effects, encouraging an increase in agricultural value (improving the quantity and quality of products) and promoting the agglomeration of populations, capital, and enterprises in the agricultural sector were the main mechanisms.

Analisis Praktik Jual Beli Beras Di Madura Dalam Perspektif Bisnis Islam

Buying and selling is a social activity, and goods are traded have sizes and measurements. To count the number of objects in muamalah activities require a tool to measure it so that the number of the object is known clearly and with certainty. This type of research uses a qualitative descriptive method. The results of the data obtained by the author are observed and combined with existing theories. The method used is interviews, documentation, and this research also uses observational research related to data collection methods where the research records information as the author witnessed during the study. The analysis in this discussion is descriptive-qualitative analysis. This research is expected for rice traders to know more about the implementation of buying and selling in accordance with Islamic economics, because Islamic economics is an economy that in carrying out activities based on and guided by the Qur'an and As-Sunnah, so as to create healthy trade, and It is hoped that traders must always remember that the consequences of dishonesty will be rewarded by Allah swt. in the hereafter. The results of this study indicate that the mechanism of buying and selling rice in the Arosbaya market has not been carried out correctly according to Islam. Because there are some rice sellers who sell rice dishonestly, and there are still traders who still reduce the rice scales, in order to get a bigger profit. The sale and purchase of rice carried out at the Arosbaya market is still not in accordance with Islamic business ethics. Because there are still principles of Islamic business ethics that are violated, namely the principles of monotheism, responsibility, justice, truth or honesty, freedom and sincerity.

Strategic Warehouse Location Selection in Business Logistics: A Novel Approach Using IMF SWARA–MARCOS—A Case Study of a Serbian Logistics Service Provider

Business logistics encompasses the intricate planning, seamless implementation, and precise control of the efficient and effective movement and storage of goods, services, and associated information from their origin to their final consumption point. The strategic placement of facilities is intricately intertwined with business logistics, exerting a direct influence on the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of supply chain operations. In the realm of business logistics, decisions regarding the location of facilities, including warehouses, distribution centers, and manufacturing plants, assume a pivotal role in shaping the overarching logistics strategy. Warehouses, serving as pivotal nodes in the supply chain network, establish crucial links at both local and global markets. They serve as the nexus connecting suppliers and customers across the entire supply chain, thus constituting indispensable elements that significantly impact the overall performance of the supply chain. The optimal location of warehouses is paramount for efficient supply chains, ensuring minimized costs and bigger profits. The decision on warehouse location exerts a profound influence on investment costs, operational expenses, and the distribution strategy of a company, thereby playing a substantial role in elevating customer service levels. Hence, the primary objective of this paper is to propose a novel methodology grounded in the application of the Improved Fuzzy Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA)-Measurement of Alternatives and Ranking according to Compromise Solution (MARCOS) methods for determining warehouse locations tailored to a logistics service provider (LSP) operating in the Serbian market. Through the definition of seven evaluation criteria based on a comprehensive literature review and expert insights, this study aims to assess five potential locations. The findings suggest that the proposed model offers great decision support for effectively addressing challenges akin to the one presented in this study.

Analisis Dampak Perkembangan Teknologi Terhadap Model Bisnis dan Pemasaran di ISC Komputer Kutowinangun Kebumen

Technological developments have changed many sectors, one of which is in the business world. Business actors are required to continue to be updated on technological developments that are increasingly rapidly increasing day by day. This demand is also in line with consumer behavior that changes with the development of the technology, where there are many features that make it easier for consumers to get what they want, and vice versa, technology also makes it easier for business people to run their business. Talking about impact, it is not only convenience or positive things that are presented by technological developments, but there are always weaknesses/negative sides as a comparison and consequence of a change. Therefore, this research is important to do to analyze and find out the impact of increasingly rapid technology on business which will later become a business evaluation in the future. Moreover, the times are increasingly sophisticated and must be balanced with an understanding of technology in order to facilitate business. This study aims to determine the impact of technological developments on business and marketing models at ISC Komputer Kebumen. This study uses a qualitative approach with data collection techniques using interviews, observation and documentation and the research location is at ISC Komputer Kutowinangun Kebumen. The results of this study indicate that technological developments affect the business at ISC Komputer starting from its changing business model by utilizing technological developments. Then in terms of marketing, technological developments affect ISC Komputer in terms of product strategy, location and distribution strategy, price strategy, and promotion strategy. Technological developments have a positive impact as well as a negative impact on ISC Komputer where the positive impact of ISC Komputer can expand its reach, while the negative impact of ISC Komputer is that it is more difficult to get big profits and competition is getting tougher.

COVID and structural cartelisation: market-state-society ties and the political economy of Pharma

ABSTRACT The big profits and influence of pharmaceutical firms that again rose to prominence during the COVID pandemic illustrate far more than just the global reach and market power of Big Pharma. Here we instead explain the power of these firms as a consequence of structural cartelisation that is networked and nested across hybrid state and market relations. Global inequalities in access to COVID vaccines exposed the inequity outcomes of the cartelisation of the pharmaceutical sector in dramatic new ways. To come to critical terms with this cartelisation, we describe how it is comprised of three kinds of nested and networked layers of structural collusion: namely, (i) firm-firm collusion, (ii) firm-state collusion; and (iii) firm-state-philanthropy collusion. By suggesting that these kinds of collusional relations are nested, overlapping and deeply networked, we explain how they have come to work together structurally. And, in doing so, we argue, they serve to capture value from biomedical innovation in ways that limit global access to medicines while simultaneously entrenching the dominance of high-income countries, lead firms and the interests of investors.

Praktik Etika Bisnis Islam dan Maqashid Syariah pada Industri Kecil Menengah Griya Pangan Batang

Intense business competition has made many business people justify any means to get big profits, many of them often forget Islamic business ethics and social responsibility. Therefore, through this research there is a need for an in-depth study of Islamic business ethical practices and maqashid sharia in IKM (Small and Medium Industries) Griya Pangan Batang. This type of research is qualitative with a field research approach. The research location is IKM Griya Food Batang in Terban Village, RT 09 RW 07, Warungasem District, Batang Regency. This research began with interviews in September 2022 until June 2023. Primary data sources in this study include information from interviews with parties related to this problem, in this case, namely ten active members of the IKM Griya Pangan Batang as the main informant, and the additional informant, namely the Buyer, and the Disperindagkop Party. Secondary data sources are books and various relevant references regarding related themes seen from the Maqashid Syariah perspective. Data collection and analysis techniques use the triangulation method. The results of this research conclude that IKM Griya Pangan Batang has implemented Islamic business ethics with the principles of divinity, justice, honesty and free will, However, in principle, divinity and virtue are still not perfect. IKM Griya Pangan Batang has implemented Islamic business ethics in the perspective of maqashid sharia well, has been able to protect religion, protect souls, protect minds, protect offspring, although it has not fully been able to protect assets properly. Islamic business ethics and sharia maqashid have an impact on the business culture at IKM Griya Pangan Batang which is more oriented to integrity and morality.

Analyzing the Strategic Impact of Zara’s Branding Strategies on Consumer Engagement and Market Position

Zara is well-known in China as a leader in fast fashion brands. The brand has a large market share among apparel brands and consistently earns big profits. However, as a result of the pandemic, changes in buying patterns, and the growth of indigenous Chinese brands, the development of many overseas fashion companies in China has slowed, besides ZARA. Based on this context, this article explores the Zara fashion brand’s traditional strategy, including its profit model, competitive advantages, product functions, and marketing model. At the same time, a SWOT analysis model is established to help evaluate the brand’s strengths and weaknesses. The article proposes creative ideas, integrates the general environment, and uses social networks, media, and other technologies in order to carry forward the brand’s advantages, make the brand self-reform, and bring the brand as a whole closer to Chinese consumers, which can empower the brand. The suggestions that are provided in this article can fulfill the demands of local customers and maintain sustainable long-term brand growth.

MARAKNYA JUDI ONLINE DI KALANGAN REMAJA KELURAHAN DERWATI KECAMATAN RANCASARI KOTA BANDUNG

This research aims to identify the factors that influence the rise of online gambling,and explain its impact on the behavior of teenagers in Derwati Village, Rancasari District, Bandung City. Descriptive qualitative research method is used to understand the phenomenon of online gambling addiction among teenagers in depth so that the root of the problem can be found. The results found that teenagers have started gambling online since 2021, with Pragmatic play being one of the most popular games. Economic factors are the main reason for playing online gambling. They are interested in playing online gambling because they have high hopes of getting big profits in an easy and fast way. However, this hope actually makes them trapped in addiction because they will continue to try to repeat this success. The negative impact of playing online gambling for teenagers is huge, especially the economic impact. The majority of teenagers who play online gambling go into debt because they want to try and keep trying, even after losing. In one day, they can spend 25,000 to 100,000 thousand rupiah, to play online gambling. In the end, these teenagers expressed a strong desire to stop the habit of playing online gambling because they felt the impact was very influential in their lives.

Analisis Daya Saing Komoditas Jagung di Provinsi Gorontalo

According to the Central Statistics Agency for 2019-2021, the harvested area and area of ​​corn plants according to districts/cities, corn production comes from five districts, namely Bualemo district, Gorontalo district, Pohuwato district, Bone Bolango district, North Gorontalo district and Gorontalo city with a total of 377 432.00 ha in 2019, 304 945.00 ha in 2020, and 334 945.00 ha in 2021. By the end of 2022 it is predicted that 340,500 hectares or 27.38 percent of the entire Gorontalo land area will be planted with hybrid corn with a total harvest estimated at 1.61 million tons. This research uses qualitative methods, with primary data sources and secondary data. Corn productivity affects the net income of corn farmers apart from the selling price, where low productivity causes minimal harvest results, so the farmer's income is also low. Apart from that, fluctuations in corn prices are also an obstacle in increasing net income, when corn prices are high farmers get bigger profits. However, when the price of corn falls, farmers' income will also decrease. To increase the competitiveness of corn commodities in Gorontalo Province, it is necessary to invest in improving agricultural technology, opening wider market access, and providing greater government policy support. In this way, corn commodities in Gorontalo Province can become more competitive in both local and international markets.

ANALISIS PENGARUH DER, ROA, DAN UKURAN PERUSAHAAN TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM

The real estate business is known for its changing characteristics, intense competition, consistency and complexity. Rising real estate prices are driven by rising land prices and an increasing trend in land supply, often with population growth and people's growing need for housing, offices, shopping centers, amusement parks, and more. If a development company makes a big profit by raising real estate prices, it's only natural that that profit will improve business performance and raise stock prices. This study aims to obtain empirical evidence regarding the effect of DER, ROA, and firm size on stock returns. This research uses signal theory and CAPM theory. The research population is property, real estate, and building construction companies. Purposive sampling method was used as a method of determining the sample. The research sample was 215 observations. The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that DER has a positive effect on stock returns, ROA has a positive effect on stock returns, and firm size has no effect on stock returns.

The Awareness of the Role of Commercial Determinants of Health and the Readiness to Accept Restrictions on Unhealthy Food Advertising in Polish Society.

The negative consequences of commercial determinants of health (CDoH) have become a major challenge for public health systems, especially in terms of non-communicable diseases (NCDs). CDoH are defined as profit-driven factors that influence health. In this study, we assessed the awareness of CDoH and the attitudes toward potential restrictions on advertising, as well as fiscal interventions targeting food products with harmful effects on health in Polish society. Our analysis is based on data from a computer-based web interviewing (CAWI) survey performed in May 2022 among 2008 adult internet users from Poland. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed for variables derived from three items exploring the respondents' understanding of the relationship between CDoH and NCDs, as well as three items asking about their acceptance of a prohibition of advertising unhealthy products during sports events, a general ban on unhealthy food advertising, and their attitudes toward sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs). Food (FL) and e-health literacy (eHL) levels were consistently positive predictors of both awareness of CDoH and acceptance of the proposed actions. Both higher FL and eHL were significantly associated with the opinion that advertising unhealthy food is associated with the prevalence of NCDs (OR, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.02-1.05, and 1.04, 1.02-1.06, respectively). Health literacy was less frequently a significant predictor of the dependent variables. Among sociodemographic factors, a respondent's level of education and age showed a significant relationship with their awareness and acceptance of countermeasures against CDoH. Respondents with a university master's level of education were more likely to agree with the statement on the relationship between big industry profits and harm to society's health (OR, 95% CI: 1.96, 1.42-2.69) and to support a ban on advertising unhealthy food similar to that for tobacco products (OR, 95% CI: 1.66, 1.21-2.27). Respondents suffering from chronic diseases were also consistently more likely to show a greater understanding of the harmful impact of CDoH and support proposed restrictions. For example, they were more likely to agree with restrictions on advertising harmful products during sports events (OR, 95% CI: 1.23, 1.02-1.50) and the introduction of a sugar tax (OR, 95% CI: 1.26, 1.03-1.54). Our study revealed that more than 50% of the Polish population is conscious of the problem of the harmful effects of big industries producing and selling processed food, sugar-sweetened beverages, and alcoholic beverages. Interestingly, slightly more than half of the respondents supported the introduction of restrictions on advertising such products. Still, only approximately 30% of them accepted a sugar tax to counter the obesity epidemic. The results of our study indicate that Polish society is open to the introduction of regulations aimed at limiting the impact of commercial determinants of health. To our knowledge, this is one of the first studies to assess the awareness of CDoH and the acceptance of restrictions to limit their impact.

Help the Hong Kong Second-hand Sailboat Broker Make a Big Profit

With the world economy recovering and the increasing activity in the second-hand market, the second-hand sailboat market has shown enormous potential. In order to help a Hong Kong second-hand sailboat broker better understand the market and make accurate predictions, we searched for and supplemented other relevant data on second-hand sailboats based on the given data, and established a multiple linear regression model and other models on this basis.
 In Task 1, we first supplemented the existing data by adding six variables. We then conducted data cleaning and encoding, and performed multicollinearity tests, finding that there was multicollinearity. We used the stepwise regression method for feature selection to reduce multicollinearity, and then established a multiple linear regression model and calculated the mean absolute error for different variants of sailboats. We then used the Shapiro-Wilk test method to judge the normal distribution of errors and found that the data showed a slight deviation from normal distribution. Therefore, this model could be established. The results showed that Length, Make, and Year had the greatest impact on the listing price of each sailboat, and the model had high accuracy in estimating the prices of different variants of sailboats.
 In Task 2, we conducted one-way ANOVA on the regions, calculated the intergroup differences and total dispersion of each feature, and then used classification and summarization to obtain the average prices of each feature. We found that the regions had an impact on the prices, and the regional effects were not consistent for all sailboat variants. In addition, we found differences in the lengths of second-hand sailboats in different countries, which were mostly distributed between 40ft-50ft.
 In Task 3, we first made box plots of the average prices in different geographical regions, then made radar charts of each feature in these three regions, and finally re-established a multiple linear regression model by using whether each sailboat type was sold in Hong Kong as a 0-1 variable. We found that the second-hand sailboat markets in the United States and Hong Kong were similar. The prices of sailboats in Hong Kong were generally higher than those in other regions, and their impact on Monohulled Sailboats and Catamarans was different.
 In Task 4, we calculated the average prices of second-hand sailboats in each country, visualized the data, and established a map model. We found that GDP per capita (USD) and GDP (USD billion) had significant differences in their impact on length.
 In Task 5, based on the searched second-hand sailboat transaction data in Hong Kong, we established a model for the transaction price and frequency of sailboats according to their single or double type, and found that brokers should pay attention to the main features of second-hand sailboats and successful cases in the US second-hand sailboat market, as well as the price range of sailboats.
 To improve our model, we adopted the random forest model that can handle nonlinear relationships, improve the robustness of the model, avoid overfitting, and increase prediction accuracy.

Konsep Tauhid Imam Al-Ghazali tentang Mekanisme Pasar Dalam Islam

The market is an element of natural harmony, the market has a very important role in the economy. Al Ghazali views the market mechanism as evolving as a natural component. Al-Ghazalis rationale about the market mechanism, namely from demand and supply, according to Al-Ghazali, demand and supply occur under the power of Allah. This study uses a qualitative descriptive study using literature quoted from relevant book journals and websites. The purpose of this study is that humans will involve God in any activity without exception in the market because the market is not only a means for buying and selling but also a place for worship. This concept of monotheism has an important role in the market because monotheism teaches that God is one. And with this concept of monotheism, big profits are not a top priority for market participants because they will be more concerned with the afterlife than the world. If every human being has a strong faith, an Islamic market mechanism will be created and a fair market will also be created so that it will prosper human life.

Konsep Tauhid Imam Al-Ghazali Tentang Mekanisme Pasar Dalam Islam

The market is an element of natural harmony, the market has a very important role in the economy. Al Ghazali views the market mechanism as evolving as a natural component. Al-Ghazalis rationale about the market mechanism, namely from demand and supply, according to Al-Ghazali, demand and supply occur under the power of Allah. This study uses a qualitative descriptive study using literature quoted from relevant book journals and websites. The purpose of this study is that humans will involve God in any activity without exception in the market because the market is not only a means for buying and selling but also a place for worship. This concept of monotheism has an important role in the market because monotheism teaches that God is one. And with this concept of monotheism, big profits are not a top priority for market participants because they will be more concerned with the afterlife than the world. If every human being has a strong faith, an Islamic market mechanism will be created and a fair market will also be created so that it will prosper human life.
 Keywords: Al-Ghazali, Market Mechanism, Tauhid

ANALISIS PRODUKSI TEH HITAM DI KEBUN TEH SINUMBRA SELAMA PADEMI COVID-19

One of the largest tea producers in Indonesia is the province of West Java, with a percentage of 69.59% of the total national production of 129 thousand tons in 2019 spread across various garden locations with different conditions. This is interesting to be studied, mainly related to the income from the production process of tea shoots in the tea garden of Sinumbra during the COVID-19 pandemic. This research uses a quantitative descriptive method by using data collection, interpretation, and analysis data to describe and explain the actual situation. The result shows that the average production cost of 14 types of tea is RP14,999 / kg. The type (grade) with the highest production results is the quality I type of Dust tea, while the type with the lowest production results is BOP tea 1 (a quality I). The largest income from the type of PF tea (Pekoe Fanning) is Rp. 5,423,673,094, with the biggest profit being the (quality I) type of BP tea (Broken Pekoe) of Rp. 24,499 / kg, and the biggest loss in (quality III) type of FLUFF tea is -Rp. 4,292 / kg.

Maximizing Barry Furniture UMKM Profits with the Linear Simplex Program Method

In today's era, furniture is a type of business that has big profits, however, it requires a large amount of capital to start the business. Many furniture entrepreneurs are competing to be the best by improving the quality of their products in order to obtain results that are worthy of competing with other products. In addition to quality, entrepreneurs also need to improve performance in order to achieve effectiveness and efficiency in running their business. This performance improvement aims to obtain the maximum possible profit. Barry Furniture UMKM also wants to experience this. To obtain maximum profit, proper analysis is needed so that this analysis can help entrepreneurs to achieve effectiveness and efficiency in running a business. In conducting the analysis, the Linear Programming analysis tool with the Simplex Method was used. From the results of this study it can be concluded that in order to obtain maximum profit, Barry Furniture needs to produce 60 tables and 60 chairs. If Barry Furniture follows the results of this analysis, it is estimated that in less than one month they will earn a profit of IDR 1,800,000.00.

STUDY OF A MARKET MODEL WITH A FIXED DEMAND LINE

STUDY OF A MARKET MODEL WITH A FIXED DEMAND LINE