Abstract
The spatial system of rural production is a continuum, and the production and management behaviors of different stakeholders interfere with the operation of rural production space system. It has important theoretical value and practical significance for promoting agricultural system sustainable development and realizing sustainable development goals. This study uses statistical data from 2015 to 2021 to construct a system dynamics model of the rural production spatial system and design a multi-scenario simulation scheme to simulate the operation of the rural production space system in Guangnan County. The results show: (1) The logic of correlation between the operation of rural production space system and rural sustainable development is constructed, and five scenarios are designed: the baseline scenario, the scenario of promoting scientific and technological innovation, the scenario of optimizing planting structure, the scenario of strengthening pollution control and the scenario of comprehensive adjustment. (2) The roles of technological inputs, cropping structure and pollution control on the operation of rural production spatial systems vary, with technological inputs contributing the most to increased food production, optimized cropping structure contributing the most to gross agricultural product and rural per capita disposable income, and enhanced pollution control significantly reducing carbon emissions from agricultural production. (3) Based on the simulation results of the operation of rural production space system in mountainous and hilly areas, the sustainable development strategy was proposed from three aspects: increasing technical investment, optimizing planting structure and strengthening pollution control.
Published Version
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call