Abstract Low count (LC) MBL is characterized by a circulating population of clonal B-cells and is a precursor state to CLL. Most individuals with LC MBL do not progress to CLL and never come to clinical attention. An active area of research is to identify factors that distinguish those individuals with MBL who progress from those who do not. Currently, 41 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are known to be associated with CLL risk, and a portion of these SNPs have also been found to be associated with MBL risk. We hypothesize that these CLL-susceptibility SNPs associated with both MBL and CLL risk are SNPs associated with developing a B-cell clone; whereas the remaining SNPs found not to be associated with MBL risk are associated with progression of the B-cell clone (i.e., progression from MBL to CLL). To test this hypothesis, we evaluated the association of these 41 SNPs with risk of progression to CLL using a case-control study of 1,911 CLL cases and 1,579 individuals with MBL from Mayo Clinic. Individuals with MBL were identified through screening using 8-color flow cytometry assay. Individuals with LC MBL (defined by having a clonal B-cell population with the percent clonal B-cells out of total B-cell count <85%) who had an immunophenotype consistent with CLL were included as controls. CLL cases were obtained through the Mayo Clinic hematology practice. DNA was genotyped from whole blood. We analyzed the 41 CLL susceptibility SNPs with risk of progression to CLL using logistic regression and estimated odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), adjusting for sex and age. We evaluated the CLL polygenic risk score (CLL-PRS), comprised of a weighted average of the 41 SNPs, with risk of CLL. Out of the 41 established CLL susceptibility SNPs, 15 were associated with CLL progression from MBL to CLL (all P<0.05). Nine of these 15 significant SNPs were not previously found to be associated with risk of MBL. The most significant SNPs were rs9880772 (OR=1.23, CI: 1.11-1.36, P=6.1 × 10−5), rs888096 (OR=1.25, CI: 1.12-1.38, P=3.0 × 10−5), and rs305065 (OR=1.28, CI: 1.14-1.43, P=1.5 × 10−5). One SNP (rs77551289) had a suggestive association (OR=1.21, P=0.069). The remaining 25 SNPs had no evidence of association with progression (ORs ranging between 0.9-1.1 and all P>0.1). The CLL-PRS was also associated with CLL risk (continuous OR = 1.25, CI: 1.15 - 1.35, P = 6.7 × 10−8). In our study accounting for the presence of B-cell clonal population, we identified 15 out of 41 CLL-susceptibility SNPs to be significantly associated with progression from LC MBL to CLL. The remaining 25 non-significant CLL-SNPs were not associated with progression and may instead be associated with development or initiation of the B-cell clone. These findings suggest that the established CLL susceptibility SNPs may play differing role (i.e., development or progression of the clone) in the etiology of CLL. Citation Format: Raphael Mwangi, Geffen Kleinstern, Sara J. Achenbach, Dennis Robinson, Aaron D. Norman, Kari G. Rabe, Janet E. Olson, Neil E. Kay, Rosalie G. Waller, Nicholas J. Boddicker, James R. Cerhan, Esteban Braggio, Sameer A. Parikh, Curtis A. Hanson, Celine M. Vachon, Tait Shanafelt, Susan L. Slager. Genetic variants associated with progression from monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) to chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 5222.
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