Bank Loans Research Articles

Willful defaulting of bank loans in a developing country: a Bourdieusian analysis

Purpose Borrowers’ intentional non-payment of bank loans despite being able to pay is a financial crime. This paper explores how willful loan defaulting became a societal practice in Bangladesh, where non-performing loans (NPLs) are assumed to surpass BDT 4 trillion mainly due to habitual defaults of large borrowers. Design/methodology/approach This study reviewed publicly available documents and interviewed bank managers, loan takers, regulators and industry experts. It drew on Pierre Bourdieu’s practice theory, specifically the concepts- habitus, capital and field, to explain the permeation of “intentional defaulting culture” in the banking industry. Findings Willful defaulting in Bangladesh is an outcome of a harmonious blend of defaulters’ mindsets and possession of capital supported by the structure and rules of the field. The socio-political context facilitates, rather than impedes, the “unwillingness to pay” motive of the habitual defaulters due to their possession of different forms of capital. Research limitations/implications Understanding of how the crime of willful defaulting emerges and persists in society may have policy and practice implications in economies suffering NPL problems. Originality/value This study explicates how individual intents and institutional structures jointly amplify financial crimes in society.

The Impact of Small Business Financing on The Digital Palestinian Economy

This study investigates the influence of financing on the digital economy of small businesses in Palestine. Through a combination of surveys and interviews with 50 Palestinian small business owners, the research reveals a nuanced relationship between financial support and its economic effects. The findings indicate that while some respondents experienced benefits such as enhanced competitiveness and market expansion, others encountered difficulties, suggesting the need for customized financial solutions. The study identifies prevalent financing mechanisms, including bank loans and government grants, and emphasizes the importance of specialized support programs in fostering entrepreneurship and generating employment. Job creation is highlighted as a significant economic impact, corroborating existing research on the role of small businesses in reducing unemployment and promoting economic stability. The study also addresses challenges related to financing, such as regulatory hurdles and political issues with international stakeholders, as noted in the literature. Overcoming these challenges is essential for maximizing the potential of small businesses in Palestine. Recommendations from respondents include simplifying regulations and enhancing collaboration between government bodies and financial institutions, offering practical measures to improve financial accessibility for small enterprises. This research contributes to a deeper understanding of how financing mechanisms can stimulate economic growth within the unique context of Palestine.

Investment choice of heavily polluting enterprises under green credit policy: Comparison between green and traditional paths

Green credit is an effective financial policy tool to promote green and low-carbon transformation. To analyze whether green credit constraints (GCC) can affect the investment decisions of heavily polluting enterprises (HPEs), this article studies the impact of GCC on green investment decisions of HPEs from 2013 to 2022. Based on the data of bank loan amount, interest rate and maturity of enterprises, this paper uses the entropy weight method to construct the bank loan constraint index of HPEs under green credit, and investigates the nonlinear effect of GCC on enterprises' green investment preference and its main mechanism. The results show that: (1) there is a U-shaped relationship between GCC and green investment ratio of HPEs. (2) Corporate R&D expenditure, financial asset investment, and investment term structure are the main influencing mechanisms. (3) Government environmental regulation and public environmental supervision play a positive and negative regulate role respectively. (4) The results of heterogeneity test show that green credit policy (GCP) is more significant in the eastern region, state-owned enterprises, electric power industry, chemical industry, and material industry. The research conclusions provide targeted suggestions for promoting the development of GCP and accelerating the green transformation of HPEs.

Research on Smart Contract Verification and Generation Method Based on BPMN

The post-deployment challenges in developing and upgrading blockchain smart contracts necessitate a high level of accuracy in their development and business logic. However, current methodologies for verifying the business logic of smart contracts frequently fail to address their alignment with end-user business requirements. This paper introduces a two-step language transformation process to bridge this gap. Initially, we establish a transformation rule from the Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN) to Prolog, enabling the translation of business processes into a Prolog representation. This step not only validates the business process logic but also ensures it meets user specifications. Subsequently, we introduce a transformation rule from the BPMN to Go, which facilitates the transformation of the BPMN model, once validated, into a Go language smart contract. To enhance usability, we have engineered a dedicated tool that streamlines this transformation process. We present a case study involving a banking loan process to exemplify the utility of our tool in creating BPMN diagrams, conducting requirement and syntax validations, and effecting the transformation to Go smart contracts. The case study and empirical results suggest that our methodology and the accompanying tool mitigate the complexities inherent in smart contract development. They also ensure the fidelity of business logic to user demands, thereby promoting the broader adoption of blockchain smart contract technology.

How do Macroeconomic Indicators Shape Nonperforming Loans?

This study examines the influence of macroeconomic indicators on nonperforming bank loans. This research focuses on the period from 2010:1Q to 2019:4Q to capture significant trends and fluctuations in the economy. Data for receivables to be liquidated as a proxy for nonperforming loans, the consumer price index as a proxy for inflation, total private consumption expenditures as a proxy for economic activity, gross domestic product and total (private) fixed capital expenditures as proxies for economic growth are analyzed using the ARDL bound test, FMOLS, DOLS and VECM Granger methodologies. This study addresses several key questions. First, it examines how the receivables to be liquidated relate to changes in total private consumption expenditures (LNPCE). The findings indicate that higher LNPCE decreases the ability of receivables to be liquidated in both the long run and short run. Second, it explores the impact of gross domestic product (GDP) fluctuations on the amount of receivables to be liquidated, revealing that a higher GDP increases the amount of receivables to be liquidated in both the long and short run. Last, the study assesses the extent to which changes in the consumer price index (CPI) influence the receivables to be liquidated, finding that a higher CPI increases the receivables to be liquidated in the long run.

Financing constraints of firms: Is there political favoritism in the economic resources given by the central government?

AbstractEconomic resources within the jurisdiction of local governments in China shape the external financing environment of enterprises. However, few studies have focused on China's unique political hierarchy, which results in differentiated access to economic resources for different levels of local governments and substantially affects local corporate financing constraints. This paper examines the impact of city political hierarchy on firm financing constraints among Chinese A‐share listed firms from 2004 to 2019. We use the 200,000 population criterion for delineating the political hierarchy of cities in 1927 as the cutoff for fuzzy regression discontinuity design to identify causal effects. The results show that the greater a city's political rank is, the lower its financing constraints are. The mechanism suggests that the central government provides more financial and political resources to high‐level cities, directly and indirectly influencing the financing constraints of firms. In addition, high‐level cities' government preferences, bank loans, debt financing costs, and business credit are vital channels at the firm level. However, this effect varies depending on the ownership and size of the firm.

Relationship between Financial Risk Exposure and Non-Performing Loans of Commercial Banks in Kenya

Currently, there is a financial crisis affecting commercial banks in Kenya occasioned by high levels of loan loss provision as a result of Non-Performing Loans. The past decade has seen the collapse of major banks like Chase Bank among others. This trend on Non-Performing Loans of the institutions requires urgent measures to reverse failure to which the entire sector is likely to collapse, and customers would lose a significant amount of their deposits. This study sought to investigate the effect of credit risk and liquidity risk on non-performing loans (NPLs) of commercial banks in Kenya and appraise the moderating effect of firm age on the relationship between financial risk exposure on non-performing loans of commercial banks in Kenya. The study was underpinned by liquidity preference theory. The examination adopted a positivist paradigm guided by explanatory research design. The study targeted 40 commercial banks as the unit of analysis while branch managers, operations and risk managers were the units of observation drawn from the banks adding to 120 respondents and census was used. The study collected both primary data using structured questionnaire on the independent variable and secondary data from publications by Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) and respective banks and the same was analyzed through the statistical package for social sciences (SPSS) version 26 in a descriptive and inferential manner. The study established that credit risk (p<0.05) and liquidity risk (p<0.05) were all found to have significant effect on NPLs of commercial banks in Kenya and significantly moderated by their sizes. It was concluded that financial risk exposure has significant effect on NPLs of commercial banks in Kenya. It was recommended that finance manages working in commercial banks in Kenya to balance the investment in short term and long-term assets to maintain operational liquidity levels for better management of liquidity risks. Credit managers working for commercial banks in Kenya need to review the existing credit risk management efforts and mechanisms to minimize exposure to NPLs.

The impact of the Bank of Japan’s exchange traded fund and corporate bond purchases on firms’ capital structure

AbstractThis study examines how the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ’s) exchange-traded fund (ETF) and corporate bond (CB) purchases affect the capital structure of Japanese listed firms. The results first suggest that the BOJ’s ETF purchases reduced the equity risk premium for firms included in the purchases, thereby lowering their cost of equity. These firms issued more stocks and became less dependent on bond debt and bank loans than control firms, resulting in a lower level of leverage. On the other hand, the BOJ’s CB purchases lowered the risk premium of bonds eligible for such purchases, which implies a decline in the cost of bond debt. Firms eligible for CB purchases issued more bonds, while reducing bank debt but to a smaller extent, thus having higher leverage than firms not eligible for CB purchases. Categorizing firms into four groups based on whether their stocks were included in ETF purchases and/or their bonds were eligible for CB purchases further shows that the policy impacts on firm financing have differed depending on which group a firm fell in. These results indicate that the BOJ’s ETF and CB purchases have had a considerable impact on the cost of capital, securities issuance activities, and corporate capital structure.

Bank Supervision and bank’s Outcomes: The Case of Tunisia

ABSTRACT Supervision is important for the entire financial system since it plays the role of a stabilizer; it seeks to create a healthy environment for financial institutions, and in particular for banks. Bank supervision is considerably more challenging than that of other institutions because of the opacity and complexity of bank assets. We explore the impact of supervision on the risk, profitability, and growth of Tunisian banks. The empirical study focused on 210 annual reports of almost all Tunisian banks during the 2010–2019 period. Banking supervision effectiveness is measured by enforcement outputs (i.e. on-site audits and sanctions). The generalized least squares method of multivariate analysis was used to analyze our panel data.The results show that supervisory and regulatory measures applied during this period have a negative impact on bank risk and profitability. This means that stricter banking regulation and supervision reduce both the risk and profitability of banks. Our results also show that intense supervision reduces the growth of loans for Tunisian banks. Our results have important implications for the decision-making of bank managers and regulators in Tunisia as well as for relevant actors in similar emerging economies. Strengthening further banking supervision policy is still needed by the central bank of Tunisia, i.e. the bank regulator.

THE SIGNALING EFFECTS OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF R&D GRANTS ON CORPORATE EXTERNAL FINANCING: EVIDENCE FROM CHINESE LISTED FIRMS

In this study, we investigate the heterogeneous signaling effects of government research and development (R&D) grants on corporate bank financing regarding various types of grants. While the literature primarily focuses on the information asymmetry between banks and receivers, this study focuses on the more fundamental aspect of disparate signals sent from various types of subsidies. We categorize public R&D subsidies into three types: project-based, special grants and general subsidies. By using data from Chinese listed firms between 2008 and 2018, we find that R&D projects have positive certification effects on corporate external financing, special funds do not have significant effects, and general subsidies send negative signals regarding firm quality, resulting in the reduction of long-term bank loans of recipients. However, the negative signaling effects of general subsidies are found to be counteracted by political connections, suggesting that the signal associated with political capital could be greater than that associated with firm quality.

Impacts of population aging on bank loan portfolios: Evidence from China

We investigate the impacts of population aging on bank lending using micro-level data from the Chinese banking industry. We find that an aging population significantly reduces the volume of bank lending. The underlying mechanism driving this trend comes from a reduction in bank deposits and a decline in banks' risk-taking. At the same time, population aging induces a structural change in banks' loan portfolios. Banks are strategically reducing the share of their loan portfolios exposed to the greater risks associated with an aging population; additionally, they utilize cross-regional operations to lessen the adverse effects of aging. The contractionary effect of population aging on bank lending is more pronounced for non-state banks and banks in highly competitive markets. These findings highlight the importance of considering population aging in assessing both the aggregate volume and the structural composition of bank loans.

Determinant Influencing Non-Performing Loans: A Story of Vietnamese Commercial Banks

This study aims to analyze the factors influencing non-performing loans (NPLs) in commercial banks during the period 2016-2022. The study utilized a sample of 16 joint-stock commercial banks in Vietnam. The authors employed three regression models: Pooled OLS, Fixed Effects Model (FEM), and Random Effects Model (REM), ultimately selecting REM as the most appropriate model. The results show that out of 5 variables, GDP and bank size have a negative impact on bad debt ratio. However, credit growth rate, credit loss provision and loan to total assets ratio have the same direction on NLPs.

Research on the impact and heterogeneity of housing on the allocation of financial assets of households: Evidence from China

This paper investigates the impact of housing with both consumption and investment attributes on the risky financial asset allocation of households, constructs Probit and Tobit models using 2019 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data, and proceeds to the mediation effect test and heterogeneity analysis. Results indicate that owning only one house exhibits a crowding-out effect on the risky financial asset allocation of urban households, with the degree of risk preference as the mediating effect mechanism, while owning multiple houses exhibits an asset allocation effect. Housing borrowing other than bank loans inhibits urban households from making risky financial asset allocations. The effect of housing on risky financial asset allocation is heterogeneous by income, age, and region.

Access to credit and firm survival during a crisis: The case of zero-bank-debt firms

Before the Covid-19 crisis, zero-bank-debt firms, especially risky ones, faced, due to their lack of credit history, more difficult access to bank loans than firms which previously had bank debt. These credit constraints were tightened by the Covid shock, irrespective of firms’ risk, arguably because of increased information asymmetries during a period of high macroeconomic uncertainty. Zero-bank-debt firms, even those which were safe and profitable, were also far more likely to leave the market during the pandemic than firms which previously had bank debt. However, those zero-bank-debt firms that did obtain new credit reduced their probability of exit.

Banks' Portfolio Similarity During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Purpose: This study tries to identify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the similarity of banks' loan portfolios. Design/methodology/approach: Using the entire firm-level bank loan data from 2009 to 2020 in the Korean market, this study analyzes the cosine similarity in terms of credit rating, industry, and region between banks. Findings: The study discovered that interbank portfolio similarity has escalated over time, with the similarity notably intensifying during the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, it was found that larger banks exhibit greater similarities, a trend that has become increasingly pronounced during the pandemic period. Research limitations/implications: This study provides empirical evidence of the synchronization in lending behaviors among major South Korean banks during the COVID-19 pandemic. It posits that while the synchronicity of banks' lending patterns during typical financial crises is generally accepted, further research in financial markets of other countries is necessary to substantiate this claim universally. Originality/value: Therefore, the role of financial authorities to alleviate deepening interbank portfolio synchronization triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting escalation of financial market instability is emphasized.

Do Multifinance Institutions Matter for Poverty Reduction? Evidence from Indonesia

Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) can help reduce poverty by offering small loans to people who cannot get bank loans due to lack of collateral. However, in Indonesia, access to microfinance institutions is unequally distributed, as shown by the establishment of MFIs in Indonesia, which covers only 22 out of 34 provinces. This condition limits their impact on poverty reduction. This study examines how access to MFIs and the loans they provide affect poverty rates in Indonesia, using cross-sectional data from 22 provinces between 2016 and 2022. The results show that access to MFIs and the loans they provide do not significantly reduce poverty. This is due to poor infrastructure, low-quality MFI services, and insufficient loan amounts. The study also found that education lowers poverty, unemployment increases it, and agriculture helps reduce it. To improve poverty reduction, the government should improve infrastructure and extend MFI coverage to more provinces. Additionally, MFIs should increase their loan amounts to make a bigger impact.

Using Z-score models to forecast financial stability in pharmaceutical firms: a case study of SAIDAL

Purpose. This research paper aims to underscore the significance of Z-score models in assessing the financial status of loan applicants “financially distressed” in their relationship with commercial banks “financially solvent” entities. For this purpose, it uses the results of financial analysis, including various financial ratios, allowing for a comparison between the findings of financial equilibrium analysis methods and the results obtained from applying Z-score models. Additionally, it seeks to identify the most suitable Z-score models for the Algerian business environment in terms of detecting cases of financial insolvency and debt default. Results. The results of a comparative empirical study are presented by juxtaposing the use of financial analysis against scoring models in order to evaluate the decision to grant a bank loan, because the firm’s set of specific investments and contracts is related with the part of the financial surplus and financial support entities. The empirical study found that the reliability of Z-score model outcomes is associated with the nature of financial analysis outputs, particularly with the specificity of the estimation model built according to data specific to a particular business environment, e.g. “SAIDAL Group” during 2021–2023 as one of pharmaceutical firm listed company in Algerian stock exchange. This is because the relative weights embodied in the financial ratio parameters relied upon in each estimation model are linked to the study sample within the context of sectorial benchmark ratios of a specific economic environment. A notable congruence emerges between the findings of financial analysis, particularly in the domain of financial equilibrium scrutiny and the improvement of the financial standing of the focal institution, and the results obtained from the assessment of the efficiency of bank lending processes using Z-score models. Scientific novelty. For the evaluation of loans applicant via Z-score based on financial ratios and financial statement, it is necessary to reformulate scoring models to align with the Algerian business environment, given their critical importance in evaluating loan applications from several clients applying for such financial requests, particularly from the perspective of commercial banks. Initially, the author undertook an analysis of Saidal’s financial situation to identify potential insolvency risks. Subsequently, however, through this study, we reassessed its situation after entering into international partnership contracts with international pharmaceutical laboratories. This is particularly significant given the inherent risks associated with pharmaceutical products, including: quick expiration, scientific and technological obsolescence, and intense scientific competition among pharmaceutical factories in the field of innovation, after the Covid-19. Practical value. The study aims to apply Z-scoring models in one of the leading Algerian company in pharmaceutical production “SAIDAL Group”, following an analysis of its financial stability and tracking its financial status before and after the COVID-19 period. Through a comparative approach, the author compared the digital field of institutional failure between the outputs of financial equilibrium analysis and scoring models. In this paper, the author tried to apply Z-scoring models to the accounting information of Saidal Complex after its listing on the Algerian stock exchange, against the backdrop of the Algerian government’s new policy aiming to involve commercial banks as intermediaries in stock market operations, in particular with the inclusion of Algerian Popular Loan Bank in the official market as one of the listed companies, given its leading role in providing investment loans to industrial institutions.

The Establishment of Low-Interest Loan Banks (Monte di Pietà) and the Usury Debate

The Establishment of Low-Interest Loan Banks (Monte di Pietà) and the Usury Debate

Pricing and Financing Strategies of Dual-Channel Green Supply Chain with Risk Aversion and Consumer Preferences

Nowadays, considering the growing tendency of companies toward e-commerce as well as green production, dual-channel green supply chain management has become particularly important. This paper investigates pricing decisions within a dual-channel green supply chain framework while considering the capital constraints faced by risk-averse manufacturers. Simultaneously, the impact of the degree of risk aversion, consumer green preferences, and channel preferences on the optimal decision-making process of green supply chain members is analyzed. We address the issue of financial constraints faced by manufacturers through bank loans and trade credit financing and compare the two cases. Our findings illustrate that trade credit financing outperforms bank loan financing in the dual-channel green supply chain. Moreover, pricing decisions under different models are influenced by consumer preferences and risk aversion. Specifically, the greenness of the product, wholesale price, and sale price exhibit negative correlations with manufacturers’ risk aversion but positive correlations with consumer preferences.

When banks become pure creditors: The effects of declining shareholding by Japanese banks on bank lending and firms’ risk-taking

This study empirically examines the impact of an exogenous decrease in banks’ shareholding on bank loans and firms’ risk-taking, utilizing a regulatory change in Japan relating to banks’ shareholding as an instrument. We find that an exogenous reduction in a bank’s shareholding decreased the bank’s share of loans in the client firm’s total loans, while it increased the volatility of a firm’s return on assets. The reduction in a bank’s shareholding did not affect firm risk as perceived by equity investors or its borrowing terms. These findings are consistent with the prediction that banks hold equity claims over client firms to gain a competitive advantage, and are weakly compatible with the prediction that banks’ shareholding mitigates shareholder–creditor conflict.