Abstract

Japan poses a different kind of challenge than the United States or Russia for any Chinese analyst intent on charting a path for China’s rise as a great power. Putting aside strategic triangle logic and the struggle with hegemonism, the analyst must consider the impact of a state with regional leadership pretensions that also is critical to cooperation in neighboring areas. Given its changing economic and diplomatic standing, China in the 1980s faced Japan from an inferior position, in the 1990s it increasingly gained equality, and in the 2000s it rapidly grew more confident of its superior status. Strategic thinking paid attention to this shifting balance in bilateral relations as well as to the alterations in the overall great power balance and in the regional balance relevant to Japan’s prospects.

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