Background Of Climate Change Research Articles

Regional Sustainable Management Pathways to Carbon Neutrality

With the background of global climate change and rapid economic growth, there are increasing problems threatening regional sustainable development [...]

Landscape Design and Dual-Carbon Technology: Integration and Symbiosis, Creating a Green Future

Under the background of global climate change and low-carbon development, landscape design, as an important part of urban construction, has an increasingly significant trend of low-carbon and ecological development. This paper deeply discusses the feasibility and practice path of combining landscape design and dual-carbon technology, aiming to promote the development of landscape design in the direction of low-carbon, efficient, and sustainable through technological innovation and concept renewal. Firstly, this paper reviews the basic principles and application fields of dual-carbon technology and the current market environment of landscape design and analyzes the potential value of dual-carbon technology in landscape design. Then, based on several concrete cases, the practical application of dual-carbon technology in landscape design is elaborated, including solar energy utilization, green building materials, etc. In addition, this paper also discusses the challenges and solutions in combining landscape design with dual-carbon technology, which provides a useful reference for future research and practice. The research shows that the combination of landscape design and dual-carbon technology can not only enhance the ecological benefits and aesthetic value of the landscape but also effectively reduce carbon emissions and promote the city's sustainable development.

Research progresses on the effects of light, temperature and water conditions on primary and secondary growth of trees.

Tree growth includes primary growth and secondary growth. The growth activity and dormancy cycle of trees can affect forest productivity and carbon sequestration capacity. Therefore, it is of great significance to examine the effects of environmental conditions (e.g., photoperiod, temperature and water) on tree growth for understanding the responses of trees to climate change and predicting forest productivity and carbon sequestration capacity under the background of global climate change. We reviewed the effects of photoperiod, temperature and water conditions on the primary and secondary growth of trees, and revealed the physiological mechanisms underlying their impacts on the synchronization or asynchronization between primary and secondary growth of trees. The shortcomings of the existing research were pointed out. For example, less attention had been paid to the enrionmental response and adaptation of root growth, as well as the physiological mechanism of the effect of light, temperature and water on tree growth. Research on the growth of underground roots should be strengthened in the future, and more attention should be paid to the physiological changes in the process of tree growth affected by environmental factors. Furthermore, the source and sink limitation theory and the process-based prediction model should be improved, aiming to provide a scientific basis for predicting forest productivity and carbon sequestration capacity and putting forward scientific policies of forest management.

High salinity restrains microplastic transport and increases the risk of pollution in coastal wetlands

Microplastics (MPs) pollution in coastal wetlands has attracted global attention. However, few studies have focused on the effect of soil properties and structure on MP transport in coastal wetlands. Salinity is one of the most pivotal environmental factors and varies in coastal wetlands. Here, we conducted column experiments and employed fluorescent labeling combined with Derjaguin–Landau–Verwey–Overbeek (DLVO) theoretical calculations to reveal the vertical transport behavior of MPs. Specifically, we investigated the influence of five salinity levels (0, 0.035, 0.35, 3.5, and 35 PSU) on MP transport in different coastal wetlands soils and a sand through the X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy and nondestructive computed tomography technique. The results indicated that the migration capability of MPs in soils is significantly lower than in quartz sand, and that the migration capability varies depending on the soil type. This variability may be due to soil minerals and microporous structures providing numerous attachment sites for MPs and may be explained by the DLVO energy barrier of MP-Soil (6568–7767 KT) and MP-sand (5250 KT). Salinity plays a crucial role in modifying the chemical properties of pore water (i.e., zeta potential) as well as altering the soil elemental composition and pore structure. At 0 PSU, the maximum C/C0 of MPs through the sand, Soil 1, and Soil 2 transport columns were 37.86 ± 2.36 %, 23.96 ± 1.71 %, and 3.94 ± 0.68 %, respectively. When salinity increased to 3.5 PSU, MP mobility decreased by over 20 %. Additionally, a salinity of 35 PSU may alter the soil pore distribution, thereby changing water flow paths and velocities to constrain the migration of MPs in soils. These findings could provide valuable insights into understanding the environmental behavior and transport mechanisms of MPs, and lay a solid scientific basis for accurately simulating and predicting the fate of MPs in coastal wetland water–soil systems. We highlight the effect of salinity on the fate of MPs and the corresponding priority management of MPs risks under the background of global climate change.

Determinants of Deadwood Biomass under the Background of Nitrogen and Water Addition in Warm Temperate Forests

Climate change is exacerbating the vulnerability of temperate forests to severe disturbances, potentially increasing tree mortality rates. Despite the significance of this issue, there has been a lack of comprehensive research on tree survival across extensive forest areas under the background of global climate change. To fill this gap, we conducted a detailed analysis of tree survival within a canopy nitrogen and water addition experimental platform in central China, utilizing data from two censuses and evaluating contributing factors. Our findings revealed 283 dead trees within the plots, predominantly of very small diameters (1–10 cm). The distribution of these dead trees varied among subplots, influenced by both biotic and abiotic factors. Notably, three dominant tree species were responsible for 64.8% of the deadwood biomass. The study determined that both the breast diameter and the quantity of dead trees, affected by surrounding trees and environmental conditions, played a critical role in deadwood biomass accumulation. This research offers an in-depth examination of deadwood biomass patterns in a temperate forest, highlighting the need to consider both experiment treatments and abiotic elements like topography in studies of forest ecosystem carbon. The insights gained from this study enhance our understanding of warm temperate forests’ role in the global carbon cycle and offer valuable guidance for forest conservation and management strategies.

Peculiarities of xerophytes adaptation to drought in Chachuna managed territory and Vashlovani protected area (Eastern Georgia)

Today, when desertification is one of the expected ecological disasters in the background of global climate change, investigation of the biological mechanisms of xerophytes stress resistance has become popular. One of the key biochemical mechanisms of plant protection against unfavourable environmental conditions is a large group of compounds with different chemical nature united under the name of antioxidant system. Investigation of the characteristics of the antioxidant system of xerophytes of different habitats of the driest region of Georgia (East Georgia) was the aim of the presented study. The content of low-molecular antioxidants and osmolytes as well as the activity of antioxidant enzymes was studied in leaves of experimental plants. It has been concluded that the distinctive values of the indices of antioxidant system are manifested as the main mechanism of adaptation. There can be several such mechanisms in each species at the same time, which is probably a specific feature. In some cases, these mechanisms are similar in species of one habitat and presumably are related to the living environment; In general, it is possible to single out characteristic strategy of adaptation to stress for each studied species, which includes certain enzymatic and non-enzymatic components of the antioxidant system.

Climatic characteristics of centennial and extreme precipitation in Hangzhou, China

The precipitation characteristics in Hangzhou of Zhejiang Province, China under the background of global climate change are analyzed using the meteorological observation data obtained from the Hangzhou base station in this study. We investigate the climate characteristics of precipitation in Hangzhou from several aspects, such as centennial trend, seasonal change, periodicity and the variation of extreme precipitation. Our results show a linear decreasing trend and obvious interdecadal characteristics in the precipitation of Hangzhou on a centennial timescale. Significantly increased amplitude of precipitation fluctuation was observed since the beginning of the 21st century. For the interdecadal variation of seasonal precipitation on a centennial timescale, precipitation in autumn showed a decreasing trend of 8.1 mm/10a, whereas the trends for the other three seasons were statistically insignificant. The precipitation in Hangzhou showed a decreasing trend in spring and an increasing trend in winter over the past 30 years. Our analyses reveal distinct precipitation cycles, including a quasi-30-year cycle since the 1960s and a quasi-10-year cycle since the 1980s. However, the periodicity has weakened in the past 10 years. In addition, the occurrence of torrential rain has increased rapidly in the past 10 years. Furthermore, influenced by global climate change and regional processes, the variation of extreme precipitation in Hangzhou has changed, which shows strong correlations with the overall trend of annual precipitation. The annual maximum daily precipitation in Hangzhou was mainly in the range of 0–40 mm from 1951 to 1980 and in the range of 40–80 mm from 1981 to 2010 with the maximum daily precipitation occurrence rate of 4.7 times/10a and 6.3 times/10a, respectively. This study emphasizes the risk of urban waterlogging caused by short-term heavy rainfall and provides useful reference to the assessment of extreme meteorological and hydrological disaster risk in Hangzhou.

Autumn sunlight promotes aboveground carbon loss in a temperate mixed forest

BackgroundPhotodegradation of plant litter plays a pivotal role in the global carbon (C) cycle. In temperate forest ecosystems, the exposure of plant litter to solar radiation can be significantly altered by changes in autumn phenology and snow cover due to climatic change. How this will affect litter decomposition and nutrient dynamic interacting with forest canopy structure (understorey vs. gaps) is uncertain. In the present study, we conducted a field experiment using leaf litter of early-fall deciduous Betula platyphylla (Asian white birch) and late-fall deciduous Quercus mongolica (Mongolian oak) to explore the effect of change in autumn solar radiation on dynamics of litter decomposition in a gap and understorey of a temperate mixed forest.ResultsExposure to the full-spectrum of not only significantly increased the loss of mass, C, and lignin, but also modified N loss through both immobilization and mineralization during the initial decomposition during autumn canopy opening, irrespective of canopy structure and litter species. These effects were mainly driven by the blue-green spectral region of sunlight. Short-term photodegradation by autumn solar radiation had a positive legacy effect on the later decomposition particularly in the forest gap, increasing mass loss by 16% and 19% for Asian white birch and Mongolia oak, respectively.ConclusionsOur results suggest that earlier autumn leaf-fall phenology and/or later snow cover due to land-use or climate change would increase the exposure of plant organic matter to solar radiation, and accelerate ecosystem processes, C and nutrient cycling in temperate forest ecosystems. The study provides a reference for predictive research on carbon cycling under the background of global climate change.

The spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of subsurface marine heatwaves in the Xisha Region

Under the background of global climate change, Subsurface Marine Heatwaves (SSMHWs) have become a ‘hot-spot’ research due to their significant impacts on marine ecosystems. Temperature data from the ECCO2 for the years 1992 to 2021 is used to research the spatiotemporal characteristics of SSMHWs in the upper 500 m over the Xisha region (110°E to 113°E, 15°N to 18°N). This study indicates that SSMHWs of high intensity occur in the Xisha area, with the vertical maximum intensity at approximately 100 m. These events exhibit significant seasonal variations, with the highest intensity occurring in May. The intensity of SSMHW in the analysis region varies interannually. SSMHWs have intensified at a rate of 1.53°C·Days/Year and tend to shift to deeper water over the past three decades. A block-based method for SSMHW identification is proposed, in order to take the vertical extent of the event in consideration. By analyzing the eight most intense events based on spatial cumulative intensity, it suggested that warm mesoscale eddies may play an important role on the spatial distribution of the SSMHWs. Statistical analysis shows that the intensity and coverage of the warm mesoscale eddy in the Xisha zone may influence the intensity and evolution of the SSMHWs. Additionally, only 18.27% of SSMHW events occur with apparent surface marine heatwave signals. These findings are vital for uncovering SSMHW dynamics in the Xisha area, and are important for future monitoring, early warnings and marine conservation.

Photoinhibition and photosynthetic regulation in fluctuating light under compound stresses of drought and heat

AbstractUnder the background of global climate change, crop leaves usually experience fluctuating light (FL) under compound stresses of drought and heat in the field. However, photoinhibition and photosynthetic regulation in FL under these compound stresses are little known. To elucidate this, we measured gas exchange, chlorophyll fluorescence, P700 redox state and electrochromic shift signals for tomato (Solanum lycopersicum) leaves exposed to FL under individual and compound stresses of moderate drought and heat stresses. After treatment with short‐term FL, photosystem I (PSI) activity decreased slightly in all treatments. By comparison, photosystem II (PSII) activity was reduced slightly under individual stress but largely decreased by 46% under compound stresses. Therefore, PSI is more tolerant than PSII when exposed to FL under compound stresses of drought and heat. Under compound stresses, PSII photoinhibition largely downregulated linear electron flow and photorespiration became a major electron sink downstream. Concomitantly, cyclic electron flow (CEF) was highly enhanced to help the building up of trans‐thylakoid proton gradient. This study highlights the importance of PSII activity and CEF in crop tolerance under future compound climate extremes such as drought and heat.

Increased heat stress for the population of urbanized areas against the background of global climate change

The combination of high temperature and relative humidity of the atmospheric air creates heat stress, which has a serious impact on the environment, society and the health of the population in urban areas. Using the example of the city of Kyiv, the paper investigated long-term changes in heat stress depending on global climate changes. Averaged monthly long-term climate data of the urban environment were studied, starting from 1981, based on monitoring data using the Copernicus Climate Change Service toolkit and data from the Borys Sreznevsky Central Geophysical Observatory. Predictive dynamics of temperature by conventional and wet bulb was investigated using OriginPro8 software. Data on the dependence of the frequency and unevenness of precipitation during the last decades are presented. The dependences of the value of the heat index (NI) on the temperature and air humidity for different observation periods were obtained. Over the past decade, Kyiv has seen a significant increase in average heat stress and the frequency of days and events with extreme heat stress. According to the obtained forecast estimates, in 2050 the heat index should increase by almost 30%, and the risk to the health of the population in the surrounding area and for workers in the open air will be interpreted as "high" levels at a relative humidity of 80%; "moderate" at a relative humidity of 50% and "low" at a relative humidity of 20%. The forecast temperature dynamics according to the conventional and according to the wet thermometer in the month of July at the end of different years is: 2021–2030 – 24.136°С and 26.24°С; 2030–2050 – 26.371°С and 28.918°С, respectively, with other equal conditions of the urban environment. An additional possibility of influence on the thermal dome appears already at the design stage, thanks to the variability of the placement of the projected buildings on the general plan, and the formation of individual buildings, in the correct area ratio green plantings to stone surfaces of facades and paving. The research data will be useful for the possible reduction of the size of the thermal dome over the city during the planning and reconstruction of the housing stock and the development of climate neutrality measures for the cities of Ukraine.

Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on the Growing Season of Vegetation Gross Primary Productivity in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River

Quantitatively determining the direct, indirect, and comprehensive effects of climatic factors on the growing season of the vegetation GPP (GPPGS) in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River at the regional and vegetation type scales can provide a scientific basis for the management and restoration of regional vegetation resources under the background of global climate change. Using MODIS GPP data, meteorological data, and vegetation type data, combined with Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and the Mann-Kendall significance test, the spatiotemporal characteristics of the GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River were investigated at different temporal and spatial scales. Path analysis was used to further reveal the direct, indirect, and comprehensive effects of climate factors on GPPGS variation in different vegetation types. The results showed that:① from 2000 to 2021, the vegetation GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River showed a fluctuating upward trend, with a rising rate (in terms of C, same below) of 2.70 g·(m2·a)-1 (P<0.01). The GPPGS of different vegetation types all showed a significant upward trend (P<0.01), with shrubs having the highest upward rate of 3.31 g·(m2·a)-1 and cultivated vegetation having the lowest upward rate of 2.54 g·(m2·a)-1. ② The proportion of the area with an upward trend in GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River was 88.11%. The proportion of the area with an upward trend in GPPGS was greater than 84% for all different vegetation types, with shrubs (49.76%) and cultivated vegetation (44.36%) having significantly higher proportions of the area with an upward trend than that in other vegetation types. ③ The path analysis results showed that precipitation and the maximum temperature had a significant positive direct effect on vegetation GPPGS (P<0.05), whereas solar radiation had a non-significant positive effect (P ≥ 0.05). The indirect effects of maximum temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation on vegetation GPPGS were all non-significantly negative (P ≥ 0.05). Under the combined effects of direct and indirect influences, precipitation and maximum temperature had a non-significant positive effect on vegetation GPPGS (P ≥ 0.05), whereas solar radiation had a non-significant negative effect on vegetation GPPGS (P ≥ 0.05). Among different vegetation types, precipitation was the main climate factor affecting the changes in GPPGS of cultivated vegetation, whereas the maximum temperature was the main climate factor affecting the changes in GPPGS of coniferous forests, broad-leaved forests, shrubs, and grasslands. ④ The changes in vegetation GPPGS in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River were mainly influenced by the direct effects of maximum temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation, with the direct effect of precipitation dominating 56.72% of the changes in GPPGS. The research results can provide a reference for quantifying the carbon sequestration potential of vegetation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and formulating ecological restoration governance policies tailored to local conditions under the background of global climate change.

Maximum Entropy Analysis of Bird Diversity and Environmental Variables in Nanjing Megapolis, China

Against the background of global climate change and urbanization, the biodiversity of birds is facing unprecedented threats. In this paper, taking the Nanjing megapolis as an example, based on the distribution sites of 79 bird species and 17 environmental variables, the MaxEnt model was used to simulate the distribution of bird diversity, and the most important environmental variables were analyzed. The results show that (1) the MaxEnt model is suitable for simulation of the potential distribution of bird diversity in the Nanjing megapolis; (2) the areas with the highest bird diversity in the Nanjing megapolis were mainly distributed in the mountains and hills where the forests are located; (3) the five most important environmental variables affecting bird distribution were ranked as maximum temperature of the warmest month (MTWM) &gt; Digital Elevation Model (DEM) &gt; precipitation of the wettest month (PWM) &gt; distance to the nearest forest (DF) &gt; Fractional Vegetation Cover index (FVC), with MTWM, PWM, and DF being negatively correlated with bird diversity, whereas FVC and DEM exhibited positive correlations with bird diversity; and (4) the contribution rates of the three types of environmental variables were ranked as follows: habitat environmental variables &gt; meteorological environmental variables &gt; disturbance environmental variables. Sufficient bird habitats should be maintained in cities, and disturbances from human activities should be reduced to achieve the harmonious coexistence of humans and animals in the context of climate change and urbanization, thereby promoting sustainable development.

Marine Heatwave and Terrestrial Drought Reduced CO2 Uptake in the East China Sea in 2022

Against the background of climate warming, marine heatwaves (MHWs) and terrestrial drought events have become increasingly frequent in recent decades. However, the combined effects of MHWs and terrestrial drought on CO2 uptake in marginal seas are still unclear. The East China Sea (ECS) experienced an intense and long-lasting MHW accompanied by an extreme terrestrial drought in the Changjiang basin in the summer of 2022. In this study, we employed multi-source satellite remote sensing products to reveal the patterns, magnitude, and potential drivers of CO2 flux changes in the ECS resulting from the compounding MHW and terrestrial drought extremes. The CO2 uptake of the ECS reduced by 17.0% (1.06 Tg C) in the latter half of 2022 and the Changjiang River plume region shifted from a CO2 sink to a source (releasing 0.11 Tg C) in July-September. In the majority of the ECS, the positive sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly during the MHW diminished the solubility of CO2 in seawater, thereby reducing CO2 uptake. Moreover, the reduction in nutrient input associated with terrestrial drought, which is unfavorable to phytoplankton growth, further reduced the capacity of CO2 uptake. Meanwhile, the CO2 sink doubled for the offshore waters of the ECS continental shelf in July-September 2022, indicating the complexity and heterogeneity of the impacts of extreme climatic events in marginal seas. This study is of great significance in improving the estimation results of CO2 fluxes in marginal seas and understanding sea–air CO2 exchanges against the background of global climate change.

Effects of elevated temperature and different crystal structures of TiO2 nanoparticles on the gut microbiota of mussel Mytilus coruscus

Coastal habitats are exposed to increasing pressure of nanopollutants commonly combined with warming due to the seasonal temperature cycles and global climate change. To investigate the toxicological effects of TiO2 nanoparticles (TiO2 NPs) and elevated temperature on the intestinal health of the mussels (Mytilus coruscus), the mussels were exposed to 0.1 mg/L TiO2 NPs with different crystal structures for 14 days at 20 °C and 28 °C, respectively. Compared to 20 °C, the agglomeration of TiO2 NPs was more serious at 28 °C. Exposure to TiO2 NPs led to elevated mortality of M. coruscus and modified the intestinal microbial community as shown by 16S rRNA sequence analysis. Exposure to TiO2 NPs changed the relative abundance of Bacteroidetes, Proteobacteria and Firmicutes. The relative abundances of putative mutualistic symbionts Tenericutes and Fusobacteria increased in the gut of M. coruscus exposed to anatase, which have contributed to the lower mortality in this group. LEfSe showed the combined stress of warming and TiO2 NPs increased the risk of M. coruscus being infected with potential pathogenic bacteria. This study emphasizes the toxicity differences between crystal structures of TiO2 NPs, and will provides an important reference for analyzing the physiological and ecological effects of nanomaterial pollution on bivalves under the background of global climate change.

DEA-Based Malmquist Productivity Indexes for Assessing Greek Tourism Regions

For this research project, a DEA-based Malmquist index model was built to evaluate the effectiveness and productivity of Greece's thirteen distinct tourist zones. The purpose of this article is to present a statistical analysis comparing the economic performance of different tourist locations in Greece. It does this by using a technique known as data envelopment analysis (DEA), which measures the Malmquist efficiency of the tourist sector in each of Greece's thirteen regions for the years 2017-2021. According to the findings of our study, the level of competitiveness enjoyed by a number of Greece's areas has not increased throughout the period under review. Our study approach and results give a reference for places in Greece that urgently need quick tourist growth to affect economic recovery. This need arises against the background of global climate change, the energy crisis, and the age that follows COVID-19.

Incorporating ecosystem services into functional zoning and adaptive management of natural protected areas as case study of the Shennongjia region in China

Against the background of global climate change and anthropogenic interference, studying the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of ecosystem services in important ecological function regions and rationally dividing the functional zones will help to promote the construction of the natural protected areas system dominated by national parks. The Shennongjia Region is an important candidate for China's national parks and one of the key pilots. Integrating the InVEST model, Getis-Ord Gi* index, hotspot analysis, GeoDetector and K-means clustering algorithm, we measured five ecosystem services interactions and delineate the functional zones. The results show that the spatial and temporal evolution of various ecosystem services in the Shennongjia Region between 2000 and 2020 was significant. All ecosystem services showed a decreasing and then increasing trend, except for carbon storage, which slowly declined. The ecological status of the region is in the process of polarization, with the local environment showed a trend of continuous deterioration. Water yield-habitat quality and carbon storage-water purification showed synergistic relationships; soil conservation showed trade-offs with water yield, carbon storage and water purification over a wide spatial range. The interaction between land surface temperature and vegetation cover was the most significant dominant factor. Hot spots for the comprehensive ecosystem services index were mainly located in the central and southern parts of the Shennongjia region and four types of ecosystem service functional zones were identified accordingly. This study is of great significance for maximizing the benefits of ecosystem service functions, the efficient allocation of environmental resources and the rational formulation of management policies in natural protected areas.

A research on urban disaster resilience assessment system for rainstorm and flood disasters: A case study of Beijing.

Under the background of global climate change, rainstorm and flood disasters have become the most serious cataclysm. Under the circumstances of an increasingly severe risk situation, it is necessary to enhance urban disaster resilience. Based on the disaster resilience process of prevention, absorption, and enhancement, and considering the safety factors such as personnel, facility, environment and management, this paper forms a dual dimension of the urban disaster resilience assessment model covering the key elements of urban disaster response and the core capacity of urban disaster recovery. Furthermore, if taking into account the characteristics of rainstorm and flood disasters, the paper screens the key indicators to build up an assessment index system of an urban rainstorm and flood disaster. The practical application was implemented in Beijing to have an assessment of the ability to recover from rainstorm and flood disasters in all districts of Beijing. And then, some pertinent suggestions for enhancing the resilience of Beijing to rainstorm and flood disasters were proposed.

Review on Chinese agricultural science and technology research from a low-carbon economy perspective: hotspots, evolution, and frontiers

Against the background of global climate change, agricultural science and technology play a vital role in achieving a low-carbon economy and sustainable development. Based on the research data of agricultural science and technology in Web of Science and China National Knowledge Infrastructure, adopting the bibliometric method, a knowledge graph was drawn using CiteSpace software; this paper analyzes the hotspot distribution, structural relationship and evolution process context while also comparing the difference between China and abroad from 1998 to 2023. The results indicate that existing research is mainly distributed in the following core modules, namely, agricultural science and technology, industrialization, modern agriculture, low-carbon agriculture, etc. The evolution of the research context features three stages: the traditional agricultural, current agricultural, and high-quality agricultural stages respectively. Research in China and abroad demonstrates both overlaps and differences in terms of knowledge structure, and such differences are related mainly to the concept of low-carbon agriculture, a variety of research perspectives, and the agricultural science and technology system. To expand the knowledge structure, deepening the research on, respectively, the evaluation and measurement of agrarian carbon footprint, micro-production entities, and strengthening international agricultural science and technology cooperation are innovative directions for future studies. This article systematically reviews agricultural scientific research from the perspective of a low-carbon economy, providing a reference point for the green and low-carbon transformation of agriculture in every country.

Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics and Influencing Factors in the Zoige Alpine Wetland from the 1980s to 2020 Based on a Random Forest Model

Wetlands provide important ecosystem services, such as water conservation, biodiversity protection, and carbon sequestration. The Zoige alpine wetland is the largest high-altitude swamp in the world and plays a critical role in regional ecological balance and climate change. However, little is known about the fate of its soil organic carbon (SOC) storage. In this study, we estimated the degradation status of the wetland over the past 35 years and used machine learning to investigate the dynamics and driving factors of SOC at different soil depths of the Zoige wetland in 1985, 2000, and 2020. We also simulated the future SOC balance under different scenarios. The results showed that the area of Zoige wetland has degraded by 378.71 km2 in the past 35 years. Increased precipitation and solar radiation offset the adverse effects of global warming, making the soil act as a carbon sink in the past 35 years. The total SOC storage of the wetland soils in 1985, 2000, and 2020 was estimated to be 2.03 Pg, 2.05 Pg, and 2.21 Pg, respectively, with 46.95% of SOC distributed in the subsoil layers. Climate change was the most important driving factor controlling the SOC storage of the Zoige wetland, explaining 51.33% of the SOC changes in the soil. Temperature change was always the most important factor controlling wetland SOC, and precipitation had a greater impact on the topsoil. Under the temperature control targets of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, the SOC pool of the Zoige wetland will decrease by 60.21 Tg C and 69.19 Tg C, respectively. Under scenarios of a 10% and 20% increase in precipitation, the wetland soil will accumulate an additional 46.53 Tg C and 118.89 Tg C, respectively. The study results provide important references for the sustainable management of the Zoige wetland under the background of global climate change.