Abstract
Why sub-Saharan Africa might exceed its projected population size by 2100
Highlights
The new models highlight two distinct future trajectories of countries and global regions that are concerning
Murray and colleagues focus much of their discussion on the consequences of these population shifts in the regions that were forecasted to have significant reductions in their size by 2100 and what policy options are available to address these demographic changes
This is under standable given the lack of attention to issues of population decline, it is crucial to appreciate the implications of the projections for countries with rapid population growth
Summary
The new models highlight two distinct future trajectories of countries and global regions that are concerning. Why sub-Saharan Africa might exceed its projected population size by 2100 In The Lancet, Christopher Murray and colleagues[1] at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) report their new models of future global, regional, and national population scenarios as a function of fertility, migration, and mortality rates for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100.
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