Adverse Cardiovascular Events Research Articles

Myocarditis prognostic score: a new risk assessment tool in patients with myocarditis

Abstract Background Myocarditis is an inflammatory disease of the myocardium with multiple causes and evolutions. The aim of our study was to design a prognostic multiparametric score in patients with myocarditis, to identify those at higher risk of adverse cardiovascular events (AE). Methods A prospective study was performed enrolling 98 patients with myocarditis: 72 M, 26 F; median age 27 [IQR 20–40]. Patients were divided into 2 groups: complicated (CM) and uncomplicated myocarditis (UM). Six months after hospital admission, cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) and cardiological consultation were repeated. AE (death, hospitalization for heart failure, heart transplant, ICD implantation, heart failure development) were evaluated at 6 months and after 3 years. Results We found 67 UM and 31 CM. AE were significantly higher in patients with complicated myocarditis. We found a significant correlation between AE and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) at hospital admission, increased GLS, septal LGE at CMR, longer persistence time of increased troponin, LGE extension progression or persistence 6-month CMR. A myocarditis prognostic score was developed on the basis of these parameters. A score ≥ 5 showed higher sensitivity (100%) and specificity (87%) - AUC 1, to identify AE in patients with myocarditis. A score between 3 and 4 showed high sensitivity but low specificity. A score ≤ 2 was associated with low probability of events. Conclusion Our study confirms the high probability of AE in patients with CM and it suggests a myocarditis prognostic score to identify patients at higher risk of AE.

Predictive value of Type D personality combined with unhealthy cardiovascular behaviors for the long-term adverse cardiovascular events in ACS patients

Abstract Background Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) has become a major public health problem worldwide due to its high morbidity and mortality. In addition to traditional risk factors, psychosocial factors play an important role in the development of ACS.Type D personality, as a combination of social inhibition and negative affect, has been defined as a psychological risk factor for coronary heart disease by the European Society of Cardiology.Meanwhile, ACS patients with Type D personality may have behaviors such as unhealthy dietary behaviors, less regular physical activity, and poorer self-management behaviors. Then, whether the combination of Type D personality and poor cardiovascular health behaviors can increase the risk of poor prognosis in patients with ACS requires further research. Purpose The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of Type D personality combined with poor cardiovascular health behaviors on long-term major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE) in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 18631 patients diagnosed with ACS between January 2017 and July 2023 were included in this study. Type D personality, cardiovascular health behaviors (smoking cessation, physical activity, average sleep duration at night, dietary assessment index, BMI, lipids, blood glucose, blood pressure) were assessed during the admission period, and were divided into poor, general, and ideal cardiovascular health with a cut-off score of 50 and 80.The binary logistic regression analysis was used to assese the effect of Type D personality combined with cardiovascular health score on the occurrence of MACE (stroke, reinfarction, revascularization, all-cause death). Results The median follow-up in this study was 37 months, and we found that a total of 3750 people had MACE during the follow-up period. The logistic regression result showed that compared with Type D personality (-) and cardiovascular health behaviors (poor) group, Type D personality (+) and cardiovascular health behaviors (poor) group (OR=1.451, 95%CI=1.055-1.995,P=0.022), Type D personality (+) and cardiovascular health behaviors (general) group (OR=1.425, 95%CI=1.092-1.858,P=0.009), Type D personality (-) cardiovascular health behavior (poor) group (OR=1.301, 95%CI=1.013-1.670, P=0.039) were independent risk factors for the occurrence of further adverse cardiovascular events. Conclusion Type D personality combined with unhealthy cardiovascular behavior individuals may be at high risk for MACE. Therefore, early assessment of Type D personality and cardiovascular health behaviors are needed, thereby reducing the incidence of MACE in ACS patients.

Clinical prediction model of main adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events for elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome

Abstract Background Age is an independent factor for adverse outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS). With the accelerated aging process, there is an increasing incidence of ACS in the elderly; however, research on this population is underrepresented. Due to the unique presence of multiple diseases and organ changes in the elderly, specialized risk assessment tools are required. Purpose To explore the risk factors for poor prognosis of elderly patients with ACS and establishing a risk stratification tool. Methods The derivation cohort consisted of 1674 elderly ACS patients consecutively enrolled in a single center from January 2013 to December 2013. The validation cohort included 2333 elderly ACS patients consecutively enrolled in nine medical centers from January 2015 to May 2019. All patients were followed up for 2 years, and the study endpoint was defined as major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). Model selection was performed using Cox regression and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) to construct the final risk assessment model. The performance of the predictive model was evaluated in the derivation and validation cohorts using the c-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and calibration curves. Results A total of 1,674 elderly ACS patients (70.97±4.68 years, 23.24% female) were included in the derivation cohort, and 210 cases (12.54%) of MACCE were recorded during the 2-year follow-up period. In the validation cohort, there were 2,333 elderly ACS patients (72.13±5.82 years, 35.83% female), with 364 cases (15.60%) of MACCE documented during the 2-year follow-up. Initially, 25 variables were preliminarily selected based on the results of univariate Cox regression and the clinical importance of these variables. Subsequently, these variables were included in a multivariable Cox model, and model selection was performed based on the AIC, resulting in the final selection of 10 variables (including age, cardiac insufficiency, current smoker, DAPT use, history of PCI or CABG, IABP use, number of lesions, residual SYNTAX score, preoperative HGB, and preoperative PLT). Then we developed and validated a nomogram to predict the 2-year MACCE in elderly ACS patients based on the assessment of 10 clinically easily obtainable variables during hospitalization. In both the derivation and validation cohorts, the nomogram demonstrated good discriminative ability (AUC of 0.723 and 0.699, c-index of 0.727 and 0.661, respectively) and calibration (calibration curves closely approximating the 45-degree diagonal line). The Kaplan-Meier analysis reveals significant differences in MACCE incidence rates between groups stratified by the median predicted probability (p<0.001). Conclusion Our study developed and validated a practical nomogram for predicting the 2-year risk of MACCE in elderly patients with ACS.

Recreational drugs use as prognostic factor of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in patients hospitalised for acute cardiovascular events

Abstract Background Among patients admitted to the intensive cardiac care unit (ICCU), systematic screening for recreational drugs evidenced a significant prevalence of recent use and was associated with a higher rate in-hospital outcomes. However, long-term cardiovascular consequences of recreational drug use remain uncertain. Purpose We aimed to evaluate the prognostic impact of recreational drugs use at 1-year follow-up to predict major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in consecutive patients admitted to ICCUs for acute cardiovascular events from the Addiction in Intensive Cardiac Care Units (ADDICT-ICCU) study. Methods In this prospective multicentric study, all consecutive patients admitted to ICCUs over two weeks in April 2021 at 39 centres across France were included. Screening for recreational drugs use was performed by systematic urinary testing. One-year follow-up consisted of a clinical visit or direct contact with the patient and the referring cardiologist. The primary composite outcome was the occurrence of one of the combined MACCE defined as cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. Subgroup analysis was performed in patients hospitalised at baseline for acute coronary syndrome. Results Of the 1499 consecutive patients screened, 1392 (93%) patients (63±15 years, 70% males) had a complete 1-year follow-up. Among them, 157 (11%) had an initial positive test for recreational drug use (cannabis, opioids, cocaine, amphetamines, 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine [MDMA]). After 1-year of follow, 94 (7%) patients experimented MACCE. Patients with positive testing exhibited a higher rate of MACCE than non-users (13% vs 6%, respectively, p=0.002). After adjustment for traditional prognosticators, recreational drug use was independently associated with the occurrence of MACCE (HR=2.99; 95% CI: 1.73-5.16, p<0.001). In the subgroup analysis of 713 patients hospitalised at baseline for acute coronary syndrome, 96 (14%) had a positive recreational drug test and 50 (7%) experienced MACCE. Using a multivariable Cox analysis in this population, recreational drug use was still independently associated with MACCE after adjustment for traditional prognosticators (HR=2.98; 95% CI: 1.43-6.21, p=0.004). Conclusions In a large cohort of consecutive patients admitted to ICCUs for acute cardiovascular events, the prevalence of recreational drug use was 11%. Recreational drug use was strongly associated with the occurrence of 1-year MACCE even after adjustment for traditional prognosticators.Central illustrationPrognostic impact of drug use

Exploring the effects of reduced alcohol consumption on major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events in chronic heavy drinkers: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Abstract Background/Introduction Chronic heavy alcohol consumption is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), and the potential cardiovascular benefits of mild to moderate alcohol consumption need validation, particularly in the context of behavioral change from heavy drinking. Currently, there is a lack of research examining the potential benefits of reduced alcohol consumption in chronic heavy drinkers, specifically in relation to different subtypes of CVD. We hypothesized that habitual changes in alcohol consumption among chronic heavy drinkers would have a long-term prognostic effect on future CVD outcomes. Purpose We investigated the association between reduced alcohol consumption and the risk of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in chronic heavy drinkers. Methods From the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening database, we included a cohort of chronic heavy drinkers who underwent serial health examinations over two consecutive time-periods (first period: 2005–2008; second period: 2009–2012). Heavy drinking was defined according to the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism criteria as >56 g/day or >196 g/week for men, and >42 g/day or >98 g/week for women. Overall, 13,854 heavy drinkers at baseline (mean age 55.84 ± 5.98 years; 91.6 % men) were categorized into two groups based on the alcohol consumption changes in the second period: sustained heavy drinking (n=9,403; 67.9%) or reduced drinking (n=4,451; 32.5%). The primary outcome was MACCE, a composite of nonfatal myocardial infarction or angina undergoing revascularization, any stroke accompanied by hospitalization, and all-cause death during follow-up. Results In this nationwide population-based cohort study, during a total follow-up of 107,102 person-years, the sustained heavy drinking group experienced a significantly higher incidence of MACCE than the reduced drinking group (incidence rate, 825 vs. 655 per 100,000 person-years; log-rank p=0.004). Reduced alcohol consumption was associated with a 28% lower risk of MACCE compared to sustained heavy drinking (adjusted-hazard ratio [HR]: 0.780, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.656–0.928). These benefits were mostly driven by a significant reduction in the incidence of angina (adjusted-HR: 0.631, 95% CI 0.425–0.926) and ischemic stroke (adjusted-HR: 0.657, 95% CI 0.472–0.914). The preventive effects of reduced alcohol intake were consistently observed across various subgroups of heavy drinkers, except for smoking status (p-interaction=0.015) and even after including abstainers in the sensitivity analysis. Conclusion Reduced alcohol consumption in heavy drinkers could lower the future risk of CVD, with the most pronounced benefits expected for stable/unstable angina and ischemic stroke. Further research is warranted to explore the optimal strategies for promoting sustained reductions in alcohol intake.Cumulative MACCE incidence curves

Cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular adverse events in patients with hematologic malignacies treated with BTK inhibitors: a real-world analysis

Abstract Background Bruton tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitors play an important role in targeted treatment of B-cell lymphoproliferative disorders. However, adverse events may limit the proper course of treatment in many patients. Purpose To compare the risk of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular adverse events in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) or small cell lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL) treated with first-generation BTK inhibitor ibrutinib versus second-generation acalabrutinib, using real-world data from electronic medical records. Methods We used data from a large collaborative multinational network ( TriNetX), that emcompasses more than 100 healthcare organizations worldwide. We queried the databank for patients aged ≥ 18 years with chronic lymphocytic leukemia or small-cell lymphomas treated with ibrutinib or acalabrutinib in the past 10 years before the analysis. We used propensity score matching to balance the cohorts. The 3-year cumulative incidences and hazard ratios for the following outcomes were calculated: atrial flutter or fibrillation, other arrhythmias, heart failure, ischemic stroke or peripheral embolism, acute coronary syndrome, bleeding, and sepsis. Results We compared 2,107 patients in each group. The 3-year incidences of atrial fibrillation or flutter in the acalabrutinib and ibrutinib groups were 7.11% and 14.78% respectively, with a lower ratio in patients treated with acalabrutinib than those treated with ibrutinib (hazard ratio, HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.55-0.84). New-onset hypertension occurred during the 3-year follow-up in 16.29% patients in the acalabrutinib group versus 27.8% patients in the ibrutinib group (HR 0,81, 95% CI 0.66-0.98). The incidence of sepsis was 6.49% in patients treated with acalabrutinib versus 11.37% in those treated with ibrutinib group (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.60-0.98). Concerning the other adverse events, there were no significant differences between the two groups. Conclusions In this large real-world analysis, patients with CLL or SLL treated with acalabrutinib had a better cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular safety profile than those treated with ibrutinib, with lower incidence of atrial flutter or fibrillation, new-onset arterial hypertension, and sepsis.Figure 1.Cardiovascular outcomesFigure 2.Non-cardiovascular outcomes

Lipid lowering therapy in patients aged 90 years or older with acute myocardial infarction:a multicenter cohort study

Abstract Background Lipid-lowing therapy significantly reduce adverse cardiovascular events in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, evidence regarding the efficacy of lipid-lowing therapy in extremely elderly patients with AMI is limited. Purpose This study aims to evaluate major adverse cardiovascular events (MACCE) at 1 year in relation to taking lipid-lowing therapy (statins) among patients aged 90 years or older. Methods The data for this study were derived from a retrospective cohort comprising patients admitted to secondary or tertiary hospitals from 2010 to 2023. Patients were grouped by lipid-lowing therapy: statins group (n=549) and not taking statins group (n=811). The primary endpoint was MACCE, a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke, at 1 year. Secondary endpoints included cardiac death (CD), stroke, and recurrence of myocardial infarction at 1 year. Inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) based on propensity scores was performed to balance baseline characteristics. A multivariate adjusted Cox proportional hazard model evaluated the association between lipid-lowing therapy and clinical endpoints. Results Of the 1,360 patients, 77.2% were men, and the median age was 92 years. During 1 year follow up, 35.3% of patients experienced MACCE, and 28.7% died due to CD. After IPTW, the incidence of MACCE was lower in the statins group compared to the non-statins group (33.3% vs. 42.6%, p=0.036), as was 1- year mortality due to CD (26.2% vs.35.9%, p=0.021). However, there were no differences in the incidence of stroke (2.8% vs. 4.5%, p＞0.274) or recurrence of myocardial infarction (4.7% vs. 5.1%, p=0,855) at 1 year. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a lower probability of 1-year MACCE and CD in the statins group (log-rank test, p<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that statin therapy reduced the incidence of MACCE (aHR 0.67; 95%CI, 0.40–0.91; p=0.009) and 1-year CD (aHR 0.63; 95%CI, 0.45–0.87; p=0.005). Conclusions Lipid-lowering therapy with statins was associated with a significantly lower risk of 1-year MACEE and cardiac death in elderly patients aged over 90 years with AMI. These findings support the use of lipid-lowing therapy in elderly individuals.

Association between impaired left ventricular global longitudinal strain and B-type natriuretic peptide in obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Abstract Background Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS) is considered valuable in explaining impaired left ventricular contractility in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) with preserved ejection fraction and is associated with worse outcome. Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a biomarker of increased LV wall stretch and a risk factor of heart failure, mortality, and other adverse cardiovascular events. However, relationship between GLS and BNP has not received sufficient attention in the obstructive variant of HCM. Purpose This study aimed to determine the association between echocardiographic LV-GLS and plasma BNP in patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM). Methods A total of 145 consecutive patients (32% females) with symptomatic HOCM were enrolled in the retrospective study. HOCM was defined with a maximum end-diastolic wall thickness ≥15mm without other etiologies for LV hypertrophy, and peak LV outflow tract (LVOT) gradient ≥30mmHg. The echocardiographic parameters regarding LV geometry, loading conditions, and GLS were evaluated according to guidelines. Patients were divided into two groups according to absolute GLS values (greater or lower than median LV-GLS). Patient baseline clinical data, echocardiographic parameters, and BNP were compared. Univariate and multivariable regression analysis were applied to identify the independent determinator of LV-GLS. Results The median value of LV-GLS of this study cohort was -13.4%. Eighty-one patients (47.6±13.4 years-old) had a |GLS|≥13.4% and 64 individuals (48.7±12.6 years-old) had a |GLS|<13.4%. No differences were found in age, gender, physical examinations, LVEF, cardiovascular comorbidities, or active medications between the two groups, except for body mass index (BMI). Patients with |GLS|≥13.4% had statistically lower BMI (24.58±2.42 vs. 26.00±3.12kg/m², p=0.030). BNP was found significantly elevated in patients with |GLS|<13.4% when compared with individuals with |GLS|≥13.4% {median (IQR); 550.05 (214.50, 899.35) vs. 182.40 (78.90, 479.90)pg/mL, p=0.004}. In univariate regression analysis, decreased |GLS| was associated with male gender, maximum and mean LV wall thickness, peak LVOT gradient, reduced mitral annular e’ velocity, elevated BNP and cardiac troponin I. In multivariable regression analysis, GLS was found independently associated with mean LV wall thickness and BNP. Conclusions In patients with symptomatic HOCM with preserved ejection fraction, impaired LV-GLS was found to be associated with plasma BNP and mean LV wall thickness, independent of gender, age, loading conditions, LVEF, or LVOT gradient. Reduced GLS may be a more sensitive surrogate in assessing increased myocardial wall tension or stretch, rather than LV contractility in these patients. Therefore, the interpretation of GLS in HOCM should shift away from systolic interest toward emphasizing its potential value in risk stratification of diastolic heart failure with preserved LVEF.Figure 1

Microcirculatory resistance after primary percutaneous coronary intervention predicts residual myocardial damage: a post hoc analysis from the CLEVER-ACS trial

Abstract Introduction Coronary microvascular dysfunction has been associated with adverse cardiovascular events following acute myocardial infarction. This study evaluates the role of the angiography-derived index of microcirculatory resistance (angio-IMR) in predicting myocardial damage in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Material and Methods In this post hoc analysis of the Controlled Level Everolimus in Acute Coronary Syndromes (CLEVER-ACS) trial, the associations between post-PCI angio-IMR of infarct-related coronary arteries (IRAs) and infarct size, microvascular obstruction (MVO), and left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) at 30 days as assessed with cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging were investigated. High post-PCI angio-IMR value was defined as a value >40 U. In non-IRAs angio-IMR was measured before the IRA-PCI. Results A total of 52 IRAs and 94 non-IRAs of 52 patients were included in the analysis. Post-PCI Angio-IMR was 41.5 (IQR 28.5–55.7) U in IRAs and pre-PCI Angio-IMR was 43.7 (31.7–54.0) U in non-IRAs (p = 0.70). Patients with high post-PCI angio-IMR (52%) exhibited a larger myocardial infarct size (36.0 [23.0–52.5] g vs. 14.5 [6.50–26.5] g, p < 0.001) and a lower LVEF (46.5 [39.5–49.5] % vs. 55.0 [48.0–61.4] %, p = 0.002) at 30 days as compared to those with low post-PCI angio-IMR values. Post-PCI angio-IMR correlated with myocardial infarct size (r = 0.45, p = 0.001) and extent of MVO (r = 0.40, p = 0.004) at 30 days. Post-PCI angio-IMR predicted myocardial infarct size (AUC = 0.78 [0.65–0.92], p = 0.001) and extent of MVO (AUC = 0.74 [0.60–0.89], p = 0.009) at 30 days. Conclusion In patients with STEMI undergoing PCI, post-PCI angio-IMR was identified as independent predictor of myocardial infarct size and extent of MVO at 30 days. The assessment of post-PCI angio-IMR values may represent a novel tool for early risk stratification of patients with STEMI.Central illustration

Identifying at-risk patients for atrial high-rate episodes by machine learning

Abstract Background Current evidence suggests that atrial high rate episodes (AHRE)/subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) are associated with increasing risk of clinical AF, and subsequently, ischaemic stroke and other adverse cardiovascular events. Purpose To construct a high-performance model by machine learning (ML) for the prediction of AHRE detected by a cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) capable of atrial sensing in a European cohort. Methods We utilized data from a prospective cohort of patients with CIED. AHRE was defined as an episode lasting at least 5 minutes with atrial rate ≥ 175 beats per minute. We divided the cohort into training and internal validation cohorts in 7:3 and used 5-fold cross-validation in the training cohort to assess model performance and prevent model overfitting. Pre-selected features were imported into eight common ML algorithms to predict AHRE, including light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), random forest (RF), logistic regression, support vector machine, multiple perceptron, eXtreme gradient boosting machine (XGBoost), Gaussian naïve Bayes, and K nearest neighbours. The importance ranking of the features was interpreted by calculating the SHapley Additive exPlanationation (SHAP) value for each feature within the optimal model. Results A total of 500 consecutive patients with CIEDs (mean age 70.2±13.3; 39.2% female) were included. Of these, 164 patients (32.8%) were found to have AHRE. Among all ML models, RF was the best performing model, which obtained the highest AUC (0.738), recall (0.673) and F1-score (0.584) in the internal validation cohort. The results of SHAP showed that antiplatelet, statin, age, white blood cell count, and cardiomyopathy were the first five important features, indicating that the RF model had good interpretability and reliability. Conclusion Our study is the first to demonstrate in a European cohort the effectiveness and feasibility of ML algorithms in predicting AHRE in patients detected by CIEDs. The best RF models require further external validation to assess generalizability to other cohorts.Figure 1Figure 2

Safety and effectiveness of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors in acute coronary syndromes: insights from the SPUM-ACS study

Abstract Aims Data on Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors (GPI) use in real world ACS patients following the introduction of potent P2Y12 inhibitors and newer generation stents are scant. Here, we aimed to assess the utilization, effectiveness, and safety of GPI in a large prospective cohort of contemporary ACS patients. Methods SPUM-ACS is a prospective, multicentre study in which ACS patients between 2009 and 2017 were recruited. The primary endpoint of the present study was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), a composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI) and non-fatal stroke at one year. Any bleeding events, BARC 3-5 bleeding, and net adverse cardiovascular events (NACE) comprised the secondary endpoints. Results A total of 4395 ACS patients were included in the analysis. GPI-treated patients had more total coronary artery occlusion (56% vs 35%, p<0.001) and thrombus (60% vs 35%, p<0.001) at angiography. Among the propensity score matched (PSM) population (1992 patients equally split into two groups), GPI-treated patients showed lower MACE risk (PSM adjusted HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49-0.99) but a higher risk of any (PSM adj HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.06-1.99) and major bleedings (PSM adj HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.09-2.76), resulting in a neutral effect on NACE (PSM adj HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.65-1.17). These results remained consistent across all subgroups. When including only patients treated with potent P2Y12, the incidence of MACE was not different between the two groups, (log rank p=0.50 and PSM adjusted HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.60-1.48). In the PSM population, GPI use (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59-0.99, p=0.04), TIMI 3 at the end of the procedure (HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.08-0.30, p<0.001) and potent P2Y12 inhibitor use (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49-0.99, p=0.04) were protective independent predictors of MACE at follow-up, while oral anticoagulation at discharge (4.48, 95% CI 2.10-9.52, p<0.001), multivessel disease (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.09-3.48, p=0.02) and KILLIP class ≥ 2 at admission (HR 1.98, 95% CI 0.99-3.95, p=0.05) were adverse independent predictors. Conclusion In ACS patients undergoing PCI and broadly treated with potent P2Y12 inhibitors, GPI use reduced the risk of MACE at 1 year, while increasing the risk of major bleedings, with a neutral effect on NACE. The routine use of these pharmacological agents should be discouraged, while in selected patients GPI use should be considered following personalized balancing between ischaemic and bleeding risk.Events in PSM populationEvents in PSM population

Number of inflamed coronary vessels in prediction of cardiac death and MACE among patients undergoing routine CCTA: the Oxford Risk Factors And Non-Invasive Imaging (ORFAN) Study

Abstract Background Coronary inflammation can be assessed by the changes in perivascular adipose tissue on routine coronary CT angiograms (CCTA). Fat attenuation index score (FAI Score) quantifies the degree of inflammation in each epicardial coronary artery, and adjusts for age, sex, scan technical parameters, biological and anatomical factors. Coronary inflammation assessment in a single coronary artery was previously shown to be predictive of cardiac events in the CRISP-CT study. However, the impact of inflammation in multiple coronary arteries on clinical outcome remains unclear. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of the number of inflamed coronary arteries with high inflammation in the risk of cardiac death, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Methods In a nested cohort within the Oxford Risk Factors And Non-invasive imaging (ORFAN) study, consecutive patients (n=3,393) who underwent routine clinical CCTA were followed up over a median(IQR) 7.7(6.4-9.1) years for cardiac mortality, and MACE (including myocardial infarction, new onset heart failure, cardiac mortality). FAI Score was calculated for each of the 3 epicardial coronary arteries. Results The number of inflamed arteries (FAI Score >75th centile) showed an additive impact on cardiac mortality compared with no inflamed arteries (all vessels FAI Score <25th centile), with hazard ratio 29.8 (95% CI 13.9-63.9, p<0.001) for 3 inflamed arteries, HR 20.4 (95% CI 9.4-44.7, p<0.001) for 2 inflamed arteries, and HR 13.0 (95% CI 5.9-28.8, p<0.001) for 1 inflamed artery. (Panel A) Similarly, patients with multiple inflamed arteries showed progressively higher risk for MACE (HR 7.2, 8.3 and 12.6 for 1-, 2- and 3-inflamed arteries respectively compared to patients with no inflamed artery). (Panel B) Patients with no inflamed arteries showed very low event rates for cardiac mortality and MACE. In patients with no obstructive CAD (n=2,651), similar trends were observed whereby patients with 3-inflamed arteries showed highest risk for cardiac mortality (Panel C) and MACE (Panel D), with intermediate risk for those with 1 or 2 inflamed arteries. Conclusion The number of coronary arteries with high inflammation, measured by FAI Score from routine CCTA, is associated with adverse cardiovascular events and cardiac mortality in an additive dose-response manner.

Left ventricular dysfunction, pulmonary congestion, or both and cardiovascular risk after acute myocardial infarction

Abstract Background Patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated by left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD), pulmonary congestion, or both are at increased risk for adverse cardiovascular events, including long-term heart failure. The EMPACT-MI trial studied the efficacy and safety of early initiation of a sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) in this population. We set out to evaluate the contemporary real-world risk associated with AMI presenting with LVSD and/or congestion and the projected impact of implementing early SGLT2i post-MI across the spectrum of risk. Purpose To evaluate the independent risk of presenting with LVSD, congestion, or both in patients with AMI. We will further explore the potential impact of the implementation of early initiation of SGLT2i in real-world clinical practice. Methods We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, analyzing AMI hospitalizations from April 2009 to March 2022, emulating the EMPACT-MI trial cohort. Patients that survived to hospital discharge were stratified by baseline presentation with LVSD (defined as LVEF<50%), signs or symptoms of congestion or both and compared with a referent group without either risk factor (none). Exclusion criteria were previously established heart failure, prior SGLT2i use, eGFR < 20 ml/min/1.73m2 or chronic dialysis. The primary outcome was a composite of HF hospitalization or all-cause mortality at 30 days and 1 year. We used a multivariable logistic regression model to report an odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for clinical risk factors. Results Among 36,837 AMI patients, 3% presented with congestion, 55% with LVSD, 10% with both, and 32% with none. Age/sex-adjusted 30-day event rates for the primary endpoint were 30%, 22%, 57%, and 7%, respectively. The corresponding adjusted ORs were 3.34 (95% CI: 2.05-5.46) for congestion, 3.58 (95% CI: 2.72-4.71) for LVSD, and 7.01 (95% CI: 5.09-9.65) for both, versus the reference group (none) (Figure 1). At year 1, a similar pattern of risk was observed (Figure 2). Based on the results of the EMPACT-MI trial being reported at the ACC conference in April 2024, relative and absolute risk differences in outcomes with implementation of early initiation of SGLT2i post-MI in real-world clinical practice across the spectrum of presentation will be reported. Conclusion Patients presenting with pulmonary congestion and/or LVSD remain at high risk of adverse cardiovascular events following AMI. This high-risk group represents an unmet need with a potential impact for improvement with novel interventions such as SGLT2i.

Orthostatic blood pressure changes and incident atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertension: Insights from the SPRINT trial

Abstract Background Exaggerated orthostatic changes in systolic blood pressure (SBP) were associated with adverse cardiovascular events. However, the predictive role of SBP hyperactivity to standing on incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. Purpose We aim to assess the association between orthostatic SBP changes and incident AF. Methods We performed a post hoc analysis of SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial), a randomized controlled trial comparing intensive (<120 mm Hg) and standard (<140 mm Hg) SBP interventions in participants with hypertension. Participants with standing SBP <110 mm Hg were not eligible for randomization according to the SPRINT protocol. Participants without AF who had seated and standing SBP measurements at baseline and available baseline or follow-up ECG were included in this analysis. Orthostatic SBP changes were defined as standing SBP minus seated SBP. Patients were grouped into tertiles of orthostatic SBP changes. AF was ascertained from the standard 12-lead ECG obtained at baseline, year 2, year 4, a close-out visit, and any visit when suspected of serious adverse events. We used Cox proportional regression models and restricted spline curves to assess the association of orthostatic SBP changes with incident AF. Results Among 8,455 participants included in this analysis, 327 incident AF cases occurred during follow-up. The restricted spline curve depicted a U-shaped relationship between orthostatic SBP changes and incident AF in the unadjusted model (P for nonlinearity = 0.012) (Figure 1). After adjusting for age, female, race, smoking, alcohol use, history of cardiovascular disease, history of chronic kidney disease, and body mass index, a SBP increase ≥ 6 mm Hg to standing was independently associated with a 43% higher risk of incident AF (HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.07-1.90; P = 0.014) compared to nonsignificant orthostatic SBP changes (>-4 mm Hg to <6 mm Hg). A SBP decrease ≥ 4 mm Hg to standing showed a nonsignificant higher risk of developing AF compared to SBP changes of >-4 mm Hg to <6 mm Hg (Figure 2). In subgroup analysis, the results presented a similar tendency to the main result. Sensitivity analyses also generated consistent results while additionally adjusting for seated and standing blood pressure or heart rate. Conclusion In this post hoc analysis of the SPRINT trial, exaggerated SBP increase to standing independently predicts incident AF.Figure 1Figure 2

Clinical characteristics and predictors of adverse cardiovascular events from the australia-new zealand spontaneous coronary artery dissection (ANZ-SCAD) registry

Abstract Background Spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) is an increasingly recognised cause of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), predominantly affecting women. Our understanding of SCAD remains incomplete with limited prospective data on determinants of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Purpose We aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of patients with SCAD from a large, multicentre SCAD registry. We aimed to identify the predictors of MACE (defined as the composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and revascularisation). Methods Observational, multi-centre prospective and retrospective cohort study recruiting patients with SCAD from 23 hospitals in Australia and New Zealand. Patients aged=>18 years with SCAD and an ACS were eligible for inclusion. Prospectively recruited patients gave their informed consent with a waiver of consent for retrospectively recruited patients. All invasive coronary angiography imaging was adjudicated by an independent core laboratory to confirm the diagnosis of SCAD. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to evaluate the association between MACE and SCAD recurrence with predefined clinical variables. Results From a total 487 patients recruited, 423 (132 prospective and 291 retrospective) patients with SCAD confirmed on core laboratory review were included for analysis. Mean age was 52.4±10.7 years, 89.7% were female and 73.1% were Caucasian. Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) was performed in 10.6% of patients. On discharge, 64% of conservatively managed patients were on dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). At 15 (interquartile range 5-36) months median follow-up, the accumulated MACE rate was 6.6%. On multivariate analysis, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) was associated with a higher risk of MACE [hazard ratio (HR) 3.50, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.56-7.89, p=0.002], while discharge on at least one antiplatelet medication was associated with a lower risk of MACE (HR 0.13, 95% CI, 0.05-0.36, p<0.001). In patients managed conservatively (n=353), discharge on at least one antiplatelet medication (n=337) was associated with lower MACE (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.1-0.73, p=0.01), with no difference between single and dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) (p=0.74). In patients managed conservatively and on DAPT (n=226), aspirin and clopidogrel was associated with a lower risk of MACE (HR 0.31, 95% CI 0.10-0.93, p=0.038) compared with DAPT consisting of aspirin and ticagrelor (HR 3.25, 95%CI 1.07-9.85 p=0.038) on multivariate analysis. Conclusion Patients with SCAD are at significant risk of MACE. In conservatively managed patients treated with DAPT, aspirin and clopidogrel was independently associated with a lower risk of MACE than aspirin and ticagrelor

Coexistence of coronary microvascular dysfunction and left ventricular hypertrophy can predict prognosis of patients with nonobstructive coronary arteries

Abstract Background Previous studies have reported that coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) were associated with adverse cardiovascular events. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic impact of coexistence of abnormal coronary flow reserve (CFR) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI). Methods and results This study included 297 patients who underwent intracoronary physiological assessment including CFR for suspected myocardial ischemia without significant stenosis in the epicardial coronary artery at our hospital from December 2019 to March 2023. Of 297 patients (female: n=89 [30%], age: 70±11 years), 93 (31%) had CMD (CFR<2.5) and 133 (45%) had LVH (LVMI>95 g/m2 for female and >115 g/m2 for male). We excluded patients with history of heart failure (HF). Patients were classified into 4 groups based on the cut-off values of CFR and LVMI: group 1 (no CMD nor LVH, n=109); group 2 (only LVH, n=95); group 3 (only CMD, n=55) and group 4 (both CMD and LVH, n=38). Patients of group 4 had a larger proportion of female (female 19%, 34%, 24% and 61% in group 1 to 4 respectively). There was no significant difference in left ventricular ejection fraction between patients of each groups. Clinical follow-up was performed for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and hospitalization for new-onset HF. During a median follow-up of 753 days, the cumulative MACE-free survival rate at 2 year were 99.0%, 98.9%, 95.6% and 90.0% in groups 1 to 4. Group 4 showed significantly higher risk of MACE at 2 year compared with group 1 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3-5.3; p=0.009). Notably, Group 4 showed the highest incidence of hospitalization for new-onset HF than any other groups. Conclusion Patients with both CMD and LVH showed significantly higher risk for MACE and new onset of HF. The combined classification based on CFR and LVMI would identify the high-risk patients for MACE as well as new-onset HF.

The long-term usage of statin prevents adverse events in patients with atrial fibrillation

Abstract Background The effectiveness of statins in preventing adverse cardiovascular events in individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF) has remained uncertain. This study aimed to assess whether statin use could lead to better outcomes among individuals with AF. Purpose Our study aimed to investigate the relationship between statin use and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with newly-diagnosed AF. Methods This study used the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) in Taiwan. We enrolled 397,787 patients with AF from January 1st, 2012, to December 31st, 2020. Patients with AF were divided into 2 groups (statin user and statin non-user), and the risks of composite outcomes (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke and transient ischemic attack [TIA]), all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs, which encompassed cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization) were analyzed. Propensity score matching with time-dependent analysis was examined. Results We analyzed 288,958 patients with newly diagnosed AF (mean age, 73 years; 44% women; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score, 3.5). Compared with patients without statin use, statin user had a lower risk of composite endpoint, which included ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke and TIA. (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% confidence interval, 0.88-0.95; p < 0.01) after adjusting for patients’ age, gender, CHA2DS2-VASc score, cardiovascular medications, and comorbidities. In regard to all-cause mortality, statin users exhibited a 62% risk reduction compared to statin non-users (hazard ratio, 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.37-0.39; p < 0.01). Statin use was also associated with reduced incidence of MACEs (hazard ratio, 0.70, 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.71; p < 0.01). In the subgroups stratified by CHA2DS2 VASc score, statin therapy was particularly effective for patients with CHA2DS2-VASc scores 0-3 for composite endpoints but consistently reduced all-cause mortality and MACEs across all score categories. Conclusions Among patients with newly diagnosed AF, statin use was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, TIA, all-cause mortality and MACEs.

Efficacy of pitavastatin in patients with HIV: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Abstract Background People with HIV (PWH) experience elevated cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, exacerbated by antiretroviral therapy-induced dyslipidemia. Managing CVD risks in PWH presents significant challenges, notably due to the potential drug interactions. Pitavastatin is a statin with minimal interactions with antiretrovirals. Methods A systematic literature search of PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases was conducted up to March 1st, 2024, for studies comparing pitavastatin in PWH. Statistical software RStudio version 4.1.2 was used. Results Three studies with a total of 8045 participants were included in this analysis. Of these 4026 (50.04%) received pitavastatin. The mean age was 49.98 years and 69.38% were male. In the pooled analysis of studies, pitavastatin significantly reduced LDL cholesterol (MD -25.47; 95% CI -35.26 to -15.69; p<0.01; I² = 91%; Figure 1A) and non-HDL cholesterol (MD -27.53; 95% CI -41.19 to -13.87; p<0.01; I² = 91%; Figure 1B). Recently, the randomized trial to prevent vascular events in HIV study showed a reduction in adverse cardiovascular events and noncalcified plaque volume, as well as a reduction in inflammatory markers including oxidized LDL. Conclusions Pitavastatin offers a promising strategy for managing dyslipidemia and reducing CVD risk in PWH by reducing cholesterol, improving coronary plaque characteristics and inflammatory markers.

Prognostic value of diffuse high-risk plaque in patients with acute myocardial infarction: a three-vessel optical coherence tomography study

Abstract Background Existing evidence has identified that high-risk plaque (HRP) characterized by a thin-cap fibroatheroma and/or a minimal lumen area ≤ 3.5 mm² were indicative of future cardiovascular events. Diffuse coronary artery disease also contributes to the poor prognosis. Purpose The present study aims to assess the prognostic value of diffuse HRP in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by using three-vessel optical coherence tomography (OCT). Methods A total of 674 patients with AMI who underwent OCT examination of three major epicardial arteries between January 2017 and December 2018 were consecutively studied. Among 2843 nonculprit lesions detected by OCT, 1375 (48.4%) HRPs were identified and divided into diffuse HRP group (lesion length >20mm, n=443) and focal HRP group (lesion length ≤20mm, n=932). Patients were followed up for a median period of 5 years. Major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) was defined as the composite of cardiac death, nonculprit lesion-related nonfatal myocardial infarction, and unplanned coronary revascularization. Results The average age of all enrolled patients is 56.7±11.4 years, with 74.9% of male. As compared with focal HRP group, diffuse HRP group had longer lesion length [25.8(23.0,30.8) mm vs. 13.2(9.8,16.1) mm, P<0.001], longer lipid length [18.6(12.3,24.9) mm vs. 7.0(4.5,10.5) mm, P<0.001], and thinner minimal fibrous cap thickness [73.3(53.3,106.7) μm vs. 93.3(60.0,130.0) μm, P<0.001], whereas mean lipid arc was comparable between the two groups. The prevalence of nonculprit plaque rupture (14.2% vs. 7.8%, P<0.001) was significantly higher in diffuse HRP group than that in the focal HRP group. Nonculprit lesions in diffuse HRP group had higher incidence of macrophage accumulation, microvessels, cholesterol crystals, calcification, and layered plaque phenotype than those in focal HRP group (all P<0.001). The incidence of nonculprit lesion-related MACE was 4.7% in diffuse HRP group and 1.7% in focal HRP group [HR: 3.155, 95% confidence interval: 1.579 to 6.301, P=0.002]. Conclusions In patients with AMI, diffuse HRP at nonculprit segment has higher levels of plaque vulnerability and is predictive of future adverse cardiovascular events. Further studies are warranted to investigate the individual treatment strategy of diffuse and focal HRP.Figure 1.Nonculprit plaque vulnerabilityFigure 2.MACE

Adverse cardiovascular events in patients with cancer: a biomarker-enhanced clinical risk score

Abstract Background/Introduction Continuously improving cancer-specific survival puts a growing proportion of cancer patients at risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), but reliable tools for cardiovascular risk prediction remain unavailable (1). Purpose To assess a broad panel of cardiovascular biomarkers and clinical risk factors and to provide a novel risk score for the prediction of MACE in cancer patients. Methods Among 2’192 patients with newly diagnosed or recurrent cancer, a broad panel of cardiovascular biomarkers, including NT-proBNP, P-/E-/L-selectins, ICAM-1, VCAM-1, sLOX-1, CRP, and Lp(a) were measured by blinded study personnel. Patients were followed prospectively for the occurrence of 2-year MACE and 5-year cardiovascular death (2,3). Uni- and multivariable competing risk models were fit to assess independent associations of cardiovascular risk factors and biomarkers with MACE, and a risk score was developed. Results Beyond clinical risk factors, ICAM-1, P-/E-/L-selectins and NT-proBNP levels were independently linked to 2-year MACE risk, though shape of associations differed markedly. A clinical risk score was derived, assigning +1 point for male sex, smoking, and age ≥60 years, and +2 points for ASCVD history, yielding a bootstrapped C-statistic of 0.76 (95%CI:0.71-0.81). Implementation of cardiovascular biomarkers conferred improved performance (0.83, 95%CI:0.78-0.88). A simplified model, solely informed by clinical variables and readily available NT-proBNP (+1 point for NT-proBNP≥230pg/mL), achieved similar performance (0.80, 95%CI:0.74-0.86), with a cumulative 2-year MACE incidence of 0% in low- and 11.0% in high-risk patients. Conclusions Cancer patients are at substantial MACE risk. The herein presented first-of-its-kind risk score, integrating traditional cardiovascular risk factors and biomarkers, including NT-proBNP, effectively predicts 2-year MACE and 5-year cardiovascular death.