Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System Research Articles

Using space lidar to infer bubble cloud depth on a global scale

Visible and microwave satellite measurements can provide the global whitecap fraction. The bubble clouds are three-dimensional structures, and a space-based lidar can provide complementary observations of the bubble depth. Here, we use lidar measurements of the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite to quantify global bubble depth from the depolarization. The relationship between CALIPSO bubble depth and wind speed from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) and AMSR2 is similar to a recently derived relationship based on buoy measurements. The CALIPSO-based bubble depth data show global distributions and seasonal variations consistent with the high wind speed (> 7 m/s) but with some variance. We also found similarities between the CALIPSO bubble depth and the whitecap fraction from AMSR2 and WindSat. Our findings support the use of spaceborne lidar measurements for advancing the understanding of the 3D bubble properties, and the ocean physics at high wind speeds.

Utilizing Data-Driven Approaches to Forecast Fluctuations in Groundwater Table

Accurate forecasting of fluctuations in groundwater table is crucial for the effective management of regional water resources. This study explores the potential of utilizing remotely sensed satellite data to predict and forecast water table variations. Specifically, two Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were developed to simulate water table fluctuations at two distinct well sites, namely BA Ea 18 and FR Df 35 in Maryland. One model leveraged the relationship between variations in brightness temperature and water table depth, while the other model was founded on the association between changes in soil moisture and water table depth. These models were trained and validated using recorded water table depths from the aforementioned wells, brightness temperature data acquired from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer—Earth Observing System (AMSR-E), and soil moisture information generated using the Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS). All models exhibited strong performance in predicting and forecasting water table fluctuations, with root mean square errors ranging from 0.043 m to 0.047 m for a 12-month forecasting horizon. Sensitivity tests revealed that the models displayed greater sensitivity to uncertainties in water table depth compared to uncertainties in both brightness temperature and soil moisture content. This underscores the feasibility of constructing an ANN-based water table prediction model, even in cases where high-resolution remotely sensed data is unavailable. In such situations, the model’s efficacy is contingent on the compatibility of the time series trends in data, such as brightness temperature or soil moisture, with those observed at the study site.

Retrieval of sea ice drift in the Fram Strait based on data from Chinese satellite HaiYang (HY-1D)

Abstract. Melting of sea ice in the Arctic has accelerated due to global warming. The Fram Strait (FS) serves as a crucial pathway for sea ice export from the Arctic to the North Atlantic Ocean. Monitoring sea ice drift (SID) in the FS provides insight into how Arctic sea ice responds to the climate change. The SID has been retrieved from Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR), Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR), Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E), and further exploration is needed for the retrieval of SID using optical imagery. In this paper, we retrieve SID in the FS using the Chinese HaiYang1-D (HY-1D) satellite equipped with the Coastal Zone Imager (CZI). A multi-template matching technique is employed to calculate the cross-correlation, and subpixel estimation is used to locate displacement vectors from the cross-correlation matrix. The dataset covering March to May 2021 was divided into hourly and daily intervals for analysis, and validation was performed using Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) SAR-based product and International Arctic Buoy Programme (IABP) buoy. A comparison with the CMEMS SID product revealed a high correlation with the daily interval dataset; however, due to the spatial and temporal variability in the sea ice motion, differences are observed with the hourly interval dataset. Additionally, validation with the IABP buoys yielded a velocity bias of −0.005 m s−1 and RMSE of 0.031 m s−1 for the daily interval dataset, along with a flow direction bias of 0.002 rad and RMSE of 0.009 rad, respectively. For the hourly interval dataset, the velocity bias was negligible (0 m s−1), with a RMSE of 0.036 m s−1, while the flow direction bias was 0.003 rad, with a RMSE of 0.010 rad. In addition, during the validation with buoys, we found that the accuracy of retrieving the SID flow direction is distinctly interrelated with the sea ice displacement.

Quantitative Changes in the Surface Frozen Days and Potential Driving Factors in Northern Northeastern China

Surface freezing and thawing processes pose significant influences on surface water and energy balances, which, in turn, affect vegetation growth, soil moisture, carbon cycling, and terrestrial ecosystems. At present, the changes in surface freezing and thawing states are hotspots of ecological research, but the variations of surface frozen days (SFDs) are less studied, especially in the permafrost areas covered with boreal forest, and the influence of the environmental factors on the SFDs is not clear. Utilizing the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSRE) and Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) brightness temperature data, this study applies the Freeze–Thaw Discriminant Function Algorithm (DFA) to explore the spatiotemporal variability features of SFDs in the Northeast China Permafrost Zone (NCPZ) and the relationship between the permafrost distribution and the spatial variability characteristics of SFDs; additionally, the Optimal Parameters-based Geographical Detector is employed to determine the factors that affect SFDs. The results showed that the SFDs in the NCPZ decreased with a rate of −0.43 d/a from 2002 to 2021 and significantly decreased on the eastern and western slopes of the Greater Khingan Mountains. Meanwhile, the degree of spatial fluctuation of SFDs increased gradually with a decreasing continuity of permafrost. Snow cover and air temperature were the two most important factors influencing SFD variability in the NCPZ, accounting for 83.9% and 74.8% of the spatial variation, respectively, and SFDs increased gradually with increasing snow cover and decreasing air temperature. The strongest explanatory power of SFD spatial variability was found to be the combination of air temperature and precipitation, which had a coefficient of 94.2%. Moreover, the combination of any two environmental factors increased this power. The findings of this study can be used to design ecological environmental conservation and engineer construction policies in high-latitude permafrost zones with forest cover.

Evaluation of Summertime Passive Microwave and Reanalysis Sea‐Ice Concentration in the Central Arctic

AbstractPassive microwave (PM) observations have been used to monitor ice retreat in the Arctic. However, various PM sea ice concentration (SIC) algorithms are prone to underestimate ice fraction during summer. We evaluated the accuracy of 2002–2019 low SICs in the Central Arctic Ocean of four PM products from the University of Bremen, the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), and the Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Application Facility (OSI SAF), and two reanalysis data sets from the fifth generation of European ReAnalysis (ERA5) and the Modern‐Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA‐2). Three reference fields were used: (a) Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) true‐color composites, (b) MODIS sea ice extent, and (c) multi‐product ensemble (MPE‐SIC) comprising the median of collocated SIC estimates. Our results indicate SICs derived from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer ‐ Earth Observing System (AMSR‐E) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) high frequency channels have the best accuracy. Reanalysis SICs indicate almost identical patterns as their remote sensing inputs. The assessment shows that the Bremen (+1.06%) and NSIDC (+0.99%) SICs are higher than the median field, while the OSI‐401 (−6.65%) and OSI‐408 (−4.64%) have negative mean deviations. The mean error of MODIS‐derived SIC (−0.80%) is smaller than PM SICs. These small mean values belie wide distributions of values. The correlation coefficients of pairs of time series of Low sea‐Ice Concentration Index range from 0.37 to 0.96.

An Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Cyclones in ERA5 Using WindSat

AbstractERA5 reanalysis output is compared to WindSat polarimetric microwave radiometer measurements for Southern Hemisphere midlatitude to high‐latitude cyclones between 2003 and 2019. WindSat provides independent measures of low‐level wind speed, total column water vapor (TCWV), cloud liquid water (CLW), and precipitation, which are not assimilated into ERA5. We implement a tracking scheme to identify cyclone centers, before using cyclone composites to match concurrent data in ERA5 and WindSat. We find ERA5 and WindSat show comparable spatial structures for all variables, although their distributions show poorer agreement for CLW and precipitation. Compared to WindSat, ERA5 underestimates TCWV by up to 5% and CLW by up to 40%. ERA5 underestimates precipitation in the warm sector by up to 15%, but overestimates in the cold sector by up to 60%. Similar biases in ERA5 are seen compared to Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR‐E) data, even though AMSR‐E radiances are assimilated into ERA5. Comparing ERA5 and WindSat across the cyclone lifecycle, strong spatial correlation is seen as the cyclone deepens and reaches peak intensity, before slightly declining as the cyclone decays. In the cold sector ERA5 shows an underestimation of CLW, yet overestimates precipitation at all lifecycle stages. However, in the warm sector precipitation is underestimated. This potentially suggests biases within the ERA5 parameterizations of cloud and precipitation causing a disconnect between the two. Despite this, ERA5 shows strong correlation with WindSat and determines cyclone structure well across the cyclone lifecycle, showing its value for use in cyclone compositing analysis.

Deep convective cloud system size and structure across the global tropics and subtropics

Abstract. A new database is constructed comprising millions of deep convective clouds that spans the global tropics and subtropics for the entire record of the MODIS instruments on the Terra and Aqua satellites. The database is a collection of individual cloud objects ranging from isolated convective cells to mesoscale convective cloud systems spanning hundreds of thousands of square kilometers in cloud area. By matching clouds in the database with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis dataset and microwave imager brightness temperatures from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer – EOS (AMSR-E) instrument, the database is designed to explore the relationships among the horizontal scale of cloud systems, the thermodynamic environment within which the cloud resides, the amount of aerosol in the environment, and indicators of the microphysical structure of the clouds. We find that the maximum values of convective available potential energy and vertical shear of the horizontal wind associated with a cloud impose a strong constraint on the size attained by a convective cloud system, although the relationship varies geographically. The cloud database provides a means of empirically studying the factors that determine the spatial structure and coverage of convective cloud systems, which are strongly related to the overall radiative forcing by cloud systems. The observed relationships between cloud system size and structure from this database can be compared with similar relationships derived from simulated clouds in atmospheric models to evaluate the representation of clouds and convection in weather forecast and climate projection simulations, including whether models exhibit the same relationships between the atmospheric environment and cloud system size and structure. Furthermore, the dataset is designed to probe the impacts of aerosols on the size and structure of deep convective cloud systems.

Reconstruct the AMSR-E/2 thin ice thickness algorithm to create a long-term time series of sea-ice production in Antarctic coastal polynyas

This study presented an extended time series of ice production in Antarctic coastal polynyas for 20 years of 2002–21 using high spatial resolution satellite data from passive microwave sensors: the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2). For this, we reconstructed the previously presented thin ice thickness algorithms and re-estimated ice production by replacing atmospheric input data for the heat flux calculations with the newly released ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5). The consistency of ice production between AMSR-E and AMSR2, whose operation periods do not overlap, was confirmed from comparisons with ice production by the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) and the Special Sensor Microwave Imager Sounder (SSMIS) with relatively coarse spatial resolution. The open ocean area, which cannot be detected from the thin ice thickness algorithm, was defined using sea-ice concentration (SIC) from AMSR-E and AMSR2. The satellite derived SIC has been suggested to be underestimated in the new thin ice (polynya) area. The effect of the underestimation on the ice production estimation was evaluated. The underestimation of SIC from three major algorithms was also investigated from comparisons with the thin ice thickness presented in this study. The coastal polynya dataset covering 20 years with the higher spatial resolution presented in this study is vital for climate-change-related studies.

Discrimination and mapping ground surface freeze and thaw states over Northeastern China based on the improved dual-index algorithm

Accurate delineation of spatiotemporal variations in ground surface soil freeze and thaw (F/T) states is essential to appraise many geoscience issues, such as the hydrological circulation and land surface-atmosphere feedbacks. Recently, an Improved Dual-index algorithm (DIA) method was proposed by accounting for the influence of soil moisture variations on the discrimination accuracy with passive microwave remote sensing (RS) data products. Compared with the original DIA, the Improved DIA method has proven to be a more practical approach on surface soil F/T states discrimination. However, the method has only been applied and verified in cold regions of high-altitude (e.g., Tibetan Plateau), it's applicability and effectiveness in the cold areas in mid-high latitudes, where the geographic and climatic conditions are quite different, yet remained to be further explored. The present study investigated the feasibility of using AMSR-E (the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS) and AMSR2 (the second Advance Microwave Scanning Radiometer) passive microwave RS data products to discriminate the F/T states of the ground surface for a long period from 2002 to 2019 by means of the Improved DIA method over a typical mid-high latitude cold region of Northeastern China. Seasonal variation characteristics of soil moisture in mid-high latitude areas were similar with those in high-altitude areas, even though the spatial heterogeneity of soil water content was significant in different regions. Discriminating surface soil F/T states with the Improved DIA method derived overall discriminating accuracy of about 91.6% in the study area, which demonstrated excellent feasibility of the Improved DIA method in mid-high latitude cold regions. The mapping results shown surface soil F/T cycle in Northeastern China responding to climate change was examined from the perspective of regional average, both the proportion of frozen soil area and frozen days showed significant decreasing trends continuously with differed quite spatially. The discriminating accuracy of the Improved DIA method was found to be lower in plain areas with dense populations and large farmland areas compared to mountainous areas when human activities were not taken into consideration, as quantifying human activities can be challenging. The Improved DIA method has been well verified in both high-altitude and high-latitude regions; it has great potential in global scale research.

Land Surface Model Calibration Using Satellite Remote Sensing Data.

Satellite remote sensing provides a unique opportunity for calibrating land surface models due to their direct measurements of various hydrological variables as well as extensive spatial and temporal coverage. This study aims to apply terrestrial water storage (TWS) estimated from the gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) mission as well as soil moisture products from advanced microwave scanning radiometer-earth observing system (AMSR-E) to calibrate a land surface model using multi-objective evolutionary algorithms. For this purpose, the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA) is used to improve the model's parameters. The calibration is carried out for the period of two years 2003 and 2010 (calibration period) in Australia, and the impact is further monitored over 2011 (forecasting period). A new combined objective function based on the observations' uncertainty is developed to efficiently improve the model parameters for a consistent and reliable forecasting skill. According to the evaluation of the results against independent measurements, it is found that the calibrated model parameters lead to better model simulations both in the calibration and forecasting period.

Processes governing seasonal and interannual change of the Antarctic sea-ice area

Seasonal and interannual variabilities of sea-ice area in the Southern Ocean were examined using daily sea-ice concentration and ice velocity products for 2003–2019, derived from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E) and AMSR2 data. This study quantified the contributions to changes in the sea-ice area due to sea-ice transport and local processes, including ice formation/melting and ice deformation. Regional differences in the processes of seasonal advance and retreat of sea ice were elucidated. In most regions, sea-ice area increases mainly due to new ice formation in the marginal ice zone during autumn and winter. However, in the Amundsen–Bellingshausen seas, ice melting occurs in the marginal ice zone, even during winter, and expansion of the ice cover is attributable mainly to off-ice transport. With regard to interannual variability, the maximum ice area for each year is highly correlated with increase of ice area attributable to the ice formation in the marginal ice zone. Revealed processes that controls sea-ice changes could help improve our understanding of the sea-ice response to climate change.

Validation of Cloud-Gap-Filled Snow Cover of MODIS Daily Cloud-Free Snow Cover Products on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau

Accurate daily snow cover extent is a significant input for hydrological applications in the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP). Although several Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) daily cloud-free snow cover products over the QTP are openly accessible, the cloud-gap-filled snow cover from these products has not yet been validated. This study assessed the accuracy of cloud-gap-filled snow cover from three open accessible MODIS daily products based on snow maps retrieved from Landsat TM images. The F1-score (FS) from daily cloud-free MODIS snow cover for the combined MOD10A1F and MYD10A1F (SC1) was 64.4%, which was 7.4% points and 5.3% points higher than the other two commonly used products (SC2 and SC3), respectively. The superior accuracies from SC1 were more evident in regions with altitudes lower than 5000 m, with a weighted average FS by the area percentage of the altitude regions of 58.3%, which was 6.9% points and 9.1% points higher than SC2 and SC3. The improved SC1 accuracies also indicated regional clustering characteristics with higher FS values compared to SC2 and SC3. The lower accuracies of cloud-gap-filled snow cover from SC2 and SC3 were mainly due to the limitation in determining snow cover based on the method of the inferred snow line and the overestimation of the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) snow water equivalent (SWE). These results indicate that the temporal filter approach used in SC1 is a good solution to produce daily cloud-gap-filled snow cover data for the QTP because of its higher accuracy and simple computation. The findings can be helpful for the selection of cloud-removal algorithms for determining snow cover dynamics and phenological parameters on the QTP.

A comparison between Envisat and ICESat sea ice thickness in the Southern Ocean

Abstract. The crucial role that Antarctic sea ice plays in the global climate system is strongly linked to its thickness. While field observations are too sparse in the Southern Ocean to determine long-term trends of the Antarctic sea ice thickness (SIT) on a hemispheric scale, satellite radar altimetry data can be applied with a promising prospect. The European Space Agency's Sea Ice Climate Change Initiative project (ESA SICCI) generates sea ice thickness derived from Envisat, covering the entire Southern Ocean year-round from 2002 to 2012. In this study, the SICCI Envisat Antarctic SIT is first compared with an Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) SIT product retrieved with a modified ice density algorithm. Both data sets are compared to SIT estimates from upward-looking sonar (ULS) in the Weddell Sea, showing mean differences (MDs) and standard deviations (SDs, in parentheses) of 1.29 (0.65) m for Envisat − ULS (− denotes “minus” and the same below), while we find 1.11 (0.81) m for ICESat − ULS. The inter-comparisons are conducted for all seasons except for winter, based on the ICESat operating periods. According to the results, the differences between Envisat and ICESat SIT reveal significant temporal and spatial variations. More specifically, the smallest seasonal SIT MD (SD) of 0.00 m (0.39 m) for Envisat − ICESat is found in spring (October–November), while a larger MD (SD) of 0.52 (0.68 m) and 0.57 m (0.45 m) exists in summer (February–March) and autumn (May–June). It is also shown that from autumn to spring, mean Envisat SIT decreases while mean ICESat SIT increases. Our findings suggest that both overestimation of Envisat sea ice freeboard potentially caused by radar backscatter originating from inside the snow layer and the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E, where EOS stands for Earth Observing System) snow depth biases and sea ice density uncertainties can possibly account for the differences between Envisat and ICESat SIT.

Exploring machine learning techniques to retrieve sea surface temperatures from passive microwave measurements

Two machine learning (ML) models are investigated for retrieving sea surface temperature (SST) from passive microwave (PMW) satellite observations from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer – Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and auxiliary data, such as ERA5 reanalysis data. The first model is the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XBG) model and the second is a multilayer perceptron neural network (NN). The performance of the two ML algorithms is compared to that of an existing state-of-the-art regression (RE) retrieval algorithm.The performance of the three algorithms is assessed using independent in situ SSTs from drifting buoys. Overall, the three models have similar biases; 0.01, 0.01 and −0.02 K for the XGB, NN and RE, respectively. The XGB model performs best with respect to standard deviation; 0.36 K. While the NN model performs slightly better than the RE model with respect to standard deviation, 0.50 and 0.55 K, respectively, the RE model is found to be more sensitive to changes in the in situ SST. Moreover, the XGB model is the least sensitive with an overall sensitivity of 0.78, compared to 0.90 for the RE model and 0.88 for the NN model.The good performance of the two ML algorithms compared to the state-of-the-art RE algorithm in this initial study demonstrates that there is a large potential in the use of ML algorithms for the retrieval of SST from PMW satellite observations.

A 41-year (1979–2019) passive-microwave-derived lake ice phenology data record of the Northern Hemisphere

Abstract. Seasonal ice cover is one of the important attributes of lakes in middle- and high-latitude regions. The annual freeze-up and breakup dates as well as the duration of ice cover (i.e., lake ice phenology) are sensitive to the weather and climate; hence, they can be used as an indicator of climate variability and change. In addition to optical, active microwave, and raw passive microwave data that can provide daily observations, the Calibrated Enhanced-Resolution Brightness Temperature (CETB) dataset available from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) provides an alternate source of passive microwave brightness temperature (TB) measurements for the determination of lake ice phenology on a 3.125 km grid. This study used Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR), Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I), and Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS) data from the CETB dataset to extract the ice phenology for 56 lakes across the Northern Hemisphere from 1979 to 2019. According to the differences in TB between lake ice and open water, a threshold algorithm based on the moving t test method was applied to determine the lake ice status for grids located at least 6.25 km away from the lake shore, and the ice phenology dates for each lake were then extracted. When ice phenology could be extracted from more than one satellite over overlapping periods, results from the satellite offering the largest number of observations were prioritized. The lake ice phenology results showed strong agreement with an existing product derived from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) data (2002 to 2015), with mean absolute errors of ice dates ranging from 2 to 4 d. Compared with near-shore in situ observations, the lake ice results, while different in terms of spatial coverage, still showed overall consistency. The produced lake ice record also displayed significant consistency when compared to a historical record of annual maximum ice cover of the Laurentian Great Lakes of North America. From 1979 to 2019, the average complete freezing duration and ice cover duration for lakes forming a complete ice cover on an annual basis were 153 and 161 d, respectively. The lake ice phenology dataset – a new climate data record (CDR) – will provide valuable information to the user community about the changing ice cover of lakes over the last 4 decades. The dataset is available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.937904 (Cai et al., 2021).

Investigating the spatio-temporal variation of vegetation water content in the western United States by blending GNSS-IR, AMSR-E, and AMSR2 observables using machine learning methods

Vegetation water content (VWC) is an important parameter when evaluating vegetation growth and climate change. The Global Navigation Satellite System Interferometric Reflectometry (GNSS-IR) technique has provided us with an effective approach for the monitoring of VWC. The normalized microwave reflection index (NMRI) was defined to reflect the change of VWC, based on the fact that the amplitude of the direct and reflected GNSS interferometric signal is related to the variation of VWC. However, the sparse distribution of the ground-site-based observation stations restricts the application of NMRI. Fortunately, microwave vegetation optical depth (VOD) is a dimensionless parameter that describes the rate of attenuation of microwaves as they pass through the vegetation canopy, which can provide spatially continuous vegetation information. In this study, we integrate the GNSS-IR NMRI dataset with Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer - Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) VOD datasets by using three machine learning models: the generalized regression neural network (GRNN) model, the back-propagation neural network (BPNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models. This method can overcome the drawbacks of sparse distribution and spatial discontinuity of GNSS-IR site data, and obtains spatio-temporally continuous NMRI products that can more intuitively and accurately reflect the variability of VWC in the study area. The results showed that the GRNN model has the best retrieval accuracy, with model fitting and cross-validation R values of 0.76 and 0.74, and root-mean-square error (RMSE) values of 0.034 and 0.035, respectively. Based on the GRNN model, we obtained a spatio-temporally continuous NMRI product to further analyze the changes in VWC from 2007 to 2018. The results indicated that the effects of ENSO events with different intensities on vegetation and precipitation are different, and the response of VWC with different vegetation types to ENSO are also different. The anomalies of VWC show a lag phenomenon and is more stable, not as sensitive as precipitation to the ENSO events.

CGAN Based Improved ASI Retrieval Algorithm for Antarctic Sea Ice Concentration

Sea ice change is closely related to the change of global atmosphere and ocean circulation, which plays an important role in the study of global climate change. Sea ice concentration is one of the important parameters to study the temporal and spatial change of sea ice. Accurately retrieving sea ice concentration is the innovation of this paper. At present, the high-resolution microwave-detected sea ice concentration product was provided by the University of Bremen, which was derived by the Arctic Radiation and Turbulence Interaction Study (ARTSIST) Sea Ice (ASI) algorithm based on the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) 89-GHz brightness temperature data. The AMSR-E/AMSR-2 89-GHz brightness temperature data has higher spatial resolution, but it is often affected by cloud and water vapor, which affects the recognition and subsequent use of ground feature. Although the weather filters can remove some errors in the edge regions of the sea water and the sea ice, the errors of the sea ice concentration in other regions cannot be removed. The generative model of Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) increases the utilization of image feature information through skip connection, which improves the removal of the influence of cloud and water vapor. The discriminative model can retain the image feature information and realize the non-linear mapping from the image to the image. The loss function can reduce the pixel-level loss, which can remove the influence of cloud and water vapor. Therefore, this paper proposed an improved ASI algorithm based on CGAN. Firstly, the relatively stable relationship between the 89-GHz brightness temperature data which is not disturbed or less affected by the external environment and the 36-GHz brightness temperature data was determined, and the 89-GHz brightness temperature data with large interference was screened. Secondly, based on the 36-GHz brightness temperature data with high reliability, the 89-GHz brightness temperature data with large interference was corrected through CGAN. Finally, the ASI algorithm was used to retrieve sea ice concentration. Compared with sea ice concentration retrieved by the ASI algorithm, the results showed that the improved ASI algorithm based on CGAN was feasible. Compared with sea ice distribution obtained from the Landsat 8 OLI-L1T data, the improved ASI algorithm based on CGAN significantly improves the inversion accuracy of sea ice concentration. The improved ASI algorithm based on CGAN makes use of the reliable 36-GHz brightness temperature data, which greatly reduces the error caused by cloud and water vapor, and the method effectively corrects sea ice concentration of the pixels affected by the external environment. Therefore, the improved ASI algorithm based on CGAN realizes high spatial resolution and significantly improves the inversion accuracy of sea ice concentration.

The impact of multi-sensor land data assimilation on river discharge estimation

River discharge is one of the most critical renewable water resources. Accurately estimating river discharge with land surface models (LSMs) remains challenging due to the difficulty in estimating land water storages such as snow, soil moisture, and groundwater. While data assimilation (DA) ingesting optical, microwave, and gravity measurements from space can help constrain theses storage states, its impacts on runoff and eventually river discharge are not fully understood. Here, by taking advantage of recently published land DA results that jointly assimilate eight different combinations of observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E), we quantify to what degree multi-sensor land DA improves the river discharge simulation skills over 40 global river basins, and investigate the complementary strengths of different satellite measurements on river discharge. To be more specific, river discharge is updated by feeding gridded runoff from the eight multi-sensor DA simulations into a vector-based river routing model named the Routing Application for Parallel computatIon of Discharge (RAPID). Our modeling results, including 7-year simulations at 177,458 river reaches globally, are used to study the seasonal to interannual variability of river discharge. It is found that assimilating GRACE has the greatest impact on global runoff patterns, leading to the most pronounced improvements in spatial river discharge in the middle and high latitudes with the R2 increased by 0.16. The seasonal variation of spatial discharge is most skillful during the boreal summer. However, our evaluation also shows model and DA still struggle to generate reasonable variability and averaged discharge over permafrost regions. By assessing how different satellites add value to discharge forecasts, this study paves the way for more advanced multi-sensor satellite data assimilation to predict the terrestrial hydrological cycle.

Climatological Changes in Soil Moisture during the 21st Century over the Indian Region Using CMIP5 and Satellite Observations

Climate data records of soil moisture (SM) are fundamental for improving our understanding of long-term dynamics in the coupled water, energy, and carbon cycles over land. However, many of these studies rely on models for which the errors are not yet fully understood over a region. This may have a considerable impact on the economic growth of the country if the model’s future predictions are used for studying long-term trends. Here we examined the spatial distribution of past, present, and future predictions of SM studied using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase5 (CMIP5) simulations for the historical period (1850–2005) and future climate projections (2006–2099) based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP-RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5). Furthermore, the performance of modeled SM with the satellite AMSR-E (Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth observation system) was studied. The modeled SM variations of 38 Global Climate Models (GCMs) show discreteness but still we observed that CESM1-CM5, CSIRO-MK3-6-0, BCC-CSM1-1, and also BCC-CSM1-1-M, NorESM1-M models performed better spatially as well as temporally in all future scenarios. However, from the spatial perspective, a large deviation was observed in the interior peninsula during the monsoon season from model to model. In addition, the spatial distribution of trends was highly diversified from model to model, while the Taylor diagram presents a clear view of the model’s performance with observations over the region. Skill score statistics also give the accuracy of model predictions in comparison with observations. The time series was estimated for the future trend of the SM along with the past few decades, whereas the preindustrial and industrial period changes were involved. Significant positive anomaly trends are noticed in the whole time series of SM during the future projection period of 2021–2099 using CMIP5 SM model datasets.

Flood Monitoring Using Enhanced Resolution Passive Microwave Data: A Test Case over Bangladesh

Monitoring floods is a major issue in water resources management and risk mitigation, especially in the Global South. Optical and radar observations, even providing a fine spatial resolution, are still limited by cloud cover interaction or insufficient temporal resolution. On the other hand, passive microwave (PMW) sensors collect information on a daily frequency with minor cloud cover interaction, but they have been historically limited in terms of spatial resolution. Here, we evaluate the capability of an enhanced spatial resolution PMW dataset (3.125 km) in monitoring spatio-temporal evolution of flood events, focusing on a major flood event that occurred in October 2005 in Bangladesh. We apply an algorithm aimed to remove the seasonal variability of surface temperature from the PMW timeseries, exploiting the difference in emissivity between dry and water-covered pixels. We assess the capability of the algorithm in capturing flood evolution and extension through the comparison with quantities obtained from optical data collected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and water level measurements. We also compare the enhanced product with the historical coarser resolution dataset by means of a variogram-based analysis to evaluate the improvements in terms of spatial representation. Finally, we evaluate the possibility to extract the water fraction within a single pixel by using an Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer—Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) emissivity dataset and compare the estimates with MODIS-derived water fractions. Our results show that the enhanced PMW product outperforms the coarser one when compared to flood mapped from optical data based on information content, indicating that it is possible to integrate such a product into the mapping of floods at a global scale on a daily basis.