5-year Cumulative Rate Research Articles

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Generalization in Patients With Ocular Myasthenia Gravis.

BackgroundThis study aims to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities in patients with ocular myasthenia gravis (OMG).MethodsIn total, 501 eligible patients with OMG treated at seven tertiary hospitals in China between January 2015 and May 2019 were included. The primary outcome measure was disease generalization. A nomogram for predicting 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities was constructed using a stepwise Cox regression model. Nomogram performance was quantified using C-indexes and calibration curves. Two-year cumulative generalization rates were analyzed using the Kaplan−Meier method for distinct nomogram-stratified risk groups. The clinical usefulness of the nomogram was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).ResultThe eligible patients were randomly divided into a development cohort (n=351, 70%) and a validation cohort (n=150, 30%). The final model included five variables: sex, onset age, repetitive nerve stimulation findings, acetylcholine receptor antibody test results, and thymic status. The model demonstrated good discrimination (C-indexes of 0.733 and 0.788 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively) and calibration, with good agreement between actual and nomogram-estimated generalization probabilities. Kaplan−Meier curves revealed higher 2-year cumulative generalization rates in the high-risk group than that in the low-risk group. DCA demonstrated a higher net benefit of nomogram-assisted decisions compared to treatment of all patients or none.ConclusionThe nomogram model can predict 1- and 2-year generalization probabilities in patients with OMG and stratified these patients into distinct generalization risk groups. The nomogram has potential to aid neurologists in selecting suitable patients for initiating immunotherapy and for enrolment in clinical trials of risk-modifying treatments.

Application of mechanical debulking in arteriosclerosis occlusive disease of lower extremity

Objective: To evaluate the effect of mechanical debulking in treating arteriosclerosis occlusive disease of lower extremity. Methods: The clinical data of 52 arteriosclerosis occlusive disease of lower extremity cases treated with Rotarex mechanical debulking system from June 2017 to June 2020 at Department of Intervention Vascular Surgery,Peking University Third Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. There were 37 males and 15 females,aged(69.4±10.1)years(range:47 to 89 years).Lesion length was (21.6±12.9)cm(range:4 to 45 cm),occlusion length was (18.5±11.8)cm(range:4 to 45 cm).The lesion was located in iliac artery(IA) in 6 cases,femoral-popliteal artery(FPA) in 42 cases,and both IA and FPA in 4 cases. All the cases were treated with Rotarex mechanical debulking system. Residual stenosis more than 50% were treated with percutaneous transluminal angioplasty(PTA).Drug coated balloon was used in part of them,and stent was used only when it was necessary. The patient's operation, complications, postoperative target vessel restenosis and reoperation were collected. The paired sample t test and rank sum test was used for data comparison and the postoperative target vessel patency rate was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Results: All the 52 cases obtained technical success. Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty was used in all cases,and drug coated balloon were used in 11 cases. Twenty-six stents were implanted in 24 cases (2 cases implanted 2 stents).Nine stents were implanted in IA and 15 in FPA. The length of stents was (11.3±3.3)cm(range:6 to 23 cm).There were 3 procedure related complications: one of them was acute occlusion in an iliac lesion,and thrombectomy was applied urgently,and the result was good. And the other two were distal embolism. The thrombus were took out with guiding catheter. The hospital stay was (4.8±1.9)days. The ankle brachial index increased from 0.34±0.16 to 0.81±0.16 after treatment(t=-25.160,P<0.01).The Rutherford stages decreased from (M(IQR)) 3(1) to 1(1(Z=-6.825,P<0.01).The median followed up time was 19 months(range:6 to 42 months).Two cases stopped antiplatelet agents during follow-up and which result in acute thrombosis 2 weeks and 2 months later respectively. One of them was treated with percutaneous mechanical thrombectomy and the other one was not for gastrointestinal hemorrhage. Four cases died during follow-up,one case died of lung cancer,one died of abdominal infection,and the other 2 cases died of cardiovascular disease,and no amputation was observed. Target lesion restenosis(TLR) more than 50% occurred in 13 cases during the follow-up. All TLR were observed in FPA,and target lesion revascularization was taken in 3 of them. According to Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis,half-year,1-year and 2-year cumulative patency rates of target vessels in this group was 94.2%,87.4% and 51.4%, respectively. And half-year and 1-year cumulative patency rates just in FPA cases was 92.9% and 84.3%, respectively. Conclusions: Percutaneous mechanical debulking using Rotarex catheter combining PTA can reduce the use of stents in femoral-popliteal artery. It is safe and effective in treating with arteriosclerosis obliterans of lower extremity.

Cardiovascular Outcomes in the Patients With Colorectal Cancer: A Multi-Registry-Based Cohort Study of 197,699 Cases in the Real World.

PurposeWe aimed to investigate the mortality patterns and quantitatively assess the risks of cardiovascular death (CVD) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). We also established a competing-risk model to predict the probability of CVD for patients with CRC.Patients and MethodsPatients with CRC who diagnosed between 2007 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were included in the present study. The cumulative incidence function (CIF) was used for CVD and other causes of death, and Gray’s test was used to determine the subgroup difference in CIF. The Fine-Gray proportional subdistribution hazards model was used for identifying independent risk factors for CVD. A novel competing-risk model was established to evaluate the probability of CVD for patients with CRC. The performance of the nomogram was measured by concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk stratification.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 37.00 months, 79,455 deaths occurred, of whom 56,185 (70.71%) succumbed to CRC and 23,270 (29.29%) patients died due to non-CRC, among which CVD accounted for 9,702 (41.69%), being the major cause of non-cancer deaths. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative rates for CVD were 12.20, 24.25, and 30.51%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, age, race, marital status, tumor size, tumor stage, advanced stage, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent risk factors of CVD among patients with CRC. The nomogram was well calibrated and had good discriminative ability, with a c-index of 0.719 (95% CI, 0.738–0.742) in the training cohort and 0.719 (95% CI, 0.622–0.668) in the validation cohort. DCA demonstrated that nomogram produced more benefit within wide ranges of threshold probabilities for 1-, 3-, and 5-year CVD, respectively.ConclusionThis study was the first to analyze the CIF and risk factors for CVD among CRC based on a competing-risk model. We have also built the first 1-, 3-, and 5-year competing nomogram for predicting CVD. This nomogram had excellent performance and could help clinicians to provide individualized management in clinical practice.

Metachronous peritoneal metastases in patients with pT4b colon cancer: An international multicenter analysis of intraperitoneal versus retroperitoneal tumor invasion

BackgroundIt was hypothesized that colon cancer with only retroperitoneal invasion is associated with a low risk of peritoneal dissemination. This study aimed to compare the risk of metachronous peritoneal metastases (mPM) between intraperitoneal and retroperitoneal invasion. MethodsIn this international, multicenter cohort study, patients with pT4bN0-2M0 colon cancer who underwent curative surgery were categorized as having intraperitoneal invasion (e.g. bladder, small bowel, stomach, omentum, liver, abdominal wall) or retroperitoneal invasion only (e.g. ureter, pancreas, psoas muscle, Gerota's fascia). Primary outcome was 5-year mPM cumulative rate, assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. ResultsOut of 907 patients with pT4N0-2M0 colon cancer, 198 had a documented pT4b category, comprising 170 patients with intraperitoneal invasion only, 12 with combined intra- and retroperitoneal invasion, and 16 patients with retroperitoneal invasion only. At baseline, only R1 resection rate significantly differed: 4/16 for retroperitoneal invasion only versus 8/172 for intra- +/− retroperitoneal invasion (p = 0.010). Overall, 22 patients developed mPM during a median follow-up of 45 months. Two patients with only retroperitoneal invasion developed mPM, both following R1 resection. The overall 5-year mPM cumulative rate was 13% for any intraperitoneal invasion and 14% for retroperitoneal invasion only (Log Rank, p = 0.878), which was 13% and 0%, respectively, in patients who had an R0 resection (Log Rank, p = 0.235). ConclusionThis study suggests that pT4b colon cancer patients with only retroperitoneal invasion who undergo an R0 resection have a negligible risk of mPM, but this is difficult to prove because of its rarity. This observation might have implications regarding individualized follow-up.

Synchronous multiple primary tumors in patients with malignant lymphoma: a retrospective study

BackgroundSynchronous multiple primary malignant tumors (sMPMTs) are sometimes diagnosed in patients with malignant lymphoma. We herein investigated the prognostic impact of sMPMT in lymphoma patients and the optimal treatment strategy.MethodsSeventy-five patients with sMPMTs (5.8%) among 1285 patients with lymphoma newly diagnosed between August 2004 and April 2020 were enrolled.ResultsIn patients with indolent lymphoma, those with sMPMTs had a worse prognosis than those without sMPMTs (5-year overall survival [OS]: 73.4% and 87.8%, respectively; P = 0.047). Among those with high and low tumor burden, the cumulative rate of death due to solid tumors was significantly higher in patients with sMPMTs than those without sMPMTs (high tumor burden: 26.7% vs. 1.6%, P < 0.001; low tumor burden: 12.7% vs. 1.0%, P = 0.003). The presence of sMPMTs did not have a significant impact on outcomes in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) (5-year OS: 65.4% and 66.9%, respectively; P = 0.74; 5-year progression-free survival [PFS]: 65.5% and 59.9%, respectively; P = 0.65). However, the cumulative rate of death from solid tumor in patients with sMPMTs was significantly higher than in patients without sMPMTs (5-year cumulative rate: 7.4% and 2.1%, respectively; P = 0.004). The treatment sequence did not have a significant effect on outcomes or the relative dose intensity of chemotherapy.ConclusionsIn patients with indolent lymphoma, those with sMPMTs had a significantly worse prognosis than those without sMPMTs, mainly because of high mortality due to solid tumors. The presence of sMPMTs was not a significant prognostic factor in patients with DLBCL. It is important to assess the status and need for early treatment of each type of malignancy in patients with sMPMTs.

Recurrent metastasis risk factors in esophageal cancer after salvage endoscopic resection for local failure following chemoradiotherapy.

Although salvage endoscopic resection is an optimal treatment for local failure after chemoradiotherapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, recurrent metastasis (lymph node and/or distant metastasis) after salvage endoscopic resection may occur with a certain degree of unavoidable frequency and is associated with a poor prognosis. However, the risk factors for recurrent metastasis are unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the risk factors for recurrent metastasis after salvage endoscopic resection. Patients who underwent salvage endoscopic resection for local failure after chemoradiotherapy/radiotherapy were analyzed in this single-center, retrospective study. We evaluated the cumulative incidence rates of recurrent metastases, overall survival, and the risk factors for recurrent metastasis after salvage endoscopic resection. We analyzed 132 patients. The 5-year cumulative incidence rate of recurrent metastases after salvage endoscopic resection was 25.7%. The 5-year overall survival rates in all patients and in patients with recurrent metastasis were 66.8% and 22.5%, respectively. Local failure pattern with a residual lesion after chemoradiotherapy/radiotherapy (subdistribution hazard ratio 2.34; P = 0.012) and the presence of lymphatic invasion in salvage endoscopic resection specimen (subdistribution hazard ratio 3.20; P = 0.002) were significant risk factors for recurrent metastasis. Patients with local failure pattern with a residual lesion after chemoradiotherapy/radiotherapy and presence of lymphatic invasion have a high risk for recurrent metastasis. Thus, appropriate surveillance for these patients should be considered.

Long-term surgical outcomes of intracranial epidermoid tumors: impact of extent of resection on recurrence and functional outcomes in 63 patients.

The authors' objective was to reevaluate the role of microsurgery for epidermoid tumors by examining the associations between extent of resection (EOR), tumor control, and clinical outcomes. This was a retrospective study of patients with microsurgically treated intracranial epidermoid tumors. The recurrence-free and intervention-free rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. EOR was graded as gross-total resection (GTR) (total resection without residual on MRI), near-total resection (NTR) (a cyst lining was left in place), subtotal resection (STR) (> 90% resection), and partial resection (PR) (any other suboptimal resection) and used to stratify outcomes. Sixty-three patients with mean clinical and radiological follow-up periods of 87.3 and 81.8 months, respectively, were included. Sixteen patients underwent second resections, and 5 underwent third resections. The rates of GTR/NTR, STR, and PR were 43%, 35%, and 22%, respectively, for the initial resections; 44%, 13%, and 44% for the second resections; and 40%, 0%, and 60% for the third resections (p < 0.001). The 5- and 10-year cumulative recurrence-free rates after initial resection were 64% and 32%, respectively. When stratified according to EOR, the 10-year recurrence-free rate after GTR/NTR was marginally better than that after STR (61% vs 35%, p = 0.130) and significantly better than that after PR (61% vs 0%, p < 0.001). The recurrence-free rates after initial microsurgery were marginally better than those after second surgery (p = 0.102) and third surgery (p = 0.065). The 5- and 10-year cumulative intervention-free rates after initial resection were 91% and 58%, respectively. When stratified according to EOR, the 10-year intervention-free rate after GTR/NTR was significantly better than that after STR (100% vs 51%, p = 0.022) and PR (100% vs 27%, p < 0.001). The 5-year intervention-free rate after initial surgery was marginally better than that after second surgery (52%, p = 0.088) and significantly better than that after third surgery (0%, p = 0.004). After initial, second, and third resections, permanent neurological complications were observed in 6 (10%), 1 (6%), and 1 (20%) patients, respectively. At the last follow-up visit, 82%, 23%, and 7% of patients were free from radiological recurrence after GTR/NTR, STR, and PR as the initial surgical procedure, respectively. GTR/NTR seems to contribute to better disease control without significantly impairing functional status. Initial resection offers the best chance to achieve better EOR, leading to better disease control.

Phase II trial assessing safety and preliminary efficacy of high-dose intravenous ascorbic acid in patients with TET2-mutant clonal cytopenias of undetermined significance.

TPS7076 Background: Clonal cytopenias of undetermined significance (CCUS) is operationally defined as unexplained persistent cytopenias arising in the context of leukemia-associated somatic driver mutations in hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells, without morphologic evidence for an underlying hematological neoplasm. Patients with TET2 mutant ( TET2MT) CCUS have a high probability of progression to myeloid neoplasms, with approximated 10-year cumulative rates of progression being 90%. To date, no FDA-approved treatment for CCUS has been established, and we have shown that these patients can have transfusion burdens akin to patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) (Li M et al. Blood Adv 2020). Thus there is an urgent and unmet need for therapies for these patients. Intravenous (IV) ascorbic acid (AA) dosed at pharmacologic concentrations could have anti-cancer activity via two mechanisms: (1) hydrogen peroxide-induced oxidative stress and (2) DNA demethylation mediated by TET activation (cofactor for TET1/2/3). TET2, the primary enzyme for catalyzing oxidative reactions, converts 5-methylcytosine to 5-hydroxymethylcytosine, a crucial step leading to iterative DNA demethylation. Our study hypothesis is that IV AA in TET2MT CCUS will restore hematopoiesis and limit clonal progression by stimulating TET2 (the unmutated allele) and TET3 activities. Methods: LS1781 (NCT03418038) is an investigator-initiated, prospective, single-arm, single-institution, phase II trial assessing the safety and preliminary efficacy of high dose of IV AA for patients with TET2MT CCUS (harboring ≥1 TET2MT or TET2MT combined with concurrent spliceosome MTs). IV AA (1g/kg, maximum 100g) is given 3 times weekly for 12 weeks through a central line with assessments being carried out before each cycle (4 weeks), at 12 weeks, and one year. The primary endpoint is the hematologic response rates determined by MDS IWG 2018 criteria. Secondary endpoints include safety and side effects. Exploratory endpoints include the impact of AA on TET2MT variant allele fraction, plasma cytokine levels, DNA methylation, and hydroxymethylation (as measured by Infinium MethylationEPIC array), and TET activity. Patients 18 years or older with TET2MT CCUS, and with any of the following laboratory criteria: (1) hemoglobin ≤10g/dL, (2) absolute neutrophil count (ANC) ≤1000/mm3, (3) platelet count ≤100,000/mm3 are eligible. Fifteen patients will be enrolled at Mayo Clinic Rochester and the Mayo Clinic Health System. Dose modifications have been established and will be considered based on adverse events. Treatment will be discontinued for disease progression or in the event of ≥Grade 3 adverse events that don’t resolve promptly. Enrollment to the trial began in June 2021, with 7 patients enrolled at abstract submission. Clinical trial information: NCT03418038.

Impact of Recovery from Acute Kidney Injury After Aortic Arch Repair

BackgroundThe impact of recovery from acute kidney injury (AKI) after open thoracic aortic surgery on follow-up outcomes is unclear. MethodsThis retrospective study included 214 patients who underwent aortic arch surgery requiring hypothermic circulatory arrest between 2007 and 2019. Patients who required preoperative renal replacement therapy and patients who died within 7 postoperative days were excluded. The incidence of recovery from AKI was examined. Renal outcomes were compared among patients with no AKI (Group N), recovery from AKI (Group R), and persistent AKI (Group P). ResultsPreoperative kidney function was similar among the 3 groups. Among the 115 patients who developed postoperative AKI, 80.9% recovered from AKI at discharge. The 5-year cumulative mortality rate was 18.0%, 24.5%, and 68.4% in Group N, R, and P, respectively (P < .001, Group R vs Group P). The 5-year cumulative incidence of renal replacement therapy dependency was 0.0%, 5.4%, and 22.7%, respectively (P = .04, Group N vs Group R; P = .01, Group R vs Group P). The medians (interquartile range) of estimated glomerular filtration rate (mL/min/1.73 m2) 2 years after surgery were 65.2 (50.4–80.2), 54.3 (41.4–65.9), and 56.9 (40.2–67.5), respectively (P = .03, Group N vs Group R). ConclusionsThe majority of patients recovered from AKI after thoracic aortic repair by discharge. However, the prolonged impact of AKI recovery on kidney function was observed during the follow-up period. Diligent follow-up after discharge is warranted for early identification of patients at high risk of kidney disease progression.

Predictors of long-term mortality after intertrochanteric fractures surgery: a 3-year retrospective study

IntroductionIntertrochanteric fractures are associated with high mortality rates; however, long-term data on survival and predictors remain scarce. Therefore, this study investigated risk factors associated with 3-year mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.MethodsIn a retrospective study, 156 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures who underwent surgery between January 2017 to January 2018 at our center were included. Association-affecting variables, such as gender, age, time from injury to surgery, hemoglobin (Hb), total lymphocyte count (TLC), albumin, malnutrition, and co-morbidities, were recorded and analyzed. Afterward, logistic regression was used to analyze the significant variables and find independent predictors for 3-year mortality.ResultsA total of 156 patients were followed up for 3 years. The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year postoperative cumulative mortality rates were 9.6% (15/156), 16.7% (26/156), and 24.4% (38/156), respectively. Simple analyses found that age, Hb, albumin, and malnutrition were associated with 3-year mortality (p < 0.05). Multivariable analysis confirmed that advanced age (p < 0.001) and low albumin (p = 0.014) were independent risk factors for 3-year mortality.ConclusionLow serum albumin and advanced age were independent risk factors for long-term mortality in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures.

Radical Antegrade Modular Pancreatosplenectomy for Left-Sided Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma May Reduce the Local Recurrence Rate

Introduction: Although several clinical applications have reported the usefulness of the radical antegrade modular pancreatosplenectomy (RAMPS) procedure for left-sided pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, few studies have reported the advantages of RAMPS with respect to the local recurrence (LR) rate. Methods: As of 2018, 68 and 62 patients underwent RAMPS and standard retrograde pancreatosplenectomy (SRPS). The first recurrence and all subsequent recurrence sites observed on images during a follow-up period and/or chemotherapy. The clinical variables are collected retrospectively. Results: LR only was found in 5 patients in the RAMPS group (5/68, 7.3%) and in 15 patients in the SRPS group (15/62, 24.2%; p = 0.008) as the first recurrence site. Any chemotherapies were not a risk factor for the incidence of LR. The 5-year cumulative LR rate was significantly lower in patients in the RAMPS group compared with those in the SRPS group (23.6% vs. 49.6%; p = 0.019). The 5-year overall survival was 42.2% in the RAMPS group and 33.0% in the SRPS group (p = 0.251). Conclusion: The RAMPS procedure for left-sided pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma may reduce the LR, cumulative LR rates.

An 11-year longitudinal analysis of refracture rates and public hospital service utilisation in Australia’s most populous state

SummaryThis detailed 11-year longitudinal analysis calculated the public health cost of managing refractures in people aged ≥ 50 years in Australia’s most populous state. It provides current and projected statewide health system costs associated with managing osteoporosis and provides a foundation to evaluate a novel statewide model of fracture prevention.PurposeThe purpose of this longitudinal analysis was to calculate current and projected refracture rates and associated public hospital utilisation and costs in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. These results will be used to inform scaled implementation and evaluation of a statewide Osteoporotic Refracture Prevention (ORP) model of care.MethodsLinked administrative data (inpatient admissions, outpatient attendances, Emergency Department presentations, deaths, cost) were used to calculate annual refracture rates and refracture-related service utilisation between 2007 and 2018 and healthcare costs between 2008 and 2019. Projections for the next decade were made using ‘business-as-usual’ modelling.ResultsBetween 2007 and 2018, 388,743 people aged ≥ 50 years experienced an index fracture and 81,601 had a refracture. Refracture was more common in older people (rising from a cumulative refracture rate at 5 years of 14% in those aged 50–64 years, to 44% in those aged > 90 years), women with a major index fracture (5-year cumulative refracture rate of 26% in females, compared to 19% for males) or minimal trauma index fracture and those with an osteoporosis diagnosis (5-year cumulative refracture rate of 36% and 22%, respectively in those with and without an osteoporosis diagnosis). Refractures increased from 8774 in 2008 to 14,323 in 2018. The annual cost of refracture to NSW Health increased from AU$130 million in 2009 to AU$194 million in 2019. It is projected that, over the next decade, if nothing changes, 292,537 refracture-related hospital admissions and Emergency Department presentations and 570,000 outpatient attendances will occur, at an estimated total cost to NSW Health of AU$2.4 billion.ConclusionThis analysis provides a detailed picture of refractures and associated projected service utilisation and costs over the next decade in Australia’s most populous state. Understanding the burden of refracture provides a foundation for evaluation of a novel statewide ORP model of care to prevent refractures in people aged ≥ 50 years.

The clinical features and long-term surgical outcomes of different types of abdominal wall endometriosis.

To classify abdominal wall endometriosis (AWE) according to the invasive levels of tissue mass, and to compare the differences in clinical characteristics between different types of AWE. In this study, we retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 367 patients who had undergone resection of abdominal-wall endometriotic lesions at the Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 2008 to December 2018, and we divided the patients into three types according to their deepest level of lesion invasion. Type I designated invasion of skin and subcutaneous tissue; type II, of fascia and rectus abdominis; and type III, of peritoneum. We classified, compared, and analyzed the general conditions, clinical manifestations, auxiliary examinations, surgical conditions, postoperative conditions, and recurrence status of patients. Of the 367 patients, type I patients accounted for 13.62%, type II patients for 56.68%, and type III for 29.7%. With respect to group comparisons, we observed that as the location of the mass deepened, the rate of concurrent pelvic endometriosis increased (P = 0.007), recurrent AWE was augmented (P = 0.02), the size of the mass increased (P < 0.001), the rate of multiple lesions became elevated (P < 0.001), the rate of mesh implantation increased (P < 0.001), the length of postoperative hospital stay (P < 0.001) was lengthened, the number of postoperative fever cases (P = 0.006) increased, and the risk of drainage placement (P < 0.001) was enhanced. The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was 3.3%, and there was no significant difference in the recurrence rate among various types of AWE. Type III AWE carries more severe clinical manifestations, larger lesion size, longer operative time, greater intraoperative surgical difficulty, higher necessity of mesh implantation, and longer postoperative recovery process. Complete resection of AWE lesion is the main therapeutically approach and shows relatively low long-term recurrency rate.

Predictors of Complications and Unfavorable Outcomes of Minimally Invasive Surgery Treatment in Elderly Patients With Degenerative Lumbar Spine Pathologies (Case Series).

IntroductionThe use of minimally invasive surgery (MIS) results in fewer adverse and more improved outcomes. However, the literature data describing the factors increasing the number of complications, reoperation frequency and unscheduled re-hospitalizations in older patients after MIS are contradictory. In this study, a large number of patients was investigated for the complications of minimally invasive surgical treatment of degenerative disease of the lumbar spine in older patients. The objective of the study was to determine the predictors of unfavorable outcomes in such patients.Materials and Methods1,013 patients underwent MIS (decompression alone, TLIF, LLIF, ALIF) in 2013-2017. All operations were performed with the participation of the authors (neurosurgeons). The patient's average age was 66. The following data were collected: BMI; CCI; presence of postoperative complications according to the Dindo-Clavien classification; unplanned readmission at 90 days; hospital length of stay (LOS); surgical complexity (low, intermediate, and high); surgical time; and risk factors. The cumulative reoperation rate was determined at 5-years follow-up.ResultsA total of 256 patients suffered a complication (25.2%), 226 classified as mild (grade I, II, IIIA), and 30 - as severe (IIIB, IVA). Such factors as the surgical complexity, BMI > 30, surgical time, number of operated levels were associated with a significant risk of developing a complication. For patients with and without complications, LOS was 9.3 and 6.3 days, respectively (p < 0.0001), the unplanned readmission rate was 1.3%. 104 patients underwent 133 revision operations. The 5-year cumulative reoperation rate was 15.2%, and the reoperation index was 12.1%. The CCI had no statistically significant effect on the complication incidence after MIS. A higher risk of complications was found in patients who underwent intermediate-complexity surgery (MIS TLIF) compared with uncompounded (decompression alone) and more complex (MIS LLIF, MIS ALIF) surgical procedures (p < 0.001 and p = 0.001, respectively).ConclusionA register of postoperative complications is an important tool for health quality assessment and choosing the best surgical option that helps to establish measures to reduce such complications. Using MIS for the treatment of elderly patients reduces the number of severe complications.

Impact of metabolic indices of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography on post transplantation recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma

BackgroundTumor recurrence is the leading cause of death after liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. There is an ongoing debate as to whether metabolic indices such as tumor to liver standardized uptake value ratio in 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography of the primary tumor can identify patients outside the Milan criteria with as low recurrence rates as patients inside Milan and thus should be added to the established prognostic factors.MethodsThis retrospective study analyzes 103 consecutive patients who underwent 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography before liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma using data of clinical tumor registry. Primary endpoints were overall survival and 10-year cumulative recurrence rates.ResultsTumor to liver standardized uptake value ratio of the primary tumor was statistically significant higher in Milan out tumors, “up-to-seven” out tumors, grade 3 tumors, α- fetoprotein level >400 ng/ml and lesions > 5cm in diameter. Factors with statistically significant influence on the 10- year overall survival in the univariate analysis were Milan, up-to-seven” criteria, number of lesions and pT-category. COX regression analysis did not show independently statistically significant factors for 10-year overall survival. Milan, “up-to-seven” criteria, grade, pV, number of lesions, size of lesion, pT-category, tumor to liver standardized uptake value ratio influenced 10-year cumulative recurrence rates statistically significant. Tumor to liver standardized uptake value ratio, grade and pT-category proved to be independently statistically significant factors for 10-year cumulative recurrence rates.ConclusionsOur study suggests that tumor to liver standardized uptake value standardized uptake value ratio in 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography is an independent prognostic factor in transplanted patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. If we focus on preoperative findings, such as tumor size, tumor number and AFP value adding the information given by TLR of 18F-FDG PET/CT allows to estimate the risk of tumor recurrence more accurate than the established classifications Milan and UTS. Therefore, it may add valuable information to other preoperative findings, such as tumor size, tumor number and AFP level.

Clinicopathological Characteristics of Superficial Barrett's Adenocarcinoma in a Japanese Population: A Retrospective, Multicenter Study.

Objective Although Barrett's adenocarcinoma (BA) remains a minor disease in Japan, its incidence has been gradually increasing. We analyzed the characteristics of BA in Japanese populations. Methods We retrospectively reviewed medical records and analyzed the clinicopathological differences between short-segment Barrett's esophagus (SSBE) and long-segment Barrett's esophagus (LSBE), as well as metastasis. Local recurrence and metachronous lesions were analyzed only in patients who underwent endoscopic resection (ER). Patients Consecutive patients who had pathological T1 BAs resected by ER or surgery from January 2003 to December 2017. Results A total of 168 patients were analyzed, including 139 with SSBE and 29 with LSBE. In total, 67% of the SSBE lesions and 32% of the LSBE lesions were located between 0 and 3 o'clock (p=0.0014). No patients who achieved pathological margin-free resection (pR0) and 17% of patients who did not achieve pR0 experienced local recurrence (p=0.0131). None of the patients without lymphovascular involvement, a poorly differentiated component, lesion size of ＞30 mm, and submucosal invasion of ＞500 μm experienced metastasis. The 5-year cumulative incidence rate of metachronous BA after ER was 0% in patients with SSBE and 40% in patients with LSBE (p=0.0005). Conclusion Superficial BA was likely to be detected at the right anterior wall of SSBE in the Japanese population. The risk for metachronous BA after ER was high in Japanese patients with LSBE, as in Western patients.

Clinical Course and Predictors of Subsequent Recurrence and Survival of Patients With Ipsilateral Breast Tumor Recurrence.

PurposeTo evaluate the clinical course and long-term outcomes of patients with ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR) after breast-conserving surgery (BCS) and identify independent prognostic factors for further recurrence.MethodsIn this retrospective study, we reviewed the records of 327 patients who experienced IBTR after undergoing BCS for breast cancer at Asan Medical Center during 1990–2013. Overall survival (OS) after IBTR and cumulative incidence rates of recurrences after IBTR were calculated. The association of clinicopathological factors with survival and the development of further recurrence after IBTR was determined in multivariate analysis.ResultsAt a median follow-up of 127.7 months, 97 patients experienced recurrence after IBTR. The 5-year and 10-year cumulative incidence rates of recurrence after IBTR were 32% and 41%, respectively. The 5-year and 10-year OS rates after IBTR were 86.6% and 70.3%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, hormone receptor negativity was associated with decreases in OS after IBTR (hazard ratio [HR] 2.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.18–6.78). Patients with longer disease-free interval (DFI) had decreased risks of second recurrence (HR .99, 95% CI .99–1.00), and second locoregional recurrence (LRR) (HR .98, 95% CI .97–.99). Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) of IBTR was associated with increased recurrence rates (second recurrence-free survival, HR 3.58, 95% CI 2.16–5.94; second LRR free survival, HR 5.21, 95% CI 2.77–9.78; second distant metastasis-free survival, 2.11, 95% CI 1.04–4.30) and lower survival rates (OS after IBTR, HR 4.64, 95% CI 2.23–9.67).ConclusionsDespite subsequent recurrences during long-term follow-up, the survival rates after IBTR remained high. Patients with hormone receptor-negative tumors, shorter DFI, and tumors that present LVI of IBTR had higher risks for recurrence and poor survival rates after IBTR. The study findings may help in understanding the course and prognosis of IBTR patients and identifying high-risk IBTR to establish management strategies.

Prognostic Factors and Nomogram Construction for First Local Recurrent Retroperitoneal Sarcoma Following Surgical Resection: A Single Asian Cohort of 169 Cases.

ObjectiveThis study aimed to explore the prognostic factors for first local recurrent retroperitoneal soft tissue sarcoma (FLR-RPS) and construct predictive nomograms in the Asian population.MethodsIn a single Asian sarcoma center, data of patients with FLR-RPS were retrospectively analyzed from January 2011 to September 2020. We developed and internally validated prognostic factors determined by the Cox regression model, as well as nomograms for predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). The concordance index and calibration curve were used to determine the nomogram’s discriminative and predictive ability.ResultsWith 169 patients, the median follow-up duration was 48 months and the 5-year OS rate was 60.9% (95% confidence interval (CI), 51.9%–69.9%). OS was correlated with chemotherapy at the time of initial surgery and tumor grading. The 5-year cumulative local recurrence rate and distant metastasis rate were 75.9% (95% CI, 67.5%–84.3%) and 10.1% (95% CI, 4.2%–16.0%), respectively, and the length of the disease-free interval following the primary operation was associated with disease recurrence. The 6-year OS and cumulative recurrence rate after surgery in our cohort were comparable with those in the TARPSWG cohort, but the proportion of local recurrence was higher (80.4% vs. 59.0%), and distant metastasis was less common (10.1% vs. 14.6%). In this study, two nomogram prediction models were established, which could predict the 1-, 2-, and 5-year OS and RFS, and the concordance indices were 0.74 and 0.70, respectively. The calibration plots were excellent.ConclusionsFor the FLR-RPS patients, some can still achieve an ideal prognosis. The treatment of FLR-RPS in Asian populations can be aided by the predictive model established in this study.

Correlation Among Body Composition Parameters and Long-Term Outcomes in Crohn's Disease After Anti-TNF Therapy.

BackgroundThe impact of the body composition on the pathophysiology and clinical course of Crohn's disease (CD) has not been fully elucidated.AimsTo reveal the correlations among body composition and long-term outcomes in CD after anti-TNF therapy.MethodsNinety-one patients who received anti-TNF therapy as their first biologic treatment were enrolled. The skeletal muscle index (SMI), visceral and subcutaneous fat area (VFA, SFA), and the ratio of the VFA to SFA (mesenteric fat index; MFI) at the 3rd lumbar level were measured using computed tomography (CT) imaging before the induction. The correlation among the body composition and outcomes were retrospectively analyzed.ResultsThe 5-year cumulative secondary failure- and resection-free rates in patients with a low SMI (39.1% and 64.8%) were significantly lower than those with a high SMI (67.5% and 92.7%; p = 0.0071 and 0.0022, respectively). The 5-year cumulative secondary failure-free rate in the patients with low VF (45.0%) was significantly lower than that in those with high VF (77.6%; p = 0.016), and the 5-year cumulative resection-free rate in patients with a high MFI (68.9%) was significantly lower than that in those with a low MFI (83.0%; p = 0.031). Additionally, patients with low age and BMI had significantly lower cumulative secondary failure- and resection-free rates than those with high age and BMI (low age: 37.4% and 71.2%; high age: 70.7% and 88.9%; p = 0.0083 and 0.027, respectively) (low BMI: 27.2% and 64.8%; high BMI: 68.3% and 87.9%; p = 0.014 and 0.030, respectively), respectively. In the multivariate analyses, a low SMI was the only independent risk factor for secondary failure (hazard ratio [HR] 2.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04–4.44), while low age (HR 4.06, 95% CI 1.07–15.4), a low SMI (HR 4.19, 95% CI 1.01–17.3) and high MFI were risk factors for bowel resection (HR 4.31, 95% CI 1.36–13.7).ConclusionThe skeletal muscle mass and ratio of visceral to subcutaneous fat were suggested to reflect the long-term clinical outcome and may be helpful as prognostic markers after anti-TNF therapy in CD.

Prothrombin time (PT) and CEA as prognostic predictive biomarkers for postoperative recurrence after curative resection in patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

There are no ideal biomarkers including the TNM stage that can accurately predict the recurrence of colorectal cancer (CRC) and the benefit of chemotherapy for stage II patients. Here, 451 CRC patients were divided into three groups according to preoperative levels of prothrombin time (PT) and CEA to analyze the value of these indexes in predicting postoperative recurrence in different TNM stages. Preoperatively elevated levels of PT and CEA were significantly associated with a high 5-year cumulative recurrence rate (CRR) and short recurrence-free survival (RFS). According to PT and CEA levels, the 5-year CRR and RFS differed significantly among the High-risk (PT ≥ 12.65s and CEA ≥ 10.175ng/ml), Middle-risk (PT ≥ 12.65s or CEA ≥ 10.175ng/ml), and Low-risk (PT < 12.65s and CEA < 10.175ng/ml) groups (p < 0.001). In the same TNM stage, the 5-year CRR of the High-risk group was significantly higher and the RFS was markedly shorter than those in the Low-risk and even those in stage III (p < 0.001). In the subgroup of early stage (stage I and II), the 5-year CRR of the High-risk group was significantly higher and the RFS was significantly shorter than those in stage IIIA and IIIB (p < 0.001), which is similar to IIIC. In conclusion, preoperatively elevated levels of serum PT and CEA were reliable predictors of postoperative high-risk recurrence in CRC and combined with TNM stage precisely identify postoperative recurrence CRC patients in stage I-III and the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II CRC.