Average Daily Air Temperature Research Articles

Application of meta-heuristic hybrid models in estimating the average air temperature of Caspian sea coast of Iran

The rise of industrial societies leads to higher greenhouse gas emissions, profoundly affecting the climate in coastal regions. Consequently, air temperature readings from standard meteorological stations are key indicators of the Earth's environmental condition. Therefore, accurate estimation of daily temperature in each region is one of the important prerequisites for agricultural planning as well as water resources management and drought prevention, which can be done in different ways such as experimental, semi-experimental and intelligent models. In this research, WSVR, AIG-SVR, GWO-SVR and BAT-SVR hybrid models were investigated and evaluated in order to estimate the average daily air temperature on the shores of the Caspian Sea located in the north of Iran. For modeling, weather station data from Babolsar meteorological station located in Mazandaran province were used. During the water year from 2012 to 2022, daily parameters including relative humidity, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, and evaporation were selected as network inputs, with the average daily air temperature as the network output. To assess and compare model performances, several criteria were employed including correlation coefficient, root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and percentage bias. Comparative analysis revealed that the WSVR model surpassed other models, demonstrating the highest correlation coefficient (0.992), lowest RMSE (0.096), and lowest MAE (0.042). The highest Nash Sutcliffe criterion (0.996) and bias percentage (0.001) were prioritized in the validation stage.

Construction of a comprehensive meteorological risk index for wheat Fusarium head blight prediction based on more than a half-century of monitoring data.

Fusarium head blight (FHB) represents a critical threat to wheat production globally, not only reducing yields but also contaminating crops with harmful mycotoxins. This study aimed to elucidate new spatiotemporal patterns of FHB incidence and to develop a comprehensive meteorological risk index to enhance scientific prevention and control of the disease. Through the analysis of annual and decadal variations from 1965 to 2023, the study assessed FHB trends across four agricultural regions (I, II, III, and IV) in Jiangsu Province, located in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River-a hotspot for FHB in China. Key findings include: Since 1965, Regions I and III consistently exhibited higher FHB incidence rates compared to Regions II and IV. Post-2000, there was a notable increase in years with high incidence rates, with Region III overtaking Region I as the region with the highest incidence. Since 2010, occurrences of FHB reaching the most severe grade (Grade 5) have surpassed those in previous decades across all regions. The study also revealed a stronger correlation between meteorological factors (cumulative precipitation, number of days with rainfall ≥ 0.1 mm, total rainy days with ≥ 2 and ≥3 consecutive days of rain, total rainy days with both average daily air temperature ≥ 15 °C and daily rainfall ≥ 0.1 mm, days with average daily relative humidity ≥ 85%, cumulative sunshine hours, and cumulative cloudy days) and the FHB incidence rates during the heading-flowering-grain filling period in Regions I, II, and III, compared to the heading-flowering period alone. This indicates that optimal temperature and high humidity during the grain filling stage significantly contribute to the final FHB incidence rates. Despite the less apparent correlation between temperature changes and disease rates, the significant warming trend observed since 2000 has likely fostered conditions conducive to the proliferation of FHB. The comprehensive meteorological risk index, constructed to incorporate key meteorological factors during the heading-flowering-filling period, showed a strong correlation with actual disease incidences. The index demonstrated fitting accuracy rates of 84.7% for Region I, 72.9% for Region II, 83.1% for Region III, and 90.9% for Region IV, underscoring its effectiveness in predicting FHB occurrences. This tool offers both convenience and practicality, providing valuable insights for strategically managing FHB risks based on local weather conditions.

Analysing the influence of temperature dependence of active resistances on transmitted power in electric power systems

Subject of research: in this paper, the static stability of electric power systems is assessed taking into account the temperature dependence of active resistances. Purpose of research: to show how the consideration of the temperature dependence of active resistances will affect the static stability reserves of electric power systems. Methods and objects of research: calculations of the regime with account of influence of thermal processes in elements of power system are made. The main parameter to take into account thermal processes is the ambient air temperature, so the days with maximum and minimum average daily air temperature were determined. All parameters except ambient air temperature and wind speed were selected in such a way as to provide the worst conditions for thermal exchange. The results of the calculations show that taking into account the thermal processes in the elements of the system significantly affects the transmitted power and the reserves of static aperiodic stability in the power system. Main results of research: practical calculations have shown that the account of thermal processes allows to take into account more accurately the limits of the transmitted power through the elements of the power system, and at the same time the reserve coefficients of static stability.

Less power when more is needed. Climate-related current and possible future problems of the wind energy sector in Poland.

Heat waves, combined with an increasing share of weather-dependent renewable energy sources, lead to disruptions in the operation of energy systems. This paper estimates how energy consumption in Poland changed during four heat waves (2010-2022). It also analyzes how often wind conditions may occur in the summer, that interrupt energy production by land-based wind farms. Moreover, authors are looking at future changes of climate indices responsible for increased energy consumption and possible reduction of energy production in wind farms. During the 2010 heatwave, the increase in energy consumption during the hottest days did not exceed 4%. Later summer demand increased; in 2019, it was 8% higher than during the 2015 heatwave. In 2016-2022, energy consumption at the average daily air temperature above 26°C was over 8% higher on working days than at 18°C. Recently, even in regions with favorable wind conditions, the number of summer days with low wind speed (2 ms-1) exceeds 14. For Poland, the number of days with low wind speeds will increase by about ten. Therefore, the increasing demand for energy on hot days, combined with their more frequent occurrence, may have a negative impact on the stability of the energy system in the future.

Study of the feature of the temperature regime of the Mykolaiv and region in the context of the issue of climate change

Climate change is one of the most important and acute environmental problems of our time. It includes a complex of changes, such as rising ambient temperatures, changes in precipitation patterns, rising sea levels, and more frequent extreme weather events. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the average global temperature has risen by about 1.1°C since the late nineteenth century. Projections point to a possible increase of 1.5°C by the middle of this century unless significant measures are taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. On the basis of the above, the paper analyzes trends in changes in atmospheric air temperature on the territory of risky agriculture in the South of Ukraine in the Mykolaiv region.The purpose of the study: to determine and substantiate the regularities of changes in the temperature regime of Mykolaiv and Mykolaiv region in the context of climate change.Research results. The values of temperature characteristics for the year and season in Mykolaiv and Mykolaiv region during 1991−2023 are analyzed. In Mykolaiv, about 60-67 days with a negative average daily air temperature and about 32 days with a negative maximum daily air temperature are recorded. The duration of the period with a negative minimum air temperature can be an average of 93 days per year: 64 in winter, 16 in spring and 14 in autumn. At the same time, on a large territory of the Mykolaiv region, autumn is warmer than spring. The average seasonal air temperature is 10.6°C, the average maximum temperature is 15.4°C, and the average minimum temperature is 6.4°C. In the Northern Black Sea region, both maximum and minimum temperatures in autumn are higher than in spring. The dynamics of changes in average annual temperatures in the city of Mykolaiv in the period from 1980 to 2023 are analyzed. A stable linear trend towards a gradual increase in average annual temperatures has been determined. The warmest year for this observation period is 2023, the coldest are 1985 and 1987. It is determined that the rate of increase in average temperature is 0.61°C for every ten years. Maximum temperatures are increasing at a rate of 0.0884°C per year and minimum temperatures are decreasing at a rate of 0.0136°C per year. Every year, the average annual temperature increases by approximately 0.021°С. The largest number of days accompanied by heat stress (up to 90%) is observed in July – August. Thus, changes in air temperature indicate a significant change in the temperature regime of the entire climate system of the region, and the consequences of climate change may be predominantly negative and will intensify in the future.

Excluding livestock access to farm dams reduces methane emissions and boosts water quality

Farm dams, also known as ‘agricultural ponds’, are ubiquitous features of agricultural landscapes globally. Those accessed by livestock have high methane (CH4) emissions per unit area relative to other freshwater systems. Fencing dams and installing water troughs to prevent livestock from entering the dams are promising strategies to improve water quality and substantially reduce their carbon footprints. However, previous studies only measured the effects of fencing on methane diffusive emissions without considering ebullitive fluxes (i.e., methane bubbles), which is often the dominant emission pathway in smaller water bodies. Also, data is lacking on how the benefits of fencing farm dams vary across seasons. Using Australia as a test case, this study investigates the benefit of fencing off farm dams by monitoring total CH4 (diffusion + ebullition) and carbon dioxide (CO2) in summer and winter. Fenced dams had 72 % lower CH4 emissions in summer and 92 % lower in winter than unfenced dams. Similarly, CO2-equivalent (CO2 + CH4) fluxes were lower in fenced dams by 59 % in summer and 73 % in winter. Fenced dams had higher water quality, with 51 % less total dissolved nitrogen, 57 % less phosphorous, and 23–49 % more dissolved oxygen. Average daily air temperature was a key predictor of CH4 emissions from farm dams, underscoring the importance of considering temporal dynamics for estimating yearly farm dam emissions. We confirmed that excluding livestock from entering farm dams using fences significantly mitigates CH4 emissions and enhances water quality, and these benefits are maintained seasonally.

Recent rapid initiation and growth of retrogressive thaw slumps in the Hoh Xil region of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

With persistent climate warming, a rapid increase in retrogressive thaw slump (RTS) activity has been observed in the permafrost region of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP). However, the initiation and growth dynamics of these RTSs have not yet been fully investigated. In this study, annual RTS observations from 2013 to 2021 within the Hoh Xil region (HXR), based on field investigations and satellite imagery interpretations, are presented. The total number and affected areas of RTSs in the HXR significantly increased during the last 8 years, and such an increase mainly occurred in 2016 when an anomalously high air temperature appeared during the thawing season, which induced the massive occurrence of active layer detachment slides. The mean headwall retreat rate of RTSs in the HXR ranged from 2.4–3.2 m/y from 2013, or their initialization, to 2021, and the highest headwall retreat occurred in the first 2–3 years after RTS initiation. In addition, the headwall retreat rate of RTSs in the study region was significantly affected by the climatic factors, including average daily air temperature, thawing degree days, and cumulative precipitation and also controlled by the ratio of slump floor slope to undisturbed terrain slope, the headwall height, and permafrost conditions. The study’s findings can serve as a reference for hazard mitigation and regional carbon cycle assessment of the QTP.

Вегетационный период сортов яровой мягкой пшеницы разных групп спелости в земледельческих зонах Красноярского края

The purpose of the study is to analyze the effect of cultivation point and meteorological factors on the duration of the growing season of spring wheat varieties of different ripeness groups. We used data from the State Variety Commission of the Krasnoyarsk Region on the yield and duration of the growing season of spring soft wheat varieties for 1999–2020. Statistical data processing was performed for varieties of four ripeness groups: early ripening, mid-early, mid-ripening and mid-late, undergoing variety testing in 6 natural zones of the Krasnoyarsk Region at 10 state variety plots: Zone III (lowland subtaiga, Kazachinsky state cultivating plot), IV (foothill subtaiga, Dzerzhinsky, Sayansky) , V (Kansk-Krasnoyarsk forest-steppe, Sukhobuzimsky, Uyarsky), VI (forest-steppe of the Chulym District, Nazarovsky, Uzhursky), VII (southern forest-steppe, Karatuzsky), VIII (foothill steppe on ordinary and southern chernozems, Krasnoturansky, Minusinsky). A significant range of variability in the studied period between variety plots was revealed for mid-ripening varieties (22 days), early-ripening (20 days), mid-early (17 days), mid-ripening varieties (12 days). A shorter growing season for all ripeness groups is shown by varieties in the Kazachinsky variety plot, a longer one – in the Sayansky and Uyarsky variety plots. A significant amplitude of variability in the duration of the growing season for all ripeness groups is observed in the Nazarovsky, Karatuzsky, and in mid-ripening and mid-late varieties – Uyarsky, Uzhursky, Minusinsky variety plots. The phenotypic varia-bility of the period under study is determined primarily by the contribution of the factor “varietal plots” (34.0–48.1 %) and the interaction “years × varietal plots” (36.0–53.2 %). The variety plots are located in different natural and climatic zones of the region and have their own characteristics according to the complex of natural conditions, which is shown by different correlations between the duration of the growing season and meteorological factors. They differ in variety areas, which represent the natural zones of the region. It has been proven that to form the duration of the growing season of mid-late varieties at the Dzerzhinsky, Sayansky, Uyarsky and Nazarovsky variety plots, average daily air temperatures are more ne¬cessary; Sayansky, Dzerzhinsky, Sukhobuzimsky – precipitation; Sayan, Dzerzhinsky, Sukhobuzimsky, Uyarsky, Nazarovsky, Uzhursky variety plots – relative air humidity than for varieties of other ripeness groups. Reliable correlations between average daily air temperature, precipitation and relative air humidity with the duration of the growing season were obtained for all ripeness groups at the Karatuz and Krasnoturan variety plots.

АНАЛИЗ СРЕДНЕСУТОЧНЫХ ЗНАЧЕНИЙ ТЕМПЕРАТУРЫ И ОСАДКОВ ПО ТЕРРИТОРИИ БЕЛАРУСИ С ПОМОЩЬЮ МЕТОДА КВАНТИЛЬНОЙ РЕГРЕССИИ

Average daily air temperature and daily total precipitation were analyzed using quantile regression. Quantiles corresponding to the selected extremes, i.e., below 0.1 (only for the analysis of air temperature) and above 0.9 were considered. It has been shown for the majority of cases that the spatial distribution of air temperature quantiles is close to the mean for winter and summer seasons. Specific features of temporal changes in the quantiles of air temperature and total precipitation are in line with the modern climate warming. A statistically significant relationship between air temperature and Earth surface characteristics is observed only for quantiles of 0.9 and more. Due to the complexity of the factors responsible for the formation of high-intensity precipitation, there is no clear pattern in the spatial distribution of the quantiles of daily total precipitation. There is statistically significant relationship between daily total precipitation, orography, and forest cover fraction on the territory.

Seasonality of Infections Caused by Respiratory Viruses in Newborns and Their Relation to Meteorological Factors

Objectives − Most viral respiratory tract infections (VRTI) are seasonal diseases and frequently severely affect public health by causing seasonal epidemics and pandemics, also in newborns. The objective of this study was to analyse the relation of meteorological factors to the occurrence of neonatal VRTI and to estimate their predictive role for VRTI seasonality.Patients and methods − The retrospective observational cohort study enrolled 228 newborns (56% male and 29% preterm) aged up to 44 postmenstrual weeks, hospitalized due to acute VRTI between January 2015 and December 2020 in the central Slovenian region. The meteorological data for the same geographical region and time period were assessed, and correlation, multiple regression and cut-off values were analysed. Results − A typical seasonal distribution of VRTI from December to March was observed and the large majority of cases were due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection. Low air temperature, high relative humidity, shorter daily solar radiation and increased cloud cover were associated with an increased risk of neonatal, either RSV or non-RSV VRTI.Conclusions − Meteorological factors, particularly air temperature and relative humidity, were associated with neonatal VRTI occurrence in the temperate climate of central Slovenia. The average daily air temperature below 4.9 and 3.8 °C could predict the onset of the VRTI and RSV VRTI season, respectively. These factors could be used as real-time predictive warning, especially for RSV season onset and the need to begin RSV immunoprophylaxis in vulnerable newborns.

Energy-saving regulation methods and energy consumption characteristics of office air-conditioning loads in hot summer and cold winter areas

The air-conditioning system of an office building may have much higher operational energy consumption than its designed value due to the actual use behavior which significantly deviates from the predicted one. To precisely analyze the actual air-conditioning energy consumption, in this paper, based on the impact of occupant air-conditioning behavior on the energy consumption of air-conditioning systems, a Supply-Side Cooling Load Regulation Method (SSRM) is proposed, and its air-conditioning energy consumption analysis model is established. The energy consumption characteristics of the air-conditioning system under SSRM were analyzed, with the assumption that the example office building is located in a hot summer and cold winter areas. The results indicate that the indoor air conditioning set temperature and the actual fresh air volume are important factors affecting the variation of the air conditioning system cooling load under the Demand-Side Cooling Load Regulation Method (DSRM) method, whereas under SSRM, the air conditioning system cooling load is not affected by the variation of the indoor set temperature and the fresh air volume; meanwhile, regulating human air-conditioning use behaviors is the key point of reducing air-conditioning cooling load. The increasing fresh air volume from 30 m3/(p∙h) to 90 m3/(p∙h) can result in about a 5°C increase in the average daily indoor air temperature in the rooms used by SSRM, and it also causes an increase in the total air-conditioning load in the rooms under DSRM by more than 45 kWh/day. Further, compared to the DSRM, the SSRM can well regulate occupant air-conditioning use behaviors, which reduces energy consumption by more than 35% in the summer.

Change and influence of agroclimatic conditions on oat yield in Yakutia

The results of the dynamics analysis of multi-year meteorological indicators and study of their influence on the yield of the released oat varieties in different agroclimatic zones of Yakutia are presented. It is shown that in the period from 1960 to 2021 the mean annual air temperature in Central Yakutia (Pokrovsk meteorological station) increased annually by 0.045 °C, from 1999 to 2021 – by 0.088 °C, the number of dry years in June increased from 67 to 92% due to a 21% increase in years with medium (HTC = 0.41-0.60) and very strong (HTC < 0.21) drought. In July, drought was recorded in 50% of the years, in August – in 38%. In all agroclimatic zones in the period from 2014 to 2021 for June – August the average daily air temperature annually increased by 0.16...0.34 °С and their sum by 14...28 °С, with precipitation decreasing by 3-16 mm and HTC value by 0.04-0.12 units. Climate change from 2014 to 2021 was 3 to 8 times more intense than from 1999 to 2022. There was a strong variability of yields of the released oat varieties in each agroclimatic zone: Central – from 0.38 to 2.14 t/ha (V = 60–73%), Zarechnaya – from 0.31 to 3.55 t/ha (V = 41–49%), Srednelenskaya – from 1.51 to 4.66 t/ha (V = 30–36%). The greatest annual decrease in grain yield of oat varieties (by 0.25–0.26 t/ha) was observed in arid agroclimatic zones – Central (Yakutsk SCTS) and Zarechnaya (Megino-Kangalassky SCTS) – compared to the wetter Srednelenskaya zone (Olyokminsky SCTS – by 0.10 t/ha). More significant influence on the yield in the Central and Zarechnaya zones was made by precipitation and HTC of the growing season (r = 0.77...0.84), in the Srednelenskaya zone – by temperature (r = – 0.79). Negative effect of temperature on the yield in the Central zone was observed in June (r = – 0.83), Zarechnaya zone - in July (r = – 0.83), in the Srednelenskaya zone – in August (r = –0.86). Precipitation and HTC had the greatest influence on the yield in the Central zone in June and July (r = 0.56...0.59), Zarechnaya zone – July and August (r = 0.60...0.76). In the Srednelenskaya zone the relationship of the yield with precipitation and HTC in June and July was positive (r = 0.23...0.37), in August – negative (r = – 0.57...– 0.71). Significant variability in grain yields of the released oat varieties indicates the variability of weather conditions and the need to cultivate oat varieties that provide a more stable yield in different agroclimatic zones of Yakutia.

Physical and mechanical properties of grain of spring barley varieties in the conditions of Tatarstan

The aim of the work is to analyze the physical and mechanical properties of grain of spring barley varieties cultivated in the conditions of the Predkamsk zone of the Republic of Tatarstan. The research was conducted in Tatarsky Research Institute of Agriculture FRC of Kazan Research Center RAS in 2015–2022. In the conditions of the Predkamsk zone, on average over the years of research, the late maturing variety Endan was characterized by reliably high values of 1000 grain weight (48.5 g), the early maturing variety Kamashevsky – reliably high values of natural grain weight (686, 3 g/l), convergence from 2.8 x 20 mm sieve (33.9 %) and coarseness (70.02 %), medium maturing variety Raushan – higher variability in 1000 grain weight (18.6 %), convergence from 2.8 and 2.5 x 20 mm sieves (55.6 and 29.7 %, respectively) and coarseness (39.5 %). The direct dependence of the mass of 1000 grains, runoff from the sieve 2.8 x 20 mm and coarseness on the sum of precipitation (r = 0.41/0.58/0.56, respectively), GTC (r = 0.40/0.58/0.55, respectively) and inverse dependence of these physical and mechanical properties on the average daily air temperature (r = -0.51/-0.62/-0.63, respectively) of the interphase period "earing-full ripeness" were established at 1% significance level. Judging by the value of the coefficient of determination (r2), the most closely related to the average daily air temperature are the signs "mass of 1000 grains", "drift from the sieve 2.8 x 20 mm" and "coarseness". The analysis of path coefficients revealed a high direct positive contribution (0.87) of 2.8 x 20 mm sieve runoff and an average direct positive contribution (0.43) of 2.5 x 20 mm sieve runoff to grain yield. Under the conditions of the Predkamsk zone, the prevailing contribution to the total variance of the traits "drift from the sieve 2.8 x 20 mm", "coarseness", "weight of 1000 grains", "bulk grain weight", "drift from the sieve 2.5 x 20 mm" was made by the factor "year", which accounted for (in descending order) 81.7...80.3...76.6...76.2. 68.7 %, respectively.

УРОЖАЙНОСТЬ СРЕДНЕСПЕЛЫХ СОРТОВ ЯРОВОЙ МЯГКОЙ ПШЕНИЦЫ В РАЗЛИЧНЫХ ПРИРОДНО-КЛИМАТИЧЕСКИХ ЗОНАХ КРАСНОЯРСКОГО КРАЯ

The objective of the study is to investigate the yield of mid-season varieties for the period 1999–2000 in different natural and climatic zones of the Krasnoyarsk Region, to identify its relationship with meteorological factors. The yield of 44 mid-season varieties of spring soft wheat was analyzed for the period 1999–2020 on variety plots of the Krasnoyarsk Region in 6 natural and climatic zones: III – lowland sub-taiga (Kazachinsky variety plot), IV – foothill sub-taiga (Dzerzhinsky, Sayansky), V – Kansk-Krasnoyarsk forest-steppe (Sukhobuzimsky, Uyarsky), VI – Prichulymye forest-steppe (Nazarovsky, Uzhursky), VII – southern forest-steppe (Karatuzsky), VIII – foothill steppe on ordinary and southern chernozems (Minusinsky, Krasnoturansky). Only in zone VI, over this period of years, a trend of yield growth was noted from 3.83 (1999–2003) to 4.30 t/ha (2016–2020). Yield fluctuations in the study period were observed in the Kansk-Krasnoyarsk forest-steppe (zone V), with a sharp increase in 2016–2020 (4.80 t/ha) from 2.38 t/ha (2013–2015). The increase in yield here can be explained by the cultivation of intensive varieties in compliance with all technology elements. Instability of yield without a significant increase is typical of the foothill subtaiga (zone IV). Yield growth occurred in natural zone III (lowland subtaiga) from 2008–2012 to 2016–2020 from 1.25 to 2.22 t/ha. Natural zones make the greatest contribution to yield variability – 59.0–74.8 %, while the “years” factor is much less – 1.0–15.0 % and the “genotype” factor is 1.5–5.8 %. A correlation between yield and plant height (r = 0.462–0.552), and 1000-grain weight (r = 0.435–0.650) (Kazachinsky, Karatuzsky, Nazarovsky, Sukhobuzimsky, Uyarsky) was revealed on many variety plots of the region (Kazachinsky, Sayansky, Karatuzsky, Minusinsky, Uzhursky, Sukhobuzimsky). An unequal dependence of the yield of the studied variety plots by ten-day period of the vegetation period on the average daily air temperature, precipitation amount, and relative air humidity was revealed.

Heat and cold waves on the Crimean Peninsula and their impact on population health

BACKGROUND: Climate change has a significant impact on the population health including morbidity and mortality. The studies presented in this paper present characteristics of heat and cold waves on the Crimean Peninsula.
 AIM: To assess the heat and cold wave characteristics, identify differences in the wave characteristics depending on the coastal and mainland location of climatotherapeutic centers on the Crimean Peninsula.
 MATERIAL AND METHODS: In our research we used standard statistical data treatment methods. Moreover, data visualization techniques allowed identifying zones of maximum temperature values. Heat and cold waves were defined using the 3rd and the 97th percentiles of the average daily air temperatures. This approach allows considering the intensity and duration of the events under study. Measurements of the surface air temperature included eight observations per day at 19 stations on the Crimean Peninsula for the period from 2006 to 2021. Distribution of the permanently residing population in the Crimea and the city of Sevastopol by age and gender was analyzed using the Rosstat data.
 RESULTS: As many as 43.5% of the population of the Crimean Peninsula have increased risk of exposure to extreme air temperatures. Having applied the threshold values of the 3rd and the 97th percentiles of the temperature, we identified the periods of heat and cold waves at each station. Even though the Crimean Peninsula has a warm and humid climate, 1 to 4 cold and heat waves have been observed at each station per year. At the same time, the total intensity of cold waves was more than twice the total intensity of heat waves.
 CONCLUSION: The presented assessment of heat and cold wave characteristics on the Crimean Peninsula, using 3% and 97% percentiles of the distribution of the average daily air temperature over several years, provides the evidence for developing the measures to reduce the negative impact of extreme temperatures on human health on the Crimean Peninsula.

Sap Yield and Sugar Content of Boxelder and Norway Maple Trees in Northern Utah

Maple syrup is a well-known natural sweetener made from the sap harvested from maple trees (Acer sp.). The North American scientific literature regarding maple syrup has predominantly originated in the Northeastern United States and Canada. However, the range of this Holarctic genus extends across the continent and all species produce sap with the potential for syrup production. This study focuses on two maple species commonly found in Northern Utah, namely the native boxelder (Acer negundo) and the introduced Norway maple (Acer platanoides). Thirty trees of each species were tapped in Cache Valley, UT, USA, on 19 Feb 2022, and measured for daily sap yield and sugar content until the season ended 37 days later on 27 Mar 2022. The same trees were re-tapped on 1 Mar 2023 and taps were removed 41 days later on 10 Apr 2023. Average 2022 sap yields were 22.1 L for boxelder and 7.5 L for Norway maple per tree. In 2023, average sap yields were 26.4 L for boxelder and 9.3 L for Norway maple per tree. Boxelder trees produced an average sap yield more than double that of Norway maple in both years. Sugar content was similar for both species ranging from 2.2% to 2.8%. Air temperatures were analyzed using data from Utah AgWeather System weather stations nearest to the trees, and air temperature had a significant impact on sap yield. It was found that an average daily air temperature of 0.5 °C and a daily air temperature difference of ∼10 °C with a minimum air temperature close to −5 °C and a maximum air temperature of ∼6 °C was the optimal condition for production. An analysis of the mineral nutrient concentrations in the sap and soil showed no correlation. These findings indicate that there is potential for using Utah’s maple species for syrup production.

Assessment of Changes in Agroclimatic Resources of the Republic of Bashkortostan (Russia) under the Context of Global Warming

The process of climate warming significantly affects agroclimatic resources and agricultural production. We study the agroclimatic resources and their variability on the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan (Russia). The Bashkortostan has a high agricultural potential and holds a leading position in the country in the production of grain crops, potatoes, milk, and honey. Currently, no detailed studies have been conducted for this area to assess the effects of global climate change on agro-climatic resources. World experience shows such research becomes strategically important for regions with powerful agricultural production. We used the sums of average daily air temperatures above 0 and 10 °C, the G.T. Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient, and the Ped aridity (humidification) index as agroclimatic indicators. We used data of long-term meteorological observations of 30 meteorological stations for the period of 1961–2020. We revealed the long-term dynamics of the agroclimatic indicators and the spatial and temporal regularities in their distribution on the territory of Bashkortostan. There is a steady increase in the sums of average daily air temperatures above 0 and 10 °C. Against this background, aridity increases, which is especially manifested in the southern parts of the Republic of Bashkortostan. We assessed the impact of agroclimatic indicators on the main types of agricultural crops in the republic. We revealed that the greatest positive impact on the yield of oilseeds, cereals, and industrial crops is made by precipitation at the beginning (r = 0.50, r = 0.44, and r = 0.52, respectively) and in the middle of the growing season (r = 0.55, r = 0.76, and r = 0.51, respectively). Temperature and precipitation during the growing season have a complex effect on cereals. This is proven by correlations with HCS and the Ped index (r = 0.45 and r = −0.56, respectively). Aridity at the beginning of the growing season affects the yield of oilseeds and potatoes. This is confirmed by correlations with the Ped index (r = −0.49 and r = −0.52, respectively). In general, the aridity of the growing season has a significant impact on the yield of cereals (r = −0.57). Negative relationships have been found between the air temperature growing season and the yield of potatoes (r = −0.50) and cereals (r = −0.53). The results of the study were compared with data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service database. We identified climate trends under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5 scenarios. These scenarios should be taken into account when developing plans for the adaptation of agriculture in the Republic of Bashkortostan to changes in the regional climate. Maximum decrease in precipitation is established for the RCP 6.0 scenario. This can have an extremely negative impact on crop yields. This problem is especially relevant for the southern part of the Republic of Bashkortostan. The information presented in the study will allow for a more effective adaptation of the agricultural sector to current and future climate changes.

АГРОКЛИМАТИЧЕСКИЕ РЕСУРСЫ ФОРМИРОВАНИЯ КАЧЕСТВА ЗЕРНА ЯРОВОЙ ПШЕНИЦЫ В РЕСПУБЛИКЕ БАШКОРТОСТАН

The results of the study of the dependence of the grain quality of soft spring wheat (Tríticum aestívum L.) on the main agroclimatic resources in the territory of the Republic of Bashkortostan are presented. Field experiments were carried out in different geographical locations of the republic according to the methodology of the State Variety Trial. Laboratory analyses of grain quality were carried out according to the methodology set forth in the State Standards. It has been established that the quality of soft spring wheat grain in the Republic of Bashkortostan largely depends on agroclimatic resources. In recent years, there has been a manifestation of global climate change on the territory of the republic. The amount of gluten in the grain depends to a large extent on the change in the average daily air temperature in June (r = 0.741) and to a slight extent on the average daily temperature in July (r = 0.359). The degree of dependence of gluten content increases significantly with an increase in the sum of air temperatures during the active vegetation of spring wheat (r = 0.812). The dependence of gluten content on the sum of temperatures in June and July is straightforward, and an increase in heat resources during the vegetation period of spring wheat plants by 10 °C contributes to an increase in the gluten content in grain by 0.73 %. Heat resources have a comparatively weak effect on other indicators of wheat grain quality. The correlation coefficient between gluten content and precipitation in July was 0.764. An increase in precipitation in July by 10 mm leads to a decrease in the gluten content in the grain of spring soft wheat by 0.49 %. High moisture availability also leads to the formation of soft spring wheat grain with low vitreousness (r = –0.547) and natural weight (r = –0.521). Moisture resources had a small effect on the gluten deformation index (r = 0.227). Precipitation in June has a weak effect on the quality indicators of spring soft wheat grain. The correlation coefficients between the sum of precipitation in June and the quality indicators were positive and ranged from 0.223 to 0.341

Особенности концентраций аэроаллергенов в городах и влияние на них температуры воздуха

Aim: to examine the content of plant pollen and fungal spores in the air of Karakol city (Kyrgyz Republic) during the seasons from 2015 to 2017. Materials and Methods: in the course of the aerobiological study, samples containing bioparticles (plant pollen and fungal spores) were collected from the air. The samples were identified to the genus or family level, or, in some cases, to the species level, and quantified by visual counting in the field of view of a microscope. A Lanzoni volumetric pollen and spore trap was placed on the roof of a building within the city borders (Karakol) at a height of 13 m above ground level, away from park areas and industrial enterprises. A total of 630 atmospheric air samples were collected from April to September in 2015-2017. Results: the taxa Artemisia spp., Poaceae, Chenopodiaceae, and Pinus spp. exhibited the greatest abundance in the aerobiological spectrum of Karakol. Among the fungi, Alternaria, Cladosporium, and Fusarium were the most prevalent. The majority of fungal spores (60–76%) were observed during the period from June to August. The absolute maximum of pollen in the air coincided with high temperature values in the area. The highest concentrations of Artemisia pollen were observed from mid to late July, which corresponded to an increase in the average daily air temperature over the study seasons. The highest Artemisia pollen content in the air (61–72%) for the study seasons was observed in Karakol at air temperatures ranging from 28.3 to 33.4°C. High temperatures contribute to the release of spores into the atmosphere. It can be observed that allergenic species of fungi are accumulated in urban environments rather than in natural areas. Conclusion: the quantitative and qualitative profile of pollen from the dominant species of allergenic plants and fungal spores in the air environment of Karakol city was determined in order to contribute to the study of the aerobiological situation. It is important to determine the impact of meteorological factors on the concentration of plant pollen and fungal spores. This will allow for the prediction of the behavior of aeroallergens in a changing climate. KEYWORDS: plant pollen, fungal spores, aerobiological monitoring, climate change, air temperature, biological air particles, aeroallergens. FOR CITATION: Osmonbaeva K.B., Churyukina E.V., Dzhambekova G.S., Nazarova E.V. Aeroallergen concentrations in urban areas and the effect of air temperature. Russian Medical Inquiry. 2024;8(3):124–131 (in Russ.). DOI: 10.32364/2587-6821-2024-8-3-2.

The influence of changes in agrometeorological conditions on the interphase periods of Hordeum vulgare l. sensulat and its productivity in the center of the European part of Russia

The studies were conducted in 2006-2022. in the Ryazan branch of the Federal State Budgetary Institution FNATS VIM. The object of research was released varieties and promising lines of Hordeum vulgare L. Sensulato. The purpose of the research is to establish the influence of changing weather conditions on the development phases and productivity of Hordeum vulgare L. Sensulato in the center of the European part of Russia. It was established that in the region there was an increase in the average daily air temperature during the growing season from 16.3 to 20.9°C (4.6°C/17 years, CV = 4.7%). The length of the growing season is closely related to the conditions of the hydrothermal regime of the year (r=+0.507...+0.508). The data obtained revealed a negative effect of the sum of air temperatures on the yield in the sprouting-tillering phase r = - 0.364, but the correlation with the amount of precipitation in this period was r = + 0.331, HTCM r = + 0.300. A closer relationship between the yield and the amount of precipitation (r=+0.308) and the hydrothermal coefficient (r=+0.337) is manifested in the interphase period of tillering and heading. The duration of the interphase period of germination-tillering has an average direct relationship with the HTC (r = +0.361) and a high inverse relationship with the sum of temperatures (r = -0.804), a similar picture is observed in the interphase period of earing-filling (r = +0.320 and r = -0.813 , respectively). The decisive weather factors that determine the size of the harvest and the duration of interphase periods of Hordeum vulgare L. Sensulato in the conditions of the Ryazan region are precipitation and thermal conditions from the second decade of May to the second decade of July.