Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone Research Articles

Characteristics of convection and advection associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

Characteristics of convection and advection associated with the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

Identification of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone based on tropical easterly and subtropical westerly jets during active and break phases

AbstractThe Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) plays a vital role in the transport and redistribution of the tracers in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere during transient monsoon conditions. The ASMA can be identified using various diagnostics such as winds and divergence, potential vorticity, the Montgomery stream function or geopotential height. Its representation based on the commonly‐used existing method that takes a climatological range of the geopotential height (GPH) at a given pressure level is not robust and fails in several circumstances. In this study, we propose a new GPH method to define the ASMA for the active and break phases of the monsoon based on the GPH values at the tropical easterly jet (TEJ) and subtropical westerly jet (STJ) locations. The proposed method compares the GPH values at the locations corresponding to the wind speed maxima of TEJ and STJ at 100 hPa with the maximum GPH at 100 hPa and selects the one with the minimum difference to define the ASMA extent. The same procedures were applied to obtain the ASMA extent at 150 hPa. The ASMA extents are obtained using the method proposed here and the existing fixed GPH method for the 30 active and 27 break phases from 2005 to 2023. The fixed GPH method provides a larger ASMA extent for 24 active and 21 break phases, which appears to be an unrealistic estimation compared to the proposed method. Our proposed method identifies the ASMA extent that is larger and centred around the Iranian side during the active phases while it is smaller and centred around the Tibetan side during the break phases. Furthermore, the minimum concentration of ozone (O3), and maximum concentrations of carbon monoxide (CO) and water vapour (H2O) are also found to be centred near the Iranian side during the active phases and on the Tibetan side during the break phases. The tracer concentrations are generally higher for CO, H2O and O3 during the active phase than in the break phase. Tracer concentrations within the ASMA extent using the fixed GPH method are higher for O3 while lesser for CO and H2O when compared to the proposed method.

Impact of ENSO on the UTLS chemical composition in the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

The changes in the convection and background dynamics over the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) are mainly responsible for the changes in the concentrations of the tropospheric pollutants within the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA). In this study, we have investigated the structural and chemical composition changes of the ASMA during different El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions by making use of reanalysis products and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) satellite observations. Our analysis mainly concentrates on the July and August months of 2015 (El Niño) and 2022 (La Niña), which are the cold (Nino Index 3.4 exceeding −0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) and warm (Nino Index exceeding +0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) phase of the ENSO. The ASMA structure during different phases of the ENSO is found to be different when compared with the long-term (2005–2023) mean. The ASMA is found to have a larger zonal extent during La Niña (2022), extending from 20° to 140° E compared to El Niño (2015), which is from 20° to 100–105°E. A significant decrease (increase) in the concentration of the tropospheric species (CO and WV) is noticed within the ASMA in El Niño (La Niña). The decrease in the tropospheric species is clearly evident throughout the upper troposphere. The northeastern edge of the ASMA at 100 hPa and 150 hPa showed quite distinct behaviour with an enhancement (reduction) in the tropospheric species during La Niña (El Niño). Interestingly, there is an increase in O3 concentrations over the northeastern edge of ASMA during 2015, which is attributed to the stratospheric intrusion. Our results also revealed the enhancement of the tropospheric species over the western Pacific region during 2015 but not in 2022. Current findings highlight dynamic shifts linked to varying ENSO phases, leading to notable alterations in both the ASMA structure and Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) chemical composition.

Long range transport of South and East Asian anthropogenic aerosols counteracting Arctic warming

The large-scale convection during the Asian summer monsoon plays an important role in the rapid transport of boundary layer aerosols into the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone. Here, using the state-of-the-art ECHAM6–HAMMOZ aerosol-chemistry-climate model, we show that these aerosols are further transported to the Arctic along isentropic surfaces by the Brewer-Dobson-Circulation (BDC) during the monsoon season. Our model simulations show that East and South Asian anthropogenic emissions contribute significantly to the aerosol transported to the Arctic, which causes a higher negative net aerosol radiative forcing at the surface (dimming) of −0.09 ± 0.02 Wm−2 and −0.07 ± 0.02 Wm−2, respectively. Over the Arctic, the East Asian anthropogenic aerosols that include large amounts of sulfate cause a seasonal mean net radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) of −0.003 ± 0.001Wm−2 and a surface cooling of −0.56 K while the black carbon dominated aerosol from South Asia shows a positive TOA forcing of +0.004 ± 0.001Wm−2 with an only minor surface cooling of −0.043 K. Overall, the long-range transport of South Asian aerosols results in a notably warming throughout the atmospheric column but minimal temperature response at the Arctic surface. Conversely, East Asian aerosols cool the troposphere and heat the lower stratosphere in the Arctic. The Asian aerosol thus plays an ambivalent role, with the East Asian sources in particular having the potential to counteract the rapid rise in Arctic temperatures and the associated melting of snow and ice.

AirCore Observations at Northern Tibetan Plateau During the Asian Summer Monsoon

AbstractWe present data and analysis of a set of balloon‐borne sounding profiles, which includes co‐located O3, CO, CH4, and particles, over the northern Tibetan Plateau during an Asian summer monsoon (ASM) season. These novel measurements shed light on the ASM transport behavior near the northern edge of the anticyclone. Joint analyses of these species with the temperature and wind profiles and supported by back trajectory modeling identify three distinct transport processes that dominate the vertical chemical structure in the middle troposphere, upper troposphere (UT), and the tropopause region. The correlated changes in profile structures in the middle troposphere highlight the influence of the strong westerly jet. Elevated constituent concentrations in the UT identify the main level of convective transport at the upstream source regions. Observed higher altitude maxima for CH4 characterize the airmasses' continued ascent following convection. These data complement constituent observations from other parts of the ASM anticyclone.

New evidence for CH4 enhancement in the upper troposphere associated with the Asian summer monsoon

The Asian summer monsoon (ASM) region is a key region transporting air to the upper troposphere (UT), significantly influencing the distribution and concentration of trace gases, including methane (CH4), an important greenhouse gas. We investigate the seasonal enhancement of CH4 in the UT over the ASM region, utilizing retrievals from the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), model simulations and in-situ measurements. Both the AIRS data and model simulation reveal a substantial enhancement in CH4 concentrations within the active monsoon region of up to 3%, referring to the zonal means, and of up to 6% relative to the pre-monsoon season. Notably, the spatial distribution of the CH4 plume demonstrates a southwestward shift in the AIRS retrievals, in contrast to the model simulations, which predict a broader enhancement, including a significant increase to the east. A cross-comparison with in-situ measurements, including AirCore measurements over the Tibetan Plateau and airline sampling across the ASM anticyclone (ASMA), favors the enhancement represented by model simulation. Remarkable CH4 enhancement over the west Pacific is also evidenced by in-situ data and simulation as a dynamical extension of the ASMA. Our findings underscore the necessity for cautious interpretation of satellite-derived CH4 distributions, and highlight the critical role of in-situ data in anchoring the assimilation of CH4.

The dehydration carousel of stratospheric water vapor in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone

Abstract. During the StratoClim Geophysica campaign, air with total water mixing ratios up to 200 ppmv and ozone up to 250 ppbv was observed within the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone up to 1.7 km above the local cold-point tropopause (CPT). To investigate the temporal evolution of enhanced water vapor being transported into the stratosphere, we conduct forward trajectory simulations using both a microphysical and an idealized freeze-drying model. The models are initialized at the measurement locations and the evolution of water vapor and ice is compared with satellite observations of MLS and CALIPSO. Our results show that these extremely high water vapor values observed above the CPT are very likely to undergo significant further freeze-drying due to experiencing extremely cold temperatures while circulating in the anticyclonic “dehydration carousel”. We also use the Lagrangian dry point (LDP) of the merged back-and-forward trajectories to reconstruct the water vapor fields. The results show that the extremely high water vapor mixed with the stratospheric air has a negligible impact on the overall water vapor budget. The LDP mixing ratios are a better proxy for the large-scale water vapor distributions in the stratosphere during this period.

Global Climate Impacts of Land‐Surface and Atmospheric Processes Over the Tibetan Plateau

AbstractThe Tibetan Plateau (TP) impacts local and remote atmospheric circulations, wherein it mechanically and thermally affects air masses or airflows. Moreover, the TP provides a key channel for substance transport between the troposphere and the stratosphere. This study reviews recent advances in research regarding land–atmosphere coupling processes over the TP. The TP experiences climate warming and wetting. Climate warming has caused glacier retreat, permafrost degradation, and a general increase in vegetation density, while climate wetting has led to a significant increase in the number of major lakes, primarily through increased precipitation. Local and regional climates are affected by interactions between the land and the atmosphere. Namely, the TP drives surface pollutants to the upper troposphere in an Asian summer monsoon (ASM) anticyclone circulation, before spreading to the lower stratosphere. Further, the thermal forcing of the TP plays an essential role in the ASM. TP forcing can modulate hemispheric‐scale atmospheric circulations across all seasons. The TP interacts with remote oceans through a forced atmospheric response and is substantially affected by the evolution of the Earth's climate via promoting Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and eliminating Pacific meridional overturning circulation. The extensive influence of the TP is facilitated by its coupling with the ASM in the summer; whereas its winter influence on climate mainly occurs through Rossby waves. The observed increasing trends of temperature and precipitation over the TP are projected to continue throughout the 21st century.

Role of deep convection on the spatial asymmetry of the UTLS aerosols in the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone region

In this study, we described the spatial asymmetry of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA) circulation using Geopotential Height (GPH) values and divided ASMA into North-West (NW: 32.5°–37.5° N, 40°-70°E), North-East (NE: 32.5°–37.5° N, 70°-100°E), South-West (SW: 27.5°–32.5° N, 40°-70°E) and South-East (SE: 27.5°–32.5° N, 70°-100°E) regions. We provided the spatial asymmetry in the aerosol distribution using the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) (2006–2020) measurements. The vertical distribution of aerosols has been investigated over these regions dividing the atmosphere into (1) Boundary Layer-BL (0–1.5 km), (2) Mid-Troposphere-MT (∼1.5–8 km) and (3) Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere -UTLS (∼8–18 km). Highest aerosol extinction values are noticed in the MT and their contribution to the total Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is highest (∼50–80%). The contribution of UTLS aerosols to the total AOD is ∼10% particularly in the eastern part (NE/SE) of the ASMA. The enhancement of aerosols throughout the upper troposphere over the eastern regions (SE/NE) of ASMA, indicates the possible transport of boundary layer pollutants to the UTLS. Using cloud fraction measurements from CloudSat and Pressure vertical velocity (ω), we identified that the intense convection over Bay of Bengal (BoB) is responsible for the UTLS aerosols over the SE region of ASMA. The descending limb of the monsoon-induced circulation over the western region of ASMA (Arabian Peninsula and other Middle Eastern countries) is the possible causative mechanism for the removal of aerosols in the upper troposphere. These findings on the spatial asymmetry in the aerosol distribution over the ASMA are expected to provide the importance of the regional radiative forcing and their climatic impacts.

The influence of the Asian summer monsoon on volcanic aerosol transport in the UTLS region

This study analyses the influence of the Asian summer monsoon on volcanic aerosol transport. Realistic, altitude-resolved SO2 emissions of a middle-latitude volcanic eruption (Sarychev 2009) and a tropical volcanic eruption (Nabro 2011) were retrieved and used to initialize the simulations of the long-range transport and dispersion of the sulfate aerosol plumes. The barrier effect of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) isolated the Sarychev eruption plume outside of the ASMA but constrained the Nabro eruption plume inside of the ASMA, which is most evident in the UTLS region between isotropic surfaces of 360–420 K. Meanwhile, the ASMA could transport a fraction of the plume outside of ASMA quasi-horizontally to the tropical tropopause layer along the southeastern periphery of the anticyclonic circulation, and lift the volcanic plume inside the ASMA anticyclonically across the tropopause with an ascent rate of approximately 0.8 K/day. By enhancing the meridional transport in the UTLS region and lifting volcanic aerosols across the tropopause, the ASMA significantly expanded the potential effects of volcanic eruptions.

NOx‐Induced Changes in Upper Tropospheric O3 During the Asian Summer Monsoon in Present‐Day and Future Climate

AbstractThe upper tropospheric ozone (O3) strongly influences the atmosphere's radiative budget. Using the Aerosol and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project simulations, we study the influence of present‐day and future anthropogenic nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions on the upper tropospheric O3 concentrations over India during the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). We observe that the upper tropospheric O3 concentrations increased 1.5 times over the ASM anticyclone region during the ASM due to higher NOx emissions in 2014 compared to 1850, and their transport due to convection. These NOx‐induced O3 changes exert a regional positive radiative forcing of 0.6 Wm−2 at the top of the atmosphere. The upper tropospheric O3 increases in the future with increasing NOx emissions. However, air quality policies to reduce surface NOx emissions also reduce the upper tropospheric O3 over India during the ASM.

Spatiotemporal Distribution of CO in the UTLS Region in the Asian Summer Monsoon Season: Analysis of MLS Observations and CMIP6 Simulations

In this study, CO is used as a tracer to evaluate the chemical field related to the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) region simulated by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate models from a multi-spatiotemporal perspective. The results show that the simulations of the six selected CMIP6 global climate models are well correlated with the MLS observations, while each model has its own advantages and disadvantages in the simulation of the ASMA and related chemical and geopotential height fields. Compared with MLS data, all six CMIP6 models can reasonably simulate the high CO values and the corresponding anticyclone, although certain biases exist in the simulations. Each model output has certain degrees of deviation in the simulation of the ASMA center position. In terms of time series, the six CMIP6 global models all exhibit an interannual variation CO mixing ratio over the ASM region while the interannual variation features are different from that in MLS. In general, it is impossible to identify a single determined model that can well reproduce the observations. In future work to assess the development trend and location of the ASMA, simulations of CESM2-WACCM and GFDL-ESM4 might be used due to their better performance than other models.

Recent Trends in Transport of Surface Carbonaceous Aerosols to the Upper‐Troposphere‐Lower‐Stratosphere Linked to Expansion of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

AbstractUsing Modern‐Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications Version‐2 (MERRA‐2) re‐analyses, we have examined recent trends (2000–2019) in transport of surface carbonaceous aerosols (CAs), that is, organic carbon and black carbon, to the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) during the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). We find a significant increased concentration of UTLS CA, linked to a linear trend in an expansion of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA). Over core monsoon latitudes (25°–35°N), the trends in UTLS CA are enabled by increased upward transport from surface sources via an intensified monsoon meridional circulation, with increased latent heating over the southern Tibetan Plateau and foothill regions, enhanced by feedback processes associated with radiative heating by UTLS CA. In the extra‐tropics, increased UTLS CA stems primarily from an extended source of increased wildfire emissions over eastern Siberia and northern Asia, coincident with a large‐scale anomalous anticyclone with enhanced surface warming and drying near (80°–120°E, 55°–70°N). Here, CAs are transported upward from the surface to the ULS, likely by increased pyro‐convection associated with enhanced wildfires, and enter the tropical UTLS via increased equatorward transport on the eastern flanks of anomalous upper‐level anticyclones, coupled to the expanded ASMA. Overall, the increasing UTLS CA trends associated with expansion of the ASMA are consistent with a hydrostatic expansion of a warming troposphere, reflected in a rise in the tropical tropopause and consequential dynamical adjustments of the ASM subtropical jetstream, modulating the climate of the greater ASM region.

Impact of typhoon Soudelor on ozone and water vapor in the Asian monsoon anticyclone western Pacific mode

AbstractOzonesonde measurements from Hong Kong and Naha are combined with satellite observations to investigate the vertical structure of ozone and water vapor around the tropopause during typhoon Soudelor over the northwestern Pacific in 2015. The results show that the tropopause height is decreased compared to the mean tropopause during 2000–2017 in the western Pacific mode of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA). The vertical transport associated with Soudelor decreases the ozone concentration by 60% in the upper troposphere. Further the equatorward transport from high latitudes around the western Pacific mode of the ASMA increases ozone concentration by 40% in the lower stratosphere. Cross‐tropopause transport of water is observed above typhoon Soudelor, and water vapor to be enhanced at 80–100 hPa compared to nontyphoon regions. Dehydration is observed below the tropopause around the eye of Soudelor.

Tropopause-Level NOx in the Asian Summer Monsoon.

Deep convection within the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) transports surface level air into the upper troposphere‐lower stratosphere (UTLS). This work aims to understand the distribution of NO2, NO, and NOx in the UTLS ASM anticyclone from satellite measurements. Observations of NO2 from the Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System, the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment ‐ Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE‐FTS), and the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment III on the International Space Station are considered. The PRATMO photochemical box model is used to quantify the NOx photochemistry, and to derive the NOx concentration using OSIRIS NO2 and O3 observations. The satellite data show a relative minimum in NO2 over the ASM in the summer months, while the corresponding NO and NOx anomalies are elevated, mainly due to low O3 and cold temperatures within the ASM. The observations within the ASM show reasonable agreement to simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model.

Optical Turbulence Characteristics in the Upper Troposphere–Lower Stratosphere over the Lhasa within the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

The high elevation, complex topography, and unique atmospheric circulations of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) make its optical turbulence characteristics different from those in low-elevation regions. In this study, the characteristics of the atmospheric refractive index structure constant (Cn2) profiles in the Lhasa area at different strength states of the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) are analyzed based on precious in situ sounding data measured over the Lhasa in August 2018. Cn2 in the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere fluctuates significantly within a few days during the ASMA, particularly in the upper troposphere. The effect of the ASMA on Cn2 varies among the upper troposphere, tropopause, and lower stratosphere. The stronger and closer the ASMA is to Lhasa, the more pronounced is the “upper highs and lower lows” pressure field structure, which is beneficial for decreasing the potential temperature lapse rate. The decrease in static stability is an important condition for developing optical turbulence, elevating the tropopause height, and reducing the tropopause temperature. However, if strong high-pressure activity occurs at the lower pressure layer, such as at 500 hPa, an “upper highs and lower highs” pressure field structure forms over the Lhasa, increasing the potential temperature lapse rate and suppressing the convective intensity. Being almost unaffected by low-level atmospheric high-pressure activities, the ASMA, as the main influencing factor, mainly inhibits Cn2 in the tropopause and lower stratosphere. The variations of turbulence intensity in UTLS caused by ASMA activities also have a great influence on astronomical parameters, which will have certain guiding significance for astronomical site testing and observations.

Contributions of Various Sources to the Higher-Concentration Center of CO within the ASM Anticyclone Based on GEOS-Chem Simulations

Satellite observations show that carbon monoxide (CO) concentration centers exist in the tropopause region of the Tibetan Plateau, while their sources and formation mechanism still remain uncertain. In this paper, the 3-D chemical transport model GEOS-Chem is used to conduct sensitivity analysis in 2016. Combined with the analysis data and satellite data, the contribution of three important emission sources (South Asia, East Asia and Southeast Asia) and two important chemical reaction species (CH4 and nonmethane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs)) to CO in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) are studied. The results show that in the Asian monsoon region CO emissions originating from the surface are transported to the upper troposphere via a deep convection process and then enter the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) anticyclone. The strong ASM anticyclone isolates the mixing process of air inside and outside the anticyclone, upon entry of carbon monoxide-rich air. In the lower stratosphere, the intensity of the ASM anticyclone declines and the air within the anticyclone flows southwestward with monsoon circulation. We found that in the summer Asian monsoon region, South Asia exhibited the highest carbon monoxide concentration transported to the UTLS. CH4 imposed the greatest influence on the CO concentration in the UTLS region. According to the model simulation results, the CO concentrations in the Asian monsoon region at 100 hPa altitudes were higher than those in other regions at the same latitudes. Regarding effects, 43.18% originated from CH4 chemical reactions, 20.81% originated from NMVOC chemical reactions, and 63.33% originated from surface CO emissions, while sinks yielded a negative contribution of −27.32%. Regarding surface CO emissions, East Asia contributed 13.56%, South Asia contributed 39.27%, and Southeast Asia contributed 7.15%.

Defining the upper boundary of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer (ATAL) using the static stability

The Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer (ATAL) is located in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) during the Asian Summer Monsoon. However, what dynamical feature separates the ATAL from the well-known stratospheric ‘Junge layer’ is not yet clear. In this study, using the in-situ (Radiosonde, Ozonesonde, backscatter sonde and cryogenic frost-point hygrometer) observations from multiple locations in India (Gadanki (13.45° N, 79.18° E), Hyderabad (17.47° N, 78.58° E) and Varanasi (25.27° N, 82.99° E)) and multi-satellite observations ((Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Observation, (CALIPSO), Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment (ACE) Fourier Transform Spectrometer (FTS) and Constellation Observation System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate (COSMIC) Global Position System (GPS) Radio Occultation (RO) (COSMIC GPS-RO)) we show that the ATAL can exist up to the layer of maximum stability (LmaxS), located a few kilometers above the tropopause, determined using the square of Brunt Väisäla frequency. These in-situ observations over Indian stations collected during the ISRO-NASA Balloon Measurement Campaigns of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer (BATAL) show that the ATAL top can reach up to ∼442 K potential temperature level over the Indian region. The LmaxS delineated from COSMIC GPSRO observations over the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA) region indicates that the top of ATAL can reach up to 454 K potential temperature level, which is lower than the earlier Lagrangian transport model predicted 460 K. The temperature inversion at LmaxS acts as a lid and constrains the direct transport of aerosols to higher altitudes.

How reliable are Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models in representing the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone?

AbstractWe assess the Asian summer monsoon anticyclone (ASMA) in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models for the historical period (1850–2014). The ASMA is a quasi‐stationary warm anticyclone during the boreal summer monsoon season, centred around Tibet. It is a prominent circulation feature that affects trace species transport, stratosphere–troposphere exchange, along with strong feedbacks to weather and climate. The study is a novel attempt to quantify the performance of models participating in the CMIP6 consortium and understand long‐term variability and teleconnections of the ASMA. We note that CMIP6 models capture the mean ASMA features reasonably well, albeit with some differences around the edges. For most of the models, interannual variations are not in phase with the reanalysis and show sharper increasing trend in the ASMA strength. There is about a twofold increase in the trends during the recent period (1980–2014) as compared to the 1950–2014 period. A multimodel mean (MME) chosen based upon the statistical metrics (mean, standard deviation, mean absolute error and root‐mean‐square error), target diagram, and density distributions is further used to examine the prominent modes of variability. Our results suggest that the signals of significant periodicity, particularly the 2–4 years signal, and the SST correlations in MME are inconsistent with observations. In CMIP6 models, we note stronger upper level divergence over the western and eastern Pacific but convergence over the Indian ocean, South Asia and the central Pacific. The streamfunction and rotational winds also show strong highs north of 20°N. Overall, it is seen that basic features such as spatial extent and evolution of ASMA are reasonably captured, but the strength and interannual variations are dissonant across the CMIP6 models. These findings are useful for studies focusing on regional meteorology, transportation of atmospheric tracers and climate change projections over the region involving the ASMA.

Transient Behavior of the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone Associated With Eastward Eddy Shedding

AbstractThe Asian monsoon anticyclone (AMA) exhibits a trimodal distribution of sub‐vortices and the western Pacific is one of the preferred locations. Amplification of the western Pacific anticyclone (WPA) is often linked with eastward eddy shedding from the AMA, although the processes are not well understood. This study investigates the dynamics driving eastward eddy shedding associated with the emergence of the WPA in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere on synoptic scales. Using reanalysis data during 1979–2019, our composite analysis reveals that amplified WPA events are tied to the upstream Silk Road (SR) wave‐train pattern over midlatitude Eurasia as identified in previous studies. The quasi‐stationary eastward propagating eddies result from baroclinic excitation along the westerly jet, as identified by coherent eddy heat fluxes and weakening of the low‐level temperature gradient. The upper‐level westerly jet is important in determining the longitudinal phase‐locking of wave trains, which are anchored and amplify near the jet exit. Occasionally enhanced convection near the Philippines also triggers anticyclonic eddies that propagate upward and northeastward via the Pacific‐Japan (PJ) pattern, forming the WPA in the upper troposphere. Correlation analysis suggests that the SR and PJ mechanisms are not physically correlated.