Abstract

AbstractGround surface dynamics is one of the processes influencing the future of the Wadden Sea area. Vertical land movement, both subsidence and heave, is a direct contributor to changes in the relative sea level. It is defined as the change of height of the Earth's surface with respect to a vertical datum. In the Netherlands, the Normaal Amsterdams Peil (NAP) is the official height datum, but its realisation via reference benchmarks is not time-dependent. Consequently, NAP benchmarks are not optimal for monitoring physical processes such as land subsidence. However, surface subsidence can be regarded as a differential signal: the vertical motion of one location relative to the vertical motion of another location. In this case, the actual geodetic height datum is superfluous.In the present paper, we highlight the processes that cause subsidence, with specific focus on the Wadden Sea area. The focus will be toward anthropogenic causes of subsidence, and how to understand them; how to measure and monitor and use these measurements for better characterisation and forecasting; with some details on the activities in the Wadden Sea that are relevant in this respect. This naturally leads to the identification of knowledge gaps and to the formulation of notions for future research.

Highlights

  • Subsidence is one of the processes influencing the dynamics of the Wadden Sea region

  • For the Wadden Sea area, the forecasts must always be translated into an average value for each tidal basin in order to assess the impact on the larger Wadden Sea development

  • Field-scale numerical models of hydrocarbon fields are employed for the analysis of complex geomechanical phenomena that cannot be predicted in satisfactory manner by analytical modelling and have significant financial or environmental impact

Read more

Summary

Introduction

Subsidence is one of the processes influencing the dynamics of the Wadden Sea region. The crucial variable in this context is the change of the relative sea level – the local sea level relative to the onshore land elevation (Van der Spek, 2018; Vermeersen et al, 2018; Wang et al, 2018) In this contribution we discuss subsidence in the context of the Dutch Wadden Sea. We start by describing the processes causing subsidence and how these can be modelled. For the Wadden Sea area, the forecasts must always be translated into an average value for each tidal basin in order to assess the impact on the larger Wadden Sea development. They must always be accompanied by a quality measure.

Natural causes of subsidence
Anthropogenic causes of subsidence
Forward models
Subsidence due to hydrocarbon extraction
Subsidence due to salt solution mining
Surface motion measurements vs the signal of interest
Orthometric Geometric
Optical levelling
Hydrostatic levelling
Availability Free Free Free for the Netherlands Commercial Commercial Free
Data integration
Data availability in the Wadden Sea region
Inverse modelling and data assimilation
Asc and Dsc
Example studies outside the Wadden Sea
Future subsidence in the Wadden Sea
Gas fields
Field Havenmonda
Salt solution mining in Havenmond
Gaps analysis and way forward
Inversion or data assimilation technology
Section Measuring subsidence
Also use horizontal movements
Findings
Requirements for quantitative interpretation and forecasting
Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call