Abrupt Events Research Articles

Study on anxiety, depression, and sleep conditions and their interrelations among vocational college students during the COVID-19 pandemic management normalization

ObjectiveThis study investigates the sleep patterns among vocational college students and examines their association with anxiety and depression amidst the ongoing normalization of COVID-19 management strategies.MethodsIn the period of January to February 2022, a comprehensive survey was conducted involving a random sample of 3,300 students. By employing face-to-face interviews, data on general demographics, along with levels of anxiety, depression, and sleep quality, were meticulously gathered and analyzed.ResultsOut of the 3,049 questionnaires deemed valid for analysis, the prevalence rates for anxiety, depression, and insomnia were found to be 9.7, 14.1, and 81.9%, respectively. Through regression analysis, several factors were identified as significant predictors of insomnia: female gender, a self-perceived average or poor family economic status over the last year, moderate psychological stress due to the pandemic and its associated restrictions, extended daily screen time during the pandemic, absence of a routine physical exercise regime, significant disruption or alteration of daily life routines due to the pandemic, presence of anxiety and depression symptoms during the pandemic, and only partial restoration of normal life routines post-pandemic control measures (p < 0.001, p < 0.005, or p < 0.050). A strong correlation was observed among the symptoms of anxiety, depression, and insomnia (all p < 0.001). The correlation between stress and depression, depression and insomnia, and anxiety and insomnia were 0.824, 0.714, 0.620, respectively, (all p < 0.001).ConclusionGiven the substantial impact of abrupt or prolonged crisis events, it is imperative to develop and implement specific intervention strategies aimed at safeguarding the psychological well-being of college students.

Mid to late Holocene Indian monsoon variability, aridification and civilization changes in the Deccan Plateau, India

Climate change has been a key driver throughout human history and has frequently been associated with the rise and fall of civilizations. Holocene settlement changes or population displacements were almost always preceded by changes in climate. A high-resolution sedimentary record from the western Bay of Bengal offers insights to centennial-scale mid- to late-Holocene Indian summer monsoon (ISM) variability and its role in the decline of chalcolithic human settlements on India's Deccan Plateau. Increased erosion in the Indian peninsula during the mid to late Holocene, due to aridification and agricultural expansion, is evidenced by higher sedimentation, more magnetic mineral content, coarser magnetic grain size, and increased sand content. The results from mineral magnetic and textural analyses reveal centennial-scale abrupt weak ISM during the Bond events in the core monsoon zone of India. The Deccan Chalcolithic civilizations flourished between ~4.0–3.0 ka BP owing to the favorable climatic conditions, but most of the settlements were deserted after ~3.0 ka BP. We argue that the abrupt weakening of ISM during Bond event 2 (~3.1–2.8 ka BP) caused this collapse of Deccan Chalcolithic. The results from this study together with the published records of number of settlements and summed radiocarbon dates suggest a climate-culture link in the Deccan Plateau. The weak ISM periods in this study are coherent with the records of total solar irradiance record and the percentage of hematite-stained grains from the North Atlantic and suggest solar control on these abrupt climatic events.

China is suffering from fewer but more severe Drought to flood abrupt alternation events

Drought to flood abrupt alternation (DFAA) events, as a special category of compound extreme events that suddenly shift from drought to flood conditions, have significantly greater impacts than individual drought or flood events. In this paper, we have utilized a multifactorial drought index and flood index to identify daily DFAA events occurring in mainland China and in major impact areas during the period 1961-2022. Based on drought and flood index, we have used entropy weighting method to measure the intensity of DFAA events. Our findings indicate that China's DFAA events primarily occur in the hotspots of Huang-Huai-Hai River Basin, the middle and lower Yangtze River Basin, the southeastern coastal area, and the southwestern part of the country. The most frequent and intense DFAA events occur from June to September, with varying subseasonal patterns in the frequency and intensity of events in each hotspot. The frequency of DFAA events in mainland China shows a significant decreasing trend declining at a rate of 0.25 pre year in year-round. While DFAA events occurring in the warm season tend to decrease more significantly compared to the year-round at a rate of 0.26 per year. However, the intensity of DFAA events is increasing with a rate of 0.1 per decade in both the year-round and warm season. The evolution of DFAA events and their direct causes vary non-uniformly across regions and months. Subseasonally, frequency and intensity trends diverged monthly across regions, notably with the Huang-Huai-Hai Basin and southeast coast experiencing a July decline in frequency but a surge in intensity. Our research deepens the understanding of changes in DFAA events and provides practical reference for preventing and mitigating drought-to-flood disasters in mainland China.

Strong coupling between the East Asian summer monsoon and regional hydrological conditions as evidenced by multiproxy stalagmite records for the last deglaciation

Millennial-to centennial-scale abrupt climate events during the last glacial‒interglacial transition have significant relevance to modern-day extreme climate changes, which are occurring more frequently in the context of global warming. However, the regional expression of humidity conditions during the last deglaciation and their possible forcing mechanism in northern China are controversial. Here, combined with published δ18O data, we report 35-year-resolved δ13C and 76-year-resolved Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca records from a stalagmite from 15.3 to 10.9 ka BP from Lianhua Cave, northern China. The LH4 stalagmite δ18O record clearly records a weak monsoon event during the Younger Dryas (YD) from 12.8 to 11.6 ka BP and a strong monsoon event during the Bølling-Allerød (BA) from 14.6 to 12.8 ka BP. In addition, the δ13C and trace element ratio records, which represent local hydroclimatic changes, indicate wetter conditions during the BA and drier conditions during the YD, which appear to match well with the δ18O variations on the millennial timescale. A comparison of 28 records from 17 sites along the modern margin of the China summer monsoon revealed that the BA was characterized by wet conditions; inversely, the YD was characterized by dry conditions throughout northern China, which is obviously different from the consensus of the wet YD and the dry BA in northern northeastern China. The covariance in northern China suggests that the hydrological variation may be modulated by the advance and retreat of the large-scale East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) circulation. Further comparison revealed an anticorrelated relationship between millennial-scale precipitation changes in northern China and the middle‒lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley during the last deglaciation. This correlation is analogous to the dipole precipitation mode at present, which is likely associated with the strength and position of the westerly jet and/or the western Pacific subtropical high, both of which play important roles in the spatial distribution of precipitation over eastern China.

Combining the uncombinable: corporate memories, ethnobiological observations, oceanographic and ecological data to enhance climatic resilience in small-scale fisheries

The global food production system is increasingly strained by abrupt and unpredictable weather events, which hinder communities' ability to adapt to climate variations. Despite advances in meteorological predictions, many communities lack the academic knowledge or infrastructure to interpret these complex models. This gap highlights the need for solutions that make climate forecasts more accessible and actionable, especially for communities reliant on natural resources. This study explores the potential of enhancing seasonal climate forecasts by integrating local ecological knowledge (LEK) with scientific data. Specifically, we combined ethnobiological information gathered between 2022 and 2024 with existing oceanographic and ecological data to create an ethnobiological calendar for four fishing cooperatives. An ethnographic approach was used to understand the population's ethnobiological knowledge and their perceptions of marine heatwaves and climate change impacts. Coastal monitoring data was collected using moorings that recorded temperature over a 14-year period (2010–2024). To characterize giant kelp dynamics, we used an existing dataset of multispectral Landsat images, which estimates the surface canopy biomass of giant kelp forests. Ecological monitoring was conducted annually every summer from 2006 to 2023 to record the in situ abundance of ecologically and economically important invertebrate and fish species. Combining oceanographic, ecological, and ethnographic data, allowed for alligning fishers' observations with recorded marine heatwave events and ecological shifts. Our findings revealed that these observations closely matched documented marine heatwave data and corresponding ecological changes. The integration of LEK with scientific oceanographic data can significantly improved our understanding of dynamic climate regimes, offering contextually relevant information that enhances the reliability and utility of seasonal climate forecasts. By incorporating yearly data into an ethnobiological calendar, we promote more inclusive, community-based approaches to environmental management, advocating for the integration of LEK in climate adaptation efforts, emphasizing its crucial role in strengthening resilience strategies against climatic shocks.

Deep learning-aided temporal downscaling of GRACE-derived terrestrial water storage anomalies across the Contiguous United States

The Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE-FollowOn (GRACE(−FO)) satellites have been monitoring Earth’s changes in terrestrial water storage (TWS) or surficial mass changes at monthly sampling and a spatial scale longer than ∼330 km (half wavelength) over the past two decades. At monthly sampling or revisit time, the use of satellite gravimetry is difficult to effectively monitor abrupt extreme weather events which are high-frequency, including the climate-induced hurricanes/cyclones, flash floods and droughts. The majority of the contemporary studies have focused on satellite gravimetry spatial downscaling, and not on reducing the temporal resolution of Earth’s mass change. Here, we developed a Deep Learning (DL) algorithm to downscale monthly GRACE/ GRACE(−FO) Mass Concentration (Mascon) TWS anomaly (TWSA) solutions to daily sampling over the Contiguous United States (CONUS), with the aim of monitoring rapidly evolving natural hazard episodes. The simulative performance of the DL algorithm is validated by comparing the modeling to an independent observation and the land hydrology model (LHM) predicted TWSA. To confirm that our daily and monthly simulations captured the climatic variations, we first compared our simulations with El Niño/La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO) circulation system index, which has a dominant climatological and socioeconomic impact across CONUS, and results reveal high correlations which are statistically significant. Next, we assessed the feasibilities to detect long- and short-term variations in the TWSA signals triggered by hydrological extremes, including the 2011 and 2019 Missouri River Floods, the August 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Harvey landfalls in Texas, the 2012–2017 drought in California, and the flash drought in the Northern Great Plains in 2017. Additional validation results using independent in situ observations reveal that our DL-aided gravimetry downscaled daily simulations are capable of elucidating hazards and water cycle evolutions at high temporal resolution.

Permafrost Degradation Induces the Abrupt Changes of Vegetation NDVI in the Northern Hemisphere

AbstractPermafrost, widely distributed in the Northern Hemisphere, plays a vital role in regulating heat and moisture cycles within ecosystems. In the last four decades, due to global warming, permafrost degradation has accelerated significantly in high latitudes and altitudes. However, the impact of permafrost degradation on vegetation remains poorly understood to date. Based on active layer thickness (ALT) monitoring data, meteorological data and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data, we found that most ALT‐monitored sites in the Northern Hemisphere show an increasing trend in NDVI and ALT. This suggests an overall increase in NDVI from 1980 to 2021 while permafrost degradation has been occurring. Permafrost degradation positively influences NDVI growth, with the intensity of the effects varying across land cover types and permafrost regions. Furthermore, based on Mann‐Kendall trend test, we detected abrupt changes in NDVI and environmental factors, further confirming that there is a strong consistency between the abrupt changes of ALT and NDVI, and the consistency between the abrupt change events of ALT and NDVI is stronger than that of air temperature and precipitation. These findings work toward a better comprehending of permafrost effects on vegetation growth in the context of climate change.

Feedbacks From Young Permafrost Carbon Remobilization to the Deglacial Methane Rise

AbstractThe abrupt warming events punctuating the Termination 1 (about 11.7–18 ka Before Present, BP) were marked by sharp rises in the concentration of atmospheric methane (CH4). The role of permafrost organic carbon (OC) in these rises is still debated, with studies based on top‐down measurements of radiocarbon (14C) content of CH4 trapped in ice cores suggesting minimum contributions from old and strongly 14C‐depleted permafrost OC. However, organic matter from permafrost can exhibit a continuum of 14C ages (contemporaneous to >50 ky). Here, we investigate the large‐scale permafrost remobilization at the Younger Dryas‐Preboreal transition (ca. 11.6 ka BP) using the sedimentary record deposited at the Lena River paleo‐outlet (Arctic Ocean) to reflect permafrost destabilization in this vast drainage basin. Terrestrial OC was isolated from sediments and characterized geochemically measuring δ13C, Δ14C, and lignin phenol molecular fossils. Results indicate massive remobilization of relatively young (about 2,600 years) permafrost OC from inland Siberia after abrupt warming triggered severe active layer deepening. Methane emissions from this young fraction of permafrost OC contributed to the deglacial CH4 rise. This study stresses that underestimating permafrost complexities may affect our comprehension of the deglacial permafrost OC‐climate feedback and helps understand how modern permafrost systems may react to rapid warming events, including enhanced CH4 emissions that would amplify anthropogenic climate change.

Tracing 40,000 years of vegetation change in the Baetic-Rifan biodiversity hotspot

This study presents a 40,000-year-old pollen record from Los Tollos Lake in the Baetic-Rifan region of southernmost Spain. The data offer insights into the past ecosystems of a current biodiversity hotspot situated at the ecotone between the Atlantic and the Mediterranean. This new sequence encompasses Mediterranean and Ibero-North African sclerophylls, broad-leaf trees, conifers, and Tertiary relicts. The full-glacial abundance of mesothermophytes, particularly oaks, is among the highest recorded for the European Quaternary. Notably, the presence of ecologically significant pollen taxa, which are poorly dispersed and currently occur outside the study area, suggests that this biodiversity hotspot was more extensive in the Pleistocene. During the period of c. 40.8–36.5 ka, three Artemisia maxima at 40.6, 38.9, and 36.9 ka coincide with decreases in Quercus, indicating the spread of steppes in response to the abrupt coolings of the GS10, GS9 (HS4), and GS8 events. Similarly, increases in Quercus around 41, 40, and 37.2–38.3 ka parallel the GI10, GI9, and GI8 warm events. A forested period from 36.5–32 ka includes oak expansions during the GI7 and GI6 interstadials. From 32 to 19.2 ka, more xerophytic vegetation is observed, including the HS3, GS5-GS3, HS2, and GS2.1b-c cold spells, although the correlation with vegetation changes is not synchronous. As early as approximately 21 ka, Artemisia definitively declines, while the region was reforesting, likely due to the presence of stationary populations of broadleaf trees and conifers in the southern Baetic mountains. From approximately 12 ka onwards, the highest values of angiosperm trees are recorded, with oaks dominating throughout most of the Holocene. The pollen record and the correlation with marine records suggest a more intense hydrological regime during the first half of the Holocene, but there is also archaeobotanical evidence for human activity during the second half, resulting in a more open landscape, making it difficult to discriminate the impact of each factor. Some abrupt aridity events during the Holocene coincide with small variations in tree cover, particularly at 9.2, 8.2, 6.8, 5.5–4.8, 4.2, and 2.8 ka. Since the Neolithic and during the metallurgic stages, forest species, especially broad-leaf trees, experienced range retraction accompanied by population extinctions. The region's plant communities have been subject to fire regimes since the Pleistocene, seemingly dependent on the available tree biomass.

Long- and short-term coupling of sea surface temperature and atmospheric CO2 during the late Paleocene and early Eocene

The late Paleocene and early Eocene (LPEE) are characterized by long-term (million years, Myr) global warming and by transient, abrupt (kiloyears, kyr) warming events, termed hyperthermals. Although both have been attributed to greenhouse (CO2) forcing, the longer-term trend in climate was likely influenced by additional forcing factors (i.e., tectonics) and the extent to which warming was driven by atmospheric CO2 remains unclear. Here, we use a suite of new and existing observations from planktic foraminifera collected at Pacific Ocean Drilling Program Sites 1209 and 1210 and inversion of a multiproxy Bayesian hierarchical model to quantify sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric CO2 over a 6-Myr interval. Our reconstructions span the initiation of long-term LPEE warming (~58 Ma), and the two largest Paleogene hyperthermals, the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM, ~56 Ma) and Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 (ETM-2, ~54 Ma). Our results show strong coupling between CO2 and temperature over the long- (LPEE) and short-term (PETM and ETM-2) but differing Pacific climate sensitivities over the two timescales. Combined CO2 and carbon isotope trends imply the carbon source driving CO2 increase was likely methanogenic, organic, or mixed for the PETM and organic for ETM-2, whereas a source with higher δ13C values (e.g., volcanic degassing) is associated with the long-term LPEE. Reconstructed emissions for the PETM (5,800 Gt C) and ETM-2 (3,800 Gt C) are comparable in mass to future emission scenarios, reinforcing the value of these events as analogs of anthropogenic change.

COMPARING SCIENTIFIC COMPUTING ENVIRONMENTS FOR SIMULATING 2D NON-BUOYANT FLUID PARCEL TRAJECTORY UNDER INERTIAL OSCILLATION: A PRELIMINARY EDUCATIONAL STUDY

This study presents a preliminary numerical investigation of the two-dimensional trajectory of a non-buoyant fluid parcel subjected to inertial oscillations and abrupt external forcing events. The simulations were implemented using Python, GNU Octave, R, Julia, and Fortran open-source scientific computing environments. By running 1,000 iterations in each environment, we evaluated the computational performance of these languages in tackling this idealized problem. The results, visualized through static plots and animation, validate the numerical model's ability to represent the fundamental physics governing fluid motion. Statistical analysis using the Kruskal-Wallis test and Dunn's post-hoc test with Bonferroni correction revealed that Fortran exhibits significantly faster execution times than other environments. However, the choice of programming language should also consider factors such as coding expertise, library availability, and scalability requirements. This study focuses on the performance of scientific computing environments within each language rather than the languages themselves. The observed execution times should be interpreted in the context of the specific environments used, as they often leverage optimized libraries written in lower-level languages. Despite the limitations of this work, such as the simplified 2D model and the use of a single hardware configuration, this study provides valuable insights into selecting appropriate computational tools. It contributes to educational resources for teaching idealized fluid dynamics models. Future studies could explore more complex scenarios, a more comprehensive range of programming environments, and the impact of different numerical schemes and physical parameterizations.

Shattering event: The sensory mechanics of infrastructural breakdown in Kolyma, Russia

ABSTRACT Recent debates in anthropology and sociology have focused on non-events, with the difference between everyday violence and abrupt life-changing events disappearing, though abundant studies on disaster memories demonstrate the significance of collective shattering events even in lives characterized by immense ordinary suffering. This article uses the historical example of the large-scale breakdown of public utilities in an industrial community in Kolyma, Russia, in 1993–94 to bridge the gap between these two poles by describing the sensory mechanics of shattering. Based on insights from the cultural theory of modern senses, I argue that, in Kolyma, shattering involved the restructuring of the inhabitants’ sensorium shaped by the ecology of effortless modern amenities, particularly centralized heating. It occurred through redressing of attention and transformation in the shared materiality, with new substances, such as wastewater or bodily heat, coming into sensory exchanges in defiance of previous social conventions. I conclude by demonstrating the importance of collective shattering for local history, even in the absence of a discernible political turning point.

Paleolimnological Investigations in Coastal Sarıkum Lagoon, Sinop, Turkey

Lagoons are dynamic systems, making ecosystem management difficult. Paleolimnological approach is the only way to track past long term environmental changes and background conditions that are essential to build environmental management plans. Here, we investigated a sediment record from Sarıkum Lagoon, on the Black Sea coastal plain in North Anatolia, through a multiproxy paleolimnological approach to reveal long term environmental change and background conditions in the lake. For which, dry weight, organic and carbonate carbon, chlorophyll a (including its main diagenetic products), magnetic susceptibility and ostracod analysis were undertaken. The core was dated via radionuclide technique. At around 30 cm of the sediment record, there are abrupt transitions in all proxies, indicating a massive sediment input, a transition from transitional water to lacustrine environment, and lake’s biota also changed. Biological proxies preserved in the sediments suggest that the latest zone, after this event, is represented by lacustrine and hydrologically more isolated conditions from the Black Sea. Whatever the reason of that event (e.g. earthquake, flood), Sarıkum Lagoon has had lacustrine conditions during the last ~ 2 and half centuries following that abrupt event. This long term environmental change information should be considered while making future ecosystem management and conservation plans for the lake. (e.g. keep the lake connected with the Black Sea).

Extreme events in SQUID trimer

The formation of distinct intermittent large-amplitude dynamics has been investigated in three magnetically coupled Superconducting QUantum Interference Devices (SQUIDs). The proposed model manifests abrupt large-amplitude events from a bounded region at sporadic time intervals. The unforeseen deviation occurs from either regular or chaotic motion via different dynamical processes of interior crisis-induced intermittency, Pomeau–Manneville intermittency, and quasiperiodic intermittency. The advent of extremely large-amplitude dynamics and their transition are evaluated, using appropriate dynamical and statistical analyses. Our observation enlightened the possibility of utilizing the SQUIDs more efficiently and harmlessly in distinct applications while taking note of the emergence of atypical behavior in the system.

Salt production by ignition during the prehistory in the Iberian Peninsula with special focus on the archaeological site of Espartinas (Ciempozuelos, Spain)

One of the prehistoric techniques of salt production consisted of using ceramic vessels, known as briquetage, for the artificial evaporation of salt water. This paper summarizes all the archaeological sites throughout the Iberinan Peninsula where briquetage has been described to date, with special focus on the well-studied archaeological site of Espartinas saltworks. At Espartinas we found the use of two different kinds of ceramics, which points to a two-step process also involving halfah or esparto grass, which may well have been used for transport or/and as an insulating layer between the vessels walls and the mass of salt to facilitate the extraction of whole salt cakes. Palaeoenvironmental conditions at Espartinas have also been described based on local and regional pollen records and compared with the dry conditions associated to the so-called “4.2 cal kyr BP abrupt climatic event”. Despite the reduced amount of radiocarbon dating, the briquetage appears have been present in the studied region from the Late Neolithic to at least the Bronze Age. However, we cannot discard the fact that it might have reached the early Roman period, when salt evaporation ponds replaced this laborious technique. Moreover, briquetage distribution has been compared with evaporite outcrops throughout the Iberian Peninsula and it has been observed a characteristic pattern with a preference for peripheral, near to coast regions, with the exception of from Aranjuez-Getafe lower-Miocene lacustrine evaporites in central Iberia. Briquetage spread also shows a marked correlation with sites characterized by the presence of Atlantic halberds the first true metal weapon ever made in Western Europe and part of the warrior panoply of Late Copper Age/Early Bronze Age elites. At least during this period, these findings suggest that briquetage was used to obtain solid salt cakes easily transportable to medium and large distances by Atlantic and intra-Iberian trade exchange networks, which confirms previous studies that associate Bell Beaker phenomenon with salt circulation.

An Inconsistent ENSO Response to Northern Hemisphere Stadials Over the Last Deglaciation

AbstractThe dynamics shaping the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation's (ENSO) response to present and future climate change remain unclear, partly due to limited paleo‐ENSO records spanning past abrupt climate events. Here, we measure Mg/Ca ratios on individual foraminifera to reconstruct east Pacific subsurface temperature variability, a proxy for ENSO variability, across the last 25,000 years, including the millennial‐scale events of the last deglaciation. Combining these data with proxy system model output reveals divergent ENSO responses to Northern Hemisphere stadials: enhanced variability during Heinrich Stadial 1 (H1) and reduced variability during the Younger Dryas (YD), relative to the Holocene. H1 ENSO likely intensified through meltwater‐induced changes to ocean/atmospheric circulation, a response observed in models, but the lack of a similar response during the YD challenges model simulations. We suggest the tropical Pacific mean state during H1 primed ENSO for larger fluctuations under meltwater forcing, whereas the YD mean state likely buffered against it.

Sensitivity of ocean circulation to warming during the Early Eocene greenhouse

Multiple abrupt warming events ("hyperthermals") punctuated the Early Eocene and were associated with deep-sea temperature increases of 2 to 4 °C, seafloor carbonate dissolution, and negative carbon isotope (δ13C) excursions. Whether hyperthermals were associated with changes in the global ocean overturning circulation is important for understanding their driving mechanisms and feedbacks and for gaining insight into the circulation's sensitivity to climatic warming. Here, we present high-resolution benthic foraminiferal stable isotope records (δ13C and δ18O) throughout the Early Eocene Climate Optimum (~53.26 to 49.14 Ma) from the deep equatorial and North Atlantic. Combined with existing records from the South Atlantic and Pacific, these indicate consistently amplified δ13C excursion sizes during hyperthermals in the deep equatorial Atlantic. We compare these observations with results from an intermediate complexity Earth system model to demonstrate that this spatial pattern of δ13C excursion size is a predictable consequence of global warming-induced changes in ocean overturning circulation. In our model, transient warming drives the weakening of Southern Ocean-sourced overturning circulation, strengthens Atlantic meridional water mass aging gradients, and amplifies the magnitude of negative δ13C excursions in the equatorial to North Atlantic. Based on model-data consistency, we conclude that Eocene hyperthermals coincided with repeated weakening of the global overturning circulation. Not accounting for ocean circulation impacts on δ13C excursions will lead to incorrect estimates of the magnitude of carbon release driving hyperthermals. Our finding of weakening overturning in response to past transient climatic warming is consistent with predictions of declining Atlantic Ocean overturning strength in our warm future.

Bayhead delta succession as a stratigraphic marker of sea‐level changes during the early to late Holocene – the Nakdong valley of south‐eastern Korea

ABSTRACTBayhead deltas form at the interface between fluvial and estuarine systems. As such, they are sensitive to processes operating in both the fluvial catchment and the marine realm, including past relative sea‐level changes. The Nakdong valley is a small and confined incised valley containing a bayhead delta that provides a record of fluvial sediment input and accommodation changes. Based on a facies analysis that included 833 sediment textures and 118 optically stimulated luminescence and radiocarbon ages within five cores up to 70 m long, this study reconstructed the development of a fully filled bayhead delta in response to relative sea‐level changes through the early to late Holocene. Sixteen facies are defined and grouped into eight facies associations: alluvial plain; fluvial channel and floodplain; oxidized fluvial channel; tidal flat; tidal bar; central basin and bayhead prodelta; bayhead delta front; and bayhead delta plain. The sequence stratigraphy of the Nakdong valley fill can be divided into three systems tracts: a lowstand systems tract, a transgressive systems tract and a highstand systems tract. Overall sedimentary analyses suggest six depositional stages corresponding to variations between sediment inputs and sea‐level rise of the developing bayhead delta in the Nakdong valley. The depositional model tracks relative sea‐level rise in the Nakdong valley after 12 ka during the early to late Holocene. These analyses on the Nakdong bayhead delta succession illustrate the balance between sediment inputs and periods of accelerating and decelerating relative sea‐level rise during the Holocene. The architecture of the valley fill also records two abrupt disequilibrium events from 9 to 8 ka and 5 to 3 ka, likely resulting from rapid sea‐level rise during the deglacial outburst flooding of the early Holocene and decreased sediment inputs during regional climatic changes associated with the middle Holocene, respectively.

Dividing time-An absolute chronological study of material culture from Early Iron Age urnfields in Denmark.

Chronological frameworks based on artefact typologies are essential for interpreting the archaeological record, but they inadvertently treat transitions between phases as abrupt events and disregard the temporality of transformation processes within and between individual phases. This study presents an absolute chronological investigation of a dynamic material culture from Early Iron Age urnfields in Denmark. The chronological framework of Early Iron Age in Southern Scandinavia is largely unconstrained by absolute dating, primarily due to it coinciding with the so-called 'Hallstatt calibration plateau' (c.750 to 400 cal BC), and it is difficult to correlate it with Central European chronologies due to a lack of imported artefacts. This study applies recent methodological advances in radiocarbon dating and Bayesian chronological modelling, specifically a statistical model for wood-age offsets in cremated bone and presents the first large-scale radiocarbon investigation of regional material culture from Early Iron Age in Southern Jutland, Denmark. Dated material is primarily cremated bone from 111 cremation burials from three urnfields. The study presents absolute date ranges for 16 types of pottery and 15 types of metalwork, which include most of the recognised metalwork types from the period. This provides new insights into gradual change in material culture, when certain artefact types were in production and primary use, how quickly types were taken up and later abandoned, and distinguishing periods of faster and slower change. The study also provides the first absolute chronology for the period, enabling correlation with chronologies from other regions. Urnfields were introduced at the Bronze-Iron Age transformation, which is often assumed to have occurred c.530-500 BC. We demonstrate that this transformation took place in the 7th century BC, however, which revives the discussion of whether the final Bronze Age period VI should be interpreted as a transitional phase to the Iron Age.

Network state transitions during cortical development.

Mammalian cortical networks are active before synaptogenesis begins in earnest, before neuronal migration is complete, and well before an animal opens its eyes and begins to actively explore its surroundings. This early activity undergoes several transformations during development. The most important of these is a transition from episodic synchronous network events, which are necessary for patterning the neocortex into functionally related modules, to desynchronized activity that is computationally more powerful and efficient. Network desynchronization is perhaps the most dramatic and abrupt developmental event in an otherwise slow and gradual process of brain maturation. In this Review, we summarize what is known about the phenomenology of developmental synchronous activity in the rodent neocortex and speculate on the mechanisms that drive its eventual desynchronization. We argue that desynchronization of network activity is a fundamental step through which the cortex transitions from passive, bottom-up detection of sensory stimuli to active sensory processing with top-down modulation.