3-month Mortality In Patients Research Articles

Prognostic factors associated with six month mortality of critically ill elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit with severe acute cholangitis

BackgroundLittle is known about the outcomes of elderly patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with severe acute cholangitis (SAC). The objectives were to describe the 6-month mortality in patients with SAC ≥75 years and to identify factors associated with this mortality. MethodsBi-center retrospective study of critically ill elderly patients with SAC conducted between 2013 and 2017. Demographic and clinical variables of ICU and hospital stays with a 6-month follow-up were analyzed. Results85 patients, with a median [Q1–Q3] age of 83 [80–89] years were enrolled of whom 51 (60%) were men. SAC was due to choledocholithiasis in 72 (85%) patients. Median [Q1–Q3] ICU length of stay was 3 [2–6] days. Median [Q1–Q3] admission SAPS II was 50 [42–70]. The ICU and 6-month mortality rates were 18% and 48% respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that malnutrition (OR = 34.5, 95% CI [1.4–817.9]) and a decrease in SOFA score at 48 h (OR by unit 0.7, 95% CI [0.5–0.9]) were associated with higher 6-month mortality. ConclusionIn their decision-making process, ICU physicians and hepato-pancreato-biliary surgeons could use these data to estimate the probability of survival of an elderly patient presenting with SAC and to offer time-limited trials of intensive care. Trial registrationNCT03831529.

Brain natriuretic peptide levels predict 6-month mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock who were weaned off extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

There are limited data regarding the association between brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels obtained after weaning from extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and the outcomes of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS)-associated cardiogenic shock.We prospectively obtained data regarding patients (aged ≥ 19 years) with ACS-associated cardiogenic shock who received ECMO and were subsequently weaned off the treatment. BNP levels were collected at 5 time points: pre-ECMO implantation, post-ECMO implantation, pre-ECMO weaning, day 1 after ECMO weaning, and day 5 after ECMO weaning.Of 48 patients with ACS-related cardiogenic shock, 33 were included in this analysis. Mean patient age was 59.0 (50.0-66.5) years, and 5 patients (15.2%) were women. Eight patients had asystole/pulseless electrical activity before ECMO and 14 (42.4%) had 3-vessel disease on coronary angiography. During the 6-month follow up, 12 (36.4%) patients died. BNP levels after ECMO weaning were significantly different between 6-month survivors and non-survivors. Cox proportional hazards model revealed that BNP levels (tertiles) on days 1 and 5 after ECMO weaning were significantly associated with 6-month mortality (hazard ratio, 7.872; 95% confidence interval, 1.870-32.756; 8.658 and 1.904-39.365, respectively). According to the Kaplan-Meier curves, the first tertile had significantly longer survival compared to the third tertile for both days 1 and 5 after ECMO weaning.Post-ECMO weaning BNP levels (days 1 and 5) were significantly associated with increased 6-month mortality in patients with ACS complicated by refractory cardiogenic shock who were weaned off ECMO.

Predictive value of admission blood pressure for 3-month mortality in patients undergoing revascularization for critical limb ischemia.

In patients with critical limb ischemia (CLI), blood pressure (BP) impact on mortality is unknown. We analyzed the predictive value of SBP, DBP and pulse pressure (PP) at hospital admission on 3-month mortality in patients with CLI undergoing revascularization procedure. From November 2013 to December 2018, 297 consecutive patients were retrospectively included. Admission BP was recorded using automated brachial sphygmomanometer, before revascularization procedure. A median of seven (IQR3-13) separate readings were recorded for each patient and the average represented patient's mean BP (mBP). Clinical and biological parameters were recorded at baseline. The cohort included 163 men (55%) and 134 women (45%) with a mean age of 77.7 ± 11.9 years. Treated hypertension and diabetes were present in, respectively, 62 and 48% of patients. Mean SBP, DBP and PP were 132 ± 18, 70 ± 8 and 62 ± 16 mmHg. Thirty-four patients (11.4%) died during 3-month follow-up, mostly from cardiovascular causes. In univariate analysis, age, female sex, brain natriuretic peptide and C-reactive protein were positively correlated with mortality. BMI, mSBP, mDBP, mPP, hemoglobin, serum albumin and statin treatment were negatively correlated with mortality. In single-pressure multivariate analyses, mSBP (P = 0.024) and mPP (P = 0.030) were negatively correlated with mortality. Association between mSBP and mortality had an asymptotic curve pattern and SBP level 135 mmHg or less was significantly correlated with mortality. In patients undergoing revascularization for CLI, admission SBP is an independent predictor for short-term mortality with a negative relationship. SBP level 135 mmHg or less represents a warning sign to explore and correct associated comorbidities.

Associations of Serological Biomarkers of sICAM-1, IL-1β, MIF, and su-PAR with 3-Month Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Objective To investigate prognostic values of serum biomarkers of soluble intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (sICAM-1), macrophage migration inhibitor factor (MIF), interleukin 1β (IL-1β), and soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (su-PAR) in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF). Methods From August 2017 to November 2019, 122 consecutive IPF patients treated in our center were classified as stable IPF and AE-IPF based on the newly published international guidelines. Serum levels of four biomarkers at admission were measured by the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The primary endpoint was 3-month mortality. The log-rank test and logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate the effects of these biomarkers for survival in patients with AE-IPF. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic values of serological biomarkers and clinical data. Results Eighty-one patients were diagnosed with stable IPF, and 41 AE-IPF patients were enrolled in the study. Serum levels of sICAM-1 (p < 0.001), IL-1β (p < 0.001), MIF (p < 0.001), and su-PAR (p < 0.001) in patients with IPF were significantly increased compared to those in healthy controls. All the four biomarkers were elevated in patients with AE-IPF compared to those with stable IPF. The 3-month mortality in AE-IPF was 56.1% (23/41). Increased levels of MIF (p = 0.01) and IL-1β (>5 pg/mL, p = 0.033) were independent risk factors for 3-month mortality in patients with AE-IPF. Conclusions We showed the higher serum levels of IL-1β, and MIF had prognostic values for 3-month mortality in AE-IPF. This study provided a clue to promote our understanding in the pathogenesis of the disease.

Nomogram based on blood lipoprotein for estimation of mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BackgroundAcute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinic syndrome with substantial high short-term mortality. It is very important to stratify patients according to prognosis to decide management strategy. This study aimed to formulate and validate a nomogram model based on blood lipoprotein for prediction of 3-month mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related ACLF.MethodsData on 393 consecutive patients who were diagnosed as HBV-related ACLF at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between June 1, 2013, and February 1, 2015, were prospectively collected. Of these, 260 patients who were collected in an earlier period formed the training cohort for the development of nomogram, while 133 patients who were collected thereafter formed the validation cohort for confirming the performance of nomogram.ResultsMultivariate analysis showed that low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), age, prothrombin time, and creatinine were independently associated with 3-month mortality of patients with HBV-related ACLF. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed that the high LDL-C (LDL-C ≥ 1.0 mmol/L, cut-off value) was significantly associated with elevated overall survival (P < 0.001). All independent factors for survival were selected into the nomogram. The calibration plot for the probability of survival showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation.ConclusionThis study highlighted that reduction of serum LDL-C level was an independent risk factor for the survival in patients with HBV-related ACLF, and the nomogram based on serum LDL-C was an accurate and practical model for predicting the 3-month mortality in patients with this disease.

Renal replacement therapy is independently associated with a lower risk of death in patients with severe acute kidney injury treated with targeted temperature management after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BackgroundThe effect of renal replacement therapy (RRT) on the outcomes of severe acute kidney injury (AKI) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the association of RRT with 6-month mortality in patients with severe AKI treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) after OHCA.MethodsThis was a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected multicentre observational cohort study that included adult OHCA patients treated with TTM across 22 hospitals in South Korea between October 2015 and December 2018. AKI was diagnosed using the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. The primary outcome was 6-month mortality and the secondary outcome was cerebral performance category (CPC) at 6 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to define the role of RRT in stage 3 AKI.ResultsAmong 10,426 patients with OHCA, 1373 were treated with TTM. After excluding those who died within 48 h of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and those with pre-arrest chronic kidney disease, our study cohort comprised 1063 patients. AKI developed in 590 (55.5%) patients and 223 (21.0%) had stage 3 AKI. Among them, 115 (51.6%) were treated with RRT. The most common treatment modality among RRT patients was continuous renal replacement therapy (111 [96.5%]), followed by intermittent haemodialysis (4 [3.5%]). The distributions of CPC (1–5) at 6 months for the non-RRT vs. the RRT group were 3/108 (2.8%) vs. 12/115 (10.4%) for CPC 1, 0/108 (0.0%) vs. 1/115 (0.9%) for CPC 2, 1/108 (0.9%) vs. 3/115 (2.6%) for CPC 3, 6/108 (5.6%) vs. 6/115 (5.2%) for CPC 4, and 98/108 (90.7%) vs. 93/115 (80.9%) for CPC 5, respectively (P = 0.01). The RRT group had significantly lower 6-month mortality than the non-RRT group (93/115 [81%] vs. 98/108 [91%], P = 0.04). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that RRT was independently associated with a lower risk of death in patients with stage 3 AKI (hazard ratio, 0.569 [95% confidence interval, 0.377–0.857, P = 0.01]).ConclusionDialysis interventions were independently associated with a lower risk of death in patients with stage 3 AKI treated with TTM after OHCA.

The association of thiol/disulphide homeostasis with 6-month mortality in patients with acute st-elevation myocardial infarction

Aim: Acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STMI) is significant determinant of mortality and long-term mortality rates has not changed significantly over the last two decades. Thiols are an important anti-oxidant mechanism in the body, and excessive reactive oxygen species oxidize the thiol into their disulphide forms. Hence, higher level of disulphide is regarded as an indicator of oxidative stress. In the present paper, we sought to investigate any probable relationship between thiol/disulphide homeostasis and 6-month all-cause mortality among STMI survivors.Material and Methods: 238 consecutive patients with STMI undergoing percutaneous coronary intervension were included. Blood samples for thiol/disulphide homeostasis were drawn on admission. Syntax I and II scores were calculated using the cineangiographic views and relevant patient demographics. Results: 6-month mortality occurred in 25 patients (mortality group), while 213 patients remained alive (non-mortality group). Total thiol, native thiol, disulphide, disulphide/total thiol , disulphide/native thiol and native thiol/total thiol were not different between the mortality and non-mortality groups (p&amp;amp;gt;0.05). Syntax I and II scores were significantly greater in mortality group (26.11±8.06 vs 19.129.80, p=0.029 for Syntax I; 50.1314.59 vs 30.639.79, p&amp;amp;lt;0.001 for Syntax II). Conclusion: Syntax II score, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and white blood cell count (WBC) were found to predict 6-month mortality.

Remote Ischemic Preconditioning Neither Improves Survival nor Reduces Myocardial or Kidney Injury in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI).

Background: Peri-interventional myocardial injury occurs frequently during transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). We assessed the effect of remote ischemic preconditioning (RIPC) on myocardial injury, acute kidney injury (AKIN) and 6-month mortality in patients undergoing TAVI. Methods: We performed a prospective single-center controlled trial. Sixty-six patients treated with RIPC prior to TAVI were enrolled in the study and were matched to a control group by propensity-score. RIPC was applied to the upper extremity using a conventional tourniquet. Myocardial injury was assessed using high-sensitive troponin-T (hsTnT), and kidney injury was assessed using serum creatinine levels. Data were compared with the Wilcoxon-Rank and McNemar tests. Mortality was analysed with the log-rank test. Results: TAVI led to a significant rise of hsTnT across all patients (p < 0.001). No significant inter-group difference in maximum troponin release or areas-under-the-curve was detected. Medtronic CoreValve and Edwards Sapien valves showed similar peri-interventional troponin kinetics and patients receiving neither valve did benefit from RIPC. AKIN occurred in one RIPC patient and four non-RIPC patients (p = 0.250). No significant difference in 6-month mortality was observed. No adverse events related to RIPC were recorded. Conclusion: Our data do not show a beneficial role of RIPC in TAVI patients for cardio- or renoprotection, or improved survival.

Role of interleukin-18 and plasma B-type natriuretic peptide in predicting requirement of kidney replacement therapy and/or mortality in individuals with acute heart disorders

Introduction: Although many predictive tools have already been developed, efforts are still proceeding to identify a reliable biomarker to predict the prognosis of the patients with acute heart disorders. Objectives: The aim was to evaluate the role of renal injury biomarkers (serum cystatin C, serum and urine interleukin-18, IL-18) and heart failure biomarkers (plasma B-type natriuretic peptide, BNP) in the prediction of the postdischarge requirement of renal replacement therapy (RRT) and/or 6-month mortality in patients with acute heart disorders. Patients and Methods: In patients diagnosed with acute heart disorders (acute heart failure [AHF] and/or acute coronary syndrome [ACS]) and admitted to the intensive care units, baseline clinical parameters, renal and cardiac biomarkers were determined. Patients were followed up for 6 months. The composite outcome was the postdischarge requirement of RRT and/or 6-month mortality. Results: Of 120 patients, 5.8% continued RRT after discharge. The 6-month mortality was 20%. Cox logistic regression analysis showed that urine IL-18 (P=0.021), plasma BNP (P=0.046), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score (P=0.002), and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (P=0.045) were independent predictors of the postdischarge requirement of RRT and/or 6-month mortality. For predicting RRT and/or 6-month mortality, using urine IL-18 cutoff value of 29.1 pg/mL showed 66.7% sensitivity and 67.7% specificity (area under the curve, AUC 0.70, P=0.003), while using plasma BNP cutoff value of 881.6 pg/mL showed 66.7% sensitivity and 70.8% specificity (AUC 0.76, P&lt;0.001). Conclusion: Urine IL-18 and plasma BNP are independently predictive for the postdischarge requirement of RRT and/or 6-month mortality in patients with acute heart disorders.

The Effect of Acute Limb Ischemia on Mortality in Patients Undergoing Femoral Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation

Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is a life-saving modality increasingly used in the management cardiopulmonary failure. However, ECMO itself is not without major complications. Mortality remains high, and morbidity such as stroke, renal failure, and acute limb threatening ischemia (ALI) are common among surviving patients. We analyzed the effect of one of these complications, ALI, on the survival of patients receiving venoarterial ECMO (VA ECMO) with femoral cannulation. Patients with cardiopulmonary failure supported by VA ECMO inserted through femoral cannulation at two institutions from December 2010 to December 2017 were enrolled in this study. Data were collected retrospectively. Our primary outcome was ALI and its effect on hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included six-month mortality, length of hospital stay, and other complications (stroke and renal failure); multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictors of ALI and hospital mortality. There were 71 patients included in this study. The overall VA ECMO hospital mortality was 53.5%. ALI was seen in 14 (19.7%) patients. Of these, four (5.6%) patients had fasciotomy, four patients (5.6%) had thrombectomy, and one underwent arterial repair (1.4%). Five additional patients (7.0%) with ALI expired and had no vascular intervention. None of the demographic and clinical characteristics significantly correlated with ALI except for stroke and renal failure requiring new-onset hemodialysis (HD). The rate of hospital and 6-month mortality in patients with and without vascular complications were 78.6%, 92.3% and 47.4%, 57.4%, respectively (P=0.042 and P=0.023). Multivariate analysis correlated hospital and six-month mortality with ALI, stroke, and new-onset HD. ALI correlates with higher mortality in VA ECMO patients with femoral cannulation. Although some of the contributing factors to mortality in these patients are related to the consequences of cardiopulmonary failure, strong efforts should be made to avoid ALI after femoral VA ECMO cannulation.

Immune Regulatory Mediators in Plasma from Patients With Acute Decompensation Are Associated With 3-Month Mortality

Background & AimsInfection is a common cause of death in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated the association between the innate immune response and death within 3 months of hospitalization.MethodsPlasma samples were collected on days 1, 5, 10, and 15 from participants recruited into the albumin to prevent infection in chronic liver failure feasibility study. Patients with acute decompensated cirrhosis were given albumin infusions at 10 hospitals in the United Kingdom. Data were obtained from 45 survivors and 27 non-survivors. We incubated monocyte-derived macrophages from healthy individuals with patients’ plasma samples and measured activation following lipopolysaccharide administration, determined by secretion of tumor necrosis factor and soluble mediators of inflammation. Each analysis included samples from 4 to 14 patients.ResultsPlasma samples from survivors vs non-survivors had different inflammatory profiles. Levels of prostaglandin E2 were high at times of patient hospitalization and decreased with albumin infusions. Increased levels of interleukin 4 (IL4) in plasma collected at day 5 of treatment were associated with survival at 3 months. Incubation of monocyte-derived macrophages with day 5 plasma from survivors, pre-incubated with a neutralizing antibody against IL4, caused a significant increase in tumor necrosis factor production to the level of non-survivor plasma. Although baseline characteristics were similar, non-survivors had higher white cell counts and levels of C-reactive protein and renal dysfunction.ConclusionsWe identified profiles of inflammatory markers in plasma that are associated with 3-month mortality in patients with acute decompensated cirrhosis given albumin. Increases in prostaglandin E2 might promote inflammation within the first few days after hospitalization, and increased levels of plasma IL4 at day 5 are associated with increased survival. Clinicaltrialsregister.eu: EudraCT 2014-002300-24

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts hemorrhagic transformation in ischemic stroke: A meta-analysis.

IntroductionThe neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been shown to be a marker associated with inflammation and is independently associated with the adverse clinical outcomes of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, cancer, and cardiovascular disease. Hemorrhagic transformation (HT) is a serious complication of ischemic cerebral infarction and can be intensified by therapeutic interventions for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The purpose of our research was to explore the predictive effect of NLR for HT in patients with AIS and to determine the best predictive value.MethodsPubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Cochrane, and Google Scholar were searched. The primary endpoint was HT, and subgroup analysis was performed. Review Manager software version 5.3 was used to statistically analyze the outcomes.ResultsA total of seven studies including 3,726 patients met the inclusion criteria. The pooled odds ratio (OR) value of the high NLR that predicted HT in AIS patients was 1.53 (95% CI, 1.21–1.92; p = .0003). In addition, 1.10 (95% CI, 1.05–1.15; p < .0001) was the pooled OR of the high NLR associated with increased 3‐month mortality in patients with AIS. In the subgroup analysis with an NLR cutoff value of 7.5–11, the correlation between NLR above the cutoff value and the rate of HT in patients with AIS was statistically significant (OR, 7.93; 95% CI, 2.25–27.95; p = .001).ConclusionA high NLR can predict HT and 3‐month mortality in patients with AIS. Regardless of the country of origin and the sampling time, an NLR with a cutoff value of 7.5–11 was independently associated with HT in AIS patients.

Development and Validation of a Model Consisting of Comorbidity Burden to Calculate Risk of Death Within 6 Months for Patients With Suspected Drug-Induced Liver Injury

Patients with drug-induced liver injury (DILI) frequently have comorbid conditions, but the effects of non-liver comorbidities on outcomes are not well understood. We investigated the association between comorbidity burden and outcomes of patients with DILI, and developed and validated a model to calculate risk of death within 6 months. A multiple logistic regression model identified variables independently associated with death within 6 months of presenting with suspected DILI (6-month mortality) for 306 patients enrolled in the Drug-Induced Liver Injury Network prospective study at Indiana University (discovery cohort). The model was validated using data from 247 patients with suspected DILI enrolled in the same study at the University of North Carolina (validation cohort). Medical comorbidity burden was calculated using the Charlson Comorbidity Index-patients with scores higher than 2 were considered to have significant comorbidities. Six-month mortality was 8.5% in the discovery cohort and 4.5% in the validation cohort. In the discovery cohort, significant comorbidities (odds ratio, 5.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-13.8), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score (odds ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.04-1.17), and serum level of albumin at presentation (odds ratio, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.2-0.76) were independently associated with 6-month mortality. A model based on these 3 variables identified patients who died within 6 months, with c-statistic values of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.86-0.94) in the discovery cohort and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.83-0.99) in the validation cohort. We developed a web-based calculator for use in the clinic to determine risk of death within 6 months for patients with suspected DILI. We developed and validated a model based on comorbidity burden, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, and serum level of albumin that predicts 6-month mortality in patients with suspected DILI.

The relationship between platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and pulmonary embolism severity in acute pulmonary embolism.

The aim of this study was to determine the level of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE) according to high and low risk for early mortality based on simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (sPESI). In addition, it was investigated the relationship between PLR and NLR with systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP), cardiac markers, disease severity and hospital, 1th month, 3th month and 3-month total mortality. Our hospital's electronic patient database was searched for the patients with APE during last year and eighty-two patients retrospectively evaluated. Plasma D-dimer, troponin I (TnI), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), hemogram values, sPAP from echocardiographic findings were recorded from database system. Hospital mortality was determined from files of cases and 1th, 3th month mortality and survival information were determined by phone calls with the patient and/or relatives. A percentage of 67.1% (55) of APE cases had sPESI≥1. There was no significant difference for age and sex between high and low risk patients according to sPESI (P>0.05). The mean serum BNP, TnI, sPAP, neutrophil counts, platelet counts, PLR and NLR was statistically increased and lymphocyte counts was statistically decreased in high risk patients according to sPESI compared with low risk patients (P<0.01 for BNP, PLR and NLR; P<0.05 for TnI, sPAP, neutrophil and platelet; P<0.01 for lymphocyte). There was no significantly difference for hospital and total 3-month mortality between high and low risk patients (P>0.05). When the cut-off value of PLO was taken as ≥156 by ROC analysis for the predicting of high sPESI, PLR had an area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.704 (0.591-0.816; 95% CI; P<0.01) and the cut-off value of NLR was taken as ≥3.56 by ROC analysis for the predicting of high sPESI, NLR had an area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.675 (0.556-0.794; 95% CI; P<0.05). An NLR level of 3.56 was taken as the cut-off between high and low risk patients according to sPESI, NLR had a sensitivity of 66% and specificity of 53%. When the cases were evaluated as two groups according to the cut-off value of 156; total 3-month mortality was statistically increased (χ2=6.896, P<0.01) and when the cases were evaluated as two groups according to the based NLR cut-off value of 3.56; hospital mortality, 3th month mortality and total 3-month mortality was statistically increased (χ2=4.771, P<0.05; χ2=4.383, P<0.05; χ2=9.101, P<0.01 respectively). PLR and NLR increased in patients with high risk, and PLR may have predicting value for 3-month mortality while NLR may have predicting value for hospital mortality, 3th month mortality and total 3-month mortality in patients with APE.

The effects of ECG characteristics on 3-month mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome

The effects of ECG characteristics on 3-month mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome

The Diagnostic and Prognostic Values of C-Reactive Protein and Procalcitonin during Bacterial Infections in Decompensated Cirrhosis.

Background Bacterial infection (BI) represents the main cause of decompensation and death in cirrhotic patients. Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are two widely used biomarkers that may be helpful for early detection of BI especially in the presence of inflammation. Their accuracy for the diagnosis of BI in patients with chronic liver disease has been a subject of debate. In this study, we aimed to learn whether PCT and CRP would be helpful as early markers of BI in patients with cirrhosis and to evaluate their prognostic value in terms of mortality. Subjects and Methods We retrospectively included 92 adult patients with decompensated cirrhosis. PCT and CRP plasma levels were obtained within the first 24 hours of admission. Their diagnostic and prognostic values were compared using the appropriate statistical analysis. Results Ninety-two patients were included. BI was diagnosed in 60 patients (65%). Mean white blood cell (WBC) count (p = 0.005) and PCT and CRP serum levels (p < 0.001) were higher in the BI group than in the non-BI (NBI) group. The diagnostic accuracy of CRP and PCT for the diagnosis of BI was better than that of WBC. CRP was the most sensitive marker (70%) while PCT was the more specific (96.6%). No one of those biomarkers was predictive of 3-month mortality in patients with BI. Conclusion Regarding BI in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, CRP maintains efficiency slightly higher than that of the PCT without being discriminative. However, no prognostic value has been established for these markers.

Establishment and evaluation of a model for predicting 3-month mortality in Chinese patients with hepatic encephalopathy.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a serious complication of liver disease. To establish a model for predicting 3-month mortality in patients with HE in China. This retrospective study included 609 patients with HE admitted to the Peoples' Hospital, Liaocheng City, China (August 2006 to January 2016). Patients were allocated to a modeling (n = 409) or validation (n = 200) group. Demographic/clinical characteristics, laboratory test results, Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score were extracted from medical records. A model for predicting death within 3months after admission was established using logistic regression analysis (modeling group). Model validity (validation group) was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. 270/409(66.0%) patients died in the modeling group and 142/203(70.0%) died in the validation group. Compared with survivors, patients who died had more severe HE, and higher MELD score, CTP score, incidence of complications including hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) and upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and values for laboratory parameters including red blood cell count(RBC) and total bilirubin(TBIL)(P < 0.05). Regression analysis revealed RBC, TBIL, HE stage, HRS and upper gastrointestinal bleeding as independent factors associated with death (P < 0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the model was 0.931.The model had a higher Youden index than MELD or CTP scores and predicted death in the validation group with a sensitivity of 83.1% and specificity of 93.4%. The established model has superior performance to MELD and CTP scores for predicting mortality in patients with HE.

The relationship among neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, stroke territory, and 3-month mortality in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Stroke therapy options have focused on limiting the infarct volume. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can be valuable to detect the patients that required intensive treatment at early stage by predicting infarct volume. The aim of this study is to evaluate the relationship between NLR and infarct volume according to the stroke territory, and to determine the prognostic value of NLR for predicting 3-month mortality in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients. A total of 107 patients with AIS were enrolled and followed up 3months in terms of mortality. Study population was divided into two groups according to the stroke territory: anterior circulating stroke (ACS) and posterior circulating stroke (PCS). All patients underwent magnetic resonance imaging. The complete blood count and venous blood samples were obtained from the patients on admission to the emergency department. There were no difference between ACS and PCS groups regarding baseline characteristics and co-morbid diseases. Also, C-reactive protein and NLR were similar between two groups. In correlation analyses, infarct volume was significantly correlated with CRP and NLR in ACS (r = 0.350, p = 0.001 and r = 0.482, p ≤ 0.001, respectively), but not correlated with infarct volume in PCS. Also, NLR was correlated with NIHHS in only ACS group (r = 0.326, p = 0.002). Multivariate analysis showed that NLR was the only independent predictor of 3-month mortality (OR 1.186, 95% CI 1.032-1.363, p = 0.016). NLR is significantly correlated with ACS infarct volume, but not with PCS infarct volume in AIS. Also, NLR was an independent predictor of 3-month mortality in AIS patient.

Peripheral tumor necrosis factor-a-induced protein 8-like 2 mRNA level for predicting 3-month mortality of patients with acute ischemic stroke

Tumor necrosis factor-a-induced protein 8-like 2 (TIPE2) is a novel negative regulator for maintaining immune homeostasis. This study aimed to investigate TIPE2 mRNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells for predicting 3-month functional outcomes and mortality of patients with acute ischemic stroke. A total of 182 consecutive patients were prospective collected, and there were 55 (30.2%) patients with unfavorable outcome and 33 (18.1%) patients died at the end of 3months. The area under the operating characteristic curve (AUC) for TIPE2 mRNA was 0.810 (95% CI 0.733-0.886) for mortality and 0.740 (95% CI 0.662-0.818) for unfavorable outcome. The model incorporating National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) plus TIPE2 showed significantly (P = 0.04) increased discrimination power (AUC = 0.925, 95% CI 0.874-0.976) for mortality than NIHSS (AUC = 0.882, 95% CI 0.833-0.932). Furthermore, NIHSS plus TIPE2 showed a significant improvement of both integrated discrimination index (IDI) and net reclassification index (NRI) as compared with NIHSS (IDI = 0.224, 95% CI 0.150-0.299, P < 0.001; NRI = 1.119, 95% CI 0.810-1.429, P < 0.001). The pruned time-dependent tree analysis showed that patients with NIHSS ≥ 5.5 and TIPE2 mRNA < 5.2 had rather high 3-month mortality. In conclusion, TIPE2 mRNA improved the diagnostic value of NIHSS score, and patients with NIHSS ≥ 5.5 and TIPE2 mRNA < 5.2 had high 3-month mortality.

Red blood cell distribution width is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

ObjectivesThis study was performed to evaluate the association between red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and 3-month mortality in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Patients and methodsThis observational study was performed from March 2007 to May 2017 in an emergency department. The baseline characteristics and clinical and laboratory data were collected prospectively and analyzed. Clinical outcomes included 3-month mortality and poor functional outcome referred to as modified Rankin scale 3–6. ResultsA total 364 patients were included, and the overall 3-month mortality was 8.5%. The median RDW increased with disease severity classified according to the Hunt and Hess scale. RDW was significantly higher in patients with poor functional outcome than in patients with good functional outcome. The optimal RDW cutoff for predicting 3-month mortality was 13.9%.Cox regression analysis showed that higher RDW was independently associated with 3-month mortality (hazard ration 17.187, 95% CI 4.474–66.022). The area under the receiver-operating curve for RDW was 0.917 (95% CI 0.883–0.943). ConclusionAn elevated RDW is associated with poor functional outcome and 3-month mortality in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.