Value of GRACE and SYNTAX scores for predicting the prognosis of patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome.

Abstract

BACKGROUNDGRACE and SYNTAX scores are important tools to assess prognosis in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS). However, there have been few studies on their value in patients receiving different types of therapies.AIMTo explore the value of GRACE and SYNTAX scores in predicting the prognosis of patients with NSTE-ACS receiving different types of therapies. METHODSThe data of 386 patients with NSTE-ACS were retrospectively analyzed and categorized into different groups. A total of 195 patients who received agents alone comprised the medication group, 156 who received medical therapy combined with stents comprised the stent group, and 35 patients who were given agents and underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) comprised the CABG group. General information was compared among the three groups. GRACE and SYNTAX scores were calculated. The association between the relationship between GRACE and SYNTAX scores and the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) was analyzed. Pearson’s correlation analysis was used to determine the factors influencing prognosis in patients with NSTE-ACS. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to analyze the predictive value of GRACE and SYNTAX scores for predicting prognosis in patients with NSTE-ACS using the Cox proportional-hazards model. RESULTSThe incidence of MACE increased with the elevation of GRACE and SYNTAX scores (all P < 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 18.5%, 36.5%, and 42.9% in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively. By comparison, the incidence of MACE was significantly lower in the medication group than in the stent and CABG groups (all P < 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 6.2%, 28.0% and 40.0% in patients with a low GRACE score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P < 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 31.0%, 30.3% and 42.9% in patients with a medium GRACE score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P > 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 16.9%, 46.2%, and 43.8% in patients with a high GRACE score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P < 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 16.2%, 35.4% and 60.0% in patients with a low SYNTAX score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P < 0.05). The incidence of MACE was 37.5%, 40.9%, and 41.7% in patients with a medium SYNTAX score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P > 0.05). MACE incidence was 50.0%, 75.0%, and 25.0% in patients with a high SYNTAX score in the medication group, stent group, and CABG group, respectively (P < 0.05). Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that both GRACE score (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.212, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.083 to 1.176; P < 0.05) and SYNTAX score (HR = 1.160, 95%CI: 1.104 to 1.192; P < 0.05) were factors influencing MACE (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that GRACE (HR = 1.091, 95%CI: 1.015 to 1.037; P < 0.05) and SYNTAX scores (HR = 1.031, 95%CI: 1.076 to 1.143; P < 0.05) were independent predictors of MACE (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONGRACE and SYNTAX scores are of great value for evaluating the prognosis of NSTE-ACS patients, and prevention and early intervention strategies should be used in clinical practice targeting different risk scores.