This study aims to automate the prediction of Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores, a widely adopted standard for cognitive assessment in patients with Alzheimer's disease, using natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML) on structured and unstructured EHR data. We extracted demographic data, diagnoses, medications, and unstructured clinical visit notes from the EHRs. We used Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) for topic modeling and Term-Frequency Inverse Document Frequency (TF-IDF) for n-grams. In addition, we extracted meta-features such as age, ethnicity, and race. Model training and evaluation employed eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Stochastic Gradient Descent Regressor (SGDRegressor), and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). We analyzed 1654 clinical visit notes collected between September 2019 and June 2023 for 1000 Alzheimer's disease patients. The average MMSE score was 20, with patients averaging 76.4 years old, 54.7% female, and 54.7% identifying as White. The best-performing model (ie, lowest root mean squared error (RMSE)) is MLP, which achieved an RMSE of 5.53 on the validation set using n-grams, indicating superior prediction performance over other models and feature sets. The RMSE on the test set was 5.85. This study developed a ML method to predict MMSE scores from unstructured clinical notes, demonstrating the feasibility of utilizing NLP to support cognitive assessment. Future work should focus on refining the model and evaluating its clinical relevance across diverse settings. We contributed a model for automating MMSE estimation using EHR features, potentially transforming cognitive assessment for Alzheimer's patients and paving the way for more informed clinical decisions and cohort identification.
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