Traffic forecasting for city highways of the radial direction Evgeny V. Parsaev, Irina A. Teterina

Abstract

The article presents a method for determining the predicted traffic intensity on city highways with a radial direction. The main stages of the technique are presented in the form of an algorithm with step-by-step implementation. The main problems associated with determining the predicted intensity on urban highways of the road network are noted. The results of the implementation of the proposed methodology are presented, on the example of the projected road network of one of the micro districts of the city of Omsk. Graphically presented are the results of measurements of changes in the daily traffic intensity of both directions on the projected section of the road network. The assumption about the influence of the period of continuous survey of traffic intensity on the occurrence of an error in the obtained numerical values was experimentally confirmed. The time interval for measuring traffic intensity is recommended to obtain the most correct research results. Keywords: forecasting, traffic flows, road network, traffic intensity, micro district, city highway