Port congestion under the COVID-19 pandemic: The simulation-based countermeasures

Abstract

As the hub connecting global production and consumption, ports play a pivotal role in the global maritime supply chain system. The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic and its rapid global spread have caused significant port congestion, resulting in skyrocketing freight rates and posing a serious threat to the smooth operation of international trade. Based on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, we have developed a novel container port congestion evaluation model by integrating the classical SEIR model, using the system dynamics (SD) theory. In this study, we simulate the impact of different port congestion countermeasures using data from Ningbo Zhoushan Port. The results demonstrate that implementing smart regulations at a high level of epidemic prevention and control is the most efficient approach to swiftly eliminate port congestion. In addition, it is worth mentioning that in the scenarios with a low level of epidemic prevention and control, increasing port investment to optimize smart ports can yield even better effects. Furthermore, we have discussed the impact of factors such as the ratio of infected people, the number of contacted people, and epidemic prevention and control capacity on port congestion index. Hence, we propose that the implementation of advanced smart regulation systems can enhance port operational efficiency and effectively alleviate port congestion. Additionally, amidst the normalization of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has yet to disappear, it is crucial to maintain a vigilant approach to prevention and control to ensure the seamless operation of the port industry.