Agricultural Projects Research Articles

The shortest way to diffuse agricultural innovations: A network study in the paddy sector in Türkiye

The study revealed the diffusion processes of agricultural innovations and the influential advice sources in the diffusion process by using the network approach. The study sought to answer the questions of how agricultural innovations diffuse in the paddy sector, how agricultural innovations can be delivered to paddy farmers in the most concise form, and what are the typical characteristics of influential advice sources. Data were collected using questionnaires from paddy farmers, input suppliers, rice mills, and other relevant people and organizations in 2017. Social network analysis was used to analyze farmer advice networks, and Ordinal Logistic Regression was used to identify the common characteristics of influential actors in the network. The research results indicated that the farmers were a bridge between innovation creators and other farmers. The local pesticide dealers were the intermediary position among the paddy farmers with the innovation creators. Collective action, membership in agricultural organizations, social status, and project experience were influential factors in being an advice source. The study found that agricultural innovations in the paddy sector can diffuse most quickly from innovation creators to local pesticide dealers and farmers.

Unmaking capitalism through community empowerment: Findings from Italian agricultural experiences

Capitalism – in the theorizations of sustainability transformation – has been largely taken for granted for its misleadingly assumed stability and homogeneity, thus limiting the scope for defining alternative futures, policy options and strategies for transformative change. Theorizations regarding sustainable transformative pathways have often overshadowed a nuanced landscape of normative and ontological pluralism thus contributing to generating techno-centric and top-down responses to issues such as access to food, farmers' control over the food-chain and global environmental change. The expansion of capital, under a mechanism of production-reproduction, with a constant attempt to subsume different forms of production into the global market, generates manifold temporal frictions that, on the one hand, contribute to the consolidation of the capitalist model and, on the other hand, give rise to conflicting elements and re-orientation of modernity in a process of “unmaking” of capitalism. This article, drawing upon empirical work conducted in Northern Italy, presents two experiences emerging from the scenario of local food networks, namely the “C’è Campo” Participatory Guarantee System and the “Ortazzo” Community Supported Agriculture project. These show elements and mechanisms of local community empowerment for unmaking capitalism from the inside, as steps for a sustainable and bottom-up transformation which do not necessarily imply the generation of socio-economic novelties ex-nihilo. The “conventionalization” of organic agriculture has pushed those actors who participate in local food networks to reconfigure their self-regulation towards a “bottom-up” approach driven by the adoption of PGS or CSA instruments as an attempt to secure or reacquire control over the market and the construction of quality. Convivial tools, in particular, are crucial for understanding - and finding responses to - the social, economic, cultural and environmental crisis that contemporary society is now facing.

AgMIP-Wheat multi-model simulations on climate change impact and adaptation for global wheat

The climate change impact and adaptation simulations from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) for wheat provide a unique dataset of multi-model ensemble simulations for 60 representative global locations covering all global wheat mega environments. The multi-model ensemble reported here has been thoroughly benchmarked against a large number of experimental data, including different locations, growing season temperatures, atmospheric CO2 concentration, heat stress scenarios, and their interactions. In this paper, we describe the main characteristics of this global simulation dataset. Detailed cultivar, crop management, and soil datasets were compiled for all locations to drive 32 wheat growth models. The dataset consists of 30-year simulated data including 25 output variables for nine climate scenarios, including Baseline (1980-2010) with 360 or 550 ppm CO2, Baseline +2oC or +4oC with 360 or 550 ppm CO2, a mid-century climate change scenario (RCP8.5, 571 ppm CO2), and 1.5°C (423 ppm CO2) and 2.0oC (487 ppm CO2) warming above the pre-industrial period (HAPPI). This global simulation dataset can be used as a benchmark from a well-tested multi-model ensemble in future analyses of global wheat. Also, resource use efficiency (e.g., for radiation, water, and nitrogen use) and uncertainty analyses under different climate scenarios can be explored at different scales. The DOI for the dataset is 10.5281/zenodo.4027033 (AgMIP-Wheat, 2020), and all the data are available on the data repository of Zenodo (http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4027033). Two scientific publications have been published based on some of these data here.

UTILIZATION OF INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES BY THE FARMERS

Information and communication technologies (ICTs) can help farmers access the information they need. Nowadays, an array of ICTs tools and projects are available not only in urban areas but in rural areas also. However effective utilization of ICTs for accessing agricultural information by the farmers is the major concern as generally, people use them more for entertainment and time passing. To what extent the farmers are using the ICTs in accessing agriculture information is fundamental for redesigning the agricultural development projects integrating the ICTs. Keeping this in view, the study was undertaken to ascertain the extent of the use of ICTs for accessing agricultural information by the farmers of South Gujarat. The study was carried out in the Valsad and Navsari districts of Gujarat for 120 farmers. Multistage random sampling was adopted for the selection of respondents. An Ex-post-facto research design was used for the study. Results of the study indicated that the majority (62.50 percent) of the respondents had a moderate level of extent of utilization of ICTs followed by 19.17 and 18.33 percent of them had high and low extent of utilization, respectively. Out of the 14 factors studied, education, extension participation, training received, mass media exposure, information source accessibility, innovativeness, social participation, and economic motivation were found positively and highly significantly correlated with the extent of use of ICTs.

Development of Decision Support System for Solar Farm Location on CPEC using GIS and Forecasting

Due to the increasing expansion of renewable energy sources, it is essential to use effective decision-making techniques when picking ideal places for solar farms. This research uses geographic information systems (GIS) and forecasting methods to offer a decision support system (DSS) for identifying solar farm locations along the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Helping stakeholders, decisionmakers, and investors locate the best locations for solar farm projects inside the CPEC region is the goal. In order to examine numerous spatial and non-spatial elements that affect the feasibility of solar farms, the proposed DSS uses GIS technology. The DSS also uses forecasting techniques to determine the potential for future solar energy production. It is possible to anticipate sun irradiation levels using historical weather data and meteorological projections, which enables precise estimation of solar farm output. By incorporating forecasting methods, decision-making is improved, resulting in the selection of sites with high solar energy potential and a decreased chance of underperformance. Stakeholders can effectively interact with the proposed DSS thanks to its user-friendly interface. It simplifies data entry, analysis, and visualization, enabling users to explore multiple scenarios and assess the influence of various factors on the choice of solar farm placement. The use of the decision support system for identifying solar farm locationson the CPEC will aid in the region's continued sustainable development of renewable energy sources.

Indo-Pacific finless porpoises presence in response to pile driving on the Jinwan Offshore Wind Farm, China

The Jinwan Offshore Wind Farm project in the Pearl River Estuary (PRE) is a new stressor for the resident marine mammals there, especially for the Indo-Pacific finless porpoise. A broadband recording system was deployed in the Jinwan Offshore Wind Farm, before and during the construction period, in order to determine how the finless porpoise responded to pile driving activity. The results showed that the wind farm area was an important habitat for the finless porpoise during the monitoring period. The finless porpoise also showed avoidance behavior of pile driving activity. There was a significant negative correlation between porpoise detection and pile driving detection, and the time between porpoise’s acoustic detections increased during pile driving compared to periods without pile driving. Our results indicated that acoustic protection measures are strongly recommended in future offshore wind farm developments in order to protect finless porpoises.

Modern trends for the application of biological control and modern technologies in agricultural projects

Modern trends for the application of biological control and modern technologies in agricultural projects

Influence of Project Resources Management and Performance of Sustainable Agricultural Intensification and Food Security Project (SAIP) Rwanda

The purpose of this study was to examine the influence of project resources management on the performance of the Sustainable Agricultural Intensification and Food Security Project (SAIP) in Rwanda. The study had three specific objectives: to determine the impact of human resource management, to establish the influence of financial resource management, and to assess the effect of access to physical resource management on SAIP performance. The study was grounded in the theories of resource dependence and resource-based theory, providing a solid foundation for the investigation into the relationship between project resources management and SAIP performance. The study utilized both descriptive and inferential research designs. Descriptive research was employed to describe project resources management and project performance, while inferential statistics, including correlation and multiple linear regressions, were used to analyze the relationship between project resources management and SAIP project performance. The target population consisted of 1124 employees of the SAIP project, with a sample size of approximately 92 employees determined using Yamane's formula. Convenience sampling was used to select the sample. Data collection involved self-administered questionnaires and an interview with the project manager. Qualitative data were subjected to content analysis, and the results were presented in a narrative format. The results revealed a significant positive effect of human resources on SAIP project performance, with β1 = 0.404, p-value = 0.000 < 0.05, t = 7.127. This implies that increasing human resources by one unit leads to a 0.404 unit increase in SAIP project performance. Similarly, financial resources were found to have a significant positive effect on SAIP project performance, with β2 = 0.284, p-value = 0.000 < 0.05, t = 4.821. Increasing financial resources by one unit results in a 0.181 unit increase in project performance. Additionally, physical resources were found to have a significant positive effect on SAIP project performance, with β3 = 0.106, p-value = 0.043 < 0.05, t = 2.041. Increasing physical resources by one unit leads to a 0.395 unit increase in project performance. The overall view of respondents regarding the performance of the SAIP project was highly positive, with a mean score of 4.29 and a standard deviation of 1.16, providing strong evidence of high project performance. The study concluded that efficient management of project resources, including human, financial, and physical resources, greatly influences project performance in terms of timely completion, reduced costs, satisfaction of project beneficiaries, and improved project deliverables. The study recommends that SAIP projects prioritize training programs to enhance the performance of human resources. Additionally, effective financial resources management, careful monitoring of costs, accurate estimation of project costs based on execution conditions, and special attention to project materials management are crucial. Developing a comprehensive project schedule and implementing regular checks and controls are also recommended to ensure timely completion and proactive management of deviations. Keywords: Project Resources Management, human resources management, financial resources management, physical resources management, SAIP, Rwanda

Business Development Fund Services and Performance of Women Farming Projects in Rwanda: A Case of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project, Rutsiro District

This study sought to assess the contribution of business development fund services and performance of women farming projects with a case of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project. Specifically, the study was guided by the following specific objective: To determine the effect of accessibility of financial resources on the performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project, to assess the effect of training on the performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project, to evaluate the effect of networking on the performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project. Descriptive research design was applied because it helped the researcher to analyze the contribution of Business Development Fund’s services on the performance of women project; the target population was 57 employees of Fromagerie Izihirwe Cooperative. By using census, the sample size was 57 who were involved in project performance to provide the needed information. A questionnaire, containing close-ended questions was used as primary data collection tool and documentary review applied for collecting secondary data. The collected data analyzed by using SPSS version 21 for the mean, standard deviation, correlation and regression analysis. The presentation of findings was done by using tables, the pilot study was performed to test validity and reliability of instruments used in data collection. The findings showed that there is strong positive correlation between financial resources and performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe project at .871. On the other training program is correlated to performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe project at .853 while networking is correlated with performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe Project at .824. The results showed Business Development Fund Services influence performance of Fromagerie Izihirwe project multiple regression of R2=83.5%. In conclusion, Business Development Fund Services play great role to the performance of women farming project through various support offered to the project such as accessibility of financial resources, provision of training and creation of networking. The study recommended that Fromagerie Izihirwe project to increase the level of revenues as the way of reducing poverty. Keywords: Business Development Fund, Performance, Accessibility, Training, Networking

IMPACTS OF INTEGRATED AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT PROJECT ON INCOME AND LIVELIHOODS OF RICE PRODUCERS IN LERE LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA OF KADUNA STATE, NIGERIA

The research was aimed at impacts of integrated agricultural development project on income and livelihoods of rice producers in Lere Local Government Area of Kaduna State, Nigeria. This study was carried out in five communities of Lere LGA of Kaduna State, Nigeria which were; Abadawa, Garu Mariri, Kayarda, Kudaru and Dan Alhaji as participation communities in Integrated Agricultural Development Project. Multi-stage random sampling was used to choose 212 respondents. Face-to-face interviews with rice producers generated primary data, which was obtained using structured questionnaire. The socio-economic profile of the sampled respondents was determined using descriptive methods. The data obtained from objective i and iii was analyzed using descriptive statistics such as (frequency distribution, percentage mean) objective ii was achieved using Ordered Probit Model. The objective iv was achieved using the Kendall’s coefficient of concordance (W). The outcome of the research appeared that most of the respondents were of active working group and the average age of the sample respondents was approximately 46 years while the average family size was 10. The findings of the study showed that 88.6% were married and educational mean was 9years and almost 73.7% of sample respondents has access to credit. The results showed that the mean annual income of the respondents was N12,2875, indicating that majority of the rice producers in the study area had large annual income. The coefficient of training (110430.2) was positively significant at 1% level of probability, implying that access to training is expected to increase rice producers’ income in the study area. The result also indicates that increase income and increase in quality and quantity of rice production were both ranked as 1st implying that introduction of IAD project has resulted into significant in income and increase in quality and quantity of rice in the study area. The results inadequate fund ( = 4.90) ranked 1st as the most serious constraint faced by rice producers. It was recommended that credit facilities should be provided for the rice producers in the study area to enable then expand their farming activities.

Solar farm investment game model: A data‐driven case in Florida

AbstractThe most effective approach to subsidizing power producers in order to bolster the penetration of renewable energy is continuously debated. To address this issue, this paper undertakes an in‐depth investigation into a solar farm investment problem, aiming at capturing the common interests and frictions among the government, the solar system developer, and the utility. In this paper, both static and dynamic game models are proposed with the consideration of the uncertainty of solar power generation. Before investing in a solar farm project, a potential solar farm investor takes into account of subsidy rate regulation for utilities enacted by the government, the panel price announced by the solar developer. In this study, we identified two thresholds of solar panel cost, which provide valuable insights for government policymakers when formulating an appropriate subsidy rate for the solar energy industry. Besides, a optimal policy for each stakeholder has been exposed. The finding from the dynamic model discloses the profound influence of various behaviors on the long‐term profitability of each stakeholder. Finally, based on the real‐world solar power data in Orlando, a case study is presented to expose a more tangible prospect for industrial application.

Determinants of smallholder farmers’ extent of participation in climate-smart agricultural projects in Kakamega County, Kenya

Determinants of smallholder farmers’ extent of participation in climate-smart agricultural projects in Kakamega County, Kenya

Plate Load Tests of Soft Foundations Reinforced by Soilbags with Solid Wastes for Wind Farms.

Soilbags are expandable three-dimensional geosynthetic bags made from high-density polyethylene or polypropylene. This study conducted a series of plate load tests to explore the bearing capacity of soft foundations reinforced by soilbags filled with solid wastes based on an onshore wind farm project in China. The effect of contained material on the bearing capacity of the soilbag-reinforced foundation was investigated during the field tests. The experimental studies indicated that soilbag reinforcement with reused solid wastes could substantially improve the bearing capacity of soft foundations under vertical loading conditions. Solid wastes like excavated soil or brick slag residues were found to be suitable as contained material, and the soilbags with plain soil mixed with brick slag had higher bearing capacity than those with pure plain soil. The earth pressure analysis indicated that stress diffusion occurred through the soilbag layers to reduce the load transferred to the underlying soft soil. The stress diffusion angle of soilbag reinforcement obtained from the tests was approximately 38°. In addition, combining soilbag reinforcement with bottom sludge permeable treatment was an effective foundation reinforcement method, which required fewer soilbag layers due to its relatively high permeability. Furthermore, soilbags are considered sustainable construction materials with advantages such as high construction efficiency, low cost, easy reclamation and environmental friendliness while making full use of local solid wastes.

Diets of Men and Women in Rural Bangladesh Are Equitable but Suboptimal

BackgroundRecent evidence suggests that diet inequities between men and women may have diminished within rural Bangladeshi households. However, this has not been directly tested with appropriate physiologic adjustments and it is unclear whether changes have occurred across socioeconomic strata. Understanding intrahousehold dietary patterns at different points on the income and food-security distribution in rural Bangladesh—particularly, within ultrapoor and farm households—is important for appropriate design of gender-sensitive and nutrition-sensitive interventions, which often target these groups. ObjectiveUsing 2012 and 2016 data, we aimed to examine gender differences in diet quantity and quality among ultrapoor and farm households in rural Bangladesh. MethodsThe study used baseline 24-h dietary data from 2 randomized control trials conducted in rural Bangladesh: the Transfer Modality Research Initiative (ultrapoor households) and the Agriculture, Nutrition, and Gender Linkages project (farm households). Ordinary least squares regressions with household-level fixed effects tested for gender differences among constructed diet measures, such as caloric intake, caloric adequacy ratio, dietary diversity score, global diet quality score, and probability of consuming moderate or high levels of healthy food groups. ResultsIn both samples, on average, women consumed fewer calories than men in the same households but consumed near equal or more in reference to their caloric needs. Women scored <1% lower than men on diet quality indicators and showed similar probabilities to men of consuming healthy foods. Most men and women in both samples were calorically inadequate (>60%) and recorded poor diet quality scores that indicated high risk of nutrient inadequacy and chronic disease (>95%). ConclusionsIn both ultrapoor and farm households, although men record higher intake quantities and diet quality scores, the apparent male advantage disappear when energy requirements and the magnitudes of difference are considered. Diets of men and women in these rural Bangladeshi households are equitable but suboptimal.

Development of Educational Activities and Counseling in Social Agriculture in Slovakia: Initial Experience and Future Prospects

Abstract Slovakia has significantly changed the structure of its economy by switching to a market management system. There has been a shift away from agriculture, traditional farming methods and careful land management. The result is unused lands and labor force, a broken relationship of society towards the environment, the agricultural land and due to the low social status of agriculture, towards the education in this area too. There is no information on the potential of social agriculture. Educational initiatives in this area are unique and fragmented. The importance of educational activities and counseling lies mainly in education in an effort to help implementers or those interested in the implementation of social farming projects to obtain basic information about the concept of social agriculture, avoid mistakes and get the most comprehensive picture of current conditions in this area. The article outlines a view of the development of social agriculture in the area of the social economy in the conditions of the Slovak Republic, which corresponds to the changing needs of society. It draws attention to the initial steps in the development of educational activities and counseling in social agriculture. We reflect on the potential and pitfalls of education as part of a broader understanding of social agriculture. The elimination of the shortcomings would have significant effects on rural development and less developed regions. The benefits would be reflected in inclusive development and in more sustainable agriculture by influencing other sectors. Our article is based on desk review and qualitative research. We conducted 6 in-depth expert interviews. We focused on experts who were able to provide us with a specialized insight into our research.

Ensuring the sustainability of sadaqah based crowdfunding platforms: The role of gamification and user experience

The inception of technology in the financial world has spawned many innovative financial activities, including crowdfunding. Since the emergence of crowdfunding, fundraising activities have flourished, enabling the implementation of many innovative projects and businesses, including agricultural projects. However, it is a major challenge for a crowdfunding platform to maintain the flow of donations. Most crowdfunding platforms lose half of their donors after their first donation. Therefore, this study proposes the use of gamification to increase and maintain individuals' donations on a crowdfunding platform. In addition, this study also examines the role of user experience as a mediating variable between gamification and donor intention on the crowdfunding platform. Data for this research were collected through a survey using a structured, self-administered questionnaire and involving 148 Muslim donors. Hypothesis testing revealed that gamification positively influences user experience, but not donation intention on a crowdfunding platform. Meanwhile, user experience successfully plays a mediating role. Thus, the results lead to a discussion on the justification of using gamification and suggestions for future research.

Effect of Humanitarian Assistance for Vulnerable Communities on Social Welfare of Refugees in Rwanda: A Case of Mahama Refugee Camp

Humanitarian assistance continues to assist Rwandan refugees who select to voluntarily repatriate their children. Mahama camp experienced clean water supply which was below standards (at an average of 13.8 liters per person per day as compared to the standard of 20 liters per person per day), there was a lack of school facilities (60 students per classroom), and there were recurrent challenges in maintaining the provision of food assistance, land scarcity resulted in the congestion of refugee camps and limited opportunities for agricultural projects, and reduced support for self-reliance activities, with under 17,000 refugees engaged in income-generating activities during the year. Therefore, they are often very reliant on overseas aid, now they are no longer capable to enhance their resilience skills or preserve support livelihoods. Therefore, this study examined the effect of humanitarian assistance for vulnerable communities on social welfare of refugees in Rwanda. The specific objective of this study was to examine the implementation of humanitarian assistance for vulnerable communities in Mahama Refugee Camp; to assess the satisfaction level in refugees’ welfare and to identify weaknesses in the acquisition of basic needs in Mahama Refugee Camp. The descriptive (quantitative and qualitative) and analytical research design was used in this study; the sample size is 100 respondents from 54000 population and using simple random sampling techniques. The data collected was coded and Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 20 was used for data entry and analysis, statistical tools were used including frequency counts, percentages, mean and standard deviation. The implementation of humanitarian assistance for vulnerable communities by 4.15 of overall mean, the satisfaction level in Refugee welfare by 4.12 of overall mean and the weaknesses in acquisition of basic needs by 2.9 of overall mean. As recommendation, they should provide way of solving same challenges such as food security, security and water and sanitation. Keywords: Humanitarian Assistance, Vulnerable Communities, Social Welfare, Mahama Refugee Camp, Rwanda

PECULIARITIES OF AGRARIAN ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN THE CONTEXT OF DECENTRALIZATION

The article examines the peculiarities of development of agrarian entrepreneurship under the influence of strengthening the role of local authorities and changes in the regulatory framework for land resources. 83% of Ukraine's land is used for agricultural purposes. Changes in land ownership, transformation of the state governance system, and constant demand for agricultural products have contributed to the differentiation of entrepreneurial structures and their potential capabilities. The economic level of the agricultural sector is represented by small, medium and large enterprises. It is proved that agricultural entities with the number of employees from 10 to 249 people form the bulk of the industry's income. It is found that the greatest transformations in the period of decentralisation in the agricultural business have been experienced by state-owned enterprises, production cooperatives, and business associations. An objective assessment of the activities of agroholdings is provided and their impact on local development is determined. In the context of decentralization of governance in communities, it is advisable to develop projects to intensify entrepreneurial activity. To form a capable community, it is necessary to: create an appropriate business environment, investment climate, and propose land development projects located within the community. Introduce strategic management of existing and creation of new communal enterprises in order to provide income to a special community budget. Create a participatory budget to plan rural development and support the initiative of its residents. Cooperation between agricultural holdings and local authorities should strengthen the activation of small businesses in the countryside, solving social, environmental, and economic problems of communities. Effective implementation of the decentralization reform is impossible without public support. We believe that participation budgets, which are involved in the implementation of agricultural projects, are capable of solving the tasks of sustainable development of communities.

Transformative community projects in East Germany's rural spaces: exploring more sustainable forms of learning, working, and living.

Increasingly people experience alienation in educational institutions, in work life, and fragmentation in their personal life. This study explores more self-determined, healthy, and sustainable forms of working, learning, and living through a dynamic process that began in 2020 with the purchase of an old homestead in Eastern Germany. Through the remodeling of the buildings and grounds, the first social and cultural references emerged. Along with practical uses, the farm project sees itself as a future workshop or think tank. The resulting consideration includes ideas of compulsory schooling woven into a self-designed format and the introduction of an unconditional basic income. These components could lead to thousands of such projects in rural and urban areas. Drawing from communitarianism, the belief is that an active civil society must take on social, economic, and educational responsibilities and offer children and young people improved conditions in which to grow up. Theory development on the individual components exists, such as entrepreneurship, transformation, community-building, basic income, or self-directed learning but not on the interaction of these variables in the overall context. We tentatively call this integrated design a transformative community project.

Area-based scenario development in land-use change modeling: A system dynamics-assisted approach for mixed agricultural-residential landscapes

This study aimed to enhance land use and land cover (LULC) change models by addressing their main limitations, which include the lack of accountability and temporal stability of driving forces. Additionally, the study aimed to create area-based scenarios to forecast future LULCs, rather than solely relying on distribution-based scenarios. To accomplish this goal, the study developed a coupled System Dynamics (SD) and Cellular Automata (CA) modeling system to simulate possible LULC changes in the Gavkhooni Basin, central Iran. The study utilized LULC maps from Landsat images in 2001, 2011, and 2021 to analyze spatio-temporal land use changes in the region. Agricultural and residential transition suitability layers were produced using a spatial Multi-Criteria Evaluation procedure and applied to inform the CA model in the proper allocation of LULC changes. Three interconnected water supply, agricultural, and residential area projection subsystems were developed using system dynamics method to determine land requirements for LULC conversions from 2020 to 2041, taking into account factors such as water availability, land suitability, agricultural labor force, and economic development. Ten scenarios were developed based on changes in the key variables affecting the limiting factors, such as climatic conditions and water management policies, to project agricultural and residential areas in the future. The CA's spatial allocation informed by transition suitability layers was found to be satisfactory with a Kappa-location value of 0.85. The subsystems were competent in projecting water supply with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) values of 6.57% and the dynamics of agricultural and residential areas with MAE values of 2.94%, whereas those of the Markovian Chain model were found to be 23.02% and 7.5% for agricultural and residential areas, respectively. The study found that available agricultural areas varied significantly between 86.53 and 1480 sq.km under different climatic conditions, irrigation efficiency, and agricultural water assignment coefficients between 2024 and 2033. Residential area demand was found to be increasing with different rates under the scenarios between 47.40 and 73.01 sq.km. The SD-CA coupled framework presented in this research can be viewed as a decision support system to develop compensatory strategies for better management and planning of agricultural and residential lands.