Abstract

BackgroundCircular data are gathered in diverse fields of science where measured traits are cyclical in nature: such as compass directions or times of day. The most common statistical question asked of a sample of circular data is whether the data seems to be drawn from a uniform distribution or one that is concentrated around one or more preferred directions. The overwhelmingly most-popular test of the null hypothesis of uniformity is the Rayleigh test, even though this test is known to have very low power in some circumstances. Here we present simulation studies evaluating the performance of tests developed as alternatives to the Rayleigh test.ResultsThe results of our simulations demonstrate that a single test, the Hermans and Rasson test is almost as powerful as the Rayleigh test in unimodal situations (when the Rayleigh test does well) but substantially outperforms the Rayleigh test in multimodal situations.ConclusionWe recommend researchers switch to routine use of the new Hermans and Rasson test. We also demonstrate that all available tests have low power to detect departures from uniformity involving more than two concentrated regions: we recommend that where researchers suspect such complex departures that they collect substantially-sized samples and apply another recent test due to Pycke that was designed specifically for such complex cases. We provide clear textual descriptions of how to implement each of these recommended tests and encode them in R functions that we provide.

Highlights

  • Circular data are gathered in diverse fields of science where measured traits are cyclical in nature: such as compass directions or times of day

  • Model fitting approaches are entirely appropriate, null hypothesis statistical testing remains the norm amongst those investigating circular data, and the null hypothesis of uniformity is almost always tested in any statistical examination of a sample of circular data

  • We explore whether the Hermans–Rasson test (HR) test is really the optimum one to recommend for widespread replacement of the Rayleigh test, since this has been subject to relatively little previous examination [5, 8, 15]

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Summary

Introduction

Circular data are gathered in diverse fields of science where measured traits are cyclical in nature: such as compass directions or times of day. This test can be demonstrated numerically to perform very reliably when deviations are of other unimodal forms [8] or if data is discrete (e.g. as might be produced by a measuring instrument with finite precision; [6]) This test is known to be less reliable when the deviation from uniformity is multi-modal, its power to reject the null hypothesis when the deviation from uniformity involves more than one mode can be concerningly low even for substantial sample sizes [1, 17].

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