Moisture variation is extremely relevant for the stability of ecosystems in Central Asia (CA). Therefore, moisture evolution and its potential driving mechanism over the region are always a hot research topic. Although much effort has been devoted to understanding the processes of moisture evolutions in CA during the Quaternary, particularly the Holocene, the associated underlying mechanisms remain in a state of persistent debate. In this study, the granulometry, clay mineral and chroma properties of a loess section (named ZSP section) in the westerlies-dominated Ili Basin, NW China are investigated. With the accelerator mass spectrometry radiocarbon dating (AMS 14C)-based Bayesian age–depth model, we provide a sensitive record of effective moisture evolution since the last glacial maximum (LGM) in the basin, and the results help enhance understanding of the possible driving mechanisms for westerly climate change. Comparisons of clay mineralogy indices shows that the study area is involved in the Northern Hemisphere dust cycle processes as a dust source, and the content of <2 μm grain size fraction in the ZSP section can thereby be used to reflect the westerlies’ intensity. After deducting the complicated influencing factors for lightness changes throughout the section, the calibrated lightness is adopted to indicate the regional effective moisture. Our findings show that effective moisture is relatively abundant during the LGM and the middle–late Holocene, with dry climate conditions during the last deglaciation and early Holocene. We argue that westerlies’ intensity was the main factor for driving the effective moisture evolution in the Ili Basin since the LGM. Local and source evaporation intensity and effective intra-annual control time of the westerlies over the study area exerted a minor influence on the moisture changes.