This study reports the natural history of cerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) in a contemporary cohort with prospectively collected data from multiple sources, access to follow-up imaging, integrated electronic medical records, and detailed imaging review by study investigators. The authors aimed to define the first prospective symptomatic hemorrhage (SH) and severe SH rates, determine the risk of a second prospective SH, and identify risk factors for SH. From a prospectively maintained database of adult patients with radiologically defined CCM, those with radiation-induced CCM, those who underwent surgery within 3 months postdiagnosis, and those with < 1 year of follow-up were excluded. The patients' medical history and radiological features of the CCM were recorded at the time of diagnosis. Follow-up annual written surveys were completed for 5 years after the initial diagnosis and then semiannually thereafter in addition to medical record and follow-up imaging review. Outcomes of interest included SH and severe SH. Of 315 patients, 58.7% were female and 19.7% had familial CCMs. At diagnosis, 37.1% of patients had ruptured CCMs and 28.9% of the CCMs were located in the brainstem. The 5-year cumulative rates of prospective SH and severe SH in those with ruptured CCMs at diagnosis were 41.2% and 12.8%, respectively, compared with 6.1% and 2.5% in patients with unruptured CCMs at diagnosis (p < 0.0001). Risk factors for prospective SH included a ruptured CCM at diagnosis and persistent or new hyperintensity on T1-weighted MRI performed > 3 months after baseline MRI. For those with a ruptured CCM at diagnosis, the risk of developing a second prospective SH was similar to that of developing a first SH. In a contemporary cohort of adult patients with CCM, the authors report 5-year SH and severe SH rates, rates of second prospective hemorrhage, and predictors of SH. Persistent or new hyperintensity on T1-weighted MRI may be a useful marker of disease activity.
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