Abstract Slope–Area relationships have been widely used to identify channel initiation points in the landscape. More recently, the importance of road-related rill and gully erosion has been highlighted. Previous studies indicate that channel initiation at road drain outlets can be predicted from the contributing road area and hillslope gradient at the drain outlet. In this study the validity and usefulness of channel initiation thresholds for road runoff management has been evaluated using field data from three catchments in south-east Australia. None of these catchments show a clear separation between channelised and non-channelised sites based on contributing road area and hillslope gradient. Many drains without channel have similar contributing road area and slope gradients as drain with a channel at the outlet. This demonstrates a relatively large variability within our dataset and limits the identification of a slope–area threshold for these catchments. Logistic regression using road area and slope gradient shows that both variables contribute significantly to channel initiation in the Albert and Tyers River catchments, while for the Sandy Creek catchment only slope gradient is significant at the 0.05 level. Stepwise logistic regression on a wider range of variables shows the significance of cut-batter height in two of the catchments, indicating that flow interception at cut-and-fill roads may be important. Comparison of road-related channel initiation thresholds to previously published topographic thresholds, indicates that channels at road outlets tend to form at relatively small contributing areas and steep slopes. Current forest management guidelines do not consider the risk of channel initiation at road drain outlets in road design and drain spacing. The slope–area thresholds are still considered useful in minimising the risk of gully erosion, especially in forestry areas where it appears most likely that channel initiation occurs during a significant rainfall event immediately following hillslope disturbance or road construction.
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