Competition between Wuhan-Guangzhou High-speed Railway and Civil Aviation Based on Disaggregate Model

Abstract

With the operation of high-speed railways, the market share of air transportation has certain decrease, and there exist intense competitions between these two modes. Bases on the field data from the Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed railway and the data from some air companies, this paper, develops a competition binary Logit model for Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed rail and air transport with the non-set design model and relevant principles. The stated preference (SP) data are revised under revealed preference (RP) data, and the competition degree between high-speed railway and air transportation are measured by different air ticket price discount. The results indicate that when the ticket price discount of Wuhan-Guangzhou air is higher than 30%, there exist keen competitions between the high-speed railway and air transportation, and the higher the discount is the more competitions exist. This research is beneficial for balance the development of high-speed rail and air transportation and avoiding blind competitions of these two modes.