Abstract

This article utilizes panel data from 2005 to 2020, covering 21 cities in Sichuan Province, to empirically examine the relationship between agricultural industry concentration and carbon emissions. The findings reveal a clear inverted U-shaped relationship between agricultural industry agglomeration and carbon emissions. This relationship also exhibits temporal lag and regional disparities. In Sichuan Province, the link between agricultural industry agglomeration and carbon emissions follows this inverted U-shaped pattern, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive understanding of agglomeration's role in shaping emissions. Carbon emissions in agriculture display strong temporal path dependence, underscoring the importance of timely policies for carbon reduction. Local governments should adapt their strategies to regional peculiarities, promoting the growth of local agricultural industries through increased scale and agglomeration. A well-planned distribution of agricultural industries across regions is essential for sustainable development.

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