System Dynamics Analysis for the Governance Measures Against Container Port Congestion

Abstract

Container throughput in Shanghai port has been continually increasing, with severe congestion impacts. The effectiveness and comprehensiveness of governance policies are increasingly important. This study proposes a conceptual framework and simulation of congestion governance measures and their effectiveness on congestion control in a data-driven case study for Shanghai port. The contributions herein serve as a starting point in the identification of four alternative congestion governance options (Increasing the transport infrastructure, Multimodal transport, Smart strategy, and Interconnection), and explore dynamic interactions among them. The design of this study is to firstly develop a container port congestion evaluation model to measure the governance effect; secondly to undertake the triangle analysis in the dynamic system balance: demand of hinterland transport, container port congestion, and container port congestion governance; thirdly to describe four congestion governance options with a detailed description of feedback loops generated by the system dynamics model; finally to propose a policy framework aiming at the advantages and disadvantages of these four options. This study function as stepping stones towards the revealing of the biggest challenge in effective mitigation of port congestion systems by being considered not just a hardware issue (option 1) but more importantly organizational issues (options 2~4). It should be a process of coordination and optimization among 4 options.