Attributable Risk Percent Research Articles

Global Burden of Disease Ecological Data Analysis of Noncommunicable Disease Early Deaths in the World's Highest Animal Food Consuming 1 Billion People to Derive a Multiple Regression Risk Factor Formula with Coefficients Equated to Population Attributable Risk Percents

Global Burden of Disease Ecological Data Analysis of Noncommunicable Disease Early Deaths in the World's Highest Animal Food Consuming 1 Billion People to Derive a Multiple Regression Risk Factor Formula with Coefficients Equated to Population Attributable Risk Percents

Early pregnancy hyperglycaemia as a significant predictor of large for gestational age neonates

AimsWe aimed to determine the effect of early pregnancy hyperglycaemia on having a large for gestational age (LGA) neonate.MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted among pregnant women in their first trimester. One-step plasma glucose (PG) evaluation procedure was performed to assess gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and diabetes mellitus (DM) in pregnancy as defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria with International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group (IADPSG) thresholds. The main outcome studied was large for gestational age neonates (LGA).ResultsA total of 2,709 participants were recruited with a mean age of 28 years (SD = 5.4) and a median gestational age (GA) of eight weeks (interquartile range [IQR] = 2). The prevalence of GDM in first trimester (T1) was 15.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 13.7–16.4). Previously undiagnosed DM was detected among 2.5% of the participants. Out of 2,285 live births with a median delivery GA of 38 weeks (IQR = 3), 7.0% were LGA neonates. The cumulative incidence of LGA neonates in women with GDM and DM was 11.1 and 15.5 per 100 women, respectively. The relative risk of having an LGA neonate among women with DM and GDM was 2.30 (95% CI = 1.23–4.28) and 1.80 (95% CI = 1.27–2.53), respectively. The attributable risk percentage of a LGA neonate for hyperglycaemia was 15.01%. T1 fasting PG was significantly correlated with both neonatal birth weight and birth weight centile.ConclusionsThe proposed WHO criteria for hyperglycaemia in pregnancy are valid, even in T1, for predicting LGA neonates. The use of IADPSG threshold for Fasting PG, for risk assessment in early pregnancy in high-risk populations is recommended.

Clinical factors associated with positive corneal culture in suspected microbial keratitis

AimsDetermine demographic and clinical characteristics associated with positive culture in suspected microbial keratitis. MethodsRetrospective audit of patients that had corneal scrapings between October 1999-September 2004 at Princess Alexandra Hospital. Clinical information was gathered from medical records, smear and culture results from the local microbiology database. Univariate and multivariate analyses of variables associated with positive cultures and calculation of population attributable risk percentage (PAR). ResultsUnivariate analysis showed that positive cultures were associated with patients over 60 years (81% vs 55%; p < 0.001), presenting visual acuity (VA) of 6/24 or worse (74% vs 57%; p = 0.012) or contact lens-related keratitis (CLK 77% vs 62%; p = 0.08). Analysis of patients’ clinical presentation showed that positive culture was associated with a central epithelial defect (74% vs 57%; p = 0.012), anterior chamber reaction of 2 + cells or worse (73% vs 56%; p = 0.03), an epithelial defect of 2 mm or more in diameter (71% vs 50%; p = 0.006) or no prior treatment with antibiotics (68% vs 56%; p = 0.053). Multivariate analysis showed the independent variables associated with positive cultures were VA of 6/24 or worse on presentation, contact lens-related keratitis, age greater than 60 years, an anterior chamber reaction of 2 + cells or worse and no prior treatment with antibiotics. The factor with the highest attributable risk (PAR%) for a positive corneal scraping was VA of 6/24 or worse on presentation (21%). ConclusionsIn this series positive cultures were associated with poor presenting VA contact lens keratitis (CLK), older age, anterior chamber reaction and no prior treatment with antibiotics.

Diabetes Status Modifies the Association Between Different Measures of Obesity and Heart Failure Risk Among Older Adults: A Pooled Analysis of Community-Based NHLBI Cohorts.

Obesity and diabetes are associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). The interrelationships between different measures of adiposity-overall obesity, central obesity, fat mass (FM)-and diabetes status for HF risk are not well-established. Participant-level data from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities; visit 5) and the CHS (Cardiovascular Health Study; visit 1) cohorts were obtained from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Biologic Specimen and Data Repository Information Coordinating Center, harmonized, and pooled for the present analysis, excluding individuals with prevalent HF. FM was estimated in all participants using established anthropometric prediction equations additionally validated using the bioelectrical impedance-based FM in the ARIC subgroup. Incident HF events on follow-up were captured across both cohorts using similar adjudication methods. Multivariable-adjusted Fine-Gray models were created to evaluate the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and FM with risk of HF in the overall cohort as well as among those with versus without diabetes at baseline. The population attributable risk of overall obesity (BMI≥30 kg/m2), abdominal obesity (WC>88 and 102 cm in women and men, respectively), and high FM (above sex-specific median) for incident HF was evaluated among participants with and without diabetes. The study included 10 387 participants (52.9% ARIC; 25.1% diabetes; median age, 74 years). The correlation between predicted and bioelectrical impedance-based FM was high (R2=0.90; n=5038). During a 5-year follow-up, 447 participants developed HF (4.3%). Higher levels of each adiposity measure were significantly associated with higher HF risk (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.15 [1.05, 1.27], WC=1.22 [1.10, 1.36]; FM=1.13 [1.02, 1.25]). A significant interaction was noted between diabetes status and measures of BMI (P interaction=0.04) and WC (P interaction=0.004) for the risk of HF. In stratified analysis, higher measures of each adiposity parameter were significantly associated with higher HF risk in individuals with diabetes (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 1 SD higher BMI=1.29 [1.14-1.47]; WC=1.48 [1.29-1.70]; FM=1.25 [1.09-1.43]) but not those without diabetes, including participants with prediabetes and euglycemia. The population attributable risk percentage of overall obesity, abdominal obesity, and high FM for incident HF was higher among participants with diabetes (12.8%, 29.9%, and 13.7%, respectively) versus those without diabetes (≤1% for each). Higher BMI, WC, and FM are strongly associated with greater risk of HF among older adults, particularly among those with prevalent diabetes.

Population Attributable Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Associated with not Meeting Physical Activity Guidelines in Montana Adults

Background: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is the number 1 cause of death in United States (U.S.) with stroke also a leading killer at number 5. Aside from decreased quality of life and increased years of potential life lost (YPLL), cardiovascular disease (CVD) has a major impact on health care costs. While many CVD events can be prevented by adopting a healthy lifestyle, data quantifying this are sparse. The aim of this study was to assess the proportion of CVD cases that can be attributed to not meeting physical activity (PA) guidelines in a specific adult population. Methods: The Montana Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS, 2019) was used for this study. A dichotomous PA variable was created indicating whether or not a participant met current PA guidelines. Seven other healthy lifestyle variables were created and included smoking, alcohol consumption, overweight status, vegetable consumption, fruit consumption, and, health coverage. Three different outcome variables were used and included CHD, stroke, and CVD (CHD or stroke). Logistic regression was used to examine the relationship between PA and each CVD outcome while controlling for healthy lifestyle factors and sociodemographic variables. Population attributable risk (PAR) percentages were computed substituting PA odds ratio (OR) values into Levin's formula. Results: Prevalence of reported CHD, stroke, and CVD were 6.7%, 3.1%, and 8.7%, respectively. Additionally, prevalence of each CVD outcome was significantly (ps Conclusion: This study found that after controlling for several healthy lifestyle factors, not meeting PA guidelines independently contributes to a sizable number of CVD cases in Montana. Health promotion programming leaders should use such PAR statistics to drive the needs assessment process and plan for PA interventions.

Arrest and non-fatal suicide attempts among men: analysis of survey data from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health

BackgroundStudies have found an association between recent arrest and suicide attempts, but the population-level significance of this link has not been reported. We estimated the population attributable risk percent (PAR%) of self-reported non-fatal suicide attempts based on recent arrest in a national sample of adult men.MethodsThis study included men aged ≥18 who completed the 2008–2019 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health. The outcome measure was any non-fatal suicide attempts in the past year. The primary independent variable was any arrest in the past year. Major depression and substance use disorders were also included as independent variables for comparison. Descriptive statistics and multivariate logistic regression with postestimation marginal effects ascertained the PAR% of non-fatal suicide attempts for arrest, major depression, and substance use disorders, while controlling for sociodemographic covariates. All analyses applied survey weights. We disaggregated analyses by race/ethnicity.ResultsIn the sample of 220,261 men, arrest accounted for 8.9% (99% CI 5.1 to 12.6%, p < 0.001) of non-fatal suicide attempts, while major depression accounted for 40.3% (99% CI 35.0 to 45.1%. p < 0.001) and substance use disorders for 24.1% (99% CI 17.6 to 30.2%, p < 0.001). After disaggregating by race/ethnicity, arrest accounted for 9.5% (99% CI 4.5 to 14.3%, p < 0.001) of suicide attempts among Non-Hispanic White men and fell short of statistical significance for Non-Hispanic Black men (10.2, 99% CI − 3.0 to 21.6%, p = 0.043) and Hispanic men (8.1, 99% CI − 0.5 to 15.9%, p = 0.016).ConclusionsArrest accounted for nearly one in eleven non-fatal suicide attempts in a national sample of American men, which is by extension about 50,000 suicide attempts per year. Results were similar for Non-Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic Black, and Hispanic men, although there were differences in prevalence of arrest and suicide attempts. Unlike major depression, arrest is an easily identifiable event, and the period after arrest might provide an opportunity to support mental health and coping.

Cardiovascular disease prevention: Risk factor modification at the heart of the matter

Cardiovascular disease prevention: Risk factor modification at the heart of the matter

Age dependent association between remnant cholesterol and cardiovascular disease

Background and aimsHigh remnant cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), but whether CVD risk attributable to remnant cholesterol vary between young and later adults remains unknown. The study aimed to assess age differences in the association between remnant cholesterol and CVD. MethodsThis prospective study included 95 663 participants without CVD and lipid-lowering treatment at baseline, including 16 254 young adults (age 18–39 years) and 79 409 later adults (age ≥40 years). Individuals were grouped by clinically meaningful remnant cholesterol concentrations of <0.50, 0.50–0.99, 1.00–1.49, and ≥1.50 mmol/L. Multivariable Cox regressions were performed to calculate hazard ratio (HR). ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 11.01 years, 164 incident CVD were identified in young adults, and 6081 cases in later adults. After multivariate adjustment, the association between remnant cholesterol and CVD was more pronounced in young adults than later adults (P for interaction=0.0019), the HR was 2.24 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45–3.47) for young individuals with remnant cholesterol ≥1.50 mmol/L, compared to individuals with remnant cholesterol <0.50 mmol/L, while the corresponding HR was 1.21 (95% CI, 1.13–1.29) for later adults. Furthermore, the population attributable risk percentage for remnant cholesterol < 1.50 vs ≥ 1.50 mmol/L was also higher in young (14.8%) than later adults (4.2%). ConclusionsDespite a lower incidence risk of CVD among young adults compared later adults, the stronger association and greater attributable risk of remnant cholesterol among young adults highlight the importance of preventive efforts across the adult life course.

Risk factors of in-stent restenosis among coronary artery disease patients with syphilis undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: a retrospective study

BackgroundThe risk factors of in-stent restenosis (ISR) among coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with syphilis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are not fully understood. Therefore, this study aimed to elucidate not only the risk factors of ISR among CAD patients with syphilis after performing PCI, but also the population attributable risk percentage (PAR%), which is used to quantify the proportion of ISR that could be eliminated if particular risk factors are not present.MethodsEvaluation of the prevalence, risk factors, and their PAR% for ISR among CAD patients with syphilis undergoing PCI was conducted retrospectively at Beijing Ditan Hospital. CAD patients with syphilis underwent PCI from August 2010 to August 2019 and received a diagnosis, coronary angiography, PCI, and periodical follow-up. The clinical, laboratory, and imaging data were reviewed and summarised anonymously from electronic medical records. The chi-square or Fisher exact test was used in data analysis.ResultsAmong 114 CAD patients with syphilis undergoing PCI, ISR occurred in 18 patients (15.78%). The multivariate Cox regression model indicated that average stent length ≥ 35 mm (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 4.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.30–15.44, p = 0.018) and titres of the toluidine red unheated serum test (TRUST) > 1:16 (adjusted HR = 3.72, 95% CI = 1.22–11.36, p = 0.021) were associated with an increased risk of ISR, while successful antisyphilitic treatment (adjusted HR = 0.12, 95% CI = 0.02–0.95, p = 0.045) was protective predictor of ISR among these patients. The PAR% values of particular risk factors associated with ISR including average stent length ≥ 35 mm, titres of TRUST > 1:16, and successful antisyphilitic treatment were 12.2%, 24.0%, and -39.6%, respectively, among these patients.ConclusionsPreventing the occurrence of ISR among CAD patients with syphilis undergoing PCI requires clinical intervention. Our results indicated that carefully evaluating the length of the vessel lesion to determine whether the stent length is < 35 mm, prioritising the clinical intervention for titres of TRUST > 1:16, and providing successful antisyphilitic treatment could reduce the risk of ISR occurrence.

Urine Albumin-Creatinine ratio is associated with prognosis in patients with diabetic foot osteomyelitis

AimsWe aimed to explore the association between albuminuria and clinical outcomes in patients with diabetic foot osteomyelitis (DFO). MethodsThis is an observational retrospective study and a total of 202 inpatients with DFO were eligible for inclusion in our study. Based on urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR), the patients were divided into three groups: normoalbuminuria group, microalbuminuria group and macroalbuminuria group. The data collected include demographics data, laboratory data, clinical diagnostic data, diabetic foot examination and clinical visit data. The association was then evaluated between albuminuria and all-cause mortality, major cardiovascular adverse events (MACE) and mixed endpoint events. ResultsThe mean age was 60.3 years, 62.9% were male and 45.05% were urinary protein-positive. The incidence rates of all-cause mortality, MACE and mixed endpoint events related to elevated UACR were significantly increased in patients with DFO (all P for trend < 0.01). After adjusting for confounders, compared with normoalbuminuria group, the risk of all-cause mortality, MACE and mixed endpoint events in the microalbuminuria group increased by 81.8%, 135.4% and 136.4%, respectively. The risk of all-cause mortality, MACE and mixed endpoint events in the macroalbuminuria group increased by 246.2%, 145.1% and 252.3%, respectively. The population attributable risk percentage (PAR%) suggested that 50.16% of all-cause mortality, 47.85% of MACE and 59.11% of mixed endpoint events could be attributed to the elevated UACR. Meanwhile, compared with normoalbuminuria, those with microalbuminuria or macroalbuminuria have lower apoA1 and ABI, higher SCr and higher incidence rate of CHD, hindfoot infection and severe infection (all P < 0.05). ConclusionsIn patients with DFO, the UACR level is associated with all-cause mortality, MACE and mixed endpoint events and elevated UACR levels increase the risk of all-cause mortality, MACE and mixed endpoint events.

Identification and epidemiological evaluation of gastric cancer risk factors: based on a field synopsis and meta-analysis in Chinese population.

To summarize and assess the credibility and strength of non-genetic factors and genetic variation on gastric cancer risk, we performed a field synopsis and meta-analysis to identify the risk of gastric cancer in Chinese population. Cumulative evidence was graded according to the Venice criteria, and attributable risk percentage (ARP) and population attributable risk percentage (PARP) were used to evaluate the epidemiological effect. A total of 956 studies included non-genetic (404 studies) and genetic factors (552 studies) were quantified, and data on 1161 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were available. We identified 14 non-genetic factors were significantly associated with gastric cancer risk. For the analysis of time trends, H. pylori infection rate in gastric cancer and population showed a downward trend. Meanwhile 22 variants were identified significantly associated with gastric cancer: 3 (PLCE1 rs2274223, PSCA rs2976392, MUC1 rs4072037) were high and 19 SNPs were intermediate level of summary evidence, respectively. For non-genetic factors, the top three for ARP were 54.75% (pickled food), 65.87% (stomach disease), and 49.75% (smoked and frying). For PARP were 34.22% (pickled food), 34.24% (edible hot food) and 23.66%(H. pylori infection). On the basis of ARP and PARP associated with SNPs of gastric cancer, the top three for ARP were 53.91% (NAT2, rs1799929),53.05% (NAT2 phenotype), and 42.85% (IL-10, rs1800896). For PARP (Chinese Han in Beijing) were 36.96% (VDR, rs731236), 25.58% (TGFBR2, rs3773651) and 20.56% (MUC1, rs4072037). Our study identified non-genetic risk factors and high-quality biomarkers of gastric cancer susceptibility and their contribution to gastric cancer.

Ethnic and Racial Variation in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Risk Factors and Risk Factor Burden

Black and Hispanic individuals have an increased risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) compared with their White counterparts, but no large studies of ICH have been conducted in these disproportionately affected populations. To examine the prevalence, odds, and population attributable risk (PAR) percentage for established and novel risk factors for ICH, stratified by ICH location and racial/ethnic group. The Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Study was a case-control study of ICH among 3000 Black, Hispanic, and White individuals who experienced spontaneous ICH (1000 cases in each group). Recruitment was conducted between September 2009 and July 2016 at 19 US sites comprising 42 hospitals. Control participants were identified through random digit dialing and were matched to case participants by age (±5 years), sex, race/ethnicity, and geographic area. Data analyses were conducted from January 2019 to May 2020. Case and control participants underwent a standardized interview, physical measurement for body mass index, and genotyping for the ɛ2 and ɛ4 alleles of APOE, the gene encoding apolipoprotein E. Prevalence, multivariable adjusted odds ratio (OR), and PAR percentage were calculated for each risk factor in the entire ICH population and stratified by racial/ethnic group and by lobar or nonlobar location. There were 1000 Black patients (median [interquartile range (IQR)] age, 57 [50-65] years, 425 [42.5%] women), 1000 Hispanic patients (median [IQR] age, 58 [49-69] years; 373 [37.3%] women), and 1000 White patients (median [IQR] age, 71 [59-80] years; 437 [43.7%] women). The mean (SD) age of patients with ICH was significantly lower among Black and Hispanic patients compared with White patients (eg, lobar ICH: Black, 62.2 [15.2] years; Hispanic, 62.5 [15.7] years; White, 71.0 [13.3] years). More than half of all ICH in Black and Hispanic patients was associated with treated or untreated hypertension (PAR for treated hypertension, Black patients: 53.6%; 95% CI, 46.4%-59.8%; Hispanic patients: 46.5%; 95% CI, 40.6%-51.8%; untreated hypertension, Black patients: 45.5%; 95% CI, 39.%-51.1%; Hispanic patients: 42.7%; 95% CI, 37.6%-47.3%). Lack of health insurance also had a disproportionate association with the PAR percentage for ICH in Black and Hispanic patients (Black patients: 21.7%; 95% CI, 17.5%-25.7%; Hispanic patients: 30.2%; 95% CI, 26.1%-34.1%; White patients: 5.8%; 95% CI, 3.3%-8.2%). A high sleep apnea risk score was associated with both lobar (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.36-2.06) and nonlobar (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.37-1.91) ICH, and high cholesterol was inversely associated only with nonlobar ICH (OR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52-0.70); both had no interactions with race and ethnicity. In contrast to the association between the ɛ2 and ɛ4 alleles of APOE and ICH in White individuals (eg, presence of APOE ɛ2 allele: OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.34-2.52), APOE alleles were not associated with lobar ICH among Black or Hispanic individuals. This study found sleep apnea as a novel risk factor for ICH. The results suggest a strong contribution from inadequately treated hypertension and lack of health insurance to the disproportionate burden and earlier onset of ICH in Black and Hispanic populations. These findings emphasize the importance of addressing modifiable risk factors and the social determinants of health to reduce health disparities.

Associations Between Sleep Quality and Health Span: A Prospective Cohort Study Based on 328,850 UK Biobank Participants.

ObjectiveTo examine the associations between sleep quality and health span using a prospective cohort design based on the UK Biobank (UKB).Materials and MethodsThis longitudinal cohort study enrolled 328,850 participants aged between 37 and 73 years from UKB to examine the associations between sleep quality and risk of terminated health span. End of health span was defined by eight events strongly associated with longevity (cancer, death, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, stroke, dementia, and diabetes), and a sleep score was generated according to five sleep behavioral factors (sleep duration, chronotype, sleeplessness, daytime sleepiness, and snoring) to characterize sleep quality. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model. Moreover, we calculated population attributable risk percentage (PAR%) to reflect the public health significance of healthy sleep quality.ResultsCompared with poor sleep quality, participants with healthy sleep quality had a 15% (HR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81–0.88) reduced risk of terminated health span, and those of less-healthy sleep quality had a 12% (HR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.85–0.92) reduced risk. Linear trend results indicated that the risk of terminated health span decreased by 4% for every additional sleep score. Nearly 15% health span termination events in this cohort would have been prevented if a healthy sleep behavior pattern was adhered to (PAR%: 15.30, 95% CI: 12.58–17.93).ConclusionHealthy sleep quality was associated with a reduced risk of premature end of health span, suggesting healthy sleep behavior may extend health span. However, further studies are suggested for confirmation of causality and potential mechanism.

Delayed Initiation of Breastfeeding and Role of Mode and Place of Childbirth: Evidence from Health Surveys in 58 Low- and Middle- Income Countries (2012–2017)

Background: Timely initiation of breastfeeding is the first step towards achieving recommended breastfeeding behaviours. Delayed breastfeeding initiation harms neonatal health and survival, including infection associated neonatal mortality. Eighty percent of neonatal deaths occur in the low-and middle-income countries (LMICs), where delayed breastfeeding initiation is the highest. Place and mode of childbirth are important factors determining the time of initiation of breastfeeding. In this study, we report the prevalence of delayed breastfeeding initiation from 58 LMICs and investigate the relationship between place and mode of childbirth and delayed breastfeeding initiation in each country. Methods: We analysed data from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) collected between 2012 and 2017 and reported by 2019. The study sample comprised all women who had a live birth in the 24 months preceding the survey. ‘Delayed’ initiation of breastfeeding was defined using WHO recommendations as starting breastfeeding after one hour of birth. We coded the stratifying variable for the place and mode of childbirth as “vaginal birth at a facility (VBF)”, “caesarean section birth (CSB) “, and “vaginal birth at home (VBH)”. We used respondent-level sampling weights to account for individual surveys and de-normalised the standard survey weights to ensure the appropriate contribution of data from each country. We report the prevalence and population attributable fractions with robust standard errors. The population attributable risk identifies the proportion of delayed initiation that we could avert among VBH and CSB if everyone had the same risk of delaying breastfeeding as in VBF. Results: The overall prevalence of delayed initiation of breastfeeding was 53.8% (95% CI 53.3, 54.3), ranging from 15.0% (95% CI 13.8, 16.2) in Burundi to 83.4% (95% CI 80.6, 86.0) in Guinea. The prevalence of delayed initiation of breastfeeding was consistently high among women who experienced caesarean section births; however, there was no direct association with each country’s national caesarean section rates. The prevalence of delayed initiation among women who experienced VBF was high in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, even though the CSB rates were low. In some countries, women who give birth vaginally in health facilities were more likely to delay breastfeeding initiation than women who did not. In many places, women who give birth by caesarean section were less likely to delay breastfeeding initiation. Population attributable risk percent for VBH ranged from −28.5% in Ukraine to 22.9% in Moldova, and for CSB, from 10.3% in Guinea to 54.8% in Burundi. On average, across all 58 countries, 24.4% of delayed initiation could be prevented if all women had the same risk of delaying breastfeeding initiation as in VBF. Discussion: In general, women who give birth in a health facility were less likely to experience delayed initiation of breastfeeding. Programs could avert much of the delayed breastfeeding initiation in LMICs if the prevalence of delayed initiation amongst women who experience CSB were the same as amongst women who experience VBF. Crucial reforms of health facilities are required to ensure early breastfeeding practices and to create pro-breastfeeding supportive environments as recommended in intervention packages like the Baby-friendly hospital initiative and Early essential newborn care. The findings from this study will guide program managers to identify countries at varying levels of preparedness to establish and maintain a breastfeeding-friendly environment at health facilities. Thus, governments should prioritise intervention strategies to improve coverage and settings surrounding early initiation of breastfeeding while considering the complex role of place and mode of childbirth.

PDB14 Obesity and Their Comorbidities in Chile: An Open Database Analysis to Solve Local Gaps in Clinical Inputs for Economic Evaluations.

Obesity is a prevalent disease in Chile. The National Health Survey (NHS) presents general prevalence by disease, but not the association between diseases and Body Mass Index (BMI). The conditional prevalence of BMI for cardiovascular, kidney, and liver diseases and their attributable risk percent (AR%) were estimated to obtain local clinical inputs for economic evaluations. The NHS database was expanded to 14.519.582 observations, using the multiplicative inverse for the general probability of selecting a person-k in a dwelling-j in the i-th block of a commune-c of a stratum-h. The general prevalence of each nutritional status, comorbidities conditional to BMI and their AR% are estimated utilizing STATA IC 14.2 and R.STUDIO. Results are presented by disease and nutritional status subgroups. The estimated prevalence for normal weight (NW), overweight (OW), grade I obesity (GIO) and grade 2 obesity (GIIO) were 24.35% (3,519,797), 39.83% (5,757,986), 23.39% (3,381,767) and 7.9% (1,142,556), respectively. For high blood pressure (HBP) prevalence was 11.5% (NW), 25% (OW), 29.6% (GIO), and 47% (GIIO). For type II diabetes (T2D), the prevalence by NW was 4.6%, 9.3% for OW, 14.2% for GIO, and 23% for GIIO. For chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence was 1.53% (NW), 1.52% (OW), 1.49% (GIO), and 2.98% (GIIO). The prevalence of cholelithiasis by NW was 11.45%, 25.11% (OW), 32.07% (GIO), and 36% (GIIO). For HBP, an AR% of 69.64% is obtained for GIIO (p-value<0.001). For GIIO, an AR% of 52.21% was calculated for acute myocardial infarction (p-value=0.001). In T2D, an AR% of 74.89% is obtained for GIIO (p-value<0.001). For cholelithiasis, an AR% of 54.97% (p-value<0.001), and 43.19% is obtained in the same subgroup (GIIO) for CDK (p-value=0.084). The AR% demonstrates the higher the BMI, the higher comorbidities. This database's statistical analysis provides new metadata for conducting local economic modeling by solving the gap of clinical inputs.

Risk factors for lactation mastitis in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Lactation mastitis (LM) affects approximately 3% to 33% of postpartum women and the risk factors of LM have been extensively studied. However, some results in the literature reports are still not conclusive due to the complexity of LM etiology and variation in the populations. To provide nationally representative evidence of the well-accepted risk factors for LM in China, this study was aimed to systematically summary the risk factors for LM among Chinese women and to determine the effect size of individual risk factor. Six major Chinses and English electronic literature databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wan fang Database and China Science Technology Journal Database) were searched from their inception to December 5st, 2020. Two authors extracted data and assessed the quality of included trials, independently. The strength of the association was summarized using the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The population attributable risk (PAR) percent was calculated for significant risk factors. Fourteen studies involving 8032 participants were included. A total of 18 potential risk factors were eventually evaluated. Significant risk factors for LM included improper milking method (OR 6.79, 95%CI 3.45-13.34; PAR 59.14%), repeated milk stasis (OR 6.23, 95%CI 4.17-9.30; PAR 49.75%), the first six months postpartum (OR 5.11, 95%CI 2.66-9.82; PAR 65.93%), postpartum rest time less than 3 months (OR 4.71, 95%CI 3.92-5.65; PAR 56.95%), abnormal nipple or crater nipple (OR 3.94, 95%CI 2.34-6.63; PAR 42.05%), breast trauma (OR 3.07, 95%CI 2.17-4.33; PAR 15.98%), improper breastfeeding posture (OR 2.47, 95%CI 2.09-2.92; PAR 26.52%), postpartum prone sleeping position (OR 2.46, 95%CI 1.58-3.84; PAR 17.42%), little or no nipple cleaning (OR 2.05, 95%CI 1.58-2.65; PAR 24.73%), primipara (OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.25-2.41; PAR 32.62%), low education level (OR 1.63, 95%CI 1.09-2.43; PAR 23.29%), cesarean section (OR 1.51, 95%CI 1.26-1.81; PAR 18.61%), breast massage experience of non-medical staff (OR 1.51, 95%CI 1.25-1.82; PAR 15.31%) and postpartum mood disorders (OR 1.47, 95%CI 1.06-2.02; PAR 21.27%). This review specified several important risk factors for LM in China. In particular, the incidence of LM can be reduced by controlling some of the modifiable risk factors such as improper breastfeeding posture, improper milking method, repeated milk stasis, nipple cleaning, breast massage experience of non-medical staff and postpartum sleeping posture.

Investigation of the relationships between sleep behaviors and risk of healthspan termination: a prospective cohort study based on 323,373 UK-Biobank participants.

To examine the associations between four sleep behaviors and the risk of healthspan termination. This study included 323,373 participants, free of terminated healthspan at baseline, from the UK-Biobank (UKB). We applied multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models to estimate the risk of terminated healthspan based on four sleep behaviors (insomnia/sleeplessness, napping, daytime sleepiness, and difficultygetting up from bed), which were self-reported and measured on Likert scales from "usually" to "never/rarely" experiences. In this study, healthspan was defined based on eight events that are strongly associated with longevity (congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, stroke, dementia, diabetes, cancer, and death). Participants who reported the following unhealthy sleep behaviors had a significantly higher risk of terminated healthspan: "usually experience sleeplessness/insomnia" (HR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03-1.07; P < 0.001); "usually nap" (HR = 1.22, 95% CI: 1.18-1.26; P < 0.01); "excessive daytime sleepiness" (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.19-1.32; P < 0.001); and "difficult getting up from bed" (HR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10; P < 0.001). The corresponding population attributable risk percentage (PAR%) indicated that about 7% of healthspan termination in this cohort would have been eliminated if all participants had healthy sleep behaviors. Participants who reported "usually experience sleeplessness/insomnia," "usually nap," "excessive daytime sleepiness," and "difficult getting up from bed" had increased risk of shortened healthspan. Therefore, adherence to healthy sleep behavior is significant for the extension of healthspan.

Variant of SNPs at lncRNA NEAT1 contributes to gastric cancer susceptibility in Chinese Han population.

The long noncoding RNA (lncRNA) nuclear-enriched abundant transcript 1 (NEAT1) has been implicated in many tumors risk including gastric cancer. However, the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at NEAT1 with gastric cancer risk has not been studied. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between SNPs in NEAT1 and gastric cancer susceptibility. In this study, four SNPs in lncRNA NEAT1 were selected for genotyping in 484 gastric cancer patients and 484 controls in Chinese Han population. Quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) was conducted to evaluate the potential function of rs3825071. Attributable risk percentage (ARP) and population attributable risk percentage (PARP) were used to assess the epidemiological effect. In the dominant model (GG), the genotypes AG + AA of rs3825071 and rs7943779 were associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer (OR = 1.72, 95%CI = 1.27-2.32 and OR = 1.63, 95%CI = 1.19-2.22). Individuals harboring ≥ 3 risk alleles have higher risk of gastric cancer (OR = 1.88, 95% CI = 1.26-2.80, P = 0.002). ARP and PARP associated with gastric cancer were 42.53% and 10.88% for rs3825071, and were 33.78% and 6.26% for rs7943779, respectively. Furthermore, compared with the genotype GG of rs3825071, the genotypes AG and AA had higher expression of NEAT1. We found that the genetic variations in NEAT1 were significantly associated with risk of gastric cancer. The G > A variant of rs3825071 may confer gastric cancer susceptibility by changed biological effects to increase the expression of NEAT1.

Depression and the occurrence of gastric cancer: a meta-analysis based on their relationship and epidemiological evaluation

To explore the epidemiological impact of depression on the occurrence of gastric cancer. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted and the quality of involved studies were evaluated according to the Newcastle–Ottawa scale. The association between depression and the occurrence of gastric cancer is measured by calculating the combined odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). The epidemiological effect of depression was estimated by attributable risk percentage (ARP) and population attributable risk percentage (PARP). Combined with 24 eligible studies, the risk of gastric cancer in patients with depression is 1.84 times higher than that in normal people (95%CI:1.61–2.09). The corresponding results of ARP and PARP were 45.65% and 5.86% of total meta-analysis, respectively. There is a positive correlation between depression and the occurrence of gastric cancer, which may be a risk factor for gastric cancer occurrence. Our results indicated that the discovery and treatment of depression was important for the prevention of gastric cancer from an epidemiological perspective.

The impact of child psychiatric conditions on future educational outcomes among a community cohort in Brazil.

Mental health problems early in life can negatively impact educational attainment, which in turn have negative long-term effects on health, social and economic opportunities. Our aims were to: (i) estimate the impacts of different types of psychiatric conditions on educational outcomes and (ii) to estimate the proportion of adverse educational outcomes which can be attributed to psychiatric conditions. Participants (N = 2511) were from a school-based community cohort of Brazilian children and adolescents aged 6-14 years enriched for high family risk of psychiatric conditions. We examined the impact of fear- (panic, separation and social anxiety disorder, specific phobia, agoraphobia and anxiety conditions not otherwise specified), distress- (generalised anxiety disorder, major depressive disorder and depressive disorder not otherwise specified, bipolar, obsessive-compulsive, tic, eating and post-traumatic stress disorder) and externalising-related conditions (attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder, conduct and oppositional-defiant conditions) on grade repetition, dropout, age-grade distortion, literacy performance and bullying perpetration, 3 years later. Psychiatric conditions were ascertained by psychiatrists, using the Development and Well-Being Behaviour Assessment. Propensity score and inverse probability weighting were used to adjust for potential confounders, including comorbidity, and sample attrition. We calculated the population attributable risk percentages to estimate the proportion of adverse educational outcomes in the population which could be attributed to psychiatric conditions. Analyses were conducted separately for males and females. Fear and distress conditions in males were associated with school dropout (odds ratio (OR) = 2.76; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.06, 7.22; p < 0.05) and grade repetition (OR = 2.76; 95% CI = 1.32, 5.78; p < 0.01), respectively. Externalising conditions were associated with grade repetition in males (OR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.05, 2.64; p < 0.05) and females (OR = 2.03; 95% CI = 1.15, 3.58; p < 0.05), as well as age-grade distortion in males (OR = 1.66; 95% CI = 1.05, 2.62; p < 0.05) and females (OR = 2.88; 95% CI = 1.61, 5.14; p < 0.001). Externalising conditions were also associated with lower literacy levels (β = -0.23; 95% CI = -0.34, -0.12; p < 0.001) and bullying perpetration (OR = 3.12; 95% CI = 1.50, 6.51; p < 0.001) in females. If all externalising conditions were prevented or treated, we estimate that 5.0 and 4.8% of grade repetition would not have occurred in females and males, respectively, as well as 10.2 (females) and 5.3% (males) of age-grade distortion cases and 11.4% of female bullying perpetration. The study provides evidence of the negative impact of psychiatric conditions on educational outcomes in a large Brazilian cohort. Externalising conditions had the broadest and most robust negative impacts on education and these were particularly harmful to females which are likely to limit future socio-economic opportunities.