Abstract
With the rapid construction of high-speed railways (HSR), the supply structure of the transportation modes in China has changed greatly. In order to seek the sustainable development of HSR and air transport from the perspective of passenger mode choice behavior, this paper applied a binary logit model to explore the mode choice patterns in the Beijing–Shanghai corridor, which has the most successfully operated HSR line in China. By using the data collected in airports and HSR stations in the two cities, passenger flow composition and passenger mode choice behavior was analyzed. It was found that passengers’ preference for air transport decreases with the accompanying number of passengers and access time, and increases with income; female passengers and younger passengers have a higher probability of choosing air transport, ceteris paribus; and leisure passengers are more price-sensitive, they tend to travel by air transport when the air transport prices are lower. The study results reveal the travel characteristics of passengers between Beijing–Shanghai and provide information for policy design and infrastructure management.
Highlights
Over the past few decades, passenger transport has seen important changes concerning the modal distribution of demand
To shed more light on this issue, predicted probabilities of choosing air transport for representative male business travelers and female leisure travelers of selected combinations of independent variables are presented in Table 6, in which for each specific predication, the price differential is set to zero, and all of the remaining variables are set to their mean values
Female passengers and younger passengers have a higher probability of choosing air transport
Summary
Over the past few decades, passenger transport has seen important changes concerning the modal distribution of demand. Air transport’s dominant position began to lose to high-speed railways (HSR) for median–long distances. This has resulted from the comparable service attributes of HSR with air transport [1,2]. In Europe and Asia, the expansion of the HSR network has caused air transport demand to drop significantly. After the introduction of TGV Sud-Est between Paris and Lyon in 1981, the market share for air transport dropped from 31% to 7%. The same phenomenon was witnessed between Madrid and Seville in 1992 after the introduction of AVE service; air transport market share dropped from 40% to 13%. In Japan, after the opening of Shinkansen, air transport service between Osaka–Hiroshima and Hiroshima–Fukuoka were closed
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary 
Published Version (
Free)
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call